Nathan Adrian Thinks the 100 Free World Record Will Keep Getting Broken

In theΒ SwimSwam PodcastΒ dive deeper into the sport you love with insider conversations about swimming. Hosted byΒ Coleman Hodges,Β Garrett McCaffrey, andΒ Gold Medal Mel Stewart, SwimSwam welcomes both the biggest names in swimming that you already know, and rising stars that you need to get to know, as we break down the past, present, and future of aquatic sports.

In light of Pan Zhanle‘s surprise 100 Free world record (46.80) at the 2024 World Championships, we spoke with Olympic Champion Nathan Adrian to get his insight. Adrian wasn’t surprised that Cesar Cielo‘s mark stood since 2009 but now we’ve seen two men break it in just 1.5 years, saying that once athletes see what is possible their bar is automatically set higher, meaning their ceiling is as well.

  • 0:00 When will Nathan Adrian grow his hair out?
  • 1:27 100 Free World Record (46.80)
  • 9:15 Jack Alexy
  • 12:00 2008 Olympic Redshirt Year
  • 13:54 Doha World Champs
  • 20:30 Cal Mentality at NCAAs
  • 24:55 What Could Nathan Go in a 50m Free Right Now?
  • 29:15 The Team USA X-Factor (Katie Ledecky 800 Free at Sectionals)

SWIMSWAM PODCASTΒ LINKS

Music: Otis McDonald
www.otismacmusic.com

Opinions, beliefs and viewpoints of the interviewed guests do not necessarily reflect the opinions, beliefs, and viewpoints of the hosts, SwimSwam Partners, LLC and/or SwimSwam advertising partners.

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Hank
8 months ago

It really depends on how much room for improvement Zhanle and Popovici still have. Popovici is iffy to get back to 46.8 territory until he does. As far as Zhanle, who knows.

Garbage Yardage
8 months ago

Miss seeing Nathan in the mix at these meets.

Andrew
8 months ago

it’ll keep getting broken until a freak like Milak or Peaty pushes it so far that it’s safe for a decade

Brownish
Reply to  Andrew
8 months ago

Milak’s is safe for a decade. Because of Qin Haiyang I’m not so sure about Peaty’s.

HeGetsItDoneAgain
Reply to  Brownish
8 months ago

Milaks world record will be broken within 5 years. Probably less.

Andrew
Reply to  HeGetsItDoneAgain
8 months ago

No chance, Milak is 1:50.34. Dude can throw down 1:53s in a brief. When anyone else breaks 1:54, it’s a huge deal and (rightfully) news. I know it’s cliche to say a record will take forever to get broken, but cmon who is even going sub 1:52 other than Milak.

Regarding Peaty, Qin’s PB is still almost a full second slower than AP’s 56.88. Finding a full second in an 100 when you are already sub 58 is extremely difficult. I doubt Qin cracks 57 tbh.

Brownish
Reply to  Andrew
8 months ago

Leon is 2.1 s + Kristof. And Milak needed 3 years for 0.4 s. (of course in an other dimension). It’s not so easy.

I think Qin is dangerous. He is fast in 50 and WR holder in 200. He has a chance. I know it will be extremely difficult.

Hank
Reply to  Andrew
8 months ago

Thomas Heilman. In about 2-3 years. He’s already a 1:53 at barely 16 yrs old

Last edited 8 months ago by Hank
Brownish
Reply to  Hank
8 months ago

No way πŸ™‚

Mr Piano
Reply to  Andrew
8 months ago

I think breaststroke hasn’t been as optimized as freestyle has. Peaty made a massive stride forward but others will follow now.

As for Milak’s record, if he never lowers it again, Thomas Heilman might be able to someday. At 16, he’s as fast as Milak was at 17.

Brownish
Reply to  Mr Piano
8 months ago

That’s true, but the junior record holder is Milak at the moment πŸ˜‰

snailSpace
Reply to  Mr Piano
8 months ago

True, although Milak had the same drop between 18-19 as Heilman had between 15 and 16. As I have said many times before, trajectory>age.
That being said, if anyone breaks it, it’s gonna be Heilman. Unless Milak lowers it under 1:50, in which case I’m not so sure, but that’s also unlikely to happen as things are.

Brownish
Reply to  snailSpace
8 months ago

I’ve written the same. If anyone breaks it it’s gonna be Milak and nobody else.

Brownish
Reply to  Brownish
8 months ago

To my Hungarian fellow.

Brownish
Reply to  Mr Piano
8 months ago

We’ve already spoken about e.g. Urlando. You simply don’t know what will happen with a 16 years old boy. Milak had 1:56.77 at the age of 16, and nearly exatly one year later 1:53.79 Who knows.

Brownish
Reply to  HeGetsItDoneAgain
8 months ago

If he would swim true πŸ˜‰

Jimmy DeSnuts
Reply to  Andrew
8 months ago

Milak is indeed a freak, his WR is insane, but there is no way in hell it survives Heilman. That kid takes the word freak to another level, the record will be his by the end of the 2028 games, possibly sooner.
Peaty’s only threat is Qin, which means that record will either go down in the next couple years or not at all.

Brownish
Reply to  Jimmy DeSnuts
8 months ago

Peaty’s is much more easy. And Milak’s will survive Heilman’s grandson, too.

Tanner
Reply to  Andrew
8 months ago

Y’all are forgetting the teenagers who went 1:53 last year. A ways from 1:50, sure, but wouldn’t be surprising to see them get there in the next 5 or 6 years.

Brownish
Reply to  Tanner
8 months ago

When 1:49 low will be the target? Let’s see it πŸ™‚

McIntosh McKeown McKeon McEvoy
8 months ago

Of course it will keep getting broken. Until one day when it won’t.

About Coleman Hodges

Coleman Hodges

Coleman started his journey in the water at age 1, and although he actually has no memory of that, something must have stuck. A Missouri native, he joined the Columbia Swim Club at age 9, where he is still remembered for his stylish dragon swim trunks. After giving up on …

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