2021 U.S. Olympic Trials Wave II: Day 3 Prelims Preview

2021 U.S. OLYMPIC SWIMMING TRIALS

The theme of Tuesday morning will be event doubles – who is taking on two events and who scratched an event or two to focus in on a primary swim.

Katie Ledecky is the headliner, with a likely 200 free/1500 free double this morning. She’s the runaway top seed in both races. Ledecky would have semifinals of the 200 free in tonight’s session, then the final of both races in another double on Wednesday night.

Alternatively, a lot of other top names who were set up for doubles scratched one event or the other. Madisyn Cox was a top-8 seed in both the 200 free (6th) and 200 IM (1st), but scratched the 200 free. Melanie Margalis was entered in the same combo, but also bowed out of the 200 free. Leah Smith would have matched Ledecky’s double between the 200 free and 1500 free, but she’s dropped the latter.

Stanford’s Brooke Forde is entered in both the 200 free and 200 IM and will take on the tough double. She’s the 12th seed into the 200 free and the 13th seed into the 200 IM. 17-year-old Justina Kozan of Mission Viejo will also swim that double as the 8th 200 IM seed and the 14th 200 free seed. Torri Huske, fresh off her first Olympic berth in the 100 fly last night, will also contest the 200 IM/200 free double.

We can definitively say we won’t see any doubles on the men’s side this morning. That’s because there’s just one event. Luca Urlando leads the men’s 200 fly heats. This will be the first Olympic Games since 1996 that won’t feature Michael Phelps on Team USA’s 200 fly roster. That leaves a much more wide-open field. The 19-year-old Urlando will look to fight off Louisville alumnus Zach Harting along with Cal’s Trenton JulianCal veteran Tom Shieldswho joined Phelps on the Olympic team in this event in 2016, should also compete as the 6th seed. He’s 29 years old and the oldest man in the field this morning.

In the 200 IM, keep an eye on Kathleen Bakerthe former world-record-holding backstroker. She’s been hampered by a foot injury this year, but the 200 IM might be her best chance to make a second Olympic team after she missed the 100 back final in last night’s semis.

In the women’s 1500, we’ll get many of the same competitors from last night’s 400 free final. That includes the standout Ledecky, along with Smith, Haley Anderson and Sierra SchmidtThis will be the first 1500 free in Olympic history as a new event this year. The event will be swum prelims/finals, with heats this morning and the final tomorrow night.

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Hswimmer
1 month ago

200 IM best chance for baker? No way with Margalis and Walsh.

DMSWIM
Reply to  Hswimmer
1 month ago

Agreed. Douglass is in there too after her 100 fly last night. I think her best shot is 200 back.

PVSFree
Reply to  DMSWIM
1 month ago

Bacon looked decent in the 100 back, she’s gonna make it hard for Baker to qualify in the 200. Also Rhyan White is gonna be in the mix

Last edited 1 month ago by PVSFree
Ole 99
Reply to  Hswimmer
1 month ago

She and her coach have said/are saying what they have to, but it’s clearly affecting her. Wish her the best.

Little Mermaid
Reply to  Hswimmer
1 month ago

Walsh will beat Douglas 200IM

Joel Lin
Reply to  Little Mermaid
1 month ago

Non zero chance they go 1-2. Douglas is swimming very well. Remember – she hasn’t swum breaststroke since the fall NCAA meet, but in that moment she nearly broke the 200br AR. Or it could be Cox & Margalis. It will be a real tight race tomorrow nite, assuming all the players advance.

Little Mermaid
Reply to  Joel Lin
1 month ago

Never said 1-2, however, I feel Walsh will be a big surprise!

Hswimmer
Reply to  Hswimmer
1 month ago

Neither

Irish Ringer
Reply to  Hswimmer
1 month ago

Agree, unfortunately she would need to be 100% to make any of the events and she’s simply not there.

ACC Greatness
Reply to  Irish Ringer
1 month ago

Sophie Lindner will be up there too in the 200 back. Had a very strong back half in the 100 last night.

Willswim
1 month ago

New bold prediction!
In Tokyo the US prelims team in the mixed medley made up of Murphy, King, Huske, Held will break the world record, and then in finals a team of Smith, Andrew, Dressel, Manuel will win gold but not re-break the record. Don’t @ me 🤷🏼‍♂️

IRO
Reply to  Willswim
1 month ago

No way they lead a woman on backstroke.

BillyBob
1 month ago

A lot of people are triggered by Michael Andrew swimming the finals of the 100 back. I think you are all overestimating how much energy one extra 100 takes. He doesn’t have any other races today. By the logic of the swim swam commenters every single person who has races later in the meet should scratch all of their finals appearances if they don’t have a realistic shot at being top two.

Hswimmer
Reply to  BillyBob
1 month ago

I mean he knows he ain’t going 52.

Philip Johnson
Reply to  BillyBob
1 month ago

I’m still amazed he even made the final.

coachymccoachface
Reply to  Philip Johnson
1 month ago

Yes I’m amazed the most talented swimmer in a generation made an olympic final

flygirl21
Reply to  coachymccoachface
1 month ago

Most talented swimmer in a generation?

coachymccoachface
Reply to  flygirl21
1 month ago

Physically absolutely.

flygirl21
Reply to  coachymccoachface
1 month ago

If only Caeleb Dressel had his physical ability

Joe
Reply to  coachymccoachface
1 month ago

He might be top 15 in this generation

BillyBob
Reply to  Joe
1 month ago

It depends how you define generation? Of the male swimmers in their 20s he’s probably top 5 for overall ability imo. Being elite in every stroke is a big deal for me when ranking swimmers. Dressel isn’t a great LCM breast, back or IM. I’d still put Dressel over MA of course but it makes it closer than it would be that MA literally won every 50 at US Nationals. That kind of stuff is insane.

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  BillyBob
1 month ago

You try doing all those races on a Chipoltle keto diet. At some point, the body needs some actual fuel.

Jon Nap
Reply to  BillyBob
1 month ago

I feel that these guys just want to race. And if it doesn’t create a tough double, an extra race can help swimmers calm their nerves and really get them in the racing mental state. Totally agree with you, Billy, especially for MA who’s used to the race-pace method.

swammer2009
1 month ago

Haley Anderson is such an under the radar stud. 3 time Olympian, 29 years old, swims the toughest events, goes a best time yesterday in the 400 free, has the mile today, always seems so relaxed, etc. I could go on and on. It’s been fun following her journey over the years!

Joel Lin
Reply to  swammer2009
1 month ago

It’d be cool if she gives herself a shot at doing what Mellouli did in London – medal in the pool and in the lake.

blah
Reply to  swammer2009
1 month ago

She’s the best I wanted her to get 2nd in that 400m so bad

Ol' Longhorn
1 month ago

Off-topic, but Sierra Schmidt’s dance routine before the 400 free final was insane.

Admin
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
1 month ago

Yo she must’ve been choreographing that during the pandemic because it was strong.

kirkola
1 month ago

It seemed over for Lotche before it began based on the past year and this new generation, who are amazing.

Shane Potsdam
Reply to  kirkola
1 month ago

It has been over since he exited that Rio gas station bathroom. Period

Harry Potter vlogs for Miller
Reply to  Shane Potsdam
1 month ago

Jeaaaahhhhh!!

Andrew
1 month ago

Torri Huske is doing the 200 free/200 IM double as well!

HOYA13
1 month ago

Simone DFS 200 Free. Kinda disappointed she didn’t at least throw a prelims swim in there to see what she could go.

About Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson swam for nearly twenty years. Then, Jared Anderson stopped swimming and started writing about swimming. He's not sick of swimming yet. Swimming might be sick of him, though. Jared was a YMCA and high school swimmer in northern Minnesota, and spent his college years swimming breaststroke and occasionally pretending …

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