The Official SwimSwam Rio 2016 Olympics Preview Schedule

2016 Rio Olympic Games

  • Friday, August 5 – Thursday, August 21, 2016
  • Swimming: Saturday, August 6 – Saturday, August 13, 2016
  • Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
  • NBC Olympics homepage

We are within a month of the opening ceremonies for the 2016 Rio Olympics, which means it’s that time again to start our event-by-event previews of all the swimming action to come – our run of previews for pool swimming will include all 32 events, including the 3 relay races for each gender.

Bookmark this page to stay on top of all our event previews, which we’ll link below. We’ll also keep a running chart of our medal predictions in each race.

Preview Schedule

Week 1 (July 10-16)

Week 2 (July 17-23)

Week 3 (July 24-30)

Week 4 (July 31-August 5)

Event Previews

Women Men
50 Free 50 Free
100 Free 100 Free
200 Free 200 Free
400 Free 400 Free
800 Free 1500 Free
100 Back 100 Back
200 Back 200 Back
100 Breast 100 Breast
200 Breast 200 Breast
100 Fly 100 Fly
200 Fly 200 Fly
200 IM 200 IM
400 IM 400 IM
4×100 Free Relay 4×100 Free Relay
4×200 Free Relay 4×200 Free Relay
4×100 Medley Relay 4×100 Medley Relay

Medalist Predictions

Women:

Event Gold Silver Bronze
50 Free Cate Campbell Sarah Sjöström Bronte Campbell
100 Free Cate Campbell Bronte Campbell Sarah Sjostrom
200 Free Katie Ledecky Sarah Sjostrom Federica Pellegrini
400 Free Katie Ledecky Leah Smith Boglarka Kapas
800 Free Katie Ledecky Jessica Ashwood Lauren Boyle
100 Back Emily Seebohm Mie Nielsen Katinka Hosszu
200 Back Emily Seebohm Katinka Hosszu Belinda Hocking
100 Breast Ruta Meilutyte Lilly King Alia Atkinson*
200 Breast Rie Kaneto Viktoria Gunes Rikke Moller Pedersen
100 Fly Sarah Sjöström Dana Vollmer Kelsi Worrell
200 Fly Natsumi Hoshi Mireia Belmonte Madeline Groves
200 IM Katinka Hosszu Siobhan-Marie O’Connor Maya DiRado
400 IM Katinka Hosszu Maya DiRado Mireia Belmonte
4×100 Free Relay Australia  USA Netherlands
4×200 Free Relay USA Australia Sweden
4×100 Medley Relay Australia USA China

*Atkinson replaced Yulia Efimova in our predictions after Efimova’s nomination to the Olympics was withdrawn by the Russian Olympic Committee

Men:

Event Gold Silver Bronze
50 Free Florent Manaudou Nathan Adrian Vladimir Morozov
100 Free Cameron McEvoy Nathan Adrian Ning Zetao
200 Free Sun Yang James Guy Conor Dwyer
400 Free Sun Yang Mack Horton James Guy
1500 Free Gregorio Paltrinieri Sun Yang Mack Horton
100 Back Ryan Murphy Mitch Larkin David Plummer
200 Back Mitch Larkin Ryan Murphy Evgeny Rylov
100 Breast Adam Peaty Cameron van der Burgh Kevin Cordes
200 Breast Marco Koch Daniel Gyurta Kevin Cordes
100 Fly Michael Phelps Chad le Clos Joseph Schooling
200 Fly Chad le Clos Michael Phelps Laszlo Cseh
200 IM Michael Phelps Kosuke Hagino Ryan Lochte
400 IM Kosuke Hagino Daiya Seto Chase Kalisz
4×100 Free Relay  Australia  USA  France
4×200 Free Relay USA Australia Great Britain
4×100 Medley Relay USA Australia Great Britain

In This Story

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Track
5 years ago

ADAM PEATY
Cameron McEvoy
CAMERON MCEVOY
Cate Campbell
CATE CAMPBELL
Katie Ledecky
KATIE LEDECKY
Katinka Hosszu
KATINKA HOSSZU
Michael Phelps
MICHAEL PHELPS
Sarah Sjöström
SARAH SJÖSTRÖM
Sun Yang
SUN YANG
Are al names in this story, so I’m assuming their in for some medals according to SwimSwam

Steve Nolan
Reply to  Track
5 years ago

They seem like good picks.

Depending on how you look at it, Phelps could be viewed as the least-likely to win a gold medal of that group.

Aserra1
Reply to  Steve Nolan
5 years ago

Says who?

Daza
Reply to  Steve Nolan
5 years ago

About Phelps I wonder if apart from the 100 fly(possible) and the 4×100 medley(probable) if he’s actually a real contender for gold in his other two races?

2Fat4Speed
Reply to  Jared Anderson
5 years ago

It is a hot take blasted from the moon

Damiansport1
5 years ago

My picks for Olympics (could change)

Men:

50 free:
1. Florent Manaudou
2. Nathan Adrian
3. Cameron McEvoy

100 free:
1. Cameron McEvoy
2. Nathan Adrian
3. Florent Manaudou

200 free:
1. Sun Yang
2. James Guy
3. Cameron McEvoy

400 free:
1. Sun Yang
2. Mack Horton
3. Connor Jaeger

1500 free:
1. Gregorio Paltrinieri
2. Mack Horton
3. Connor Jaeger

100 back:
1. Ryan Murphy
2. David Plummer
3. Mitch Larkin

200 back:
1. Ryan Murphy
2. Mitch Larkin
3. Jacob Pebley

100 breast:
1. Adam Peaty
2. Kevin Cordes
3. Ross Murdoch… Read more »

Rafael
Reply to  Damiansport1
5 years ago

Manadou won’t swim 100 free. And jpn on medley women???

Stephen
Reply to  Rafael
5 years ago

US in front of AUS in IM relay (Women’s) Hmmmm….Aus 2nd China 3rd in 4 x 2 (Women’s) double hmmm
No real surprises in the individual events….Can’t remember an Olympics that happened. So i’m expecting someone to come out of the clouds and win at least 1 gold,
Oh yeah…Murphy over Larkin in 200m Back…….we’ll see….hmmmm

Damiansport1
Reply to  Stephen
5 years ago

So what are your picks for surprises?

Clutch
Reply to  Damiansport1
5 years ago

France third in the mens 4x200m Free Relay? Don’t think so. Japan and Great Britain seem to be much better, Germany too. Only chance for France would be, if Agnel can dip sub 1:45.

Australia and China are imo clearly stronger than Japan and Brazil in the Men’s IM relay.
At least i’m sure Australia will medal, though the US are invincible.

Rafael
Reply to  Clutch
5 years ago

Clutch.. just to put up the top 4 time of Trials for the Medley Relay (Except US)
Australia: 3:30.86
China: 3.31.82
Russia: 3:32.31
Brazil: 3:32:49
So while Australia is stronger and JPN is weaker (add up 3:33:3), I don´t think China is so far ahead, and we have to considerd China has Wang who might not swim due to do Doping and there is also some comments Ning won´t come to Rio too..

bobo gigi
Reply to  Damiansport1
5 years ago

Damiansport1, I like most of your predictions (I know that I’m the only one who mentions Lacourt 🙂 ) but I really don’t see how the women’s Australian medley relay can finish only third with 2 killer legs like Seebohm on back and CC on freestyle. Add 2 very decent breast and fly legs with Bohl and McKeon and you have a golden relay in my opinion. The only way USA can beat them is if Smoliga or Baker touch with Seebohm and then King/Worrell or Vollmer make a big difference of at least 1.5s. It’s unlikely to happen. In 2012 USA had 3 dominant stars on back, breast and fly and 4 individual olympic champions overall in the team.… Read more »

bobo gigi
Reply to  bobo gigi
5 years ago

And remove Manaudou. No 100 free for him in Rio. French qualifiers are Stravius and Mignon in that event.

Damiansport1
Reply to  bobo gigi
5 years ago

So now i have Stravius in 3rd

cordesrio2016
Reply to  bobo gigi
5 years ago

filet mignon?

Damiansport1
Reply to  bobo gigi
5 years ago

thanks ;p yeah i know, my relay predictions could be wrong, i didnt think much about them. didnt have time ;p

Myth Destroyer
Reply to  bobo gigi
5 years ago

Don’t just criticize, make your own prediction 🙂

N P
Reply to  bobo gigi
4 years ago

This made total sense when you wrote it… Who would have thought that the Australians would pretty much fold for the 2nd Olympics in a row? And honestly, Denmark winning the bronze in the medley was almost unpredictable before the meet started.

SwimNerd
Reply to  Damiansport1
5 years ago

Bold move putting Pebley ahead of Kowecki and Rylov… I don’t hate it, though.

Felix
Reply to  SwimNerd
4 years ago

Sun yang is still a gold medal contender for the 1500. Putting jaeger on that list above sun yang is crazy

N P
Reply to  Felix
4 years ago

It sort of seemed like it, didn’t it?

anon
5 years ago

My picks:

Men:

50 free:
1. Florent Manaudou
2. Nathan Adrian
3. Cameron McEvoy

100 free:
1. Cameron McEvoy
2. Nathan Adrian
3. Zetao Ning*

200 free:
1. Sun Yang*
2. James Guy
3. Cameron McEvoy

400 free:
1. Mack Horton
2. Sun Yang*
3. Connor Jaeger

1500 free:
1. Gregorio Paltrinieri
2. Sun Yang*
3. Mack Horton

100 back:
1. Ryan Murphy
2. David Plummer
3. Mitch Larkin

200 back:
1. Mitch Larkin
2. Ryan Murphy
3. Evgeny Rylov

100 breast:
1. Adam Peaty
2. Cameron van dur Burgh
3. Kevin Cordes

200 breast:
… Read more »

Quinn
Reply to  anon
5 years ago

Hating definitely doesn’t beat phelps in the 200im

jcinho
Reply to  anon
5 years ago

I’m British but I think GBR will struggle to make the men’s 4×200 freestyle final because of the ridiculous decision to pick 3 relay only swimmers (Kurle, Lloyd, Wallace) who have to swim in the event (otherwise the team is DQ’d), so will presumably swim in the prelims with either Renwick or Scott.
Their positions and times from the British trials in April will not cut it.
5. Cameron Kurle 1:47.82
6. Ieuan Lloyd 1:48.23
7. Daniel Wallace 1:48.50
Guy was 1st at trials and is swimming the 400 and 200 free, so makes sense for him not to swim prelims. Milne was 2nd at trials and is swimming the 400 and 1500 free, so… Read more »

Dee
Reply to  jcinho
5 years ago

Lloyd & Wallace will not be relay only picks – They’ll swim IM. Kurle will be the only relay only pick.

Bayliss
Reply to  jcinho
5 years ago

No relay only swimmers apart from Robbie
Have some belief it’s a young team and a very talented team

Daza
Reply to  anon
5 years ago

Seebohm both backs and Australia the 4×100 women’s medley.
So 9 Aus 8 USA.

Carlo
5 years ago

I don’t see Mitch Larkin finishing third in the 100 back but the stuff here are just predictions. The 100 back is tough to call. Like REALLY tough.

The women,s 100 breast could go between lily king and Ruta meilutyte but if meilutyte has shaken off her elbow injury and is back in form then I think she gets the gold. It depends.

Men,s 200IM is tough. Gonna be between Phelps and hagino.

Emily seebohm gets the women,s 100 back

The women,s 200 back is fishy but seebohm has the best last 50 of the lot.

I think kosuke hagino could swim a 4:06 in the men,s 400IM with his reduced schedule.

Sun yang is the favorite for the men,s… Read more »

SwimNerd
Reply to  Carlo
5 years ago

Is your apostrophe key broken?

Track
5 years ago

What I think will happen:
Manaudou gets under 21 seconds in the 50 free to win gold. McEvoy goes 47.3 in the 100 to win. Sun wins the 200 and 400 frees, the 200 under 1:43 and a new WR in the 400, however opts out of the 1500, resulting in Paltrinieri getting an easy win in a new WR. Larkin wins the 100 backstroke in 51.8, which would be a new WR, but Murphy got it in the Semis, and due to that waste of energy only got bronze behind plummer.In the 200 back Larkin wins in 1:52 low. Peaty wins the 100 breast after setting a WR in the Semis. Koch goes under 2:07 to win the… Read more »

bobo gigi
Reply to  Track
5 years ago

Sun Yang under 1.43?

Track
Reply to  Track
5 years ago

These are my dream predictions, in reality Manaudou won’t go under 21, and their won’t be 17 WRs either

Eouai
Reply to  Track
5 years ago

Lol was gonna say – holy world record predictions. Would be incredible to watch all that though.

SHM
5 years ago

Honestly quite surprised how people are betting against Meilutyte not defending her crown cant see that happening unless they let the cheat back into the pool again

MichaelTran
5 years ago

My predictions:
Men’s event:
50 free. Manaudou-Adrian-McEvoy
100 free. McEvoy-Adrian-Ning Zetao
200 free. James Guy-Sun Yang-Hagino
400 free. Sun Yang-Horton-Guy
1500 free: Paltrinieri-Horton-Jeager (if Yang doesn’t swim) or Paltrinieri-Yang-Horton
100 back. Murphy-Larkin-Plummer
200 back. Larkin-Murphy-Rylov
100 breast. Peaty-CVD-Kordes
200 breast. Prenot-Koch-Kordes
100 fly. Le Clos-Phelps-Cesh
200 fly. Phelps-Cesh-Le Clos
200IM. Phelps- Hagino-Lochte
400IM. Hagino-Kalisz-Seto
4×100 free. FRA-AUS-USA
4×200 free. USA-AUS-GBR
4×100 medley. USA-AUS-CHN

Women’s event:
50 free. Cate Campbell-Ranomi-Bronte Campbell
100 free. Cate Campbell-Sarah Sjostrom-Bronte Campbell
200 free. Katie Ledecky-Sarah-Pellegrini (if Sarah swims) or KL-Pellegrini-Emma Mckeon
400 free. KL-Leah Smith-Ashwood
800 free. KL-Ashwood-Jazz Carlin
100 back. Seebohm-Nielsen-Wilson… Read more »

robbos
5 years ago

I’ll give a go,

My predictions:
Men’s event:
50 free. Manaudou-McEvoy-Fratus
100 free. McEvoy-Adrian-Ning Zetao
200 free. Sun Yang-James Guy-Thomas Fraser Holmes
400 free. Horton-Sun Yang-Guy
1500 free: Paltrinieri-Horton-Detti
100 back. Murphy-Larkin-Plummer
200 back. Larkin-Irie-Murphy
100 breast. Peaty-Wang-Da Silva
200 breast. Prenot-Koch-Koseki
100 fly. Le Clos-Cesh-Schooling
200 fly. Cesh-Li-Phelps
200IM. Phelps- Hagino-Lochte
400IM. Hagino-Seto -Kalisz
4×100 free. AUS-USA-FRA
4×200 free. USA-AUS-JPN
4×100 medley. USA-AUS-CHN

Women’s event:
50 free. Cate Campbell-Bronte Campbell-Ranomi
100 free. Cate Campbell-Bronte Campbell-Sarah Sjostrom
200 free. Katie Ledecky-Emma McKeon-Sarah
400 free. KL-Leah Smith-Boyle
800 free. KL-Ashwood-Jazz Carlin
100 back. Seebohm-Nielsen-Smoliga
200 back. Seebohm-… Read more »

swimmer
Reply to  robbos
5 years ago

Who is “Cesh” and while we’re at it “Czech” and the likes? His name is CSEH. Four simple letters. It’s not like his name is Schwarzenegger, Ralph Fiennes or Joaquin Phoenix and I bet you can write those down without any mistake.

robbos
Reply to  swimmer
5 years ago

My apologies.

commonwombat
Reply to  robbos
5 years ago

An interesting list, Rob, quite a lot of it that I can concur with or at least go along with.

What I DO have some qualms about is that you actually have AUS collecting more medals than the US (25/24) !! My golds (AUS 6-7/ can go to 8-9 if both Seebohm & Larkin bat 2-2 i/o 1-2; USA 9-10) aren’t miles away from your 10 apiece. However, I have USA total of 28 and I really can’t stretch AUS any further than 18 (maybe 19 If you plied me with sufficient alcohol); some long shots MAY “get up” but they’ll be counterbalanced by those expected to medal who “go missing”.

Relays splitting 3 apiece … not sure I can… Read more »

robbos
Reply to  commonwombat
5 years ago

CW, maybe I went over the top with Coutts, haha.
I just think this is one of the best Aussie side in years & i see big breakout campaign in McKeon & Horton to go with some of our favourites.
As for Americans, yes I am sure GOAT, will make my predictions silly again, even though I’m tipping him to win 3 golds, he can walk away with 6.The freestyles, Adrian in 50, 100, Dwyer 200 & 400 Jaeger 400 & 1500 are there & thereabouts I agree. Ervin as well.
Again with relays, its the M4x100 Free we differ, I expect Roberts & Maggie to swim mid 47s flying start to go with McEvoy, top, Charmers… Read more »

commonwombat
Reply to  robbos
5 years ago

Yes, that was my reaction to the Coutts call …. think she can final but I think 2.09high is as good as she’s got these days and that’s not going to medal unless it’s an inordinately slow race.

I have Horton in the medal mix and who knows …. but Kazan left me a tad wary. My view on Em McK may surprise you. I think she has the talent to medal in both her main events both here and at World level (should she continue) and I was sorely tempted to name her as my “spolier” in both. The question is whether she has the nerve to handle the big time pressure. If she has, she may fly home… Read more »

About Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson swam for nearly twenty years. Then, Jared Anderson stopped swimming and started writing about swimming. He's not sick of swimming yet. Swimming might be sick of him, though. Jared was a YMCA and high school swimmer in northern Minnesota, and spent his college years swimming breaststroke and occasionally pretending …

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