2023 NCAA DIVISION I MEN’S SWIMMING & DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS
- March 22-25, 2023
- Jean K. Freeman Aquatic Center | Minneapolis, MN
- SCY (25 yards)
- Meet Central
- Psych Sheets
- SwimSwam Preview Index
- SwimSwam Pick ’em Contest
- Live Results
Just like we did with the women’s meet last week, we have now updated our men’s picks for NCAAs. Back in September/October, we picked who we thought would win each event at NCAAs. Read in-depth about those picks here. A quick summary of the most common pick at the start of the season can be seen in the chart below:
| SwimSwam’s Top Pick | |
| 50 Free | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal |
| 100 Free | Josh Liendo, Florida |
| 200 Free | Luke Hobson, Texas |
| 500 Free | Luke Hobson, Texas/ Jake Magahey, Georgia |
| 1650 Free | David Johnston, Texas |
| 100 back | Luca Urlando, Georgia |
| 200 Back | Destin Lasco, Cal |
| 100 Breast | Max McHugh, Minnesota |
| 200 Breast | Leon Marchand, ASU |
| 100 Fly | Andrei Minakov, Stanford |
| 200 Fly | Luca Urlando, Georgia |
| 200 IM | Leon Marchand, ASU |
| 400 IM | Leon Marchand, ASU |
| 200 Medley Relay | Florida |
| 400 medley Relay | Indiana |
| 200 Free relay | Florida |
| 400 free relay | NC State |
| 800 free relay | Texas |
Things have changed throughout the season. Notably, Luca Urlando of Georgia was the most popular pick at the beginning of the season in the 200 fly, but Urlando will not be at NCAAs due to a shoulder injury.
Compared to the women’s meet where there were only three unanimous picks, the men’s meet has a lot more. Leon Marchand was picked by all writers to win both the 200 breast and 400 IM. Max McHugh of Minnesota was picked to win the 100 breast, Destin Lasco of Cal was picked to win the 200 back, Jordan Crooks of Tennessee was picked to win the 50 free, and Grant House of ASU was picked to win the 200 free.
Interestingly, the most “indecisive” event was the 100 fly where three writers each picked Andrei Minakov (Stanford), Youssef Ramadan (VT), and Josh Liendo (Florida) to win.
Updated Picks:
| SwimSwam’s Top Pick | Highest 2022 Returner | Anya | Braden | James | Robert | YanYan | Sophie | Spencer | Riley | Reid | |
| 50 Free | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee | Brooks Curry, LSU | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee | Jordan Crooks, Tennessee |
| 100 Free | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal | Brooks Curry, LSU | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal | Brooks Curry, LSU | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal | Bjorn Seeliger, Cal |
| 200 Free | Grant House, ASU | Grant House, Arizona State | Grant House, ASU | Grant House, ASU | Grant House, ASU | Grant House, Arizona State | Grant House, ASU | Grant House, ASU | Grant House, ASU | Grant House, Arizona State | Grant House, ASU |
| 500 Free | Jake Magahey, Georgia | Jake Magahey, Georgia | Jake Magahey, Georgia | Jake Magahey, Georgia | Luke Hobson, Texas | Luke Hobson, TX | Luke Hobson, Texas | Jake Magahey, Georgia | Jake Magahey, Georgia | Jake Magahey, Georgia | Jake Magahey, Georgia |
| 1650 Free | David Johnston, Texas | Will Gallant, NC State | David Johnston, Texas | David Johnston, Texas | David Johnston, Texas | Will Gallant, NC State | David Johnston, Texas | David Johnston, Texas | David Johnston, Texas | David Johnston, Texas | Will Galant, NC State |
| 100 back | Adam Chaney, Florida | Kacper Stokowski, NC State | Adam Chaney, Florida | Destin Lasco, Cal | Adam Chaney, Florida | Adam Chaney, Florida | Destin Lasco, Cal | Adam Chaney, Florida | Destin Lasco, Cal | Kacper Stokowski, NC State | Adam Chaney, Florida |
| 200 Back | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal | Destin Lasco, Cal |
| 100 Breast | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota | Max McHugh, Minnesota |
| 200 Breast | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU |
| 100 Fly | Andrei Minakov, Stanford/ Youssef Ramadan, VT/ Josh Liendo, Florida | Andrei Minakov, Stanford | Youssef Ramadan, Virginia Tech | Andrei Minakov, Stanford | Josh Liendo, Florida | Josh Liendo, Florida | Youssef Ramadan, VT | Josh Liendo, Florida | Andrei Minakov, Stanford | Andrei Minakov, Stanford | Youssef Ramadan, VT |
| 200 Fly | Brendan Burns, Indiana | Brendan Burns, Indiana | Brendan Burns, Indiana | Gabriel Jett, Cal | Gabriel Jett, Cal | Aiden Hayes, NC State | Brendan Burns, Indiana | Brendan Burns, Indiana | Brendan Burns, Indiana | Gabriel Jett, Cal | Alexander Colson, ASU |
| 200 IM | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Carson Foster, Texas | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU |
| 400 IM | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU | Leon Marchand, ASU |
| 200 Medley Relay | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | NC State | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | |
| 400 medley Relay | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | ASU | |
| 200 Free relay | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | Florida | |
| 400 free relay | Cal | Cal | Cal | Cal | Florida | ASU | Cal | Cal | Cal | ASU | |
| 800 free relay | ASU | ASU | Texas | ASU | Texas | ASU | ASU | ASU | ASU | ASU | |
| Potential Upset | Charlie Hawke wins the 200 free. Not the craziest upset in the world given his seed time, but he’s got the 1:31s dialled in and will keep House on his toes. | Texas, out of the running for the team title by the last event, goes for broke, and wins the 400 free relay to close out the meet. That’ll make them 3-3 in that event when Cal wins the meet since 2019. | Carson Foster beating Leon Marchand in the 400 IM is very much possible. | Cal keeps the 200 back title in the team–but it’s Hugo Gonzalez who wins it. |
It’s a bit obvious, since he is the defending champion in the event, but I’m going with Hugo Gonzalez beating Leon Marchand in the 400 IM.
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Braden should have in his potential upset that Leon might beat Carson in the 200 IM.
That is not going to happen if Carson just saves himself by cruising the 400IM for an easy 3:32 3rd place.
Keep sleeping on Magahey in the mile…14:24 PB🤫
Robert, Texas will not win the 400 Free relay. I love some symmetry, but that just isn’t going to happen in any universe.
Relay night begins with with Texas likely defending their 800 free relay title but ASU giving them a race the entire way with a few sub 1:30 splits in this race. Next Florida wins the 200 medley relay becoming the first team under 1:21. Someone splits sub 20 leading off the relay either Bjorn, Adam or Kacper.
Medley comes first tonight
my mistake flip the 2 but my predictions still stand.
Braden, I’m interested to know what made you pick Carson foster, who has never broken 1:40, over the NCAA record holder in the 200 IM.
Back to breast DQ ?
I’d be surprised if Carson breaks into the top 3, let alone wins it. Marchand, Lasco, and Hugo are much faster in this than Carson is. It’s too short for Carson.
Colles Marti and Polonsky have also both been sub 1:40
Braden, respectfully, put the edibles down. Carson isn’t wining the 200 IM. And I’m a huge Carson fan.
Next level predictions:
- Bear season begins with a sub 20.0 bjackstroke split.
- McHugh repeats as NCAA champion & breaks the American record in the 100 breast, then immediately announces his retirement from swimming to sign a professional ice hockey contract with a Minnesota Wild’s NHL minor league affiliate club in Moose Jaw Saskatchewan.
- Bob Bowman holds a laminated copy of his minestrone soup recipe close to Mike Bottom’s checkered shirt & the lighted laminate reflection reveals a nuclear fusion net energy gain function formula discovery. Rowdy Gaines subsequently nominates Bowman for a Nobel Prize.
- Bears repeat, Dave Durden stuns the swimming community by tearfully announcing his retirement from the sport with immediate effect so that he may pursue his
… Read more »5.While he has enjoyed his fruitful and dominant NBA career, Lebron James takes to the bulkhead before the first heat of the 400 free relay takes off Saturday night to announce he will be attending SMU in the fall on a full swimming scholarship.
6.Only relay American records will be broken at this year’s NCAAs.
No love for Burns, nothing new lol
I am wondering if money would be in the bet ( ie 1000 USD/winner) would it be the same pick? My guess no one would be so crazy not to pick Marchand for all IM events😉 and ASU for 800 free relay too.
I mean.
It depends on the odds, right?
I believe he’s saying something like had you all bet some amount of money on who can get the most picks correct, would your picks have changed? And would everyone have just taken the favorites in everything?
The answer to latter is “it’s complicated”. The way to win something like this is to either nail the exact upset that occurs (think picking someone else against Marchand) as that gains you basically a full point on the field, or by hitting all the coinflips (like the 100 fly) exactly right. The likely winner would probably hit the midpoint of those two things-if I was building a list and saw your guys picks, I would almost assuredly be aiming at trying to… Read more »
Was just wondering if Braden and Carson are drinkin’ buddies.
I think you’re underestimating how fast Texas 800 free relay can be. I think they’re gonna beat ASU. I guess we’ll all find out in a few hours.
On the 800 Free Relay pick, there are a lot of folk just worshipping at the altar of Texas past without doing any rational analysis. Many of these folks say, 3 of 4 back, they’ve gotta win it. Very few acknowledge that the one not back is Drew Kibler, last year’s 200 winner and LCM Worlds finalist, no offense intended toward Mr. Larson. They could still win it but ….
Yeah the ASU relay looks stout. Texas will be faster than expected (Larson 1:31.8, Carrozza 1:31.00, Carson 1:30.5, Hobson 1:30.0) but I expect ASU to just squeak by Texas with a Leon 1:29,00 anchor
🤭