2017 FINA World Championships
- Sunday, July 23rd – Sunday, July 30th
- Budapest, Hungary
- 50-Meter Course
- Event Schedule
- Meet Info
Zane Grothe (photo: Mike Lewis)
We’re just one day away from the 2017 FINA World Championships, and the battle between the USA and Great Britain in the 800 free relay is one of the most anticipated relay races of the meet. Great Britain has 2 men ranked in the world top 10 this year with James Guy (1:45.55) and Duncan Scott (1:45.80), but the USA has 3 ranked in the top 10 with Townley Haas (1:45.03), Blake Pieroni (1:46.30), and Zane Grothe (1:46.39). The Americans appear to have the depth to get by Great Britain here, as Clark Smith (1:47.10), Olympic medalist Conor Dwyer (1:47.25), and Caeleb Dressel (1:47.45) will likely battle it out for the 4th spot. The British have Calum Jarvis (1:47.02) and Nicholas Grainger (1:47.28) on their roster as relay members, but Max Litchfield (1:47.48) and Stephen Milne (1:47.56) could also fill in.
Japan seems to be one of the strongest contenders for bronze behind the U.S. and Great Britain. They have 4 men who have been in the 1:47-range this season with Naito Ehara (1:47.02), Kosuke Hagino (1:47.10), Katsuhiro Matsumoto (1:47.59), and Daiya Seto (1:47.76). Though he’s been off his best quite a bit this season, Yuki Kobori (1:48.92) returns after swimming the final of this relay in Rio. China’s Sun Yang (1:44.91) and Wang Shun (1:46.57) should put their squad in the running for a medal to challenge Japan, but Ma Tianchi (1:48.10) and Qian Zhi Yong (1:48.83) will need to step it up to make that happen.
Mack Horton (Photo: Delly Carr / Swimming Australia Ltd)
Without Thomas Fraser-Holmes and Kyle Chalmers, the Australians will have a harder time competing for a spot on the podium, but they’re likely to make a finals appearance with Mack Horton (1:46.83) and Jack Cartwright (1:47.31) leading the way. Their 3rd and 4th men are most likely Alexander Graham (1:47.39) and Daniel Smith (1:47.57). Russia will also be in contention for that 3rd spot, led by Mikhail Dovgalyuk (1:46.89) and Mikhail Vekovishchev (1:47.01). Veteran freestylers Nikita Lobintsev (1:47.81) and Danila Izotov (1:47.16) are on the Russian roster, as is Rio Olympic relay member Alexander Krasnykh (1:47.12).
The Germans look to return to the championship final after placing 6th in Rio. Between Poul Zellman (1:47.10), Clemens Rapp (1:47.70), Philip Heintz (1:47.93), and Jacob Heidtmann (1:48.22), they’re definitely in good shape to make the top 8. Gabriele Detti (1:46.38) and Filippo Megli (1:47.38) could lead Italy into the top 8 as well if Filippo Magnini (1:48.32) and Luca Dotto (1:48.37) can drop significantly from their season bests.
Hungary’s Nandor Nemeth (1:47.14), Dominik Kozma (1:48.21), Peter Bernek (1:48.54), and Kristof Milak (1:48.82) will compete for a finals spot in front of the home crowd. Milak was on fire at last month’s European Junior Championships. If he shows as much improvement in his 200 free here as he did in his butterfly at Juniors, that’ll go a long way for the home team.
TOP 8 PREDICTIONS:
| Place | Team | Predicted Time |
| 1 | USA | 7:02.4 |
| 2 | GBR | 7:02.9 |
| 3 | RUS | 7:05.8 |
| 4 | CHN | 7:06.0 |
| 5 | JPN | 7:06.8 |
| 6 | AUS | 7:07.5 |
| 7 | ITA | 7:09.5 |
| 8 | GER | 7:10.2 |
wpDiscuz
Wow… Japan is going to break the wr by almost 3 minutes!
I see they fixed it. It was at 4:06
We have to crank out a lot of these, guys. Apologies for the typo. It’s been corrected.
The duo of Guy and Scott are about even with Haas/Pieroni, perhaps slightly better. But Dwyer will likely be 1:46 low split and Grothe could be 1:45 high. I don’t think GBR’s 3 and 4 swimmers will be able to keep it close in the end. US wins by 1-1.5 seconds.
I am actually thinking the opposite – I think Britain look more consistent, US look to rely on Haas. He goes big, they win – If he’s undercooked in the slightest, US will lose imo. Scott, Guy & Milne are proven to deliver. Jarvis is unpredictable, but as good as Grothe/Pieroni on his day (1.46.5). Litchfield lacks the speed, but is consistent (1.47.5) and Grainger has a lot of scope in the 6ft7 frame (1.47.1).
This may be unpopular to say but I bet the race isn’t that close with the US winning handily
Explain how? Who’s going to destroy guy and Scott to win handily???
Logic ?
Two people Dwyer and Haas who are nearly at 1:44 along with another lesson who’s been a 1:45 and a 1:46 low swimmer. USA has this easily
Dwyer this year is not near 1:44
Do you see Dwyer dropping 2 seconds in a month? It’d be… strange if any athlete managed that. I say he’ll be 1.46mid.
Not unpopular, just fairly illogical. May happen, may not – But nobody can call this an educated prediction haha
I see the brits winning by quiet a bit they have 2 men in 1:45 range while the us only have townley and jarvis is a very bad in-season swimmer and he still went 1.47:00. Plus guy always steps his game up for this relay so yea brits then us then russia
Impossible to see McEvoy swimming it ? why did he not take part in Rio 4×200 (even not during heats) ?
Reported to sick or couldn’t shake off his nerves at Rio.
* be sick
ok thanks, so he could swim that one if healthy, no ?
Australia are not entered in this relay.
Entered teams:
USA – T. Haas, B. Pieroni, Z. Grothe, C. Smith
1:45.03, 1:46.30, 1:46.39, 1:47.10 – 7:04.82
GBR – J. Guy, D. Scott, C. Jarvis, N. Grainger
1:45.55, 1:45.80, 1:47.02, 1:47.28 – 7:05.65
RUS – M. Dovgalyuk, M. Vekovishchev, A. Krasnykh, D. Izotov
1:46.89, 1:47.01, 1:47.12, 1:47.16 – 7:08.18
CHN – Y. Sun, S. Wang, T. Ma, Z. Qian
1:44.91, 1:46.57, 1:48.10, 1:48.83 – 7:08.41
JPN – N. Ehara, K. Hagino, K. Matsumoto, D. Seto
1:47.02, 1:47.10, 1:47.59, 1:47.76 – 7:09.47
ITA – G. Detti, F. Megli, M. D’Arrigo, F. Magnini
1:46.38, 1:47.38, 1:47.52, 1:48.32 – 7:09.60
POL –… Read more »
Actually AUS ARE entered in this relay (lane5 of Heat 1). Their collective times (Horton 1.46.83, Graham 1.47.39, Cartwright 1.47.57, McEvoy 1.47.60) =7.09.39. Realistically, they aren’t contenders
This, more than the medley relay, is where I think Britain have a genuine shot of taking the US down.
7.04.82 – US combined time
7.05.65 – GB combined time
Now, Dwyer was off his best at US Nats. But, should Jarvis & Milne improve to their PB times too, Britain suddenly have a 3 & 4 who have 1.46.5 & 1.46.7 flat-starts. Nick Grainger is due a drop, we’ll see if it comes. Bias aside, I genuinely can not split this race right now. Due to history, I’ll give US the touch.
1. USA – 7.02.5
2. GBR – 7.02.5
3. RUS – 7.04.9
probably the best relay in terms of suspense …..
Ji Xinjie of China has a 1’47″98 this spring. Their problem is whether they can final without Sun Yang swimming prelim.