Tennessee and Cal Lead Women’s Midseason Projected NCAA Cut List

During a bit of a lull in the NCAA competition season between midseason invites and second semester dual meets, the SwimSwam statistics department has been hard at work crunching the numbers for a hypothetical NCAA Championships invite list. While plenty of fast swimming is still to come at the February and March conference championship and last chance meets assures that this list will change significantly, it’s fun nonetheless to see how the programs stack up after the invites. 

Following the release of the hypothetical cut lines, we will score out the “NCAA psych sheet” as it stands to project current NCAA finish. We already covered the men, and now we check on the women. 

In a bit of a surprise, there is a tie at the top of the projected qualifier list with the Tennessee Lady Vols and Cal Golden Bears both sitting at 17 projected qualifiers. The defending NCAA Champion Virginia Cavaliers sit alone in third with 13 projected qualifiers. 

The current projected cut line is for all 41st ranked swimmers to qualify, with no swimmers on the 42 line projected to qualify. Similar to the men, this number is much softer than historically is invited to the NCAA Championships. If history is a reliable guide the invite number should settle somewhere in the high-30s. 

List of Qualifying Teams (and # of qualifiers)

Team Qualifiers
Tennessee 17
California 17
Virginia 13
Michigan 12
NC State 12
Alabama 12
Ohio St 12
Louisville 12
Georgia 11
Indiana 11
Wisconsin 11
Florida 10
Kentucky 10
Southern Cali 9
Stanford 9
Northwestern 7
Texas 7
Missouri 6
Auburn 6
Minnesota 5
Arkansas 5
Notre Dame 5
UCLA 4
Arizona St 4
UNC 3
Akron 3
Texas A&M 3
Virginia Tech 3
Arizona 3
Florida Int’l 3
U.S. Navy 2
Duke 2
South Carolina 2
Florida St 2
William & Mary 1
Missouri St (W) 1
Washington St. 1
Northern Colo 1
Yale 1
LSU 1
Penn 1
Miami (Ohio) 1
Nebraska 1
Colorado St. 1
SIUC (W) 1
Bowling Green 1
Penn St 1
Denver 1
UNLV (W) 1
Oakland 1
Villanova 1
Harvard 1
San Diego St 1
Nevada 1
Purdue 1
Kansas 1
FGCU 1
CSUB 1
Princeton 1
Rice 1
Georgia Tech 1
New Hampshire 1

List of Qualifying Individuals

Name Team
Douglass, Kate Virginia
MacNeil, Maggie Michigan
Alons, Kylee NC State
Antoniou, Kalia Alabama
Scott, Morgan Alabama
Thompson, Sarah Missouri
Walsh, Gretchen Virginia
Kutsch, Aj Tennessee
Cundiff, Missy William & Mary
Dobler, Kaitlyn Southern Cali
Keil, Megan Missouri
Flynn, Lindsay Michigan
Miller, Anna Missouri St (W)
Larson, Chloe Washington St.
Fa’Amausili, Gabi Georgia
Delgado, Anicka Southern Cali
Moore, Madelyn Northern Colo
Garcia, Elise California
Zenick, Katherine Ohio St
Turak, Ashley Indiana
Gantriis, Emily California
Fulmer, Amy Ohio St
Crane, Emily Ohio St
McSharry, Mona Tennessee
Smith, Maddie Northwestern
Newman, Claire Michigan
Bates, Talia Florida
Countie, Grace UNC
Feddersen, Amy Missouri
Rumley, Jasmine Tennessee
Openysheva, Arina Louisville
Winter, Kailyn Alabama
Maccausland, Heather NC State
Nocentini, Jasmine Northwestern
Henig, Izzi Yale
Mulvihill, Lexie Auburn
Cuomo, Lexi Virginia
Grover, Claire UCLA
Bloomer, Olivia Minnesota
Cornish, Hannah Minnesota
Transom, Laticia-Leigh Southern Cali
Huske, Torri Stanford
Ivey, Isabel California
Berkoff, Katharine NC State
Dupre, Cora Alabama
Gaines, Riley Kentucky
Melton, Kobie Arkansas
Petkova, Diana Alabama
Fiske, Sophie Wisconsin
Albiero, Gabi Louisville
Wheal, Emma Stanford
Milutinovich, Katarina LSU
Webb, Abbey NC State
Rothrock, Trude Tennessee
Watson, Sarah Akron
Barclay, Emily Arkansas
Cothern, Bella Arkansas
Hosack, Lillie Wisconsin
Davidson, Emma California
Ivan, Teresa Ohio St
Thomas, Lia Penn
Nordin, Emma Arizona St
Pash, Kelly Texas
Peplowski, Anna Indiana
Ruck, Taylor Stanford
Ristic, Ella Indiana
Mrozinski, Julia Tennessee
Crush, Annabel NC State
Stepanek, Chloe Texas A&M
Thomas, Martina U.S. Navy
Spitz, Ayla California
Laning, Erica Arizona St
Nordmann, Lillie Stanford
Parker, Maxine Georgia
Tiltmann, Reilly Virginia
Polonsky, Leah California
Neumann, Robin California
Maier, Nicole Miami (Ohio)
Haebig, Autumn Nebraska
Motekaitis, Mia California
Bathurst, Ella Virginia
Moore, Kate NC State
Carlson, Abby Wisconsin
Coetzee, Dune Georgia
Ackerman, Kathryn Michigan
Douthwright, Brooklyn Tennessee
Hetzer, Emily Auburn
Gati, Izzy Kentucky
Kudryashova, Sophia Michigan
Glass, Megan Michigan
Forde, Brooke Stanford
McMahon, Kensey Alabama
Weyant, Emma Virginia
Nelson, Ella Virginia
McCulloh, Abigail Georgia
Mathieu, Tylor Florida
Pfeifer, Evie Texas
Tafuto, Sally Ohio St
Stege, Kristen Tennessee
Bauer, Elise Florida
Denigan, Mariah Indiana
Donohoe, Madelyn Virginia
Breslin, Aly Tennessee
Kahler, Marlene Southern Cali
DiMeco, Sarah California
Hierath, Yara NC State
Travis, Chase Virginia Tech
Chang, Yi Xuan Duke
Sullivan, Erica Texas
Mull, Lola Northwestern
McKenna, Paige Wisconsin
McNeese, Beth Kentucky
Delmenico, Mela Alabama
Fabian, Fanni California
Geringer, Maya Ohio St
Shanley, Kathryn Michigan
Roghair, Aurora Stanford
Degeorge, Leah Florida
Sims, Kaitlynn Michigan
Wallace, Maggie Indiana
Lindorfer, Alivia Wisconsin
Kilgallon, Abbey Minnesota
Graves, Maggie Notre Dame
Nguyen, Claire Tennessee
Williams, Kaylee Kentucky
Graves, Alyssa Ohio St
Bloebaum, Allison Missouri
Auld, Anna Florida
Grottle, Abby Texas A&M
Shahboz, Lain Florida
Golding, Kathleen Florida
White, Maya Colorado St.
Smith, Regan Stanford
White, Rhyan Alabama
Bray, Olivia Texas
Stadden, Isabelle California
Bacon, Phoebe Wisconsin
Bernal, Aria Arizona
Cook, Julia Texas
Sheridan, Calypso Southern Cali
Sansores De La Fuente, Andrea Arkansas
Nordmann, Lucie Stanford
Brooks, Caitlin Kentucky
Fuller, Josephine Tennessee
Sticklen, Emma Texas
Rees, Meredith Missouri
Pulido, Celia SIUC (W)
Atkinson, Emma Virginia Tech
McKenna, Kacey Indiana
McConagha, Mackenzie Wisconsin
Waldrep, Ellie Auburn
Hannah, Jade Southern Cali
Schoof, Kaylyn Wisconsin
Christman, Madelyn Notre Dame
Platts, Daisy Bowling Green
Chung, Casey Michigan
Lepisova, Emma Northwestern
Bentz, Caroline Virginia Tech
Schobel, Marie Penn St
Newman, Mara Wisconsin
Pattison, Greer UNC
Arky, Natalie Denver
Afanasyeva, Kate UNLV (W)
Liberto, Morgan Alabama
Sorenson, Sophie Kentucky
Walsh, Alex Virginia
Stewart, Bayley Tennessee
Lagrand, Susan Oakland
Janvier, Aela Southern Cali
Smith, Summer Tennessee
Crisera, Alex Stanford
Montesi, Kelly Villanova
Pasadyn, Felicia Harvard
Lee, Meghan Auburn
Freed, Anna Indiana
Kraus, Mari South Carolina
Salcutan, Tatiana Louisville
Zavaros, Rosie Florida
Hansson, Sophie NC State
Wiseman, Avery Alabama
Elendt, Anna Texas
Podmanikova, Andrea NC State
Bach, Hannah Ohio St
Wenger, Alexis Virginia
Sim, Letitia Michigan
Thormalm, Klara San Diego St
Herrmann, Vanessa Arkansas
Crawford, Brearna Indiana
Hartman, Zoie Georgia
Vovk, Tara Northwestern
Angus, Sophie Northwestern
Weiss, Emily Indiana
Brunzell, Hannah Northwestern
Neser, Jade Arizona
Rajic, Ema California
Peplowski, Noelle Indiana
Chue, Christie Florida Int’l
Evans, Harri Georgia
Panitz, Josie Ohio St
Kucheran, Nina Florida St
Astashkina, Mariia Louisville
Wheeler, Kaylee Louisville
Farrington, Adeline Louisville
Keating, Anna Virginia
depolo, Donna Nevada
Wright, Cat Alabama
Folcik, Masy Purdue
Garcia, Paula Akron
Brathwaite, Katrina Missouri
Huggins, Maddy Florida St
Steward, Kate Kansas
Gyertyanffy, Sara Florida Int’l
Lezer, Emma Minnesota
Halmai, Petra FGCU
Odgers, Isabelle Southern Cali
Yager, Alexis Tennessee
Foley, Sally Duke
Looze, Mackenzie Indiana
Dellatorre, Danielle Georgia
Bonnett, Bailey Kentucky
Davey, Gillian Kentucky
Poole, Julia NC State
Wilson, Alicia California
Curtis, Brynn Auburn
Mathews, Janessa Ohio St
Walshe, Ellen Tennessee
Carter, Olivia Michigan
Gillilan, Coleen Notre Dame
Ulett, Tristen Louisville
Beil, Mallory Tennessee
D’Arcy, Autumn CSUB
Stotler, Sara Tennessee
Nava, Jessica Virginia
Harrington, Sydney U.S. Navy
Dang, Gabby UCLA
Nogaj, Paulina Akron
Regenauer, Christiana Louisville
Vannote, Ellie UNC
Kragh, Mia California
Luther, Dakota Georgia
Jump, Mallory Wisconsin
Venema, Nikki Princeton
Sichterman, Megan Tennessee
Heimstead, Julia Arizona
Baron, Sam UCLA
Hussey, Stephanie Florida Int’l
Howe, Maddy Rice
Theall, Olivia Texas A&M
Felner, Gracie Alabama
Collins, Paige South Carolina
Klinker, Rachel California
Van Berkom, Megan Minnesota
Hay, Abby Louisville
Cook, Lizzy California
Kwan, Victoria Michigan
Arens, Abby NC State
Ray, Amanda Florida
Thomas, Luciana Notre Dame
Kraus, Alena Louisville
Dickinson, Callie Georgia
Campbell, McKenzie Georgia Tech
Harter, Abby Virginia
Abruzzo, Mia Georgia
Turner, Makenna Southern Cali
Deuel, Megan Notre Dame
Seigal, Mikayla Wisconsin
Foelske, Jadé Arizona St
Ownbey, Hannah Auburn
Romano, Kristen Ohio St
Poole, Lauren Kentucky
Metzler, Anna New Hampshire
Zavaros, Mabel Florida
Trace, Katie Ohio St
Sheble, Grace NC State
Sumida, Duda Louisville
Brown, Portia Georgia
Maceachern, Paige UCLA
McEnroe, Annika California
Rice, Anna Havens Kentucky
Batchelor, Molly Arizona St

First five alternates

Full Name School
Herkle, Kim Emely Louisville
Kizek, Frederica SMU
Tyler, Ali George Mason
Carlson, Eva UCLA
Broshears, Elizabeth Indiana

A few other interesting notes:

  • Alabama, which is in Margo Geer’s first year as head coach, sits in a five-way tie for the 4th most qualifiers. They are joined by Michigan, NC State, Ohio State and Louisville. The Crimson Tide finished in 5th at last year’s NCAAs with 266 points, just 24 points behind 4th place Cal. 
  • Texas, which finished 3rd at last year’s NCAA Championships and only 9.5 points out of second, sits in a tie with Northwestern for the 16th-most qualifiers with 7. Despite the relatively small squad, the Longhorns are right on track with last year’s 3rd place squad, which only qualified 8 individual swimmers to NCAAs. 
  • Auburn, in head coach Ryan Wochomurka’s first year, currently has 6 swimmers projected to make the cut. Despite not scoring at NCAAs last year, Auburn had 8 individual swimmers at the meet.
  • Stanford, which won three consecutive NCAA titles from 2017-2019, sits in a tie with conference rival USC with 9 projected qualifiers, 14th most in the country. Last year Stanford finished 9th with 159 points, the lowest finish of Greg Meehan’s tenure on The Farm. With the return of Canadian Olympian Taylor Ruck and a star-studded freshman class the Cardinal seem poised to shoot up the team standings this year, but will have some work to do in the spring to make up the qualifier gap. 
  • Despite head coach Mike Litzinger abruptly resigning in October, Notre Dame sits in a tie for 20th with Minnesota and Arkansas with 5 projected individual NCAA qualifiers. That is essentially in line with last year’s team, which sent 6 individual swimmers to NCAA’s, resulting in a 29th place finish with 12 points. 

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Diving
9 months ago

I wonder how the Bama diving coach leaving mid season will impact their diving. Potential to score some points.

David
9 months ago

The biggest swim story of the year and the last decade is one that I’m too apprehensive to mention.

Leah
9 months ago

Woo-hoo Kailyn Winter!!!

Biden4dogcatcher
9 months ago

ladyvol strategy of loading up with foreigners seems to be helping

swim mom
Reply to  Biden4dogcatcher
8 months ago

How many foreigners are on the list out of 17 ????

Biden4dogcatcher
Reply to  swim mom
8 months ago

The top swimmers are non-American mercenaries.

Soapy
9 months ago

Here comes the northwestern hate…

swimapologist
Reply to  Soapy
9 months ago

lol is this a thing? Or are you trying to meme yourselves?

Netgear49-5G
Reply to  swimapologist
9 months ago

NW has the same amount of qualifiers as Texas and you don’t take them seriously? Soapy, maybe instead of “hate“, the better word to use would have been “complete disrespect.”

Ledecky will go 3:55 in Paris
Reply to  Netgear49-5G
9 months ago

same amount of qualifiers but not the same quality of qualifiers

Biden4dogcatcher
9 months ago

Lady Vols looking great at mid-year as they typically do…if only NCAAs were in November. Just hope they can hang on better than they usually do.

Rob Collins Fan club
Reply to  Biden4dogcatcher
9 months ago

It sure look like Rob Collins is having a major impact on Tennessee swimming this year!

Anonymous
9 months ago

Who got bumped off the 200, 500 and 1650 for *Lia Thomas*?????

Stoked 2 b vaccinated
Reply to  Anonymous
9 months ago

Lia is abiding by NCAA guidelines.

All of the qualifiers ranked 41 “bumped” 42 so let’s not go there

Not-so-Silent Observer
Reply to  Anonymous
9 months ago

This is a list of all A time qualifiers and hypothetical B time qualifiers. No one got wrongly bumped.
Let’s relax on the hate for Lia. She is following the rules set in place by the NCAA.

If anything.. Direct your fumes directly at the NCAA via emails and letters and calls. Not anonymously on a chat forum via SwimSwam

Last edited 9 months ago by Not-so-Silent Observer
Jimbob
Reply to  Anonymous
9 months ago

How high can Penn finish simply by Thomas making the top 3 in those three events (and realistically could win 2 of the 3)?

Top 10 team finish possible?

Admin
Reply to  Jimbob
9 months ago

No.

Swimm
Reply to  Jimbob
9 months ago

You need big relay points to be a top 10 team

Stoked 2 b vaccinated
Reply to  Jimbob
9 months ago

Not even close

Big Mac #1
9 months ago

Stanford hate incoming?

Stoked 2 b vaccinated
Reply to  Big Mac #1
9 months ago

I do not understand the Meehan hate… are peeps blaming SWS plateaus on his overtraining?

Taa
Reply to  Big Mac #1
9 months ago

Sometimes less is better. See Texas last year. After you get past the 10th best swimmer there is not much if any points to be gained. Its all about what the core group can do and how strong they are across the board in relays.