200m Freestyle World Championship Preview: Franklin, Ledecky Looking To Sweep Podium

WOMEN’S 200M FREESTYLE: 2015 FINA WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS PREVIEW

  • Day 4, Wednesday, August 4th
  • 2013 World Champion: Missy Franklin, USA – 1:54.81 (SEE RACE VIDEO ABOVE)
  • 2013 Silver Medalist: Federica Pellegrini, ITA – 1:55.14
  • 2013 Bronze Medalist: Camille Muffat, FRA – 1:55.72

The women’s 200 freestyle had big time drops at three consecutive championship meets starting in from 2005-2009. A 1:58 to a 1:55 all the way down to a world record 1:52.98 saw the event see almost a six second differential from the winning time in a span of only four years. Since 2009, the event has returned to around the level of the 2007 championship, with a 1:55 and a 1:54 winning in 2011 and 2013. The event has stayed at around speed since then, and if someone was able to crack the 1:54 mark this summer it would be a bit of a surprise, however there are a few women who could possibly pull it off.

James Sutherland womens 200 freestyle 2015 world championship preview

The women’s 200 freestyle has the potential to be a very, very close race with so many big names at the top. Take a look at the top times from around the world below:

2014-2015 LCM Women 200 Free

SarahSWE
SJOSTROM
08/06
1.54.31*relay
2Femke
HEEMSKERK
NED1.54.6804/03
3Federica
PELLEGRINI
ITA1.55.0007/04
4Katie
LEDECKY
USA1.55.1608/05
5Missy
FRANKLIN
USA1.55.4908/05
6Emma
McKEON
AUS1.55.8804/06
7Katinka
HOSSZU
HUN1.55.8905/15
8Charlotte
BONNET
FRA1.56.1606/06
8Veronika
POPOVA
RUS1.56.1608/05
10Allison
SCHMITT
USA1.56.2307/15
View Top 26»

Missy Franklin is the defending world champion, and will look to make it two in a row in Kazan. Despite her lack of long course racing this season, the fact that her 200 yard freestyle victory at NCAA’s was so astonishingly fast leads me to believe she will win the world title once again. She swam a 1:39.10 to break her own NCAA, American and US open record that was set at 1:40.31 from the year prior. She will have a tough double with her 100 back final and the 200 free semi final landing on the same night, but she has proven she can handle the load in the past. She trained at altitude before the 2012 Olympics and 2013 World Championships, and is now back in Colorado with Todd Schmiz training as a professional. Missy will have tons of competition however, and the race really could go to any one of seven different women.

Katie Ledecky has been a distance freestyle revelation, as she is the defending world champion and world record holder in the 400, 800 and 1500 freestyles. This summer she will look to add the 200 to her already outstanding world championship resume. She beat Franklin at both US nationals and Pan Pacs last summer and put up the second fastest time in the world. Ledecky has shown a fierce tenacity to go after races with no fear and to do absolutely whatever it takes to win. Both Franklin and Ledecky will be in for a challenge however, as they both will have a final the same night as the 200 semi final (Franklin 100 back, Ledecky 1500 free). Both should be up for the challenge.

After the Americans, there is Sarah Sjostrom who was the fastest in the race in 2014 and currently sits second this year at 1:54.77. Sjostrom also broke the world record at the short course world championships on her way to a gold medal going 1:50.78.  She will be in the fight of things as will Femke Heemskerk, who is coming off a victory in the 200 at the Santa Clara Pro Swim (beating some big names in the process) and sits atop the world rankings with a 1:54.68. She has seen consistent improvements the last three years, and would certainly be considered the favourite by some considering what she has done this season.

Emma McKeon of Australia will also be in the mix, coming off a victory at the Commonwealth Games and a bronze at the Pan Pacs in 2014. She currently sits third in the world, but getting a medal in this event will be no easy task.

Federica Pellegrini is the world record holder 2-time world champion, and has not gone a world championships without medalling in the 200 freestlyle in her career. However, she will be in tough to do so again this summer. She has been ranked 5th in the world the last two years, but will require a fantastic performance to go for a sixth straight podium finish.

Katinka Hosszu will be a contender in this event, as she will be in all of the events she swims. She has not said what events she will be competing in, but it is safe to assume she’ll be in the 200 free since we saw her there at both the 2013 worlds and the 2014 short course worlds. The biggest issue for her will obviously be juggling all of her events, as there is a good chance she will have the 200 free semi-final the same night as the 100 back final, and then the 200 free final the same night as the 200 fly and/or 50 back semi. It will be a difficult balancing act for her, but if she can get through to the final, she will certainly be a threat. She was second to Sjostrom at the short course championships going 1:51.18 and has been a 4th ranked 1:55.89 this year.

Veronika Popova of Russia is by far the smallest name in the projected final. After finishing 20th at the 2013 world championships, she swam a 7th ranked 1:55.93 last year and finished 4th in the event at the short course championships (beating Pellegrini in the process).

Britain’s Jazmin Carlin is my darkhorse pick. Carlin has had most of her international success in the distance events, with a Commonwealth Games title in the 800 and European titles in the 400 and 800 a year ago. However, she is starting to see success in the 200 as well, as she finished 6th at the Commonwealth Games last year and this year has swum a personal best 1:56.88 in April. Being a distance swimmer, she has one of the fastest closing 50’s in the field, and will have a shot at the final. Others to watch for in this event include Charlotte Bonnet of France, Michelle Coleman of Sweden, and Bronte Barratt of Australia, who is the likely replacement for Kylie Palmer who recently withdrew due to doping allegations.

Predictions:

  1. Missy Franklin, USA                     1:54.24
  2. Katie Ledecky ,USA                       1:54.41
  3. Sarah Sjostrom, SWE                   1:54.53
  4. Femke Heemskerk, NED             1:54.57
  5. Emma McKeon, AUS                     1:55.21
  6. Federica Pellegrini, ITA               1:55.47
  7. Katinka Hosszu, HUN                   1:55.57
  8. Veronika Popova, RUS                 1:55.64

Darkhorse: Jazmin Carlin,GBR       1:56.48


SCHEDULE (POOL SWIMMING STARTS ON DAY 9)
SWIMMING FINALS SCHEDULE:

Day 1, Sun August 2nd (Day 9)

  • M 400 Free
  • M 400 Free
  • W 4×100 Free Relay
  • M 4×100 Free Relay

Day 2, Mon August 3rd (Day 10)

  • M 100 Breast
  • W 100 Fly
  • M 50 Fly
  • W 200 IM

Day 3, Tue August 4th (Day 11)

  • M 200 Free
  • W 100 Back
  • W 1500 Free
  • M 100 Back
  • W 100 Breast

Day 4, Wed August 5th (Day 12)

Day 5, Thur August 6th (Day 13)

  • M 200 IM
  • M 100 Free
  • W 200 Fly
  • W 50 Back
  • W 4×200 Free Relay

Day 6, Fri August 7th (Day 14)

  • W 100 Free
  • M 200 Back
  • W 200 Breast
  • M 200 Breast
  • M 4×200 Free Relay

Day 7, Sat August 8th (Day 15)

  • W 50 Fly
  • M 50 Free
  • W 200 Back
  • M 100 Fly
  • W 800 Free
  • MIXED 4×100 Free Relay

Day 8, Sun August 9th (Day 16)

  • M 50 Back
  • W 50 Breast
  • M 400 IM
  • W 50 Free
  • M 1500 Free
  • W 400 IM
  • M 4×100 Medley Relay
  • W 4×100 Medley Relay

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emg1986

I don’t think Jaz Carlin i swimming the 200 i think she dropped it to concentrate on the 4 and the 8, also I’m a little surprised that Siobhan O’Connor hasn’t been given a mention seeming that she’s gone 1.55.

Ex Aqua

This race is intriguing for many reasons. I actually think Ledecky may not medal here. Sjostrom is DANGEROUS in this race— she’s still figuring out how to swim it but she has all the components (raw speed, terrific pacing and the unique ability to finish harder than nearly all of her opponents). Heemskerk has been looking fantastic– really happy for this breakout year. The thing is this isn’t the first time she’s been a favourite. Think back to 2011 (remember the damage she put on Vollmer in the 4×100 free relay?) when she came up short of medals in both the 100 and 200 final. The difference this year is that she has way more confidence, esp. due to her… Read more »

carlo

My predictions

About James Sutherland

James Sutherland

James is currently a university swimmer for the Laurentian Voyageurs in Sudbury, Ontario, Canada. He is studying economics. Along with swimming, he also loves hockey. He's in his 14th season as a competitive swimmer. Best Times - SCM (LCM) 50 FR - 24.56 (25.12) 100 FR - 53.58 (56.70) 200 FR - 1:56.07 (2:04.29) 1500 …

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