Tokyo 2020 Olympic Swimming Previews: Veterans Yufei & Flickinger Lead W 200 FL

Click here to see all of our Tokyo 2020 Olympic Previews.

2020 TOKYO SUMMER OLYMPIC GAMES

Women’s 200 butterfly

  • World Record: Liu Zige (CHN) – 2:01.81 (2009)
  • Olympic Record: Jiao Liuyang (CHN) – 2:04.06 (2012)
  • World Junior Record: Suzuka Hasegawa (JPN) – 2:06.29 (2017)
  • 2016 Olympic Champion: Mireia Belmonte Garcia (ESP) – 2:04.85

China’s Zhang Yufei leads the charge in the women’s 200 fly heading into the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games. She posted a 2:05.44 at the first Chinese Olympic Trials, the top time in the world this year.

This time is nearly 2 seconds faster than the time that earned her 6th at the Rio Olympics. 

Sprint free and fly specialist Zhang has been on fire in this event this season. She broke 2:06.00 for the first time in January and crushed that lifetime best at the Chinese Olympic Trials in May.

Zhang Yufei

Zhang Yufei 100 butterfly pro swim series Austin (photo: Mike Lewis)

Team USA’s Hali Flickinger is the only other woman to crack 2:06.00 in the event this season. She posted a lifetime best time of 2:05.85 at the U.S. Olympic Trials, also nearly 2 seconds faster than the time she posted in the 2016 Olympic final.

She placed 7th in the event in Rio.

2019 World Champion Boglarka Kapas of Hungary swam a lifetime best 2:06.50 at the 2021 European Championships to win gold. This time ranks her 3rd in the event in the world this season. 

The 200 fly was a new focus for Kapas in 2018, as she competed in distance freestyle at the last three Olympic Games.

She won gold at the European Championships in the event and expressed her love for the 200 fly in her post-race interview, calling it “short” compared to her usual specialty event. This will be her first time racing the event on an Olympic stage.

Boglarka Kapas

Boglarka Kapas,
XXXV LEN European Aquatic Championships
(photo: Giorgio Scala / Deepbluemedia / Insidefoto)

19-year-old Regan Smith of Team USA is also towards the top of this season’s world rankings, sitting in 5th. Her season-best time is 2:06.99 from the U.S. Olympic Trials, but Smith swam a 2:06.39 at the Pro Swim Series in 2020.

The 200 back World Record holder will have a lighter event lineup than expected after she placed 3rd in the 200 back final at the U.S. Olympic Trials. She qualified for the U.S. Olympic team in the 100 back and 200 fly.

China’s duo of Yu Liyan and Zhang Yifan posted their fastest 200 fly times since Rio in October 2020 at the China National Championships, 2:06.83 and 2:06.99, respectively.

Both have officially made the Chinese Olympic team, but the roster does not post the events of each swimmer. It will most likely be Liyan who joins Zhang in representing China in this event after she placed second at the Chinese Olympic Trials.

Keep your eye on Great Britain’s Laura Stephens, though. 21-year-old Stephens posted a lifetime best 200 fly time of 2:07.04 in June to become the 4th all-time fastest British performer. This ranks her 7th in the world this season.

Brianna Throssell of Australia is one of three women from the 2016 Olympic final who are among the top 8 in the world this season (including Zhang and Flickinger.) She finished 8th in 2016, and is ranked 8th in the world this season with a time of 2:07.20.

Brianna Throssell 2017 World Championships  (photo: Mike Lewis)

That time is right on her lifetime best, 2:07.19, from the 2016 Olympic semifinal.

2020-2021 LCM Women 200 Fly

ZhangCHN
Yufei
07/29
2:03.86
2Regan
Smith
USA2:05.3007/29
3Zhang
Yifan
CHN2:05.4912/31
4Hali
Flickinger
USA2:05.6507/29
5Boglarka
Kapas
HUN2:06.5005/20
6Yu
Liyan
CHN2:06.8310/01
7Laura
Stephens
GBR2:07.0406/04
8Brianna
Throssell
AUS2:07.2004/16
View Top 26»

2016 Olympic Champion Mireia Belmonte of Spain recently dropped out of the European Championships in May to avoid “taking steps back” in her shoulder recovery according to EFE.

Mireia Belmonte

Mireia Belmonte Garcia – 2016 Rio Olympics/photo credit Simone Castrovillari

At the 2019 World Championships, she placed 8th in the 800 and 1500 free, while she missed the final in the 400 free, 400 IM and 200 fly. 

Belmonte has qualified for the Tokyo Games in the 800 free and 1500 free. She could still add the 400 IM or 200 fly to her event lineup, pending approval from the Royal Spanish Swimming Federation (RFEN) selectors.

The top two fastest 200 fly times since Rio are from the 2017 World Championships where Belmonte won gold (2:05.26) ahead of silver medallist Franziska Hentke of Germany (2:05.39). 

Hentke‘s best time this year is 2:09.68 from April.

Franziska Hentke, Olympiaqualifikation Beckenschwimmen, (photo: JoKleindl)

Also in that top five is Great Britain’s Alys Thomas who swam a season-best time of 2:08.09 in April. She won the event at the 2018 Commonwealth Games with a time of 2:05.45.

Alys Thomas, 2016 British Swimming Championships (photo: Craig Watson/PA Wire)

Japan’s Suzuka Hasegawa posted a blistering 2:06.29 back in 2017, the 7th fastest time in the world since Rio, but her season-best time stands at 2:07.24. This ranks her 9th in the world this season. 

But, Hasegawa still has a solid chance of placing well in the finals. She is undefeated in the 200 short course meter fly in her ISL career. She will also be competing in her home country and time zone.

Hasegawa made the semifinals in Rio, but placed 9th  with a time of 2:07.33 and missed the final.

Suzuka Hasegawa (photo: Mine Kasapoglu)

Top Times During 2016-2021 Olympic Cycle

Rank Swimmer Country Time Meet
1 Mireia Belmonte ESP 2:05.26 2017 World Championships
2 Franziska Hentke GER 2:05.39 2017 World Championships
3 Zhang Yufei CHN 2:05.44 2021 Chinese National Championships
4 Alys Thomas GBR 2:05.45 2018 Commonwealth Games
5 Hali Flickinger USA 2:05.85 U.S. Olympic Trials

SwimSwam’s Top 8

Place Swimmer Country Best Time Since 2016 Olympics
1 Zhang Yufei CHN 2:05.44
2 Hali Flickinger USA 2:05.85
3 Boglarka Kapas HUN 2:06.50
4 Regan Smith USA 2:06.39
5 Yu Liyan CHN 2:06.83
6 Laura Stephens GBR 2:07.04
7 Suzuka Hasegawa JPN 2:06.29
8 Brianna Throssell AUS 2:07.20

 

In This Story

53
Leave a Reply

Subscribe
Notify of

53 Comments
newest
oldest most voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
commonwombat
1 year ago

Very thin event but, with that, looking tricky to predict.

Zhang & Flickinger certainly look sound medal bets but have a strong suspicion that at least one of the “old school” (Hentke, Belmonte – if she swims it) may have something to say. Hasegawa might be a decent home-town bet.

Jamie5678
1 year ago

This is wide open. It’s possible that someone steps up and goes 2.03-04 but it’s also possible it’s won in 2.06 low.

Zhang has clearly the best credentials ahead of Flickinger and Kapas although it’s fair to say that there’s conceivably any one of about a dozen butterflies that could medal.

If I were betting, I might have a punt on Hosszu or Regan Smith (assuming they’re at reasonably long odds). They’ve both looked out or sorts this year, but they’re pound-for-pound the best two swimmers in the field.

Last edited 1 year ago by Jamie5678
loyal
1 year ago

Cheering for you hali!

Owlmundo
1 year ago

Hot take, hali ftw!!!

Clutch
1 year ago

To me the old guns (Belmonte, Hentke, Thomas) are the dark horses in this. If they can get close to their best from 2017/2018 they can definitely win a medal (or even the whole thing).

Casas 100 back gold in Fukuoka
1 year ago

The real Dark horse: Mireia Belmonte.

Hswimmer
Reply to  Casas 100 back gold in Fukuoka
1 year ago

Naw

Jorge
Reply to  Casas 100 back gold in Fukuoka
1 year ago

HAHAHAAH

Aquajosh
Reply to  Casas 100 back gold in Fukuoka
1 year ago

Only if she swallows her pride and drops all but maybe the 400 IM.

Awuajosh
1 year ago

Yufei is dangerous here. She dropped out of the individual 100 free final at their Olympic Trials in favor of this event (think about that for a second – a 52 100 freestyler prefers to swim the 200 fly?!), and she is, by far, the fastest 100 flyer of the contenders. I don’t think she’s just going to win, I think she’s going to do something scary and get closer than we’ve ever seen anyone else to Zige’s world record.

Either Yufei has horrible endurance, or she’s holding her cards close to her chest because her 200s in free and fly are not anywhere near up to par for what she goes in her 100s. I have a feeling… Read more »

Swimfan
Reply to  Awuajosh
1 year ago

Kinda like ledecky was at trials

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Awuajosh
1 year ago

Seriously, “horrible endurance”? Don’t think you can accuse an Olympic 200 flyer of that.

Aquajosh
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
1 year ago

Comparatively speaking. She goes 52 and 1:57 in freestyle, and 55 and 2:05 in fly. Chinese swimmers are traditionally strong (and in some cases, otherworldly) closers, and she was a 2:06 flyer back when she was two seconds slower in the 100. Her times don’t correlate from the 100 to the 200. Yet. And that’s the hand I think she’s keeping to herself and will reveal in three weeks.

Greg
Reply to  Awuajosh
1 year ago

why would she do so well in the 100 and hide her true talent in the 200 I wonder

you could expect a somewhat better 200 after that 100 speed thats true but some people are just much better at one or the other, look at Kapas for example who with her 2:06mid 200 can hardly break the minute in the 100

aquajosh
Reply to  Greg
1 year ago

Kapas is an 8:16 800 freestyler. She has a massive endurance base, so it doesn’t surprise me that she can do that. Flickinger is not much better in the 100 fly.

What does surprise me is that someone so much better at 100s would drop an event she could be favored in to instead swim an event twice as long that is universally understood to be grueling when her 200s are her weak point. And THAT’S where I think the game is being played.

Bobo Gigi
1 year ago

2.01.81 Liu Zige crazy magical suit world record
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ORkOliy9mlE

Every time I read that time I wonder if that’s the current world record which will last the longest. Probably until the end of the century. 😆
Biedermann’s 200 free, Zhang Lin’s 800 free and Katie Ledecky’s 800 free and 1500 free will last several decades too.

At the moment the women’s 200 fly lacks a big star
Mary T. Meagher would destroy the field today.
2.05.96 world record in 1981
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3lmCEjE0if0
She would probably swim under 2 minutes in 2021.

Hswimmer
Reply to  Bobo Gigi
1 year ago

I agree about Mary T. If she had the 09 super suit she would’ve definitely been under 2:00.

Awsi Dooger
Reply to  Bobo Gigi
1 year ago

Those women’s distance records will never last that long. They aren’t particularly special times. It only looks that way because very few elite athletes are willing to swim those monotone events. But once somebody special does show up the old standards fall easily. Same thing in track and field where the women’s 10,000 meter record was considered untouchable on those forums. Now it has been shattered 3 times since 2016

fatsmcgee
Reply to  Bobo Gigi
1 year ago

Mary T’s time from 1981 would be a medal threat today! Can’t think of any other event where this is true. Honestly speaks more to how out of this world Mary T was than it does to field today.

It’s not just the super suit… Mary T had no GOGGLES! And essentially zero dolphin kick. I don’t think it’s that crazy to think that in modern times she could have gotten close to the two minute barrier.

About Annika Johnson

Annika Johnson

Annika came into the sport competitively at age eight, following in the footsteps of her twin sister and older brother. The sibling rivalry was further fueled when all three began focusing on distance freestyle, forcing the family to buy two lap counters. Annika is a three-time Futures finalist in the 200 …

Read More »