Data compiled by Andrew Mering.
With Tuesday’s release of the pre-selection psych sheets for the 2022 Women’s NCAA Championships, we’re now able to both project the individual cutline and score out the psych sheets for the event.
In the scored psych sheets, the defending champion Virginia Cavaliers project to win their second straight NCAA title by a decisive margin, putting up 479 points per the pre-meet rankings.
The 2019 champion Stanford Cardinal sit second with 355.5, and last year’s runner-ups, the NC State Wolfpack, are third at 304.0.
The projections are, of course, just projections, and every season teams vary significantly from their psych sheet points to their actual scored points. But the number do give us a starting point to start previewing how the team race will unfold at the meet.
Note: these projections do not include diving, where athletes will be selected via NCAA Zone meets later this month.
2022 NCAAs – Projected Team Standings
| Total | Relay | Individual | ||
| 1 | Virginia | 479 | 194 | 285 |
| 2 | Stanford | 355.5 | 160 | 195.5 |
| 3 | NC State | 304 | 144 | 160 |
| 4 | Tennessee | 288.5 | 122 | 166.5 |
| 5 | Alabama | 256 | 116 | 140 |
| 6 | Texas | 232.5 | 99 | 133.5 |
| 7 | Ohio St | 226.5 | 134 | 92.5 |
| 8 | Michigan | 198 | 122 | 76 |
| 9 | California | 184 | 82 | 102 |
| 10 | Southern Cali | 137 | 50 | 87 |
| 11 | Kentucky | 132 | 42 | 90 |
| 12 | Louisville | 127.5 | 62 | 65.5 |
| 13 | Wisconsin | 89 | 36 | 53 |
| 14 | Georgia | 79 | 14 | 65 |
| 15 | Northwestern | 73.5 | 28 | 45.5 |
| 16 | UNC | 62 | 38 | 24 |
| 17 | Arizona St | 52 | 2 | 50 |
| 18 | Penn | 47 | 0 | 47 |
| 19 | Indiana | 45 | 24 | 21 |
| 20 | Minnesota | 40 | 10 | 30 |
| 21 | Virginia Tech | 37 | 20 | 17 |
| 22 | Missouri | 31 | 14 | 17 |
| 23 | Duke | 22 | 0 | 22 |
| 23 | Texas A&M | 22 | 6 | 16 |
| 25 | Florida | 16 | 14 | 2 |
| 26 | Florida St | 12 | 10 | 2 |
| 27 | Auburn | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 | Arkansas | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 29 | Arizona | 4 | 0 | 4 |
UVA also led the pre-selection psych sheet scoring last season with 474.5 projected points, and the team ended up winning the national title with 491.0.
NC State held their #2 ranking in 2021, while Texas leapfrogged Cal to get into the top three. Texas notably scored 44 points fewer than they were projected to in the pool, but put 54 up in diving. Only three teams that finished in the top 10 last year scored any diving points, and Texas was the only one with more than four (OSU scored four and Stanford scored three).
The biggest mover inside the top 10 last season was Ohio State (+42.5 points, not including diving), while Georgia was the biggest dropper points-wise, scoring 68 fewer than they were projected to.
2021 Women’s NCAAs – Psych Sheet vs Actual Scoring (Top 10)
| Actual Finish | School | Psych Sheet Points | Actual Points* | Difference |
| 1 | Virginia | 474.5 | 491 | +16.5 |
| 2 | NC State | 375 | 354 | -21 |
| 3 | Texas | 334.5 | 290.5 | -44 |
| 4 | Cal | 350 | 290 | -60 |
| 5 | Alabama | 292.5 | 266 | -26.5 |
| 6 | Michigan | 209 | 224.5 | +15.5 |
| 7 | Ohio State | 169 | 211.5 | +42.5 |
| 8 | Georgia | 249 | 181 | -68 |
| 9 | Stanford | 169 | 156 | -13 |
| 10 | Tennessee | 145 | 153 | +8 |
*Diving points not included
For the 2022 Championships, Stanford freshman Regan Smith is the only projected to score the maximum of 60 individual points, as she holds the top seed in the 100 back, 200 back and 200 fly.
Fellow Cardinal first-year Torri Huske and a trio of UVA swimmers in Kate Douglass, Gretchen Walsh and Alex Walsh are the others projected to score 50+ points.
2022 NCAAs – Projected Individual Scoring
Note: ‘Event 1’ refers to a swimmer’s best-ranked entry, ‘Event 2’ is their second-best entry and ‘Event 3’ is their third-best entry. Note that these seeds are using the entire pre-selection psych sheets and don’t factor in the cutline.
The list below only includes swimmers projected to score at least one point.
| Name | School | Projected Pts | Event 1 | Event 1 Rank | Event 1 Seed | Event 2 | Event 2 Rank | Event 2 Seed | Event 3 | Event 3 Rank | Event 3 Seed |
| Smith, Regan | Stanford | 60 | 100 Backstroke | 1 | 49.23 | 200 Butterfly | 1 | 1:50.99 | 200 Backstroke | 1 | 1:48.91 |
| Douglass, Kate | Virginia | 56 | 50 Freestyle | 1 | 21.00 | 200 Breaststroke | 1 | 2:03.14 | 100 Butterfly | 3 | 49.86 |
| Huske, Torri | Stanford | 53 | 100 Butterfly | 1 | 49.43 | 200 IM | 2 | 1:52.42 | 100 Freestyle | 3 | 47.04 |
| Walsh, Gretchen | Virginia | 53 | 100 Freestyle | 1 | 46.86 | 50 Freestyle | 2 | 21.04 | 100 Backstroke | 3 | 49.71 |
| Walsh, Alex | Virginia | 51 | 200 IM | 1 | 1:52.38 | 400 IM | 2 | 4:01.40 | 200 Butterfly | 5 | 1:51.83 |
| MacNeil, Maggie | Michigan | 48 | 100 Butterfly | 2 | 49.74 | 50 Freestyle | 3 | 21.32 | 100 Freestyle | 4 | 47.10 |
| Thomas, Lia | Penn | 47 | 200 Freestyle | 1 | 1:41.93 | 500 Freestyle | 1 | 4:34.06 | 100 Freestyle | 10 | 47.63 |
| Walshe, Ellen | Tennessee | 47 | 400 IM | 3 | 4:01.46 | 200 IM | 3 | 1:52.97 | 100 Butterfly | 4 | 50.24 |
| Berkoff, Katharine | NC State | 46 | 100 Backstroke | 2 | 49.41 | 100 Freestyle | 2 | 46.89 | 50 Freestyle | 7 | 21.63 |
| Ivey, Isabel | California | 41 | 200 Freestyle | 2 | 1:42.29 | 200 IM | 4 | 1:53.54 | 100 Freestyle | 9 | 47.53 |
| White, Rhyan | Alabama | 39.5 | 200 Backstroke | 3 | 1:49.73 | 100 Backstroke | 4 | 50.15 | 100 Butterfly | 9 | 51.19 |
| Nordin, Emma | Arizona St | 39 | 500 Freestyle | 2 | 4:34.87 | 1650 Freestyle | 3 | 15:47.15 | 200 Freestyle | 11 | 1:43.76 |
| Hansson, Sophie | NC State | 37 | 100 Breaststroke | 1 | 56.72 | 200 Breaststroke | 2 | 2:03.75 | 50 Freestyle | 36 | 22.15 |
| Bray, Olivia | Texas | 37 | 200 Butterfly | 6 | 1:52.14 | 100 Backstroke | 6 | 50.87 | 100 Butterfly | 8 | 51.03 |
| Nelson, Ella | Virginia | 36 | 200 Breaststroke | 4 | 2:04.95 | 400 IM | 4 | 4:02.11 | 200 IM | 11 | 1:55.18 |
| Forde, Brooke | Stanford | 35 | 400 IM | 1 | 4:00.76 | 500 Freestyle | 4 | 4:36.96 | 200 Breaststroke | 26 | 2:08.35 |
| Hartman, Zoie | Georgia | 35 | 200 IM | 5 | 1:53.79 | 200 Breaststroke | 7 | 2:06.27 | 100 Breaststroke | 9 | 58.35 |
| Tiltmann, Reilly | Virginia | 35 | 100 Backstroke | 5 | 50.42 | 200 Backstroke | 6 | 1:50.49 | 200 Freestyle | 9 | 1:43.53 |
| Fulmer, Amy | Ohio St | 32 | 50 Freestyle | 8 | 21.71 | 200 Freestyle | 8 | 1:43.46 | 100 Freestyle | 8 | 47.46 |
| Stege, Kristen | Tennessee | 31 | 1650 Freestyle | 1 | 15:42.37 | 500 Freestyle | 8 | 4:38.50 | |||
| Gaines, Riley | Kentucky | 31 | 200 Butterfly | 2 | 1:51.51 | 200 Freestyle | 5 | 1:42.62 | 100 Freestyle | 19 | 47.88 |
| Elendt, Anna | Texas | 31 | 200 Breaststroke | 3 | 2:03.92 | 100 Breaststroke | 4 | 57.35 | |||
| Weyant, Emma | Virginia | 30 | 400 IM | 5 | 4:02.30 | 500 Freestyle | 5 | 4:37.23 | 1650 Freestyle | 15 | 16:02.51 |
| Van Berkom, Megan | Minnesota | 30 | 400 IM | 7 | 4:03.45 | 200 IM | 8 | 1:54.92 | 200 Butterfly | 10 | 1:53.89 |
| Mrozinski, Julia | Tennessee | 29 | 500 Freestyle | 3 | 4:35.95 | 200 Freestyle | 6 | 1:43.21 | 100 Freestyle | 22 | 47.92 |
| Stadden, Isabelle | California | 29 | 200 Backstroke | 2 | 1:49.51 | 100 Backstroke | 7 | 51.00 | 200 IM | 38 | 1:56.85 |
| Transom, Laticia-Leigh | Southern Cali | 29 | 200 Freestyle | 4 | 1:42.49 | 100 Freestyle | 5 | 47.21 | 50 Freestyle | 34 | 22.12 |
| McKenna, Paige | Wisconsin | 28 | 1650 Freestyle | 4 | 15:47.31 | 500 Freestyle | 6 | 4:38.09 | |||
| Scott, Morgan | Alabama | 27 | 50 Freestyle | 5 | 21.54 | 100 Freestyle | 6 | 47.32 | |||
| Ruck, Taylor | Stanford | 26.5 | 200 Backstroke | 3 | 1:49.73 | 100 Backstroke | 8 | 51.21 | 200 Freestyle | 19 | 1:44.53 |
| Williams, Liberty | Louisville | 26 | 1650 Freestyle | 2 | 15:43.21 | 500 Freestyle | 9 | 4:38.79 | 200 Freestyle | 72 | 1:46.51 |
| Wiseman, Avery | Alabama | 26 | 200 Breaststroke | 5 | 2:05.46 | 100 Breaststroke | 7 | 57.79 | 200 IM | 27 | 1:56.27 |
| Sticklen, Emma | Texas | 26 | 100 Butterfly | 5 | 50.76 | 200 Butterfly | 7 | 1:52.47 | 50 Freestyle | 51 | 22.24 |
| Dobler, Kaitlyn | Southern Cali | 25 | 100 Breaststroke | 3 | 57.31 | 200 Breaststroke | 9 | 2:06.56 | 50 Freestyle | 31 | 22.09 |
| Albiero, Gabi | Louisville | 24.5 | 100 Butterfly | 7 | 50.90 | 50 Freestyle | 10 | 21.77 | 100 Freestyle | 11 | 47.67 |
| McMahon, Kensey | Alabama | 24 | 1650 Freestyle | 7 | 15:51.71 | 500 Freestyle | 7 | 4:38.34 | |||
| Alons, Kylee | NC State | 23 | 100 Butterfly | 6 | 50.82 | 50 Freestyle | 8 | 21.71 | 100 Freestyle | 106 | 49.34 |
| Foley, Sally | Duke | 22 | 200 IM | 7 | 1:54.47 | 200 Breaststroke | 10 | 2:06.63 | 200 Freestyle | 14 | 1:43.85 |
| Carter, Olivia | Michigan | 22 | 200 Butterfly | 3 | 1:51.62 | 100 Butterfly | 11 | 51.29 | 200 IM | 24 | 1:56.07 |
| Romano, Kristen | Ohio St | 21 | 200 IM | 6 | 1:54.43 | 400 IM | 9 | 4:05.28 | 200 Butterfly | 27 | 1:55.22 |
| Bacon, Phoebe | Wisconsin | 21 | 200 Backstroke | 5 | 1:50.48 | 100 Backstroke | 10 | 51.38 | 200 IM | 17 | 1:55.64 |
| Davey, Gillian | Kentucky | 21 | 200 Breaststroke | 6 | 2:06.21 | 400 IM | 9 | 4:05.28 | 200 IM | 34 | 1:56.58 |
| Countie, Grace | UNC | 21 | 50 Freestyle | 4 | 21.45 | 100 Backstroke | 12 | 51.54 | 100 Freestyle | 16 | 47.77 |
| Polonsky, Leah | California | 20 | 400 IM | 8 | 4:03.90 | 200 IM | 9 | 1:55.10 | 200 Breaststroke | 48 | 2:09.93 |
| Mull, Lola | Northwestern | 19 | 1650 Freestyle | 6 | 15:51.38 | 500 Freestyle | 11 | 4:39.03 | |||
| Pash, Kelly | Texas | 19 | 200 Butterfly | 8 | 1:52.69 | 200 Freestyle | 12 | 1:43.83 | 200 IM | 14 | 1:55.31 |
| Wenger, Alexis | Virginia | 19 | 100 Breaststroke | 2 | 56.76 | 200 Breaststroke | 15 | 2:07.27 | 50 Freestyle | 107 | 22.56 |
| Podmanikova, Andrea | NC State | 17 | 100 Breaststroke | 8 | 57.90 | 200 Breaststroke | 11 | 2:06.78 | 200 IM | 83 | 1:58.81 |
| Zenick, Katherine | Ohio St | 17 | 100 Freestyle | 7 | 47.40 | 100 Butterfly | 12 | 51.35 | 50 Freestyle | 24 | 21.96 |
| McSharry, Mona | Tennessee | 17 | 100 Breaststroke | 5 | 57.46 | 200 Breaststroke | 14 | 2:07.01 | 50 Freestyle | 45 | 22.20 |
| Stepanek, Chloe | Texas A&M | 16 | 200 Freestyle | 3 | 1:42.40 | 100 Freestyle | 17 | 47.78 | 500 Freestyle | 43 | 4:43.40 |
| Thompson, Sarah | Missouri | 16 | 100 Backstroke | 9 | 51.35 | 50 Freestyle | 13 | 21.81 | 100 Butterfly | 13 | 51.38 |
| McCulloh, Abigail | Georgia | 15 | 1650 Freestyle | 8 | 15:51.96 | 500 Freestyle | 13 | 4:39.17 | 200 Butterfly | 111 | 1:59.19 |
| Luther, Dakota | Georgia | 15 | 200 Butterfly | 4 | 1:51.65 | 100 Butterfly | 21 | 51.88 | 200 IM | 52 | 1:57.57 |
| Brooks, Caitlin | Kentucky | 15 | 200 Backstroke | 9 | 1:50.73 | 100 Backstroke | 11 | 51.46 | 100 Butterfly | 24 | 52.03 |
| Pennington, Caroline | Southern Cali | 14 | 1650 Freestyle | 5 | 15:48.69 | 500 Freestyle | 37 | 4:43.05 | |||
| Arens, Abby | NC State | 13 | 200 IM | 10 | 1:55.16 | 200 Butterfly | 12 | 1:54.11 | 100 Butterfly | 16 | 51.62 |
| Poole, Lauren | Kentucky | 13 | 400 IM | 6 | 4:03.36 | 200 IM | 26 | 1:56.20 | 200 Breaststroke | 30 | 2:08.59 |
| Kutsch, Aj | Tennessee | 13 | 50 Freestyle | 6 | 21.60 | 100 Freestyle | 72 | 48.92 | 100 Butterfly | 91 | 53.31 |
| Bach, Hannah | Ohio St | 13 | 100 Breaststroke | 6 | 57.61 | 200 Breaststroke | 17 | 2:07.40 | |||
| Sullivan, Erica | Texas | 12 | 1650 Freestyle | 9 | 15:53.80 | 500 Freestyle | 14 | 4:39.46 | |||
| Muzzy, Emma | NC State | 12 | 200 Backstroke | 7 | 1:50.62 | 100 Backstroke | 20 | 51.82 | 200 IM | 42 | 1:57.00 |
| Douthwright, Brooklyn | Tennessee | 12 | 200 Freestyle | 7 | 1:43.45 | 100 Freestyle | 48 | 48.58 | 50 Freestyle | 136 | 22.72 |
| Atkinson, Emma | Virginia Tech | 12 | 200 Backstroke | 8 | 1:50.64 | 200 Freestyle | 16 | 1:44.25 | 100 Backstroke | 29 | 52.15 |
| Odgers, Isabelle | Southern Cali | 11 | 200 Breaststroke | 8 | 2:06.42 | 200 IM | 19 | 1:55.86 | 100 Breaststroke | 33 | 59.72 |
| Antoniou, Kalia | Alabama | 10.5 | 100 Freestyle | 11 | 47.67 | 50 Freestyle | 12 | 21.79 | |||
| Klinker, Rachel | California | 9 | 200 Butterfly | 9 | 1:53.30 | 100 Butterfly | 36 | 52.32 | 500 Freestyle | 44 | 4:43.53 |
| Sheridan, Calypso | Southern Cali | 8 | 200 Breaststroke | 13 | 2:06.97 | 200 IM | 13 | 1:55.27 | 100 Backstroke | 18 | 51.79 |
| Nocentini, Jasmine | Northwestern | 8 | 50 Freestyle | 11 | 21.78 | 100 Freestyle | 15 | 47.76 | 200 Freestyle | 39 | 1:45.42 |
| Peplowski, Anna | Indiana | 8 | 200 Freestyle | 9 | 1:43.53 | 200 Backstroke | 18 | 1:53.04 | 100 Backstroke | 33 | 52.38 |
| Laning, Erica | Arizona St | 7 | 500 Freestyle | 10 | 4:38.80 | 200 Freestyle | 20 | 1:44.61 | 1650 Freestyle | 25 | 16:11.32 |
| Gan, Ching Hwee | Indiana | 7 | 1650 Freestyle | 10 | 15:53.81 | 500 Freestyle | 19 | 4:40.39 | 400 IM | 61 | 4:13.94 |
| Hay, Abby | Louisville | 7 | 200 IM | 12 | 1:55.19 | 200 Butterfly | 15 | 1:54.43 | 400 IM | 20 | 4:08.13 |
| Petkova, Diana | Alabama | 7 | 100 Freestyle | 13 | 47.69 | 100 Breaststroke | 14 | 59.01 | 200 IM | 23 | 1:56.01 |
| Rothrock, Trude | Tennessee | 7 | 100 Butterfly | 10 | 51.26 | 100 Freestyle | 41 | 48.48 | 200 IM | 47 | 1:57.17 |
| Vovk, Tara | Northwestern | 7 | 100 Breaststroke | 10 | 58.52 | 200 Breaststroke | 47 | 2:09.84 | 200 IM | 51 | 1:57.49 |
| Nordmann, Lucie | Stanford | 7 | 200 Backstroke | 10 | 1:51.16 | 100 Backstroke | 23 | 51.93 | |||
| Pfeifer, Evie | Texas | 6 | 1650 Freestyle | 11 | 16:00.28 | 500 Freestyle | 17 | 4:39.92 | 400 IM | 22 | 4:08.25 |
| Nordmann, Lillie | Stanford | 6 | 200 Butterfly | 11 | 1:53.92 | 200 Freestyle | 27 | 1:44.85 | 500 Freestyle | 42 | 4:43.22 |
| Moore, Kate | NC State | 6 | 400 IM | 15 | 4:06.66 | 200 IM | 15 | 1:55.56 | 200 Backstroke | 15 | 1:52.68 |
| Sim, Letitia | Michigan | 6 | 100 Breaststroke | 11 | 58.76 | 200 IM | 22 | 1:55.99 | 200 Breaststroke | 34 | 2:08.74 |
| Sorenson, Sophie | Kentucky | 6 | 200 Backstroke | 11 | 1:52.11 | 200 IM | 28 | 1:56.34 | 100 Backstroke | 45 | 52.55 |
| Yager, Alexis | Tennessee | 6 | 400 IM | 11 | 4:05.50 | 200 Breaststroke | 21 | 2:07.99 | 200 IM | 31 | 1:56.38 |
| Tankersley, Morgan | Stanford | 5 | 500 Freestyle | 12 | 4:39.09 | 200 Freestyle | 17 | 1:44.28 | 1650 Freestyle | 42 | 16:17.82 |
| Geringer, Maya | Ohio St | 5 | 1650 Freestyle | 13 | 16:01.30 | 500 Freestyle | 16 | 4:39.55 | |||
| Travis, Chase | Virginia Tech | 5 | 1650 Freestyle | 12 | 16:00.54 | 500 Freestyle | 35 | 4:42.73 | |||
| Sheble, Grace | NC State | 5 | 400 IM | 12 | 4:05.61 | 200 IM | 25 | 1:56.08 | 200 Butterfly | 31 | 1:55.50 |
| Ulett, Rye | Louisville | 5 | 200 Backstroke | 12 | 1:52.58 | 400 IM | 24 | 4:09.27 | 200 IM | 72 | 1:58.46 |
| Crawford, Brearna | Indiana | 5 | 200 Breaststroke | 12 | 2:06.86 | 100 Breaststroke | 22 | 59.32 | 200 IM | 108 | 1:59.46 |
| Angus, Sophie | Northwestern | 5 | 100 Breaststroke | 12 | 58.78 | 200 Breaststroke | 38 | 2:09.13 | |||
| Harter, Abby | Virginia | 4 | 200 Butterfly | 13 | 1:54.19 | 200 IM | 21 | 1:55.90 | 100 Butterfly | 28 | 52.15 |
| Bonnett, Bailey | Kentucky | 4 | 400 IM | 13 | 4:06.37 | 200 Breaststroke | 19 | 2:07.96 | 200 IM | 48 | 1:57.19 |
| Bernal, Aria | Arizona | 4 | 100 Backstroke | 13 | 51.59 | 200 Backstroke | 50 | 1:54.43 | 200 IM | 115 | 1:59.76 |
| Hosack, Lillie | Wisconsin | 4 | 200 Freestyle | 13 | 1:43.84 | 100 Freestyle | 24 | 48.03 | 50 Freestyle | 27 | 22.00 |
| Liberto, Morgan | Alabama | 4 | 200 Backstroke | 13 | 1:52.63 | 100 Backstroke | 63 | 52.99 | 100 Butterfly | 117 | 53.70 |
| Herrmann, Vanessa | Arkansas | 4 | 100 Breaststroke | 13 | 58.85 | 200 Breaststroke | 31 | 2:08.61 | |||
| Rumley, Jasmine | Tennessee | 3.5 | 50 Freestyle | 13 | 21.81 | 100 Freestyle | 32 | 48.41 | |||
| Guevara, Miriam | Northwestern | 3.5 | 100 Butterfly | 13 | 51.38 | 200 Butterfly | 29 | 1:55.30 | 100 Backstroke | 75 | 53.18 |
| Roghair, Aurora | Stanford | 3 | 1650 Freestyle | 14 | 16:01.55 | 500 Freestyle | 46 | 4:43.62 | 200 Freestyle | 49 | 1:45.72 |
| Wilson, Alicia | California | 3 | 400 IM | 14 | 4:06.43 | 200 IM | 32 | 1:56.41 | 200 Backstroke | 94 | 1:56.61 |
| Smith, Maddie | Northwestern | 3 | 100 Freestyle | 14 | 47.71 | 50 Freestyle | 29 | 22.06 | 100 Butterfly | 57 | 52.74 |
| Looney, Lindsay | Arizona St | 3 | 200 Butterfly | 14 | 1:54.26 | 400 IM | 68 | 4:14.40 | 200 Freestyle | 90 | 1:46.92 |
| Lindner, Sophie | UNC | 3 | 200 Backstroke | 14 | 1:52.67 | 100 Backstroke | 17 | 51.75 | 100 Butterfly | 87 | 53.21 |
| Funderburke, Nyah | Ohio St | 2.5 | 100 Backstroke | 14 | 51.62 | 100 Butterfly | 79 | 53.05 | 50 Freestyle | 124 | 22.67 |
| Cook, Julia | Texas | 2.5 | 100 Backstroke | 14 | 51.62 | 200 Backstroke | 41 | 1:54.01 | 100 Freestyle | 65 | 48.86 |
| Mathieu, Tylor | Florida | 2 | 500 Freestyle | 15 | 4:39.51 | 1650 Freestyle | 32 | 16:13.39 | 200 Freestyle | 52 | 1:45.89 |
| Ulett, Tristen | Louisville | 2 | 100 Butterfly | 15 | 51.39 | 200 Butterfly | 26 | 1:55.14 | 200 IM | 29 | 1:56.36 |
| Kucheran, Nina | Florida St | 2 | 100 Breaststroke | 15 | 59.02 | 200 Breaststroke | 29 | 2:08.57 | 200 IM | 36 | 1:56.68 |
| Barclay, Emily | Arkansas | 2 | 50 Freestyle | 15 | 21.84 | 100 Freestyle | 57 | 48.71 | |||
| Dupre, Cora | Alabama | 2 | 200 Freestyle | 15 | 1:43.93 | 50 Freestyle | 20 | 21.94 | 100 Freestyle | 21 | 47.91 |
| Breslin, Aly | Tennessee | 1 | 1650 Freestyle | 16 | 16:03.12 | 500 Freestyle | 29 | 4:42.02 | 400 IM | 102 | 4:17.21 |
| Poole, Julia | NC State | 1 | 200 IM | 16 | 1:55.58 | 200 Breaststroke | 43 | 2:09.46 | 100 Breaststroke | 58 | 1:00.48 |
| Peplowski, Noelle | Indiana | 1 | 200 Breaststroke | 16 | 2:07.32 | 200 IM | 20 | 1:55.88 | 100 Breaststroke | 25 | 59.43 |
| Trace, Katie | Ohio St | 1 | 400 IM | 16 | 4:06.79 | 200 Butterfly | 25 | 1:55.12 | 200 IM | 44 | 1:57.06 |
| Panitz, Josie | Ohio St | 1 | 100 Breaststroke | 16 | 59.05 | 200 Breaststroke | 20 | 2:07.97 | 200 IM | 50 | 1:57.46 |
| Foelske, Jadé | Arizona St | 1 | 200 Butterfly | 16 | 1:54.50 | 100 Butterfly | 69 | 52.93 | 200 IM | 89 | 1:58.97 |
| Cuomo, Lexi | Virginia | 1 | 50 Freestyle | 16 | 21.86 | 100 Butterfly | 31 | 52.21 | 100 Freestyle | 59 | 48.74 |
| Rees, Meredith | Missouri | 1 | 100 Backstroke | 16 | 51.63 | 200 Backstroke | 33 | 1:53.82 | 50 Freestyle | 124 | 22.67 |
| Hetrick, Paige | Louisville | 1 | 200 Backstroke | 16 | 1:52.84 | 200 Freestyle | 24 | 1:44.80 | 100 Backstroke | 31 | 52.22 |
Don’t think it will be close or matter but one interesting metric to look at scoring potential is to look at the number of non scoring swims a team has, particularly in the 17 – 24 range. Just gets a sense of if a teams projected score is towards the max of what they can get or if there’s a lot of room for more points. I think NC State has a decent number of these swimmers so they could beat Stanford with a good meet. For Stanford to win they’re gonna need a meet like their 2014, 2016, or 2018 NCAAs where almost everyone seemed to be on fire and scoring.
Also next year would love to see Lillie Nordman move from the 500 to trying the 200 free / 100 fly double. I feel like there’s a lot of women who these are two of their best events but they avoid the double and go with an event they’re just not as good at. However Katie McLaughlin showed you fan so them both really well.
Ok now when does the pick em start
Based on this, it seems this UVA-Stanford rivalry won’t really take flight until 2023 when Curzan arrives at Stanford.
This will be the best men’s or women’s NCAA meet in decades in terms of the excitement of the races & the depth of the quality in the women’s meet this year. But in terms of the team scoring race, UVa winning by less than 100 points would be a stunner. They’re just too deep across all events. It’ll be two for the Hoos.
I agree. And would very likely be a 3-peat if they had swum in 2020.
Can someone explain how Cal returns their entire NCAA roster, yet is seeded to score HALF as many points as they were going into last NCAAs?
Yeah, Cal is way down in 9th. Some of their roster must be slower than last year.
They used to have big stars like Kathleen Baker and Abby W. and Farida Osman. But not this year.
It’s possible they didn’t rest as much at PAC-12s or Mid-Season this year and are ready to make some big moves up the standings. They’ve done it before – in 2019 they were phenomenal to give Stanford a run at the title as the runner-ups.
this might be possible. Looking at 2021 they were -60 on seeded points.
a lot of them have been off… ema rajic, alicia wilson, robin neumann (didn’t qualify individually) that i can think of. they don’t really have much sprint free which used to be their trademark
their NCAA winning 200 free relay is ALL BACK, they had 3 21.2 splits at the meet last year. What happened?!
To be over 2 seconds slower than the time from last spring with the same 4 girls – something’s up in Berkeley
The number might be the same. It’s different girls
I think Kate Douglass needs more versatility in her schedule. 50 Free, 100 Fly, 200 Breast. Trite. Yawn.
What will the senior year blueprint look like for NCAAs?
500 Free
200 Back
Platform Diving
What do you think the 3 events with the least (average) talent overlap are? Tempted to say 100 back, 200 breast, 1650 free
.
Alex Walsh and Kate D. are unusually good at free and breast. There are lots of breaststrokers that aren’t good at anything else.
I agree but when breastrokers do swim other events you see a lot of sprint and mid distance free.
Distance swimmers also tend to stick to just that discipline (unless swimming down to mid distance). So having a breast event and the mile is a given. We can eliminate sprint + mid distance free. So you’re looking at 1/2 Fly, 1/2 Back, and 2/4 IM.
Let’s take IM out because of the breaststroke advantage. Let’s also say you want the breast and the other stroke event to be different distances to minimize crossover. Then the options are:
1BR + 2BK
1BR + 2FL
2BR + 1BK
2BR + 1FL
I went with 2BR based on the idea… Read more »
Wish there was a 🤣 choice for your comment, especially that last part. (Platform Diving…lol)
Who will be on Stanford Free Relays? I can think of Huske, Ruck, Smith, Goeders, Roghair (4×2), Wheal, Crisera, Crage, Nordmann(s), am I missing anyone?
Shaw has the 4th best 100 time. Tankersley in the 200.
Sullivan seems a bit off form. I know she hasn’t rested, but being 30+ seconds off in the 1650 is a bit odd. With a normal time drop, she would be around like 15:44, but her PB is in the 15:20 range. I hope she wins it easily, but there is some cause for concern (especially being 15:41 in LC).
If Stanford is going to make this competitive they need 1. Ruck to score another 15-20 points 2. The Nordmann sisters to have big meets 3. A few other of their second tier women to sneak into an a final or have multiple Bs 4. Their divers to have a huge meet (I don’t know much about diving but I think they’re pretty good) 5. A UVA star or 2 to be well off their seeds. 6. About 20 more relay points
Probably would need at least 4/5 of those things to happen to make it close. Not likely but possible
I think their divers can score 30-40. Ruck will be better in the 200 free she is unseeded right now. . Relay one 1st and two 2nds and 2 3rds is 172. I think that gets them to 400 but I’m not seeing much other potential. Tankersley maybe.