During a bit of a lull in the NCAA competition season between midseason invites and second semester dual meets, the SwimSwam statistics department has been hard at work crunching the numbers for a hypothetical NCAA Championships invite list. While plenty of fast swimming at the February and March conference championship and last chance meets assures that this list will change significantly, it’s fun nonetheless to see how the programs stack up after the invites.
Following the release of the hypothetical cut lines, we will score out the “NCAA psych sheet” as it stands to project current NCAA finish. We start with the men.
Unsurprisingly, the Texas Longhorns pace the field, with 22 projected individual swimming qualifiers. Eddie Reese’s squad has had a rare problem in recent years: having too many swimmers qualify for NCAA’s. NCAA rules stipulate that a team can bring no more than 18 athletes (with divers counting as ½) to the NCAA meet, meaning Texas has had to scratch down their entry list prior to the meet. Especially considering the strength of the Longhorn diving program, it is very likely that Texas will bring less than 18 swimmers to NCAAs to make space for divers.
NC State sits second currently with 14 projected qualifiers, while Arizona State and Florida are tied in third with 12.
At the moment, the NCAA cut line sits with all 32nd-ranked swimmers qualifying, as well as two swimmers on the 33 line in Utah’s Cooper DeRyk and Florida State’s Kuba Ksiazek. This cut line is much softer than in recent years, and if history serves as a guide it should tighten to somewhere in the 29-31 range.
Team Invite List (with # of qualifiers)
Team | Number of Qualifiers |
Texas | 22 |
NC State | 14 |
Arizona St | 12 |
Florida | 12 |
California | 10 |
Indiana | 10 |
Southern Cali | 9 |
Michigan | 9 |
Alabama | 8 |
Georgia | 7 |
Missouri | 7 |
Auburn | 7 |
Texas A&M | 7 |
Stanford | 6 |
Virginia | 6 |
Tennessee | 6 |
Louisville | 6 |
Virginia Tech | 5 |
Florida St | 5 |
Ohio St | 5 |
Arizona | 5 |
Georgia Tech | 5 |
SMU | 4 |
Harvard | 4 |
Wisconsin | 4 |
UNLV (M) | 4 |
Northwestern | 4 |
Purdue | 3 |
Minnesota | 3 |
TCU | 3 |
Penn St | 2 |
Notre Dame | 2 |
Brigham Young | 2 |
Utah | 2 |
GWU | 2 |
South Carolina | 2 |
Pittsburgh | 2 |
LSU | 1 |
Grand Canyon | 1 |
Cal Baptist | 1 |
Air Force (M) | 1 |
U.S. Navy | 1 |
Penn | 1 |
Columbia | 1 |
Princeton | 1 |
Kentucky | 1 |
List of Individual Qualifiers
Full Name | Team |
Auchinachie, Cameron | Texas |
Seeliger, Bjorn | California |
Minakov, Andrei | Stanford |
Curry, Brooks | LSU |
Dolan, Jack | Arizona St |
Chaney, Adam | Florida |
Downing, Dillon | Georgia |
Kibler, Drew | Texas |
Krueger, Danny | Texas |
Henderson, Noah | NC State |
Blaskovic, Bruno | Indiana |
Ramadan, Youssef | Virginia Tech |
Brownstead, Matt | Virginia |
Baganha, Victor | Penn St |
Korstanje, Nyls | NC State |
Armstrong, Jack | Grand Canyon |
Acin, Nikola | Purdue |
Baker, Justin | SMU |
McCusker, Max | Florida St |
Armstrong, Hunter | Ohio St |
Selin, Artem | Southern Cali |
Miljenic, Nikola | Southern Cali |
Friese, Eric | Florida |
Crooks, Jordan | Tennessee |
Szabados, Bence | Michigan |
King, Matt | Virginia |
Marcoux, Raphael | Harvard |
Sameh, Haridi | Louisville |
FABIANI, Remi | Cal Baptist |
Bybee, Cody | Arizona St |
Peel, Cam | Michigan |
Ercegovic, Marin | Arizona |
House, Grant | Arizona St |
Farris, Dean | Harvard |
Miroslaw, Rafael | Indiana |
Dahlgren, Jack | Missouri |
Swift, Carter | Arizona St |
Miller, Luke | NC State |
Urlando, Luca | Georgia |
Gaziev, Ruslan | Ohio St |
Varjasi, Peter | Florida St |
Guiliano, Chris | Notre Dame |
Van Zandt, Zac | Texas |
Smith, Kieran | Florida |
Jett, Gabriel | California |
Callan, Patrick | Michigan |
Freeman, Trey | Florida |
Sancov, Alexei | Southern Cali |
Burns, Brendan | Indiana |
Carrozza, Coby | Texas |
Hobson, Luke | Texas |
Larson, Peter | Texas |
Namir, Daniel | Arizona |
Alves, Kaique | Alabama |
Julian, Trenton | California |
Zhang, Wen | Air Force (M) |
Unlu, Baturalp | Georgia Tech |
Tapp, Hunter | NC State |
Mestre, Alfonso | Florida |
Sztolcman, Christian | Auburn |
Polonsky, Ron | Stanford |
Ingram, Hunter | Arizona |
Hill, Julian | Arizona St |
Forst, Preston | Stanford |
Gray, Andrew | Arizona St |
Sartori, Murilo | Louisville |
Stokowski, Kacper | NC State |
Fail, Brooks | Arizona |
Zettle, Alex | Texas |
Johansson, Victor | Southern Cali |
Mitchell, Jake | Michigan |
Finke, Bobby | Florida |
ASLAN, YIGIT | Wisconsin |
Shoults, Grant | Stanford |
Soloveychik, Bar | Minnesota |
Grieshop, Sean | California |
Dant, Ross | NC State |
Brinegar, Michael | Indiana |
Magahey, Jake | Georgia |
Johnston, David | Texas |
Ponce De Leon, Rafael | Tennessee |
Plage, James | NC State |
Lindholm, Oskar | Florida |
Kilavuz, Mert | Georgia Tech |
Nelson, Tanner | Brigham Young |
FRERI, Geremia | TCU |
Hawke, Charlie | Alabama |
Dubois, Jack | Missouri |
Clark, Charlie | Ohio St |
Gallant, Will | NC State |
Bonson, Michael | Auburn |
Dalu, Fabio | Ohio St |
Mason, Gordon | Arizona St |
Calvillo, Mikey | Indiana |
Gravley, Brennan | Florida |
Watson, Tyler | Florida |
Davis, Grant | Auburn |
Camblong, Tommylee | Georgia |
Castro, Cam | UNLV (M) |
Briggs, Warren | Indiana |
Nagy, Chris | Minnesota |
Fantoni, Gabriel | Indiana |
Lasco, Destin | California |
Menke, Matthew | Alabama |
Carr, Daniel | California |
Grimm, Anthony | Texas |
Makrygiannis, Vaggelis | Southern Cali |
Mauldin, Caleb | U.S. Navy |
Davis, Wyatt | Michigan |
Steele, Jacob | Indiana |
Ungur, Andrei | Utah |
Whyte, Mitchell | Louisville |
MacAlister, Leon | Stanford |
Gogulski, Ethan | Texas A&M |
Herbet, Mason | Florida St |
Izzo, Giovanni | NC State |
Smith, Lleyton | Auburn |
Bolanos, Panos | UNLV (M) |
Gonzalez, Hugo | California |
Mlynarczyk, Karol | GWU |
Park, Jason | Texas |
Samuels, Brady | Purdue |
Laitarovsky, Michael | South Carolina |
Goraj, Marcin | Pittsburgh |
Saka, Berke | Georgia Tech |
Marcum, Jake | Alabama |
Grender, Justin | Virginia |
Dunham, Bradley | Georgia |
Stelmar, Eric | Alabama |
Foster, Carson | Texas |
Albiero, Nicolas | Louisville |
Erzen, Anze | Texas A&M |
Grum, Ian | Georgia |
O’Connor, Chris | Texas |
Unalmis, Bora | Michigan |
Jekel, Wes | Wisconsin |
Daigle, Jared | Michigan |
Martos Bacarizo, Manu | Northwestern |
Stoffle, Nathaniel | Auburn |
Corbeau, Caspar | Texas |
McHugh, Max | Minnesota |
Whitley, Reece | California |
Pellini, Trent | Southern Cali |
Mikuta, Reid | Auburn |
Houseman, Kevin | Northwestern |
Maas, Derek | Alabama |
Van Der Laan, Cooper | Pittsburgh |
Fallon, Matt | Penn |
Patton, Ben | Missouri |
Dillard, Jarel | Tennessee |
Myhre, Will | Wisconsin |
Bottelberghe, Josh | Notre Dame |
Bell, Liam | California |
Silins, Janis | TCU |
Chan, Will | Michigan |
Matheny, Josh | Indiana |
Bastian, Izaak | Florida St |
Houlie, Michael | Tennessee |
Hillis, Dillon | Florida |
Spillane, Ty | Missouri |
Heaphy, John | Arizona St |
Dominguez Ramos, Josue | Brigham Young |
Somov, Evgenii | Louisville |
Bethel, Henry | Auburn |
Sheils, Trey | Alabama |
Epitropov, Lyubomir | Tennessee |
Pales, Josh | Missouri |
Wuilliez, Jadon | TCU |
Raisanen, Daniel | Penn St |
Willstrop, Sam | UNLV (M) |
Scheinfeld, Charlie | Texas |
Dillard, Ben | Southern Cali |
Roy, Daniel | Stanford |
Pumputis, Caio | Georgia Tech |
Foster, Jake | Texas |
Vines, Braden | Texas |
Coll Marti, Carles | Virginia Tech |
Nichols, Noah | Virginia |
Puente Bustamante, Andres | Texas A&M |
Demir, Demirkan | Columbia |
Goodwin, Will | Missouri |
Schlicht, David | Arizona St |
Degrado, Paul | Texas |
O’Grady, Chris | Southern Cali |
Iida, Scooter | Virginia |
Kusto, Rafal | NC State |
Sanchez, Alex | Texas A&M |
Pouch, Aj | Virginia Tech |
Ponti, Noe | NC State |
Gures, Umitcan | Harvard |
Cohen Groumi, Gal | Michigan |
Kovac, Danny | Missouri |
Jiang, Alvin | Texas |
Ivanov, Antani | Virginia Tech |
Ferraro, Christian | Georgia Tech |
Matic, Djurdje | GWU |
Colson, Alexander | Arizona St |
Burdisso, Federico | Northwestern |
Quach, Alex | Ohio St |
Mota, Kayky | Tennessee |
Johnson, Jake | Harvard |
MARCHAND, Leon | Arizona St |
Lamastra, Connor | Northwestern |
Hayes, Aiden | NC State |
Khosla, Raunak | Princeton |
Artmann, Sam | Texas |
Harder, Ethan | Texas |
Koustik, Andrew | Texas |
Brown, Zach | NC State |
Crawford, Jace | Florida |
Wilby, Mason | Kentucky |
Rose, Dare | California |
Homans, Harry | Southern Cali |
Taner, Brooks | Arizona |
Manoff, Blake | Virginia Tech |
Bratanov, Koko | Texas A&M |
Groters, Patrick | South Carolina |
Sos, Daniel | Louisville |
Moore, Mikey | NC State |
Sherman, Nick | Purdue |
Hils, Zach | Georgia |
Easton, John | SMU |
Feehery, Colin | SMU |
Ribeiro, Vincent | Texas A&M |
Vargas, Kevin | Florida |
Aman, Caleb | Wisconsin |
Kabbara, Munzy | Texas A&M |
Arroyo, Jarod | Arizona St |
Storch, Casey | Virginia |
Perera, Nicholas | Alabama |
Dewitt, Tristan | Indiana |
Fields, Cotton | SMU |
Bujak, Dominik | UNLV (M) |
Cooper, Deryk | Utah |
Ksiazek, Kuba | Florida St |
First five alternates
Full Name | Team |
Champlin, Brett | Tennessee |
Reich, Maxwell | Indiana |
Osterndorf, Christian | Arizona St |
Laur, Mason | Florida |
Crane, Cole | Texas |
Barone, Kyle | Georgia Tech |
A few other interesting notes:
- USC sits tied for seventh with 9 projected qualifiers, one season after finishing in 27th place at the NCAA Championship meet. Last year the Trojans only qualified two individual swimmers to the meet. The result is even more impressive considering the still uncertain situation surrounding head coach Jeremy Kipp, but certainly gives credit to associate head coach Lea Maurer’s work with the men of Troy thus far this season.
- Louisville, who finished fifth at last year’s NCAA’s, sits pretty far down the list in a four-way tie for 13th with only 6 projected qualifiers. The Cardinals have been hit hard early this season with illness and COVID-19 and were missing several swimmers at their midseason invite.
- Virginia, which finished ninth at last year’s NCAA’s, sits tied with Louisville with 6 currently projected qualifiers. Following several years of strong recruiting classes, a high-impact transfer in Matt King, and the rise of Desorbo’s women’s team, the Cavalier men have some work to do in the spring semester to continue their upward trajectory.
- SMU sits with a strong 4 projected qualifiers. In his third year as head coach, Greg Rhodenbaugh, who helped lead Mizzou to national prominence, seems to be making waves at his alma mater. Last year SMU had only one swimming NCAA qualifier, senior Caleb Rhodenbaugh, in addition to two divers.
Could you make the list sortable? Or sort the list by team. By last name
@SwimJones – give me a few minutes and we’ll add a link to a Google Sheet with the full list so you can manipulate in whatever way you like.
Top seeds for Texas
Caspar 1,2, & 3
Cameron 1,2, & 4
Luke 1,2 & 12
Dan 1 & 9
Carson 2 & 20
Jake 3, 8,&13
Alex 5 & 10
Braden 7, 11 & 15
Coby 7 &10
Drew 8 &14
Anthony 9 & 26
Alvin 9
Zac 11
David J 11 & 23
Peter 15 & 18
————n=15 swimmers with scoring seeds
On bubble
Sam A 17
Ethan Harder 20
Koustik 23
Chris O 24
Paul Delgado 25
Jason P 29
Sam A is probably in even with 4 divers
If they take only 2 divers Ethan Harder is probably in as it sits, with BiG12 another shot to mix things up.
Where is Charlie scheinfeld currently seeded? I also think Tim Connery is going to end up making the team.
Charlie 33rd in 100 BR & 59th in 200 BR. He’ll need a good drop at Big 12 to even get an invite. He had such a promising Freshman year, hope he does crank something good.
You may be right about Tim!
I gotta say, “The Eyes of Texas” are looking pretty golden right now!
Likely not having Windle available is a huge point loss, however. The other divers and the swimmers will need to step up big.
It will be interesting if Texas takes just 2 divers vs 4 last year. Depends who they think will score. Everybody they took last year scored I believe. No tourists!
90% sure Texas takes 4 divers even without Windle.
Good reminder about The Racist Song.
Is Sates in Athens yet?
Yeah, apparently he rates the Parthenon but isn’t a fan of feta.
Not till January
The USA ban on SA doesn’t end til Dec 31st. And he said that Jan 10th is his flight. Seems weird because UGA swims Alabama January 8th. Maybe UGA is just trying to fool Alabama? January 10th is first day of classes I assume.
I really don’t think teams care enough about dual meets to try and “fool” their competitors. This isn’t like other sports. Head to head matchups only matter for bragging rights in swimming/diving.
Most teams do not care about dual meets but at the last meet of the season, many SEC schools shave the team members who will not be competing in conference of NCAAs. There are some huge teams. For example Tenn girls have 45 or 46!
Completely forgot about the SA ban.
Basically hit half a million omicron cases ourselves this week, better wait a couple days to let any South Africans in
Noe Ponti from NC State can probably safely be removed from the list…
I want you to remove me from your list🤤😫
Sadly so…
I was going to say the same…
To put into perspective how far ahead Texas and Cal have been recently, let’s say Katie Ledecky and Michael Phelps get together and have a set of quintuplets. All five babies are male and they grow up regularly swimming competitively. By the time college rolls around they decide to attend the newly opening Ryan Lochte University to join head coach Natalie Coughlin as the first members of the Men’s swim team. All five boys are dominant so they score the maximum amount of points they can score, winning all five relays and all 13 individual swimming events. They’d finish the meet with 496 points. That score would still be beaten by the 595 and 568 Texas and Cal scored last… Read more »
Now I’m going to be thinking about Ryan Lochte University all day.
Thank you.
The SAT for Jeah U is to spell SAT.
In other words: if five men won all the events at NCAAs they still wouldn’t beat Texas and cal
You could have explained this without the whole quintuplets situation, you’re just really fcking weird and used this article as an opportunity to talk about your creepy fantasy scenario
Geez relax man I thought the scenario added a nice imagery to help me understand the argument better
Sorry, just having a little fun being goofy. Didn’t mean to offend anyone.
I’m sorry the Ryan lochte university part was funny I just get bad 2016 whiplash anytime someone says “imagine Phelps and Ledecky’s children…” 😭😭😭😭
It was hilarious. Loved it.
Well that escalated quickly
And you are an a-hole
This is no surprise. Many years ago, in a place called Daytona Beach, a babe was born under circumstances unknown. Followed by five years, another baby boy was born to the same parents in the same place. The first was Edwin Charles. Edwin was followed by Randy. Edwin blazed a trail that was followed closely by Randy. Edwin went to Mainland High School, Randy went to Mainland High School. Edwin swam, Randy swam. Edwin excelled in the medley events, Randy excelled in the medley events. It was here their paths diverged. Edwin went to swim in the swamp of Gainesville while Randy journeyed to the exotic land or Tallahassee and dawned the garnet and gold garb of a Florida state… Read more »
Awesome. How in the world can anyone vote that comment down?
that was a trip… can we take another. enjoyed that lol btw what is the admissions standards for RLU? asking for a friend.
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