DATA VISUAL: Scoring the 2022 Division I Men’s NCAA Championships Psych Sheet

2022 MEN’S NCAA SWIMMING AND DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS

The 2022 Division 1 Men’s NCAA Swimming and Diving Championship is just around the corner. The team score battle is going to be razor thin, so let’s take a closer look. 

Note: the psych sheet does not account for diving points

By just looking at the overall projected final score, it looks like another Texas versus Cal showdown, but after taking a closer look at the numbers, Cal won’t take the lead until the 400 freestyle relay, the last event of the meet. 

At the 2022 Pac-12 Championships, Cal came from behind to win the meet. The Golden Bears are projected to take another phoenix approach to this meet and slowly climb the team rankings before soaring to the top. Based on the psych sheet, Cal is seeded to be in 11th place at the end of day one, 5th place at the end of day two, 4th place at the end of day three, and then racing to 1st during the last session on day four. 

Per the psych sheet, Cal’s margin of victory is only 7.5 points over Texas. If the Longhorns are swimming lights-out, there could be too much of a gap for the Golden Bears to close in the 400 freestyle relay. Texas also usually saves its best performance for the NCAA Championships, which wouldn’t be reflected on the psych sheet. 

Cal winning this meet hinges on the team’s ability to execute in the 200 backstroke during the final session of the meet. If the Golden Bears can lock in multiple A-finalists, that might be enough momentum to bring a first place trophy back to Berkeley. 

Texas and Florida are projected to trade 1st and 2nd place multiple times throughout the first two days of the meet. Arizona State is seeded to get this meet started off with a bang, similar to the Sun Devils’ impressive performance at the beginning of the Pac-12 Championships, before falling off the top toward the end of the competition. Arizona State is projected to be in first place at the 200 freestyle on day three, but the team is projected to be in 4th at the end of the meet. NC State is projected to be in 5th by just 2.5 points.

Projected Psych Sheet Final Team Scores:

  1. California, 358.5
  2. Texas, 351
  3. Florida, 310.5
  4. Arizona State, 277
  5. NC State, 274.5
  6. Stanford, 239
  7. Indiana, 226
  8. Louisville, 199
  9. Ohio State, 190
  10. Virginia Tech, 185.5
  11. Georgia, 173
  12. Virginia, 109
  13. Michigan, 92
  14. Tennessee, 89.5 
  15. Alabama, 82
  16. Louisiana State, 52
  17. Arizona, 41
  18. Minnesota, 40
  19. Wisconsin, 39
  20. Harvard, 25
  21. Florida State, 24
  22. Penn, 22
  23. Southern California, 21
  24. Auburn/Missouri/Kentucky, 20
  25. Northwestern, 16.5
  26. Georgia Tech, 14
  27. Air Force/Princeton, 11
  28. Texas A&M, 9
  29. Pittsburgh, 6
  30. Penn State, 5
  31. Purdue, 4
  32. Notre Dame/Southern Methodist, 3
  33. University of North Carolina–Chapel Hill, 2

Cumulative Team Scoring

200 Medley Relay 800 Freestyle Relay 500 Freestyle 200 IM 50 Freestyle 200 Freestyle Relay 400 IM 100 Butterfly 200 Freestyle 100 Breaststroke 100 Backstroke 400 Medley Relay 1650 Freestyle 200 Backstroke 100 Freestyle 200 Breaststroke 200 Butterfly 400 Freestyle Relay
California 10 32 32 56 72 104 135 135 140 154 181 195 195 245 267 297 318.5 358.5
Texas 30 58 77 101 114.5 138.5 168.5 168.5 181 197 217 243 277 291 311 323 323 351
Florida 34 68 97 97 110 140 140 149 178.5 187.5 202.5 226.5 266.5 277.5 283.5 284.5 284.5 310.5
Arizona St 14 54 57 94 100 126 158 163 183 183 187 209 209 209 217 232 243 277
NC State 6 38 62 62 81.5 115.5 115.5 130.5 136.5 136.5 152.5 182.5 212.5 221.5 235.5 235.5 242.5 274.5
Stanford 24 54 65 82 85.5 85.5 99.5 119.5 123.5 123.5 136.5 168.5 168.5 184.5 199.5 215.5 217 239
Indiana 26 40 40 40 40 62 62 79 93 95 127 167 176 181 181 194 208 226
Louisville 40 64 64 64 75 93 97 110 116 131 137 165 165 165 165 169 189 199
Ohio St 32 32 32 35 42 70 70 83 83 83 100 134 149 149 163 163 166 190
Virginia Tech 22 32 32 48 61.5 75.5 75.5 106.5 106.5 106.5 106.5 124.5 124.5 139.5 150.5 156.5 171.5 185.5
Georgia 0 26 61 74 79 81 81 97 122 122 122 130 141 141 141 141 171 173
Virginia 0 12 12 12 22 62 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 74 79 79 79 109
Michigan 18 36 47 58 58 58 74 80 80 80 80 84 86 86 86 86 92 92
Tennessee 8 8 8 8 28 38 38 38 38 50.5 50.5 60.5 60.5 60.5 77.5 77.5 77.5 89.5
Alabama 28 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 49 49 61 61 65 65 74 74 82
LSU 0 0 0 0 17 17 17 17 32 32 32 32 32 32 52 52 52 52
Arizona 0 6 20 20 20 26 37 37 37 37 37 37 41 41 41 41 41 41
Minnesota 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40
Wisconsin 0 0 9 9 9 9 15 15 15 15 15 21 27 39 39 39 39 39
Harvard 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 11 11 11 14 16 16 16 19 19 19 25
Florida St 12 12 12 12 12 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24
Penn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 22 22 22
Southern Cali 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 14 14 14 14 14 21 21 21
Auburn 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 8 8 15 15 15 16 17 17 20 20 20
Missouri 0 0 0 4 4 4 4 4 11 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20
Kentucky 0 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 20
Northwestern 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5 16.5
Georgia Tech 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 5 14 14
Air Force (M) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
Princeton 0 0 0 6 6 6 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
Texas A&M 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 9 9 9 9 9
Pittsburgh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Penn St 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Purdue 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Notre Dame 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SMU 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
UNC 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Team Scoring by Event

200 Medley Relay 800 Freestyle Relay 500 Freestyle 200 IM 50 Freestyle 200 Freestyle Relay 400 IM 100 Butterfly 200 Freestyle 100 Breaststroke 100 Backstroke 400 Medley Relay 1650 Freestyle 200 Backstroke 100 Freestyle 200 Breaststroke 200 Butterfly 400 Freestyle Relay
California 10 22 0 24 16 32 31 0 5 14 27 14 0 50 22 30 21.5 40
Texas 30 28 19 24 13.5 24 30 0 12.5 16 20 26 34 14 20 12 0 28
Florida 34 34 29 0 13 30 0 9 29.5 9 15 24 40 11 6 1 0 26
Arizona St 14 40 3 37 6 26 32 5 20 0 4 22 0 0 8 15 11 34
NC State 6 32 24 0 19.5 34 0 15 6 0 16 30 30 9 14 0 7 32
Stanford 24 30 11 17 3.5 0 14 20 4 0 13 32 0 16 15 16 1.5 22
Indiana 26 14 0 0 0 22 0 17 14 2 32 40 9 5 0 13 14 18
Louisville 40 24 0 0 11 18 4 13 6 15 6 28 0 0 0 4 20 10
Ohio St 32 0 0 3 7 28 0 13 0 0 17 34 15 0 14 0 3 24
Virginia Tech 22 10 0 16 13.5 14 0 31 0 0 0 18 0 15 11 6 15 14
Georgia 0 26 35 13 5 2 0 16 25 0 0 8 11 0 0 0 30 2
Virginia 0 12 0 0 10 40 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 5 0 0 30
Michigan 18 18 11 11 0 0 16 6 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 6 0
Tennessee 8 0 0 0 20 10 0 0 0 12.5 0 10 0 0 17 0 0 12
Alabama 28 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 0 12 0 4 0 9 0 8
LSU 0 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0
Arizona 0 6 14 0 0 6 11 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0
Minnesota 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0
Wisconsin 0 0 9 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 6 6 12 0 0 0 0
Harvard 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 7 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 0 0 6
Florida St 12 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Penn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 17 0 0
Southern Cali 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0
Auburn 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 1 0 3 0 0
Missouri 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Kentucky 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0
Northwestern 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Georgia Tech 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 9 0
Air Force (M) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Princeton 0 0 0 6 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Texas A&M 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 7 0 0 0 0
Pittsburgh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Penn St 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Purdue 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Notre Dame 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SMU 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
UNC 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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Back2Back
8 months ago

Very cool motion graphic! What would make it perfect is those missing diving points splashing in from above! SwimSwam certainly knows how to spin up the comments from the DiveDove crowd too. Hook ‘em Swimmers and Divers!

Falcons
8 months ago

Sarah ROCKS, this is the best visualization of a Championship swim meet I have ever seen!!
Bring on the Women next, please!

Myshkin
8 months ago

LOVE the chart. Well done.

MIKE IN DALLAS
8 months ago

I agree 100% with the swimming side of things: Cal/1 ///UT/2;
Then, the reality of diving comes in: UT/1 ////Cal/2;
Life can be hard, esp. if you think “diving” is a spoiler – as some have said in other years.
Eddie will enjoy this [final] Championship even more than most.

Horninco
Reply to  MIKE IN DALLAS
8 months ago

NCAA needs to separate Swimming and Diving championships just like they have for Track vs Field

Stewie
Reply to  Horninco
8 months ago

I see what you did there…

Horninco
Reply to  Stewie
8 months ago

Mike didn’t

MIKE IN DALLAS
Reply to  Horninco
8 months ago

sweet dreams, friend.
It will never happen.

Horninco
Reply to  MIKE IN DALLAS
8 months ago

comment image

Last edited 8 months ago by Horninco
h2olover
Reply to  Horninco
8 months ago

No question about including field results with track times in coming up with a champion. Track event results can be measured to quarter inches, just as track and swimming events results are measured in fractions of seconds. Diving results unfortunately have a significant degree of subjective judgement. To me diving is unrelated to swimming and really deserves a separate championship, like gymnastics which is its much closer discipline.

Back2Back
Reply to  h2olover
8 months ago

I’ve coached in swimming, diving, track and field. All swimming strokes use a dive to start each race – and divers have to swim to the side after each dive! Never the two shall part… Hope Cal always shuns diving.

Back2Back
Reply to  Horninco
8 months ago

So I guess you are not going to the 2022 NCAA Track and Field Championships?

Swammer
Reply to  MIKE IN DALLAS
8 months ago

I think Cal still has a shot at winning, even with diving. I looked over the psych sheets again and I think Cal has more opportunities to improve from seed than Texas does. Texas also has some pretty bad luck, with their better events (IMs and 50/100/200 free) being really crowded with swimmers from noncontenders. It will take some historically fast times to final in sprint free this year, so Kibler and Krueger need to be on point. If they can slip those 2 and Auchenie in it would be huge, but it’s also possible at least one ends up in the B final or missing a second swim altogether, which would be disastrous.

MIKE IN DALLAS
Reply to  Swammer
8 months ago

. . . Perhaps. . .
. . . .And Alvin Jiang will make the “A” final and be fab in both 100 fly/back

Horninco
Reply to  Swammer
8 months ago

Lots of ways Texas and Cal can win/lose this meet.

Hugo makes the A final in the 400 and Lasco doesn’t have that out of nowhere bad lead off on the medley relay and Cal wins the meet last year.

Either team could DQ one relay and that changes the meet outcome

Not-so-Silent Observer
8 months ago

One thing to keep in mind is I believe NCstate got DQed at ACCs in the 200 medley, so if they can do a clean race with safe exchanges, they will def get more than 6 points. Their seed is from mid season invite.

Or else they would have the top seed over Louisville. Which gives them an automatic score bump of 34 points. Closing to gap to 2 pts with Florida in 3rd.

ClubCoach
Reply to  Not-so-Silent Observer
8 months ago

Then you also need to take into account that Bobby Finke is not seeded to score in the 500 Free and 400IM – he didn’t get to swim at SECs where he usually puts up his NCAA seed times. H was 6th in the 500 last year and won the 400IM so chances are he’ll score a few more points than what the psych sheet has for him.

Not-so-Silent Observer
Reply to  ClubCoach
8 months ago

That’s true too. I’ll be honest that skipped my mind when writing the post above. That said in my pick em i sure put that into my picks and made sure to scroll down for finke’s name.

I also put faith in NCstate/Dino and Florida’s distance groups. They might be the best two groups in the country. Exciting to see who shows up. They could score major points for either team

CavaDore
8 months ago

That is so cool! Did you provide one of these for the women? I don’t recall seeing it.

JimSwim22
Reply to  Sarah Berman
8 months ago

I’ve searched it three times. Coolest thing ever

NB1
8 months ago

fun and informative. I would make suggestions (lead the lines with the best swimmer/team’s transposed swimming video in his best stroke) but it’s great as it is!

PVSFree
8 months ago

This is a really interesting visualization. Part of me has to wonder if the ASU/Florida men take being in first for at least an event or two as momentum, which improves how they do on Day 3