2021 NCAA WOMEN’S SWIMMING & DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS
- When: Wednesday, March 17 – Saturday, March 20, 2021
- Where: Greensboro Aquatic Center / Greensboro, NC (Eastern Time Zone)
- Prelims 10 AM / Finals 6 PM (Local Time)
- Short course yards (SCY) format
- Defending champion: Stanford (3x) – 2019 results
- Streaming: ESPN3
- Championship Central
- Psych Sheets
- Live Results
The deadline for SwimSwam’s Official Women’s NCAA Pick ’em Contest is now less than 24 hours away, with about 230 fans submitting picks thus far (a few forgot to make all of their selections).
These submissions give us an early glimpse into what our readers are predicting for the big meet – who’s the biggest favorite? Which event is most likely to garner an upset? Which top seeds aren’t favored to win? Let’s dive into your picks.
Biggest Favorite: Alex Walsh, 200 IM
UVA freshman Alex Walsh garnered a whopping 223 picks as the winner of the 200 individual medley out of 229 submissions, making her easily the biggest favorite in an individual event. Walsh upset teammate Kate Douglass at ACCs in this event, leading Douglass to opt for the 50 free on Day 2 and thus giving Walsh the top seed here by more than two seconds.
The only other event where a winner got more than 200 picks was the 200 medley relay, where Walsh’s UVA squad picked up 218 picks. NC State was the next-highest in that race with nine.
The other big favorites in individual events were Stanford’s Brooke Forde in the 400 IM, Douglass in the 100 free, and another Virginia swimmer, senior Paige Madden, who was picked to win each of her individual events by more than 75% of people.
Among the nine events in which at least 170 picked the same winner, seven of them were for Virginia.
Most First Place Picks
|Swimmer/Team||Event||First Place Picks|
|Alex Walsh (UVA)||200 IM||223|
|Virginia||200 medley relay||218|
|Brooke Forde (STAN)||400 IM||190|
|Kate Douglass (UVA)||100 free||182|
|Paige Madden (UVA)||500 free||181|
|Paige Madden (UVA)||1650 free||180|
|Paige Madden (UVA)||200 free||174|
|Virginia||800 free relay||173|
|Maggie MacNeil (MICH)||100 fly||170|
Least Favored Top Seed: Olivia Bray, 200 fly
There were only three events where the top-seeded swimmer was not favored to win.
Texas freshman Olivia Bray garnered the lowest number of first place picks as a #1 seed with 62 in the 200 fly, followed by Georgia sophomore Zoie Hartman in the 100 breast (70) and Douglass in the 50 free (106).
In the 100 breast, readers favor the fastest swimmer in 2019-20, NC State’s Sophie Hansson, to win over Hartman. Hansson claimed 119 picks to Hartman’s 70, and then Alexis Wenger (20) and Kaitlyn Dobler (16) also got their fair share of selections.
The 50 free is projected to be more of a two-woman race, with #2 seed Maggie MacNeil receiving 115 picks to Douglass’ 106.
Fewest First Place Picks (Top Seeds)
First Place Picks
|Olivia Bray (TEX)||200 fly||62|
|Zoie Hartman (UGA)||100 breast||70|
|Kate Douglass (UVA)||50 free||106|
|Rhyan White (BAMA)||100 back||116|
|Sophie Hansson (NCS)||200 breast||138|
Most Wide Open Race: 200 Fly/200 Breast
The 200 fly tied with the 200 breast for the highest number of unique winners picked with nine, followed by the 200 free, 1650 free and 100 breast with seven. The 200 fly leads the way with seven different women picked to win by more than one person.
|Event||Unique Winners Picked||Unique Winners Picked At Least Twice|
Most Picks, Swimmers Seeded Outside of the Top 2
The #2 seed is commonly the go-to selection when people venture outside of #1, with only four swimmers seeded third or worse getting 20 picks to win an event.
First Place Picks
|Maggie MacNeil (MICH)||100 Free/3rd||34|
|Brooke Forde (STAN)||500 free/4th||33|
|Olivia Carter (MICH)||200 fly/3rd||25|
|Alexis Wenger (UVA)||100 breast/3rd||20|
Other Notable Picks For Low Seeds:
- Walsh received three picks to win the 200 free as the 29th seed, and was also selected by 14 people to earn the victory in the 200 breast as the eighth seed.
- Wisconsin freshman Phoebe Bacon received 10 selections to win the 100 back as the eighth seed, and 13 for the 200 back as the #5 seed.
Team Race & Relays: Virginia The Overwhelming Favorites
Virginia was picked by 204 to win the overall title, with Cal the only other school getting more than three selections with 23.
In the relays, UVA is favored to win all five. Per the picks, the closest race on paper is the 400 medley, where the Cavaliers picked up 146 picks and Cal got 61.
|200 free relay||169||Cal, 37|
|400 free relay||163||Alabama, 32|
|800 free relay||173||Cal, 49|
|200 medley relay||218||NC State, 9|
|400 medley relay||146||Cal, 61|
Visual Look At Winners Picked
Note: some submissions were made in between the time the article was written and the graphs were made, make the two sets of data not exactly the same
Overall Team Race
800 Free Relay
200 Free Relay
400 Medley Relay
200 Medley Relay
400 Free Relay
If you haven’t yet, enter the pick ’em contest now! Picks can be submitted up until 4 pm Eastern time on Wednesday, March 17.