Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games: Official SwimSwam Preview Index

Click here to see all of our Tokyo 2020 Olympic Previews.

2020 TOKYO SUMMER OLYMPIC GAMES

After a year’s delay, the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games, now being held in 2021, are just a week away from kicking off at the Japan National Stadium in Tokyo.

All month long, SwimSwam has been, and will continue to, preview every swimming event on the schedule for the Tokyo 2020 Games, including projecting our medalists and top 8 finishers for each and every race.

Below, follow along with SwimSwam’s picks, previews, and medalist choices for the upcoming Games.

Event Previews

Women Men
50 Free 50 Free
100 Free 100 Free
200 Free 200 Free
400 Free 400 Free
800 Free 800 Free
1500 Free 1500 Free
100 Back 100 Back
200 Back 200 Back
100 Breast 100 Breast
200 Breast 200 Breast
100 Fly 100 Fly
200 Fly 200 Fly
200 IM 200 IM
400 IM 400 IM
4×100 Free Relay 4×100 Free Relay
4×200 Free Relay 4×200 Free Relay
4×100 Medley Relay 4×100 Medley Relay

Medalist Predictions

Women:

Event Gold Silver Bronze
50 Free Cate Campbell, AUS Sarah Sjostrom, SWE Ranomi Kromowidjojo, NED
100 Free Emma McKeon, AUS Cate Campbell, AUS Sarah Sjostrom, SWE
200 Free Ariarne Titmus, AUS Katie Ledecky, USA Siobhan Haughey, HKG
400 Free Ariarne Titmus, Australia Katie Ledecky, USA Li Bingjie, CHN
800 Free Katie Ledecky, USA Simona Quadarella, ITA Ariarne Titmus, AUS
1500 Free Katie Ledecky, USA Simona Quadarella, ITA Maddy Gough, AUS
100 Back Kaylee McKeown, AUS Kylie Masse, Canada Regan Smith, USA
200 Back Kaylee McKeown, AUS Rhyan White, USA Margherita Panziera, ITA
100 Breast Lilly King, USA Yulia Efimova, ROC Lydia Jacoby, USA
200 Breast Tatjana Schoenmaker, RSA Lilly King, USA Annie Lazor, USA
100 Fly Maggie MacNeil, CAN Zhang Yufei, CHN Emma McKeon, AUS
200 Fly Zhang Yufei, CHN Hali Flickinger, USA Boglarka Kapas, HUN
200 IM Katinka Hosszu, HUN Sydney Pickrem, CAN Yui Ohashi, JPN
400 IM Katinka Hosszu, HUN Hali Flickinger, USA Yui Ohashi, JPN
Australia Canada Netherlands
Australia USA Canada
USA Australia Canada

Men:

Event Gold Silver Bronze
50 Free Caeleb Dressel, USA Ben Proud, GBR Vladimir Morozov, ROC
100 Free Caeleb Dressel, USA Kyle Chalmers, AUS Andrei Minakov, ROC
200 Free Duncan Scott, GBR Tom Dean, GBR Katsuhiro Matsumoto, JPN
400 Free Elijah Winnington, AUS Gabriele Detti, ITA Martin Malyutin, ROC
800 Free Gregorio Paltrinieri, ITA Mykhailo Romanchuk, UKR Jack McLoughlin, AUS
1500 Free Florian Wellbrock, GER Mykhailo Romanchuk, UKR Gregorio Paltrinieri, ITA
100 Back Ryan Murphy, USA Evgeny Rylov, ROC Xu Jiayu, CHN
200 Back Evgeny Rylov, ROC Ryan Murphy, USA Luke Greenbank, GBR
100 Breast Adam Peaty, GBR Arno Kamminga, NED Nicolo Martinenghi, ITA
200 Breast Anton Chupkov, ROC Shoma Sato, JPN Zac Stubblety-Cook, AUS
100 Fly Caeleb Dressel, USA Kristof Milak, HUN Andrei Minakov, ROC
200 Fly Kristof Milak, HUN Daiya Seto, JPN Chad le Clos, RSA
200 IM Michael Andrew, USA Daiya Seto, JPN Chase Kalisz, USA
400 IM Daiya Seto, JPN Chase Kalisz, USA Lewis Clareburt, NZL
Russia USA Australia
Great Britain Australia Russia
USA Great Britain Russia

Mixed:

Event Gold Silver Bronze
China Australia USA

*ROC refers to Russia, which will be competing under the banner of the Russian Olympic Committee due to anti-doping sanctions.

Projected Medal Table

Here’s a look at how the medal table would shake out based on our medalist picks in each event:

SwimSwam News – 2020 Tokyo Olympics
Pool Swimming Medal Table
Nation Total Medals Gold Silver Bronze
USA 25 10 10 5
Australia 20 9 5 6
Russian Olympic Committee 11 3 2 6
Great Britain 7 3 3 1
Italy 7 1 3 3
Japan 7 1 3 3
Canada 6 1 3 2
Hungary 5 3 1 1
China 5 2 1 2
Netherlands 3 1 2
South Africa 2 1 1
Ukraine 2 2
Sweden 2 1 1
Germany 1 1
Hong Kong 1 1
New Zealand 1 1

In This Story

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Stephen
8 days ago

So far only one race I disagree on. The Women’s medley relay.
Throw in the silver medalist in the women’s 100m breast……..

Sub13
Reply to  Stephen
8 days ago

Who do you think will take the women’s medley relay? I think Aus has a chance but I would agree with SwimSwam that USA is the favourite for gold.

Troyy
Reply to  Stephen
8 days ago

It’d be a surprise if Hodges is ready for another large time drop if that’s what you’re referring to.

Stephen
Reply to  Troyy
8 days ago

I could say the same about say Huske

Troyy
Reply to  Stephen
8 days ago

You could and you’d probably be right.

Sub13
8 days ago

Lilly King is shaking at those women’s individual event predictions!

Only a week left and you’ve still got 3 quarters of the events to go. Should we expect like 3 a day this week? Also your index is missing women’s 1500 and men’s 800.

Old Man Chalmers
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

this question is asked every year, yet they always finish on time

Mike
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

Maybe next year they should try writing the article for strokes. It would be easier to finish on time. Anyways love the content.

Jess
8 days ago

I dont understand in these why Peaty’s split/ time is always used as 57.1 which he has gone faster than that even individually yet all the others have compensated times or times accurate to their fastest swim such as Yan’s 57.9 but hes never gone that individually. If peaty’s actual fastest time was factored in there is no way GB would be predicted out of the medals in the mixed medley relay.

Jess
Reply to  Jess
8 days ago

Times from 2019 are used (Dessels 49.28 + Scotts 46.1) and individual times are used (Andrews 58.14) yet Peatys ‘Split’ is used as 57.1 when his world record set in the same time period is 56.88.

Sub13
Reply to  Jess
8 days ago

I think it’s more of an art than a science. They’ve used Regan Smith’s world record even though she hasn’t swum close to that in 2 years. They gave USA the best aggregate time but put them in third.

I wouldn’t take the predictions too seriously. If these predictions are correct then Australia will have their best swimming Olympics ever, and I’m not sure if that’ll happen.

Jess
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

My point isn’t that GB should be first but Regan is another great example, 100 backstroke has no takeover advantage, they have used her best time ever yet Peaty at the same meet swam faster yet his time is instead what he swam at this years Euros in a relay?

Stephen
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

Sounds like you have a scope of how the Aussies are going in training. Whata share what you know?

DDias
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

While only time will tell, we are in (some sort) of high expectations for the Aussie team. At least 3 top dogs(doggies? Ha!) are in an upside moment(Kaylee, Emma, and Ariarne) and if they only repeat their best times, they will have a great chance of gold and put their relays in a great perspective to at least, earn a medal.
Of course, being Olympics, I expect at least two things to happen: Someone will thrive and shine, and someone will underperform. That could happen within the same team(USA, Australia…) or individually.

Sub13
Reply to  DDias
8 days ago

I never like to count my chickens before they hatch. I’d rather go in with low expectations and be pleasantly surprised than act cocky and then be disappointed. Trust me, I want nothing more than for Aus to sweep the pool this year.

PBJswimming
8 days ago

What non-US streaming services will offer swimming coverage?

Sub13
Reply to  PBJswimming
8 days ago

In Australia it’s being live streamed by the free Channel 7 app 7plus. Not sure if that helps you.

Troyy
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

They’ll need a VPN. CBC (Canada) and BBC (UK) should be watchable with a VPN too.

Brownish
Reply to  PBJswimming
8 days ago

m4sport.hu, or eurosport

Rafael
Reply to  PBJswimming
8 days ago

Brazil sportv.

I dont know if it will be geoblock but you can sign 1 month of globoplay by 44 reais (about 9 dollars)

Robbos
8 days ago

I think Chalmers over Dressel, outside I agree with most.

Charge
Reply to  Robbos
8 days ago

I think both men with break the record. I think if KC wants to win he needs to get out sub 22.6

Sub13
Reply to  Robbos
8 days ago

I am hoping for Kyle over Dressel. But I’ve put money on Dressel to make it a win-win for me. I would MUCH rather lose the money and have Kyle win gold, but at least a bit of money is a consolation prize haha.

sscommentor
Reply to  Sub13
5 days ago

hedge your heart. love the move

Charge
8 days ago

As we look forward to the 200 free preview for men, wondering if anyone will approach PB’s super-suited record, I would like to take everyone back to the 1992 men’s 200 free final and the first ever super-suit, modeled by USA’s Doug Gjertsen

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=P7TdRD0Zams

1:22 mark

Chad
Reply to  Charge
8 days ago

Not a chance anyone touches 1:42

Jamie5678
8 days ago

Seeing Swimswam’s predictions lined up in a table, Sjostrom, Detti, King vs Efimova, Kromowidjojo, C1, Seto vs Kalisz, Dressel vs Chalmers. It’s like the Covid delay never happened and we’re back to late 2019.

History would suggest it’s far harder to hang on than this implies. I could be wrong – but I’d guess it will be even harder this time around with the delay and that a lot of these predicted medal winners will prove a little too long in the tooth.

SBOmega
8 days ago

Thanks for the tips Swimswam
Made a few cheeky bets on outsiders who had decent odds

Chalmers to win 100m at $6
Duncan Scott to win 200m at $4.5
Malyutin to win 400m at $8.50
McLoughlin to win 800m at $6
Kalisz to win 400IM at $4.33

Kromo to win 50m at $4.33
Oleksiak to win 100m at $7
McNeill to win 100m Fly at $4.33
McKeown to win 200IM at $2.88 (not really an outsider but she was listed behind Hosszu)

And then USA to win more golds than Australia at $1.55 (which is unbelievable odds given the reverse has never happened lol)

(With this system, $2 means you get $2 back for every $1 you bet)

Sub13
Reply to  SBOmega
8 days ago

I put a bunch of bets on the people most likely to upset the Aussies. That way I either get an Aussie gold, or get some money.

Got money on Dressel 100F, Detti and Rapsys 400, Chupkov 200Br, Manuel and Blume 50F, Oleksiak and Kromowidjojo 100F, Ledecky 200-800, Smith 100Ba.

Also put a bit of money on USA getting more golds than Aus, and Aus getting less than 9 golds.

I would be more than happy to lose every bet if it means Aussies getting all the golds! At least if the Aussies get upset I should get some money out of it.

EDIT: Also yes, Australia has topped the medal table twice. In 1956 Aus got 8 golds to… Read more »

Last edited 8 days ago by Sub13
Joel
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

Hoping you lose all your bets 😂

Sub13
Reply to  Joel
8 days ago

SO DO I! A few hundred bucks would be a small price to pay.

But also I have a few other bets I didn’t list that are at longer odds. If I win even one of them I’ll get all my money back.

Let the Games begin!

Robbos
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

Where are you placing your bets?

Sub13
Reply to  Robbos
8 days ago

SportsBet, TAB and Ladbrokes. I never bet so I just joined all 3 and got $100 bonus bets for each for depositing $100 (except LadBrokes will give you $100 for only depositing $50).

SportsBet and TAB both have all events (no relays for some reason) some odds better on one than the other. Ladbrokes only has about half the events, but lets you bet on all medals instead of just wins.

Also, in ONE pro Australia bet I put money on Kaylee/Ariarne combined winning 5 individual golds. I doubt it’ll happen but I had to show SOME love to our stars.

Robbos
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

Thanks.
Love your last bet.

Last edited 8 days ago by Robbos
Stephen
Reply to  Robbos
8 days ago

I love how many of the Americans on here have the late mail on how the Aussies are going in training.
Well they must, they are quite certain the Aussies are going to have a below par olympics.
I wonder where they get the inside scope from.

Sub13
Reply to  Stephen
8 days ago

You made the same comment on another comment I made. I’m Australian lol. Im just managing my expectations. I would be happier than anyone for the Aussies to win all the events they’re favourites in but I don’t think it’ll happen. I hope I’m wrong!

Troyy
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

Did similar with one of my comments but I was just being realistic and not blinded by patriotism.

https://swimswam.com/tokyo-2020-olympic-games-official-swimswam-preview-index/#comment-945416

Stephen
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

I think your last bet has every chance……And a somewhat rested Titmus may pressure Ledecky in the 800

Robbos
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

I just did likewise Mckeown 100/200 Back 200IM & Titmus 200/400 free would be my hopes. But like you said we are dreaming, but what a dream.

Sub13
Reply to  Robbos
8 days ago

To get the win, Arnie needs to take 200 and 400, Kaylee needs to take both backs, and then one of them needs to upset in the 800 or 2IM.

Not holding my breath but I so hope it happens. Also that’s at 8:1 odds so I’ll basically win all my money back if that one is successful.

Miss M
Reply to  Sub13
8 days ago

Genius! Totally hoping you don’t become a rich man this Olympics.