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Data Visualization Shows Predicted Paths at 2023 Women’s NCAAs

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2023 NCAA WOMEN’S SWIMMING AND DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS

With the 2023 Women’s NCAA Championships right around the corner next week, let’s take a look at what the meet would look like if everything happened exactly as expected according to the official psych sheets.

Note: the psych sheet does not account for diving points

The Division I Women’s NCAA Championship Scored Psych Sheet: Top 20 Teams

Virginia is projected to cruise to a three-peat with 465 points, 73 points ahead of second-place Texas. You can toggle between the two tabs, scores and ranks, to see how the dynamic of the meet is expected to shift across the four days of action in Knoxville, Tennessee.

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The Cavaliers are expected to lead for the entire meet except for a brief stint after the 800 free relay on the opening night. They really start to pull away following the 200 IM on the second day of action, where Kate Douglass and Alex Walsh are the top two seeds.

The battle for third place actually seems like it might be closer than the battle for second. Texas, Stanford, and NC State are expected to be neck-and-neck on the final day of competition before the Longhorns are projected to pull away during the 100 free, 200 breast, and 200 fly, where they boast the top three qualifiers (Emma Sticklen, Kelly Pash, and Dakota Luther). Meanwhile, the Cardinal are expected to finish more than 60 points behind Texas, and just 23 points ahead of the fourth-place Wolfpack.

The Division I Women’s NCAA Championship Scored Psych Sheet: Top 10 Teams

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Looking just at the top 10 rankings, there’s an intriguing battle for fifth place taking shape between Ohio State, Louisville, and Tennessee. The Buckeyes and Cardinals are expected to surge ahead early before the Volunteers make a push on Friday. Ohio State is projected to edge Louisville by just eight points, with the Cardinals 30 points ahead of Tennessee.
Further down the standings, the graph shows Florida (170) sneaking past Alabama (158) by just

The Division I Women’s NCAA Championship Scored Psych Sheet: Top 5 Teams

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The Division I Women’s NCAA Championship Scored Psych Sheet: Top 3 Teams

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2023 NCAAS – PROJECTED TEAM STANDINGS

TOTAL INDIVIDUAL RELAY
Virginia, University of 464.5 270.5 194
Texas, University of 387.75 245.75 142
Stanford University 325 173 152
North Carolina State University 301.5 163.5 138
Ohio State University 251.5 126.5 125
Louisville, University of 242.583 112.583 130
University of Tennessee 212.5 150.5 62
Florida, University of 169.5 61.5 108
University of Alabama 158 82 76
California, University of, Berkeley 129 69 60
Indiana University 128 55 73
Louisiana State University 119 63 56
Georgia, University of 102.75 78.75 24
University of Southern California 80 42 38
North Carolina, University of, Chapel Hill 75.333 21.333 54
Michigan, University of 64 22 42
Wisconsin, University of, Madison 60 54 6
Duke University 39 34 5
Auburn University 34 20 14
Kentucky, University of 31 31 0
VA Tech 29 13 16
Texas A&M University 28 28 0
Arizona State University 25 23 2
Georgia Institute of Technology 25 25 0
University of Hawaii 19.5 1.5 18
University of Pennsylvania 19 19 0
University of Arkansas 15.5 1.5 14
University of Minnesota 13 13 0
University of California, Los Angeles 6 6 0
Missouri, University of 4 4 0
University of Miami (Florida) 3 3 0
Cincinnati, University of 1 1 0
Pittsburgh, University of 0.75 0.75 0
Northwestern University 0.333 0.333 0

Team Scoring by Event

200 Medley Relay 800 Freestyle Relay 500 Free 200 IM 50 Free 200 Freestyle Relay 400 IM 100 Fly 200 Free 100 Breast 100 Back 400 Medley Relay 1650 Free 200 Back 100 Free 200 Breast 200 Fly 400 Freestyle Relay
Virginia, University of 40 34 0 57 24 40 35 23.5 17 9 33 40 5 12 21 31 3 40
Texas, University of 32 32 35 20 0.75 22 0 15 16 31 12 34 16 16 0 31 53 22
Stanford University 14 40 7 16 3 32 3 30 26 0 16 32 3 20 27 0 22 34
North Carolina State University 34 14 0 5 13 30 12 23 6 25 22 30 0 27 13.5 4 13 30
Louisville, University of 26 28 0 2 37.75 34 11 19.833 0 0 0 10 0 8 22 0 12 32
University of Tennessee 10 26 20 11 11.5 0 0 0 20 17 11 24 29 15 0 16 0 2
Florida, University of 22 30 17 0 0 14 23 0 11 0 0 18 6 0 4.5 0 0 24
University of Alabama 28 0 0 0 11.5 18 0 3.5 0 6 14 26 17 9 9 12 0 4
California, University of, Berkeley 18 22 0 12 0 6 9 0 5 0 15 8 0 17 0 0 11 6
Indiana University 5 24 5 0 0 10 0 0 12 0 3 22 18 4 0 13 0 12
Ohio State University 30 12 0 4 21 27 16 8.5 15 25 6 28 0 1 25.5 3 1.5 28
Louisiana State University 0 4 0 0 17 27 0 17 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 0 4 26
Georgia, University of 0 18 17 15 0.75 2 0 0 0 7 9 4 15 0 0 15 0 0
University of Southern California 12 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 24 0 14 0 0 0 18 0 0
North Carolina, University of, Chapel Hill 24 0 0 0 14 24 0 0.333 0 0 2 6 0 0 0 0 5 0
Michigan, University of 8 10 3 0 0 8 0 0 2 5 0 2 0 0 6 0 6 14
Wisconsin, University of, Madison 0 6 12 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 20 11 0 0 0 0
Duke University 5 0 0 9 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 9 0
Auburn University 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 2 1 12 1 7 0 0 0 0
Kentucky, University of 0 2 11 1 0 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
VA Tech 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Texas A&M University 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 5 11 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
Arizona State University 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0
Georgia Institute of Technology 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0
University of Hawaii 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.5 0 0 18
University of Arkansas 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.5 10
University of Pennsylvania 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0
University of Minnesota 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
University of California, Los Angeles 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Missouri, University of 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
University of Miami (Florida) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
South Carolina, University of, Columbia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cincinnati, University of 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pittsburgh, University of 0 0 0 0 0.75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Northwestern University 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.333 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Cumulative Team Scoring

200 Medley Relay 800 Freestyle Relay 500 Free 200 IM 50 Free 200 Freestyle Relay 400 IM 100 Fly 200 Free 100 Breast 100 Back 400 Medley Relay 1650 Free 200 Back 100 Free 200 Breast 200 Fly 400 Freestyle Relay
Virginia, University of 40 74 74 131 155 195 230 253.5 270.5 279.5 312.5 352.5 357.5 369.5 390.5 421.5 424.5 464.5
Texas, University of 32 64 99 119 119.75 141.75 141.75 156.75 172.75 203.75 215.75 249.75 265.75 281.75 281.75 312.75 365.75 387.75
Stanford University 14 54 61 77 80 112 115 145 171 171 187 219 222 242 269 269 291 325
North Carolina State University 34 48 48 53 66 96 108 131 137 162 184 214 214 241 254.5 258.5 271.5 301.5
Louisville, University of 26 54 54 56 93.75 127.75 138.75 158.583 158.583 158.583 158.583 168.583 168.583 176.583 198.583 198.583 210.583 242.583
University of Tennessee 10 36 56 67 78.5 78.5 78.5 78.5 98.5 115.5 126.5 150.5 179.5 194.5 194.5 210.5 210.5 212.5
Florida, University of 22 52 69 69 69 83 106 106 117 117 117 135 141 141 145.5 145.5 145.5 169.5
University of Alabama 28 28 28 28 39.5 57.5 57.5 61 61 67 81 107 124 133 142 154 154 158
California, University of, Berkeley 18 40 40 52 52 58 67 67 72 72 87 95 95 112 112 112 123 129
Indiana University 5 29 34 34 34 44 44 44 56 56 59 81 99 103 103 116 116 128
Ohio State University 30 42 42 46 67 94 110 118.5 133.5 158.5 164.5 192.5 192.5 193.5 219 222 223.5 251.5
Louisiana State University 0 4 4 4 21 48 48 65 65 65 65 65 65 70 90 90 94 120
Georgia, University of 0 18 35 50 50.75 52.75 52.75 52.75 52.75 59.75 68.75 72.75 87.75 87.75 87.75 102.75 102.75 102.75
University of Southern California 12 12 12 12 12 24 24 24 24 48 48 62 62 62 62 80 80 80
North Carolina, University of, Chapel Hill 24 24 24 24 38 62 62 62.333 62.333 62.333 64.333 70.333 70.333 70.333 70.333 70.333 75.333 75.333
Michigan, University of 8 18 21 21 21 29 29 29 31 36 36 38 38 38 44 44 50 64
Wisconsin, University of, Madison 0 6 18 21 21 21 21 21 22 22 29 29 49 60 60 60 60 60
Duke University 5 5 5 14 14 14 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 30 39 39
Auburn University 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 11 11 13 14 26 27 34 34 34 34 34
Kentucky, University of 0 2 13 14 14 14 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 33 33 33 33 33
VA Tech 0 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 29
Texas A&M University 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 12 23 23 23 23 23 23 28 28 28 28
Arizona State University 0 0 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 23 23
Georgia Institute of Technology 0 0 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 25 25 25 25 25 25
University of Hawaii 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.5 1.5 1.5 19.5
University of Arkansas 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5.5 15.5
University of Pennsylvania 0 0 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 19 19 19 19 19 19
University of Minnesota 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13
University of California, Los Angeles 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Missouri, University of 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
University of Miami (Florida) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
South Carolina, University of, Columbia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cincinnati, University of 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Pittsburgh, University of 0 0 0 0 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75
Northwestern University 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333

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K Chilly
1 year ago

I know this is swim swam and not dive dove but it feels silly to try to speculate or get excited from this chart when diving is not included.

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Jimbo
1 year ago

So, Longhorns need 80 from the divers. They’re taking five and all five can score. 16 each would do it.

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Nonrevhoofan
Reply to  Jimbo
1 year ago

UVA has two divers also (though neither has scored at NCAAs previously).

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Vaswammer
Reply to  Jimbo
1 year ago

Virginia is going to score more than a combined 8 points in the 1650 FR and 200 FL though. Probably closer to 25-30, assuming Donahoe places somewhere between 8-10 and Walsh 1-4.

Texas had 90 from diving last year.

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About Riley Overend

Riley is an associate editor interested in the stories taking place outside of the pool just as much as the drama between the lane lines. A 2019 graduate of Boston College, he arrived at SwimSwam in April of 2022 after three years as a sports reporter and sports editor at newspapers …

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