2017-2018 Men’s NCAA Power Rankings: February Edition

As in previous years, SwimSwam’s Power Rankings are somewhere between the CSCAA-style dual meet rankings and a pure prediction of NCAA finish order.  SwimSwam’s rankings take into account how a team looks at the moment, while keeping the end of the season in mind through things like a team’s previous trajectory and NCAA scoring potential.  These rankings are by nature subjective, and a jumping-off point for discussion.  If you disagree with any team’s ranking, feel free to make your case in a respectful way in our comments section.

As we head into conference championship season, it’s time for our penultimate NCAA Power Rankings on the men’s side. Our top spot has gone back and forth between Cal and Texas all year, and this edition is no exception as the two trade their ranks from our most recent rankings.

Texas started the year #1, but Cal took over that rank after the fall dual meet season. We put Texas (narrowly) back at #1 after winter invites, but now Cal has surged back to the top heading into the conference rounds.

See also:

We’re introducing a new format for our Power Rankings this season: a committee system where we average out the top 20 ballots of multiple SwimSwam writers to come up with our official ranking order. While this should help readers glean which teams are consensus picks at their rank and where in the order things get fuzzy and more subjective, bear in mind that these rankings are not an opportunity to personally attack any specific writer.

With that said, onto our fourth rankings for the 2017-2018 season:

(Also receiving votes: Minnesota, Notre Dame, Miami)

#20: Denver Pioneers (PREVIOUS RANK: N/A)

Denver has developed a stud sprinter (Sid Farber) and a great backstroker (Anton Loncar) who pair for excellent relays. -JA

Sid Farber and Anton Loncar have positioned themselves nicely to be able to score at the NCAAs, and Denver’s 200 and 400 free relays are in great shape. They’ll need more fly and breast speed to be able make their medley relays contenders, and propel them higher in the rankings. -SP

#19: MISSOURI TIGERS (PREVIOUS RANK: #17)

Did you know that Missouri graduated 3 of 4 legs from last year’s NCAA third-place 400 medley relay, yet somehow still ranks 4th in the nation this season? This team has way more fast swimmers than big names. Expect to be surprised by one or two little-known Tigers this postseason. -JA

#18: GRAND CANYON ANTELOPES (PREVIOUS RANK: #20)

Grand Canyon is out to make a statement in its first year of NCAA eligibility. Can the medley relay repeat its stellar mid-season performance? -JA

Grand Canyon has a lot going for them, with great backstroke speed out of Mark Nikolaev, Youssef El Kamash in the breast events, and a lot of speed on the all relays except the 800 free relay. -SP

#17: PURDUE BOILERMAKERS  (PREVIOUS RANK: #15)

There won’t be many point-scorers, but Steele Johnson should be one of the top overall individual scorers, swimming or diving. -JA

#16: LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (PREVIOUS RANK: #16)

Louisville has a lot of nice pieces through fly and breaststroke, but their medley relays are suffering from the lack of a true stud sprinter. That said, Andrej Barna hit a lifetime-best 50 free back in November, and a big ACC meet from him could launch the Cardinal relays into orbit. -JA

#15: SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS(PREVIOUS RANK: #18)

Brandonn Almeida wasn’t earth-shattering in his debut, but don’t underestimate his potential impact in a loaded distance group. -JA

#14: AUBURN TIGERS  (PREVIOUS RANK: #13)

Zach Apple and Hugo Gonzalez continue to look good in January, but there’s a steep drop-off after those two stars. -RG

#13: TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS (PREVIOUS RANK: #14)

Diving transfer Colin Zeng is going to add 35+ points to a team that’s sneaky-good in the pool. -JA

Tennessee has a lot of scoring ability in relays, as well as some individual performers to back it up. The addition of Colin Zeng in diving has given them top 10 potential. -SP

#12: GEORGIA BULLDOGS (PREVIOUS RANK: #11)

Gunnar Bentz is back. That’s huge. But unless he’s bringing three 19-second freestylers back from injured reserve with him, this team is going to struggle for relay points. -JA

No doubt Gunnar Bentz returning is huge for the Bulldogs, however, they’ve somewhat underperformed this season. They definitely shouldn’t be counted out, but Georgia’s going to need to have a great showing at the SECs. -SP

#11: TEXAS A&M AGGIES (PREVIOUS RANK: #12)

These Aggies aren’t going away. Mauro Castillo is still somewhat overlooked as an NCAA title contender in breaststroke – can he put himself fully on the radar with a big SEC performance? -JA

#10: ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS (PREVIOUS RANK: #10)

A win over Texas shows how far this team has come the past few years. It also solidifies the sense that they can crack the top ten, but it’s hard to see them moving up much more. – RG

#9: ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (PREVIOUS RANK: #9)

Don’t let a bad loss to Ohio State fool you. Alabama was victimized in distance free and diving, but this roster is still built for big NCAA points. -JA

#8: USC TROJANS (PREVIOUS RANK: #7)

Carsten Vissering looked great in his return, which instantly returns USC’s medley relays to contender status. -JA

#7: MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (PREVIOUS RANK: #8)

The Wolverines have continued to impress me the entire season. They are 1st or 2nd in all the relays in the Big Ten, and have, in my opinion, the 2nd best all-around freestyle squad in the NCAA (behind Stanford) as well as one of the deepest IM squads. -SP

#6:  INDIANA HOOSIERS (PREVIOUS RANK: #6)

Just like with #1/2 and #3/4, I keep going back and forth Stanford and Indiana. Right now, Stanford gets the edge only because some of the Hoosiers’ key swimmers have consistently performed better at Big Tens than NCAAs the past few years. -RG

Gabriel Fantoni is an excellent addition to the Hoosiers, creating more potential combinations for already good medley relays. -SP

#5: STANFORD CARDINAL (PREVIOUS RANK: #5)

Stanford’s free group is phenomenal, and more importantly, they have the ability to score in every single swimming event, including the relays. That will make them very dangerous at the NCAAs. -SP

#4: FLORIDA GATORS (PREVIOUS RANK: #4)

Most of the relay ranks don’t yet include Caeleb Dressel, but the Gators currently have a lot of ground to make up on NC State. -JA

#3: NC STATE WOLFPACK (PREVIOUS RANK: #3)

Do we even know who will swim what relay for NC State? The Pack runs deep with versatile talents like Ryan Held, Jacob Molacek, Justin Ress and Andreas Vazaiosgiving the coaching staff myriad relay options at ACCs. -JA

#2: TEXAS LONGHORNS (PREVIOUS RANK: #1)

Too many stars to not show up at NCAAs. Plus a big diving advantage. -JA

If you trust the Texas taper, there’s no reason to be unduly worried about the Longhorns’ loss to ASU. There’s more reason to be worried about John Shebat not swimming the past two weekends, even if he’s now supposed to be back for the postseason. – RG

#1: CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS (PREVIOUS RANK: #2)

Every time I’ve crunched the numbers, Cal comes out ahead by 10-20 points. A single DQ or sub-par morning swim could make the difference at NCs. – RG

I think it’s safe to say it will be a bloodbath between Cal and Texas at the NCAAs, and while Texas probably has more star power, I think Cal has more momentum going into their conference meet. That can make a big difference going into taper. -SP

Cal might have the best relays in the nation as a whole. Ryan Hoffer is starting to look like a true budding star again. -JA

FULL RANKING BALLOTS

Rank Jared Braden Robert Spencer
1 Texas California California California
2 California Texas Texas Texas
3 NC State Florida NC State NC State
4 Florida NC State Florida Florida
5 Stanford Stanford Stanford Indiana
6 Indiana Indiana Indiana Stanford
7 Michigan Michigan Michigan Michigan
8 USC USC USC USC
9 Alabama Texas A&M Alabama Alabama
10 Arizona State Alabama Arizona State Texas A&M
11 Tennessee Georgia Tennessee Arizona State
12 Georgia Arizona State Texas A&M Georgia
13 Texas A&M Auburn Georgia Tennessee
14 Auburn Tennessee Auburn Auburn
15 Louisville South Carolina South Carolina South Carolina
16 Missouri Purdue Louisville Purdue
17 Purdue Louisville Purdue Louisville
18 South Carolina Grand Canyon Grand Canyon Grand Canyon
19 Minnesota Notre Dame Denver Denver
20 Grand Canyon Minnesota Miami (FL) Miami (FL)

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90 Comments on "2017-2018 Men’s NCAA Power Rankings: February Edition"

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GoTennesseeDiving!

Not divedove here.

So the swimmers will jump instead of dive into the pool at start of races???

GOtennesseeSwimmingandDIVING! We gonna shock all the doubters this year rolling past ALLSEC schools at NCAAs except UF>

TENNESSEE, Stanford, CAL, Texas, NC ST, Indiana, MICHIGAN , USC and TEXAS A+M are the ONLY schools which will have both the Women’s and Men’s Team in the TOP TEN at NCAAS. The ELITE TEAMS of Swimming and Diving!!! Go Vols.

JP input is too short

I mean, if 9 teams have both men and women in the top 10… that’s not all that exclusive a group relatively speaking… right?

True! JP you pretty sharp. Guess the only truly elite teams this year will be Stanford Women and Cal or Texas Men!

No love for Harvard. Sad!

I think Harvard definitely has the potential to be in the top 20, I’m just waiting to see what they do at the Ivies.

JP input is too short

Their 52 breaststroker from last year McNamara hasn’t swam a meet this year, so I’m assuming he either is hurt or retired… if he were swimming, Harvard would have some REALLY scary medley relays. Like, their 200 MR could be contending for the title.

let’s not get carried away…. the 4×100 and maybe 4×200 could make the A-final, conceivably.

JP, they could just have Dean Farris swim a 200 IM

Contending for a title!!! HAHAHAHA no way. They would need someone going at least 20.5 back… 23.0 breast… 19.8 fly which they might have, and an 18 low free which Dean Farris may or may not be able to do.

If Texas isn’t hot at NCAAs, I think UF and maybe even NCst move ahead of them. Eddie knows what he is doing but sometimes he misses…..just not that often.
I also question Michigan being that high. Not sure their relays are that strong but we will see In March

JP input is too short

Their sprint free relays will be lights-out. They need a backstroker to step up, and I’m not sure if they have the 200 free depth they usually do – their sprinters are all drop-dead sprinters and most of their longer free guys tend toward the 500-1650 side. Auboeck is really the only guy that bridges the gap.

Sir Swimsalot

Haas?

ArtVanDeLegh10

JP input is too short is talking about Michigan not Texas.

JP input is too short

Last I checked, Haas swims for Texas.

About Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson just can’t stay away from the pool. A competitive career of almost two decades wasn’t enough for this Minnesotan, who continues to get his daily chlorine fix. A lifelong lover of writing, Jared now combines the two passions as Senior Reporter for SwimSwam.com, covering swimming at every level. He’s an …

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