Betting Odds Released For Men’s 100 Freestyle At World Championships

2019 FINA WORLD AQUATICS CHAMPIONSHIPS

  • All sports: Friday, July 12 – Sunday, July 28, 2019
  • Pool swimming: Sunday, July 21 – Sunday, July 28, 2019
  • The Nambu University Municipal Aquatics Center, Gwangju, Korea
  • Meet site
  • FinaTV Live Stream
  • Live results

After betting odds were released a few days ago for four head-to-head matchups at the upcoming FINA World Championships, there are now full odds available for the men’s 100 freestyle.

On Betway Sports, there are a total of 18 swimmers you can bet on to win the event. Check out the odds below:

Swimmer American Odds Decimal Odds $100 Bet Gets You: Implied Odds
Caeleb Dressel -150 1.66 $166 60.00%
Kyle Chalmers +162 2.62 $262 38.17%
Vladislav Grinev +600 7.00 $700 14.29%
Marcelo Chierighini +1200 13.00 $1300 7.69%
Mehdy Metella +1200 13.00 $1300 7.69%
Duncan Scott +1400 15.00 $1500 6.67%
Vladimir Morozov +1400 15.00 $1500 6.67%
Pieter Timmers +2500 26.00 $2600 3.85%
Alessandro Miressi +4000 41.00 $4100 2.44%
Clement Mignon +6600 67.00 $6700 1.49%
Breno Correia +8000 81.00 $8100 1.23%
Blake Pieroni +10000 101.00 $10,100 0.99%
Oussama Sahnoune +10000 101.00 $10,100 0.99%
Katsumi Nakamura +12500 126.00 $12,600 0.79%
Park Seonkwan +12500 126.00 $12,600 0.79%
He Junyi +15000 151.00 $15,100 0.66%
Clyde Lewis +20000 201.00 $20,100 0.50%
Nandor Nemeth +20000 201.00 $20,100 0.50%

The easiest way to understand what the odds mean is to look at the decimal odds. With Caeleb Dressel the favorite at -150, which converts to 1.66 in decimals, you would win $166 ($66 profit) if you bet $100 on him.

Looking at the American odds, the -150 indicates you need to put down $150 in order to win $100.

For one of the sizeable underdogs, such as Alessandro Miressi, his +4000 indicates he’s 40-to-1 to win, and thus you would need to bet $2.50 (100/2.5 = 40) in order to cash in $100.

The implied odds essentially state that based on the line, Dressel should win the race 60.00% of the time.

PICK?

In terms of who the pick would be here, it’s tough to say. In our preview we have Dressel, Chalmers, and then Vladislav Grinev in that order, which reflects the odds. Miressi, who we have fourth, only has the ninth-best odds, but he would need the stars to align perfectly to actually win outright.

The race between Dressel and Chalmers is closer than the odds indicate, so despite the fact I did pick the defending champ to win, a bet on the Olympic gold medalist makes sense. I also give Grinev a chance to win based on what we’ve seen from him this season, maybe around 20% of the time, which is better than where the odds have him (14.29%).

A bet on any of those three is explainable, but if I had to make a selection, I’d go with Chalmers at the current odds. The line has Dressel too big of a favorite to warrant a bet given the variability of the sport (that’s what makes this so fun!).

However, if confidence on Dressel is sky-high, he’s a great parlay piece (multiple bets in one) to throw in with other picks.

Given the limited amount of swimming betting that is out there currently, it’s unlikely that after the prelims (and semis) the odds would fluctuate to reflect what the swimmers have done. Perhaps that will come in the future, but chances are they’ll get shut down before the event starts (or maybe even before Worlds starts). But if they’re still out there after the 400 free relay, which is on the opening night, you’ll have a better sense of who is on form and may be able to take advantage.

We’ll keep an eye on the lines and see if more odds are released over the course of the next week.

In This Story

43
Leave a Reply

Subscribe
Notify of

43 Comments
newest
oldest most voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
anon
5 years ago

Vladimir Morozov bet looks good at this price, shame i can’t bet where i am

iLikePsych
5 years ago

If anyone wants to bet on Dean Farris winning, I will be offering 1 Million to 1 odds

THEO
5 years ago

Honest question – why are people not predicting dressel at like a 46.6 flat-start for this race, given his prior history of dropping time from in-season times? Because by my math it won’t even be close

THEO
Reply to  THEO
5 years ago

Note: if I seem crazy, all I gotta say is that the dude went 17.63 after going 19.5s in dual meets and 18 mid at a semi-taper meet. Also >1s drop in 1free for full taper, easy

Josh
Reply to  THEO
5 years ago

Guess we’ll see.. I don’t think the math will shake out like it has in the past per my post above

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  THEO
5 years ago

He’s on a full year-round pro schedule for the first time. All the prior years were after the big work surge post-NCAA meet, trying to build something off which to taper by summer’s end.. All the post-NCAA meet swimmers swam really slowly in June – Early July. Dean barely broke 50 in the 100 free, then drops the 47.0 leg at WUGs. The pros don’t have an NCAA taper, and many do at least a partial taper in early summer (kind of like a conference taper for NCAAs for the stars). Troy said he targeted the 47.9 meet, which corresponded to the timing for 2020 OTs. So to expect the typical drop he’s done in the past is ludicrous. But… Read more »

coacherik
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
5 years ago

Well, he does have ludicrous speed.. who knows, might even go plaid on this field.

Usausausa
5 years ago

Timmers is going to pay off my student loans

Scribble
5 years ago

Grinev looks like an interesting bet. $100 gets you $700.

Taa
Reply to  Scribble
5 years ago

was thinking the same. If that website took USA bettors I think the money would pour onto Dressel and you would get some even better odds on Grinev. We are talking such a small fraction of time as the difference in their performance that if you got say 8/1 it would just be too good to pass up. If you knew Grinev was juicing then all the better

Scribble
Reply to  Taa
5 years ago

A Russian juicing? I’m shocked. Shocked. #Icarus

Taa
Reply to  Scribble
5 years ago

I’m talking only the highest quality fruits and vegetables of course

CACrushers
Reply to  Scribble
5 years ago

The problem with Grinev is that he has one swim to his name. I think the floor is pretty low for him at Worlds. Agree that it’s an interesting bet though

Josh
5 years ago

Dressel is a bad bet at these odds. Think people are betting too much that he will drop huge time from his 47.9 recently just because he has dropped a lot from this point in season in past but that was when he was improving a lot as it is … my bet is the winner goes slower than dressels winning time in 2017 but hope I’m wrong

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Josh
5 years ago

I am not posting under two names, Braden.

Samesame
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
5 years ago

Lmao

Reilly
5 years ago

Think we could all bet on Nandor Nemeth and get the others to throw the race?

Get rid of your motorcycle
5 years ago

I’m going with Dressel

About James Sutherland

James Sutherland

James swam five years at Laurentian University in Sudbury, Ontario, specializing in the 200 free, back and IM. He finished up his collegiate swimming career in 2018, graduating with a bachelor's degree in economics. In 2019 he completed his graduate degree in sports journalism. Prior to going to Laurentian, James swam …

Read More »