2017 U.S. Trials Previews: Will Comerford Snag a Spot in 100 Free?

Find links to all of our event-by-event previews here.

2017 U.S. NATIONALS/WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS TRIALS

Simone Manuel has been shockingly good in the 100 free over the past year. She was already a top-tier sprinter, but after pulling off a stunning upset to tie for gold in the 100 free at the Rio Olympics, she was arguably even more jaw-dropping at 2017 NCAAs. Swimming fans watched as Manuel stepped up for the 100 free final, waiting to witness what could possibly have been the first sub-46 100 free ever done by a woman. What followed was beyond expectation, as she shattered her own American Record in 45.56. Manuel, the heavy favorite ahead of Trials, now looks to break her own American Record in the long course pool, which stands at a 52.70 from the Rio olympics.

Abbey Weitzeil, who also represented the U.S. in this race in Rio, is the 2nd fastest swimmer on the psych sheets. She’s was slightly off her bests during the short course season and hasn’t been quite as fast in-season at the Arena Pro Swim Series meets as she was last year. But it’s still likely we’ll see her on the team even if only for the relay. If she hits her stride, she could be looking at a sub-53. She’s already been 53-low a couple of times, including a 53.28 at 2016 Trials.

After a phenomenal NCAA season, Mallory Comerford looks to be the biggest threat for a roster spot behind Manuel. She made huge improvements in 2016, knocking over a second off her time to make semifinals at Trials. She’s already been half a second faster than that in 2017, putting up a quick 53.91 at the Arena Pro Swim Series in Indianapolis. With her improvements so far this year, it’s not inconceivable to think Comerford could be 53-low to 53-mid. During the yards season, she knocked over a second and a half off her best time, bringing it down to a lightning fast 46.35 at NCAAs.

Amanda Weir (photo: Tim Binning)

It’ll likely take a sub-54 to make the top 6, and 3 more swimmers return after competing on the 400 free relay in Rio: Amanda Weir, Lia Neal, and Katie Ledecky. It’s hard to predict how fast Ledecky will be since she’s one of the few swimmers who doesn’t have to taper at all for Trials to make the team in her main events, but her personal best 53.75 is from an in-season meet anyways. Weir has been representing the U.S. internationally for over a decade. Her fastest time in a textile suit is a 53.58 from 2006, but she came within 2 hundredths of that last summer, so it’s safe to say she’s one of the Americans’ top prospects in Indianapolis. Like Weir, Neal is a veteran of the 400 free relay and has continued to improve since making her first Olympic team in 2012.

Kelsi Worrell narrowly missed making the Olympic relay with an 8th place finish at Trials and set a personal best 54.00. She’s been showing great freestyle speed at the Arena Pro Swim Series meets so far this season, so we could see her dip into the 53s to snag a spot. Similarly, 2016 Trials semifinalists Olivia Smoliga and Madison Kennedy have been 54-low and could potentially take a relay spot if they’re able to dip into the 53-high range. Kennedy was 9th at Trials and boasts a personal best 54.18. Smoliga has been just off that with her personal best 54.21 and showed blistering speed during the short course season with her 46.30 at NCAAs.

TOP 8 PREDICTIONS:

Place Swimmer Best Time Since 2015 Predicted Time
1 Simone Manuel 52.7 52.5
2 Mallory Comerford 53.91 53.2
3 Abbey Weitzeil 53.28 53.5
4 Lia Neal 53.77 53.7
5 Amanda Weir 53.6 53.8
6 Katie Ledecky 53.75 53.8
7 Olivia Smoliga 54.21 54.0
8 Kelsi Worrell 54.00 54.0

 

ab

In This Story

Leave a Reply

39 Comments on "2017 U.S. Trials Previews: Will Comerford Snag a Spot in 100 Free?"

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted

…what has she done in the last year that has suggested she can blast a 52.5? Apart from being American and therefore can “rise to the challenge”

He Gets It Done Again

Well for starters she went 52.7 ten months ago and 45.5 in yards three months ago

Why is it that so many posters are so dismissive of Americans improving their times by mere tenths, but are so willing to say that international swimmers can drop crazy amounts of time.

My guess is there is some international trolling going on right before our national meet. 😕

ERVINFORTHEWIN

sure they are trolls around …..

Bias. The same reason Americans often over-estimate their swimmers, Brits theirs, Aussies theirs etc etc. It’s 50/50 though – That 52.7 is very much alone for now, I struggle to see 52.5 at Trials, virtually untested. At Worlds, I’d be surprised but not shocked. If she has a few more 52s swims, and solidifies, it’ll be a good season, even without a PB.

Can’t see any of the top 3 hitting those times – Neal may be the one to nick 2nd.

Manuel/Comerford individually for me.
Neal, Ledecky, Smoliga, Weitzeil next 4.

I’m not sure on Weitzeil this year though… I think she is as likely to miss the team as she is to make it.

Don’t agree that the US over-estimates. Who thought we would get 33 medals in Rio? No one.

Lauren Neidigh

See her performance in Rio and at NCAAs. If you read the article you’ll see the reasoning.

Worrell not on the team and adding time? I doubt it.

Worrell will go 53.7 and probably place 6th.

I think Worrell will definitely place higher than 8th. She dropped the 200 fly, so I suspect she is training well for freestyle and thinks she can make the relay team instead

Lauren Neidigh

I don’t see her adding time

ArtVanDeLegh10

I’m very interested to see how Weitzel does. She hasn’t been very good since Rio SCY or LCM. Hopefully she can turn it around.

she swam a 45 on the relay that got dq’d, after that she fell off

TRUE!

AvidSwimFan

Wasn’t she the reason they dq’d? If I remember clearly she left early, so the 45, is an over-estimation.

wpDiscuz

About Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh is a former NCAA swimmer at the University of Arizona and the University of Florida. She got her M.S. in Criminology from Florida State and seems exceptionally confused about which team she should cheer for during the college football season. Lauren is currently working on her M.A. in …

Read More »