2018 U.S. Nationals Preview: Women’s 100 Free Field Loaded With Talent

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2018 U.S. NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS

SIMPLIFIED SELECTION CRITERIA – 100/200 FREES

  • Top 4 to 2018 Pan Pacific Championships
  • Top 2-6 juniors to 2018 Junior Pan Pacs
  • Top 4-6 (from Nationals + Pan Pacs) to 2019 World Championships
  • 4-6 more to 2019 World University Games
  • 2+ more to 2019 Pan American Games

Just as always, the 100 and 200 freestyles at U.S. Nationals will carry a bit of extra weight with the top-4 finishers automatically booking their ticket to the Pan Pacific Championships in Tokyo. This is of vital importance, as if a swimmer can get their qualifying spot out of the way early (the 100 free is on day 1, the 200 on day 2), the pressure is off for the rest of the meet and they can look forward to what events they’ll be swimming at Pan Pacs.

In the women’s 100m event, there is an absolutely stacked lineup of contenders looking for a spot in the top-4 and on the 400 free relay at Pan Pacs, and there are only two swimmers who look like locks to qualify without being 100% rested. Those two are Simone Manuel and Mallory Comerford, who both broke the American Record in the event last year.

Mallory Comerford 2017 World Championships Budapest, Hungary (photo: Mike Lewis)

Comerford was coming off a breakout college season where she tied Katie Ledecky for the national title in the 200 free, and surprised almost everyone when she dropped over a second to beat Manuel head-to-head at World Trials in a time of 52.81. At the World Championships, she broke Manuel’s AR of 52.70 leading off the victorious 400 free relay in 52.59, and went onto finish 4th individually in her first major international LC competition.

Manuel, who tied Canadian Penny Oleksiak for Olympic gold the year prior, knew she didn’t need to fully taper to qualify for Budapest, and easily finished as the runner-up to Comerford in a time of 53.05. However, once she got to Worlds, she laid down the hammer, splittings 52.1 on three separate occasions in relays while running down world record holder Sarah Sjostrom to win her first individual World title in a new American Record of 52.27.

This year, the two of them remain atop the heap. Who will win in Irvine is essentially a coin flip and irrelevant. As long as they don’t underestimate the rest of the field, they’ll have no problem going 1-2, in any order, and securing a spot at Pan Pacs. Behind them is where things get messy.

Last summer there were four women vying for the two remaining relay spots in Budapest. Lia Neal and Kelsi Dahlia were the only other two who got under 54 seconds in 2017, while the 5th and 6th fastest swimmers Olivia Smoliga and Katie Ledecky both turned in 53-point relay splits at Worlds. Neal would have to be considered the front-runner out of the four this year, swimming the three fastest in-season times of her life in 2018 (including a 53.95 in Santa Clara), but all of them will be in the running in Irvine. Dahlia and Smoliga have both been somewhat underwhelming so far this year, yet to crack 55, but neither is known to be particularly fast in-season in this event.

There’s also the chance Dahlia doesn’t swim this, with the 200 fly coming on the same day at Nationals. That would be a much better chance for her to solidify her name on the roster early (even though she’s a lock to win the 100 fly), and she could still make a case for herself to be on the 400 free relay at Pan Pacs by swimming the individual 100 there (as it comes before the relay).

For Ledecky, she won’t need anything close to a full taper to qualify for Pan Pacs in the longer events, so it’s tough to know where she’ll slot in. She was only 7th in Omaha and 6th in Indianapolis, but found herself in the final of the 400 free relay at the Olympics and World Championships. A similar scenario could play out here.

There are quite a few names legitimately in contention for a spot in the top-4 this year that were nowhere to be found in 2017.

Just as was outlined in the women’s 50 free preview, 26-year-old Margo Geer has had an amazing comeback year in 2018. She was 15th in this event at the 2016 Olympic Trials, didn’t compete at last summer’s World Trials, but is now the fastest American this year. Swimming a pair of 53.7s at the Austin Pro Swim in January, the two fastest performances of her life, she has continued to be fast through the season with six additional swims under 54.5. The consistency indicates she should be favored to place in the top-4.

Two more swimmers in contention who weren’t even competing last summer in Indianapolis are veteran Allison Schmitt and youngster Erika Brown, who sit 5th and 7th respectively in the nation this season.

Schmitt, an eight-time Olympic medalist, never said the word “retirement” after the Rio Games, but did take some time off. Last September a string of social media posts revealed it was likely she was going to pursue a comeback, and that came to fruition this year as she appeared at three of the Pro Series stops in Mesa, Indianapolis and Columbus. Her showing in Columbus in early July was by far her best, including a 54.34 100 free which put her 5th in the country as is right on par with her in-season swims in 2016 before she went a PB at the Olympic Trials.

Brown, a rising junior at Tennessee, has followed up her breakout NCAA campaign with some very impressive long course swims, including a 54.52 100 free in mid-June which is close to two seconds better than her previous best of 56.24. She’s still a relative unknown, but is clearly on the up and up and could easily jump into the 53s and surprise the more established vets.

The three other Americans who have been under 55 this season are Katie McLaughlinVeronica Burchill and Gabby Deloof.

McLaughlin has seen vast improvements in her sprints this year, swimming the five fastest times of her career, but has the same scheduling conflict of Dahlia and Jack Conger on day 1 with the 200 fly and 100 free back-to-back. It’s a tricky decision for her, sitting as the 5th fastest American in the 200 fly and 6th in the 100 free. Based on the strength of the field here, I think we’ll ultimately see her in the 200 fly.

Veronica Burchill, Georgia. Courtesy: Rafael Domeyko/rafaeldomeyko.com

Burchill broke out last summer by making the A-final at Trials, and according to her coach at Georgia Jack Bauerle, has been making “quantam leaps” in her training, and he believes the sky’s the limit for her. She swam a lifetime best of 54.80 at the Bulldog Grand Slam in early July, and has also posted PBs in the 50, 200 and 400 this season.

Deloof cracked 55 for the first time in Columbus, and looks to be on her way into 54.5 territory. Right now, 8th in the country is 54.56, and it will probably take somewhere in the 54.3 range to get in the A-final. The recent Michigan grad has a shot to get in, but an outside one.

This field is so stacked we haven’t even touched on Abbey Weitzeil, the 4th fastest American in history. Her best swim in the last two years is the 54.99 she went to place 10th last summer, and just hasn’t been able to put together a great LC 100 since 2016. However, we did see some 46-second yards swim during the college season which was an improvement from her freshman year.

Gretchen WalshIsabel IveyClaire Rasmusand Amanda Kendall are a few other names to keep in mind heading into the competition.

TOP-12 PICKS

Place Swimmer Lifetime-best Season-best
1 Simone Manuel 52.27 53.84
2 Mallory Comerford 52.59 54.06
3 Lia Neal 53.59 53.95
4 Margo Geer 53.74 53.74
5 Allison Schmitt 53.87 54.34
6 Katie Ledecky 53.75 54.56
7 Olivia Smoliga 54.21 55.19
8 Kelsi Dahlia 53.87 55.13
9 Veronica Burchill 54.80 54.80
10 Erika Brown 54.52 54.52
11 Abbey Weitzeil 53.28 55.22
12 Gabby Deloof 54.98 54.98

Darkhorse: Cal’s Amy Bilquist is one to watch out for in this event after she chose it over the 200 back at the 2018 NCAA Championships. She ended up making the championship final with a lifetime best 47.45, and is overdue for a long course best with it currently standing at 54.85 from 2014.

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Random123
4 years ago

i think Kelsi said in an interview she is doing 100 free over 200 fly

eagleswim
4 years ago

may be a dumb question, but since this is an international qualifying meet, will there be semifinals? I’m guessing no, since it looks like pan pacs doesn’t even have semis, but they do have B Finals…? Seems weird to have a B final in an international meet like that but that’s what the schedule says

Admin
Reply to  eagleswim
4 years ago

Pan Pacs has “B” finals, noting that in spite of unlimited entries per country at Pan Pacs, only 2 per country can make the A-final.

Pan Pacs is set up almost explicitly as a “let’s get experience meet,” hence the unlimited entries, adding events not qualified for, etc. It’s a meet where the coaches’ and national federation’s preferences really matter and can override FINA. So while fans sit and look at it as “the big meet for the US this year,” it’s sort of treated more as a “training leap stepping stone to 2019 and 2020” in its rules and format.

TLDR; yes, there are B (C, and D) finals at Nationlas this year. Raced flighted, B-A, then after all… Read more »

eagleswim
Reply to  Braden Keith
4 years ago

Thanks Braden, and I know you’ve covered this before, but I know it’s different than normal qualifying meets in a couple of ways; will they make meet selections based on times, or on finish? with such a stacked field I have to imagine there are gonna be some fast times in that B final

Admin
Reply to  eagleswim
4 years ago

From Nationals, it’s heavily-focused on placement for the ‘minor meets’. For Worlds in 2019, only “A” finals swims from Nationals and “A” and “B” finals from Pan Pacs will be used, and it will be based on time.

Hswimmer
4 years ago

I don’t think Weitzeil will go backwards, she will be on that relay for sure ahead of Ledecky and Dahlia.

Gorb
Reply to  Hswimmer
4 years ago

Except that she already has gone backwards. Not sure Dahlia or Ledecky make that relay. Simone, Mallory, Geer, Schmidt, smoliga, Neal.

Ervin
Reply to  Gorb
4 years ago

Ledecky should not have been on that relay last year…should have either been Neal or Smoliga

Tara
Reply to  Ervin
4 years ago

Right, because why put Ledecky as the greatest female swimmer and freestyler on a relay when she is available, when she took you to silver at the Olympics as opposed to Neal’s bronze.

Hswimmer
Reply to  Tara
4 years ago

Her split wasn’t near the fastest. Weir really should’ve been on the Rio relay. Not Ledecky

Tara
Reply to  Hswimmer
4 years ago

Ledecky split a 52.64 in prelims in the 4×100 Free relay in Rio, one of the fastest splits of ANY PRELIMS RELAY SWIMMER FROM ANY COUNTRY, so get your facts straight HSWIMMER. Weir split a 53.60 in prelims leading off. The selfish controversy generated by Weir (who failed to even make the World Champs team the next year) was whether she should have been on the final relay rather than Dana Vollmer.
https://swimswam.com/weir-baffled-coaches-relay-decision-cant-make-sense/

Ervin
Reply to  Tara
4 years ago

She was slow on that relay at worlds, barely under 54. Neal and Smoliga were faster in the prelims….she was put on cause of her split in Rio…which i hope she can come close to this year

Kay
Reply to  Ervin
4 years ago

She had swum the second fastest 400 Free ever about 20 mins before the relay.

Ervin
Reply to  Kay
4 years ago

So? The coaches should have factored that in instead of just putting her on cause its Ledecky…and it was the third fastest ever, not the second.

Jimmy
Reply to  Ervin
4 years ago

Second fastest in history at the time bud. Oh, and they factored it in, and they won the GOLD.

Bill
Reply to  Ervin
4 years ago

Kay has it right. The 400 Free was the second fastest time in history at that time, with Ledecky holding all of the Top 10 times. Her relay selection was not based reputationally on her being Ledecky. By all of the formalized, written and objective criteria used by Team USA coaches to determine relay swimmers–which include the Trials times, past relay swims, reaction times, and practice performance/trials–Ledecky certainly legitimately earned a spot on that relay for either prelims or finals. In addition to her strong splits in Rio, she had finished sixth in the 100 Fr at Nationals/Trials in ’17 going into Budapest, just .04 behind Smogs. The relay team won Gold.

Ervin
Reply to  Bill
4 years ago

Well that’s not what she said in her comment….either way Ledecky was slow on that relay.

Coacher
Reply to  Ervin
4 years ago

I looked up the facts and the times. Ledecky’s time of 53.8 in the ’17 WC relay–as third leg–was faster than 15 of the 28 foreign competitors in that relay finals race, her reaction time at .27 was the fastest of any American in the finals race, she tied the time of the Australian sprint-specialist competitor who swam against her on the leg (the only faster 3rd leg in that race was .06 faster), she was within .6 secs of U.S. sprinter Worrell’s 2nd leg split, and Ledecky kept and handed the lead over to world champ Manuel for the final leg to take gold. Slightly earlier that evening, Ledecky won the 400 M Free in 3:58.34 in the second… Read more »

Jeannie
4 years ago

The sprinter with the best asthma inhaler will win.

Superfan
4 years ago

My kid was at a swim camp a couple weekends ago where cal had a dual meet against Stanford. Abby Weitzel won the 100 free with a 54.1 Lia Neal was a 54.6. Don’t count either of them out.

Swammer
Reply to  Superfan
4 years ago

Interesting, must not have been an official meet. Any other results to share from that, swimfan?

Superfan
Reply to  Superfan
4 years ago

Yes my daughter wrote down a lot of the times. Mclaughlin 58 mid 100 fly, Ledecky 1:55 200 free, Bilquist 1:00 100 back, Mclaughlin 25.1 50 free

Tammy Touchpad Error
Reply to  Superfan
4 years ago

I heard Murph was a 52 low, Prenot 2:08 breast. Seli 49.3 100 free.

swimlover
Reply to  Tammy Touchpad Error
4 years ago

I hope these all actually happened!!

Jmanswimfan
4 years ago

USA women’s swimming is so stacked

Yozhik
Reply to  Jmanswimfan
4 years ago

Of course they will be stacked if the #1 this season is 53.74 only.

Yozhik
4 years ago

It is interesting that personal best of Mallory Comerford in 100 free is just 0.3s slower than Simone Manual’s one. She’s beaten Manuel last year in 200y and 100lcm at trials. She made her personal best and American record in the first race of WC and then got four more gold medals in other relays. This relay duty probably affected her individual race. And despite of all off this she is considered to be of second level to Manuel.
The situation can get changed like it’s happened this spring in the case of Campbell sisters.

Swimgeekgirl
Reply to  Yozhik
4 years ago

I think she may be considered second level because Manuel is Olympic and World Champion… At this level, times don’t matter as much as placing and performing at the highest level which Comerford has done but Manuel has perfected.

Ervin
Reply to  Yozhik
4 years ago

I find it interesting cause its not true.

Hswimmer
4 years ago

There’s several swimmers who can make top 6. It will be really close in prelims

About James Sutherland

James Sutherland

James swam five years at Laurentian University in Sudbury, Ontario, specializing in the 200 free, back and IM. He finished up his collegiate swimming career in 2018, graduating with a bachelor's degree in economics. In 2019 he completed his graduate degree in sports journalism. Prior to going to Laurentian, James swam …

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