Day 7 U.S. Olympic Roster Update: All But One Woman Locked In; Held In Jeopardy

2021 U.S. OLYMPIC SWIMMING TRIALS

All second-place finishers for both men and women are locked onto the Olympic team, as are the women’s 5th-place finishers in both the 100 and 200 frees. Just one woman is still outside the roster cap, and likely to get in tomorrow.

The men’s side might be setting up for heartbreak. With just 7 doubles so far, the men need 3 doubles in 4 Olympic spots tomorrow to get all men in – and even then, Ryan Held might be outside the relay-only cap of 12 swimmers, men and women.

Here’s a quick breakdown:

Women:

We hit 9 doubles today, locking in all second-place finishers and the two 5th-place relay-only swimmers (Bella Sims in the 200 free; Catie DeLoof in the 100 free). The only one still outside is 6th-place 200 free finisher Brooke Forde. She will officially make the team if any of the following swimmers finish in the top 2 in tomorrow night’s 50 free final:

  • #1 seed Abbey Weitzeil
  • #2 seed Torri Huske
  • #5 seed Erika Brown
  • #7 seed Kate Douglass
  • #8 seed Catie DeLoof

Men:

The men are at 7 doubles. All second-place finishers are locked in as of tonight. As of right now, three relay-only swimmers sit outside the roster cap, in this selection priority order:

Swimmer Event / Place
Modified World Rank
1 Bowe Becker 100 FR / 5th 29th
2 Patrick Callan 200 FR / 6th 32nd
3 Ryan Held 100 FR / 6th 49th

Below are the remaining double opportunities. Becker will officially make the team if any one of these swimmers finishes in the top 2 tomorrow. Callan will make the team if two of them finish in the top two.

  • Caeleb Dressel, 50 free
  • Michael Andrew, 50 free
  • Bowe Becker, 50 free
  • Bobby Finke, 1500 free
  • Michael Brinegar, 1500 free

It’s a pretty complex scenario for Held to make the team. FINA rules limit each nation to 12 relay-only swimmers. The U.S. is currently projected to have 13 (Kibler, Seliskar, Pieroni, Curry, Becker, Callan, Held, McLaughlin, Smoliga, Hinds, Sims, DeLoof, Forde). Held is the lowest world rank among them. So he needs three of the five swimmers above to finish top-2 in their event, plus for a current relay-only swimmer to qualify individually, thus making them no longer a relay-only swimmer. So Held needs three of five above to finish in the top two, plus one of the swimmers below to also finish in the top two:

  • Bowe Becker, 50 free
  • Catie DeLoof, 50 free

Held could also make the team in the very unlikely scenario that we get two brand-new qualifiers in the women’s 50 free tomorrow and Forde isn’t selected, assuming the men get three more doubles as well.

2021 U.S. OLYMPIC ROSTER AFTER DAY 7

Tonight’s new qualifiers are noted in bold.

Tentative qualifiers (who need a certain number of multi-event qualifiers to be officially added) are listed in italics.

Women:

  1. Emma Weyant: 400 IM
  2. Torri Huske: 100 fly
  3. Katie Ledecky: 200 free, 400 free, 800 free, 1500 free, 4×200 free relay
  4. Regan Smith: 100 back, 200 fly
  5. Lilly King: 100 breast, 200 breast
  6. Allison Schmitt: 200 free, 4×200 free relay, 4×100 free relay
  7. Paige Madden: 400 free, 4×200 free relay
  8. Katie McLaughlin: 4×200 free relay
  9. Alex Walsh: 200 IM
  10. Hali Flickinger: 400 IM, 200 fly
  11. Annie Lazor: 200 breast
  12. Abbey Weitzeil: 100 free, 4×100 free relay
  13. Erika Brown: 100 free, 4×100 free relay
  14. Olivia Smoliga: 4×100 free relay
  15. Natalie Hinds: 4×100 free relay
  16. Claire Curzan: 100 fly
  17. Rhyan White: 100 back, 200 back
  18. Lydia Jacoby: 100 breast
  19. Kate Douglass: 200 IM
  20. Erica Sullivan: 1500 free
  21. Phoebe Bacon: 200 back
  22. Katie Grimes: 800 free
  23. Bella Sims: 4×200 free relay
  24. Catie DeLoof: 4×100 free relay
  25. Brooke Forde: 4×200 free relay

Men:

  1. Chase Kalisz: 400 IM, 200 IM
  2. Kieran Smith: 400 free, 200 free, 4×200 free relay
  3. Michael Andrew: 100 breast, 200 IM
  4. Townley Haas: 200 free, 4×200 free relay
  5. Drew Kibler: 4×200 free relay
  6. Andrew Seliskar: 4×200 free relay
  7. Ryan Murphy: 100 back, 200 back
  8. Zach Harting: 200 fly
  9. Bobby Finke: 800 free
  10. Nic Fink: 200 breast
  11. Caeleb Dressel: 100 free, 100 fly, 4×100 free relay
  12. Zach Apple: 100 free, 4×200 free relay, 4×100 free relay
  13. Blake Pieroni: 4×100 free relay
  14. Brooks Curry: 4×100 free relay
  15. Jay Litherland: 400 IM
  16. Jake Mitchell: 400 free
  17. Andrew Wilson: 100 breast, 200 breast
  18. Hunter Armstrong: 100 back
  19. Gunnar Bentz: 200 fly
  20. Michael Brinegar: 800 free
  21. Bryce Mefford: 200 back
  22. Tom Shields: 100 fly
  23. Bowe Becker, 4×100 free relay
  24. Patrick Callan: 4×200 free relay
  25. Ryan Held: 4×100 free relay

DOUBLES

Here’s an overly-simplified version of the U.S. Olympic selection process: the team can have a maximum of 26 men and 26 women. Swimmers are added to the roster in these priorities until the roster cap is hit:

  1. Top 4 in 100/200 frees, Winner of all other events
  2. 2nd-place finisher in all events (besides 100/200 free)
  3. 5th-place finisher in 100/200 free
  4. 6th-place finisher in 100/200 free

We track ‘doubles’ as a way of knowing when the next priority of swimmers can be officially added to the team. A ‘double’ is effectively a swimmer qualifying in more than one event. One swimmer qualifying in three events counts as two ‘doubles’ for our purposes.

The Magic Numbers:

  • 6 doubles on either the men’s or women’s side means all priority 2 athletes (2nd-place finishers) can be added for that gender
  • 8 doubles on either the men’s or women’s side means all priority 3 athletes (5th-place in 100/200 free) can be added for that gender
  • 10 doubles on either the men’s or women’s side means all priority 4 athletes (6th-place in 100/200 free) can be added for that gender

After Day 7:

  • Women – 9 doubles:
    • Katie Ledecky: 200/400/800/1500 free
    • Regan Smith: 100 back, 200 fly
    • Hali Flickinger: 200 fly, 400 IM
    • Lilly King: 100/200 breast
    • Paige Madden: 400 free/4×200 free relay
    • Allison Schmitt: 200 free, 4×100 free relay
    • Rhyan White: 100/200 back
  • Men – 7 doubles:
    • Kieran Smith: 200/400 free
    • Michael Andrew: 100 breast, 200 IM
    • Ryan Murphy: 100/200 back
    • Chase Kalisz: 200/400 IM
    • Zach Apple: 100 free, 4×200 free relay
    • Andrew Wilson: 100/200 breast
    • Caeleb Dressel: 100 free, 100 fly

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swim6847
1 month ago

I apologize if this was already answered, but i thought Jake Mitchell was last priority after the 6th place finishers since he didn’t meet the qualifying standard in the 400 free final?

HJones
Reply to  swim6847
1 month ago

I had asked that earlier and I think Braden replied saying that he would have the last priority. But, then I saw him reply to someone else today saying that Mitchell is in the priority 2 group even though he didn’t get the A-cut during the 400 free final.

MTK
Reply to  swim6847
1 month ago

He gets the same priority as all the other 2nd place finishers, since he did make the standard in the end.

Cate
Reply to  MTK
1 month ago

Nice to have a second chance when you didn’t do it the first time I guess…..

P K
Reply to  swim6847
1 month ago

Because Jake Mitchell achieved the OQT before 9pm CDT on June 20, he will be priority 2 when the priorities are applied.

1.3.4Application of Priorities for Team Selection. Performances in the individual Events at the Qualifying Competition will be prioritized for each gender as described in this Section 1.3.4. These Priorities will be applied on or before 9:00 p.m. CDT on June 20, 2021, after completion of the Qualifying Competition. Swimmers not qualifying via one of these priorities will not be eligible to be Nominated to the Team, unless they are subsequently added to the Team as a replacement according to the process set forth in Section 4. If, after applying the priorities set forth below, as well as the… Read more »

osd
Reply to  swim6847
1 month ago

No, he is 2nd in the event, and event qualifiers go ahead of the 5th place relay swimmers.

SWIMGUY12345
Reply to  Jared Anderson
1 month ago

That is honestly ridiculous in my opinion. The fact that Held will most likely be left off when Mitchell only got on because of a trial is unfair.

How many other countries give their second place finishers a chance to time trial when they don’t hit the qualifying mark? Weak move by USA Swimming.

usaswimerror
Reply to  SWIMGUY12345
1 month ago

Unfair?

Everyone knew the rules in advance.

Bilbo Teabaggins
Reply to  usaswimerror
1 month ago

Knowing a crappy rule doesn’t make it fair.

swimfan
Reply to  SWIMGUY12345
1 month ago

Completely unrelated. Whether or not Mitchell makes the team has no impact on whether or not Held makes the team.

Held’s threat to his position on the team is due to the limit on relay-only swimmers allowed on the roster.

Mitchell finished 2nd individually in the 400 free and doesn’t have a spot on any relay team. Since he hadn’t made the cut time, he was given a solo time trial in which to make that time, as allowed by the rules.

I don’t see anything “unfair” there with the possible exception of the roster limits but every country has those same limits so that isn’t really unfair, either.

StuartC
Reply to  SWIMGUY12345
1 month ago

Could Held also time trial and move up? I assume he has an OQT (a)

hmm
Reply to  StuartC
1 month ago

Pretty sure the only reason Mitchell had that opportunity was because he was the second place finisher already, held was sixth

Jfabz
Reply to  StuartC
1 month ago

No, Held’s position and time is only 1 part to do with his qualification. Team USA as a whole (combined men and women) are limited to 12 relay specific athletes. Held would have been the 13th relay only swimmer. Assuming he was allowed a time trial (which in this case would be totally unfair) and passed Becker’s time into 5th overall, then Becker would not make it to the team unless there was another person to double.

Waahhhh
Reply to  SWIMGUY12345
1 month ago

Yeah so unfair that the second place finisher makes it and the sixth place finisher doesn’t. Cry me a river

Jack
Reply to  SWIMGUY12345
1 month ago

Almost every country in the world. Most countries don’t have 2 A cuts in the majority of events, and very often Olympic selection comes down to who made the A cut within the qualification window.

It’s not that this sort of thing is rare, it’s that it’s rare *for America.*

bobthebuilderrocks
1 month ago

There are a lot of single event swimmers for this international team.

frug
Reply to  bobthebuilderrocks
1 month ago

As the swimming talent pool expands (no pun intended) this more become more common. If so, FINA is going to have to either expand the roster or accept that relays just are not going to be as fast as they could be otherwise.

Ragnar
Reply to  frug
1 month ago

Exactly. Without Phelps and Lochte easily filling up three to four events a games and the free relays mirroring each other at least 50%, it’s gonna get harder and harder. Specialization will only increase

CasualSwimmer
Reply to  frug
1 month ago

Or countries are going to have to chose which events they’re going to send swimmers to and not have every race booked. Many countries already have a qualification process for the OG more demanding than the official QTAs, as to only send and train athletes that could final… I don’t know what’s the best outcome

dresselgoat
Reply to  CasualSwimmer
1 month ago

So dont send the best swimmers because of bureaucracy? Sounds like the IOC actually

Cate
Reply to  dresselgoat
1 month ago

That’s not bureaucracy. Not sure how you got to that. If swimmers can’t make the Olympic team the day they race under the QT then they shouldn’t go. We should only be taking 1 400m guy.

P K
Reply to  Cate
1 month ago

Other national Olympic committees (NOC) have smaller budgets but also may be partially publicly funded, which can result in a microscope on spending. When you have limited dollars, an national sport governing body (NGB) or a NOC may decide that it makes more sense to spend the funds on sending someone to the Olympics in a sport that they are more likely to medal in, are of greater national importance, or may be strategic. Sending athletes to the Olympics is very expensive after all.

USA Swimming has the advantage of a) being in a sport with a lot of medals available (less money to spend per medal) and b) having a good yield of medals, so the USOPC provides it… Read more »

The Weez
Reply to  Cate
1 month ago

Generally would agree with your logic. Some consideration though should be given to their now being one more individual event, and a distance one at that where the swimmer is less likely to be a relay contributor.

But the logic is sound. Know. Rules. Somewhat unneeded swimmer (relay extra x2). Just sucks more this time as it’s Held, with a proven track record and very known quantity, who’s just off this meet a bit, but not in general as referenced by his April times…

Cate
Reply to  CasualSwimmer
1 month ago

That’s what Australia does.

Akos
Reply to  CasualSwimmer
1 month ago

Yeah thats something I learned when watching the Aussie trials this year. Only those who reach the time of the 8th place finisher in the final of the last world championships get to go for individual races. That is a very high standard.

SwimFan NU
Reply to  frug
1 month ago

Yeah but fina sucks. They’ll probably add 50 strokes, more mixed relays and shrink roster sizes

Pau Hana
Reply to  SwimFan NU
1 month ago

FINA wants to but the IOC doesn’t – the hold-up for a long time over the women’s 1500 was that the IOC didn’t want to add an additional event, and told FINA they could drop the 800 instead (as track did when it dropped the women’s 3000 from the Olympics in favor of the 5000). I suspect NBC pressure to add another chance to show Ledecky had something to do with IOC agreeing to add the 1500 (and men’s 800 to match) but they held form on no additional athletes. There are two priorities conflicting – FINA I’m sure wants as many races and swims as possible, but IOC feels a need to keep the total number at a manageable… Read more »

Smith-King-Huske-Manuel
Reply to  Pau Hana
1 month ago

If that is the case, the mixed 4 x 100 meter medley relay should not have been amended to the Summer Olympics schedule.

P K
Reply to  Pau Hana
1 month ago

The IOC has gone through many different approaches on controlling the size (i.e. cost) of the summer Olympics. Previously they were using a strict sport count regime and then moved to a medal count regime. I think they’ve now gone to an athlete count regime. I think IOC would allow the 50’s (on the basis that they’re fast, exciting, and entertaining to the critical rating demographics) so long as FINA didn’t increase the number of athletes to do it.

swimfan
Reply to  frug
1 month ago

It doesn’t help that they added new events without expanding the roster sizes.

Bo Swims
Reply to  frug
1 month ago

The US should adopt a relay pool qualification policy for what is now 5th & 6th in the 100/200 Free. Take the best 2 relay swimmers who can swim both well.

If someone finishes 5th in the 200 and 7th in the 100 they might be a better choice than 2 separate swimmers who were 6th in each.

Something to the effect of – A Finalists in 100 & 200 who finish 5-8th will be ranked by aggregate FINA points. The best 2 swimmers will be selected.

Or swimmers who made the team in the 3-4 slots in the 200 but were 5-8th 100 should an obvious utility pick.

Last edited 1 month ago by Bo Swims
PK Doesn't Like His Long Name
1 month ago

I think your Held MWR is off by 1 because you’re counting him twice (including his 47.3). What do you have Brooke’s MWR at? We had it at 40 last night.

P K
Reply to  Jared Anderson
1 month ago

Has USA Swimming posted that world ranking list from June 12 yet, or we all hoping that there weren’t anymore international results from June 9 that were loaded late?

I would not want to be a SWIMS time coordinator next week. There’s going to be an incredible microscope on the time loading process next week if someone doesn’t get in due to a world ranking.

P K
Reply to  PK Doesn't Like His Long Name
1 month ago

I was writing your exact question, but you’re faster since I type too much! 😉

PK Doesn't Like His Long Name
Reply to  P K
1 month ago

My name is longer though.

P K
Reply to  PK Doesn't Like His Long Name
1 month ago

Yeah mine is relatively short. And even if I were in shape, you would probably be faster in the pool than I am!

HJones
1 month ago

Since in all likelihood we won’t be taking held for that 6th spot on the 400 free relay, who might be candidates currently on the team who could vie for a prelim spot? I’d assume Haas, Seliskar, and Kilber would be most likely, but I’d also like to see what MA might do in a time-trial with those guys.

Zanna
Reply to  HJones
1 month ago

No way MA. His 50 free is good but he falls apart in the 100 free.

Pvdh
Reply to  HJones
1 month ago

Townley Haas most likely

Horninco
Reply to  Pvdh
1 month ago

Haas has international experience on the relay, Kibler is a good relay swimmer in general. Adrian if he makes the 50 is the obvious choice though

Danny
Reply to  HJones
1 month ago

Could be Adrian if he makes the team in the 50

Cate
Reply to  HJones
1 month ago

For the 100? No…

AJThomas
Reply to  HJones
1 month ago

Nathan Adrian, obviously…. Stay tuned. : )

P K
1 month ago

I have Held as 48th instead of 49th (plus Becker at 28 and Callan at 32), but that’s because Held has a 2019 performance that’s #4, but would be excluded because his Trials performance is used instead, and in the world ranking list, only one performance per swimmer is included. At least that’s the way I read it, although the difference is likely to be irrelevant.

Jared, what modified world ranking do you have for Forde? I’ve got her at 40.

frug
1 month ago

So basically Ryan Held needs to become Bowe Becker and Catlie DeLoof’s biggest fan.

frug
1 month ago

I posted this in the finals recap but I think this is the “simplified” list of scenarios that gets Held on the team

A. Bowe Becker finishes top 2 in the 50 fr and 3 of Dressel (50), Andrew (50), Finke (1500), and Berringer (1500) also finish in the top 2 of their events.

B. Catie DeLoof finishes top 2 in the 50 fr and 3 of Dressel (50), Andrew (50), Becker (50), Finke (1500), and Berringer (1500) also finish in the top 2 of their events.

C. 2 of Manual, Mack, and Walsh finish top 2 in the 50 fr and 3 of Dressel (50), Andrew (50), Becker (50), Finke (1500), and Berringer (1500) also finish in the top… Read more »

Casas 100 back gold in Fukuoka
1 month ago

As long as one of Weitzeil, Huske, Deloof, Brown and Douglass makes it in 50 free, all women will be safe.

Coach
Reply to  Casas 100 back gold in Fukuoka
1 month ago

So either way, a Stanford swimmer is in and a Stanford swimmer is out.

About Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson swam for nearly twenty years. Then, Jared Anderson stopped swimming and started writing about swimming. He's not sick of swimming yet. Swimming might be sick of him, though. Jared was a YMCA and high school swimmer in northern Minnesota, and spent his college years swimming breaststroke and occasionally pretending …

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