Event-by-Event Breakdowns & Predictions for the 2021 Men’s NCAA Championships

In the SwimSwam Podcast dive deeper into the sport you love with insider conversations about swimming. Hosted by Coleman Hodges and Gold Medal Mel Stewart, SwimSwam welcomes both the biggest names in swimming that you already know, and rising stars that you need to get to know, as we break down the past, present, and future of aquatic sports.

I sat down with SwimSwam writers and swimming aficionados Robert Gibbs and Karl Ortegon to discuss and predict every event in the upcoming 2021 Men’s NCAA Championships.
From a team perspective, it’s a 2-horse race. Texas and Cal look to be primed to have a battle for the title once again. There are many strong teams, but none have the top-end talent or depth to match the defending champions from 2019 (Cal) or the 4-time champions before that (Texas, 2015-2018).
From an individual standpoint, short course standouts like Kieran Smith and Shaine Casas will finally get a swing at multiple NCAA titles. We will also get to see how a lot of youngsters handle their second taper after blowing up at their conference meets.

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Music: Otis McDonald
www.otismacmusic.com

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Opinions, beliefs and viewpoints of the interviewed guests do not necessarily reflect the opinions, beliefs, and viewpoints of the hosts, SwimSwam Partners, LLC and/or SwimSwam advertising partners.

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Sun Yangs Hammer
5 months ago

New podcast idea: Mel reads bed time stories

Blackflag82
Reply to  Sun Yangs Hammer
5 months ago

Go the F*kc to Sleep, read by Mel Stewart

Last edited 5 months ago by Blackflag82
Grant Drukker
5 months ago

800 free relay – Texas

200 Free Relay – Cal
500 Free K.Smith 4:05.99
200 IM S.Casas 1:38.30
50 Free R.Hoffer 18.30
400 Medley relay – Cal

400 IM C.Foster 3:34.99
100 Fly R.Hoffer – 44.29
200 Free K.Smith – 1:29.29
100 Breast M.McHugh – 49.50
100 Back S. Casas – 43.20
200 Medley – Texas

1650 Free R. Finke – 14:09
200 Back S. Casas – 1:35.99
100 Free R. Hoffer – 40.89
200 Breast R. Whitley 1:47.00
200 Fly T. Julian – 1:37.89
400 Free Relay – Texas

wow
Reply to  Grant Drukker
5 months ago

WAY too fast across the board IMO, but love to see predictions. This is what I’m thinking:

800 Free Relay – Texas

200 Free Relay – Cal
500 Free K.Smith 4:05.61 NCAA
200 IM S.Casas 1:38.79
50 Free R.Hoffer 18.44
400 Medley relay – Texas

400 IM C.Foster 3:34.62
100 Fly A. Jiang – 44.45
200 Free K.Smith – 1:29.89
100 Breast M.McHugh – 50.03
100 Back S. Casas – 44.14
200 Medley – Louisville or Texas

1650 Free R. Finke – 14:17.84
200 Back S. Casas – 1:35.71 NCAA
100 Free D. Krueger – 40.80
200 Breast R. Whitley 1:47.33 NCAA
200 Fly N. Albiero – 1:38.31
400 Free Relay – Texas

Last edited 5 months ago by wow
SwimFani
Reply to  wow
5 months ago

Think your predictions are closer BUT would not bet against McHugh going 49.8 or Casas going 43,89

25Backstroke
Reply to  Grant Drukker
5 months ago

800 Free Relay – Texas

200 Free Relay – Florida
500 Free – Kieran Smith
200 IM – Shaine Casas
50 Free – Ryan Hoffer
400 Medley Relay – Texas

400 IM – Carson Foster
100 Fly – Alvin Jiang
200 Free – Kieran Smith
100 Breast – Max McHugh
100 Back – Shaine Casas
200 Medley Relay – Cal

1650 Free – Bobby Finke
200 Back – Shaine Casas
100 Free – Daniel Krueger
200 Breast – Reece Whitley
200 Fly – Nicolas Albiero
400 Free Relay – Texas

swammer
Reply to  Grant Drukker
5 months ago

I feel like Foster is going to narrowly miss the American record

Horninco
5 months ago

800 free relay – Texas 6:03.26
200 Free Relay – Texas 1:13.99
500 Free kibler 4:04.72
200 IM C Foster 1:37.44
50 Free Kruger 18.16
400 Medley relay – Texas 2:58.77
400 IM C.Foster 3:34.21
100 Fly Jiang 43.33
200 Free Kibler 1:28.97
100 Breast Corbeau 49.73
100 Back Jiang 43.54
200 Medley – Texas 1:21.49
1650 Free R. Finke – 14:09
200 Back Katx 1:36.15
100 Free Krueger/Kibler 40.52
200 Breast Corbeau 1:46.98
200 Fly Sam P 1:37.66
400 Free Relay – Texas 2:43.81

How did I do?

Admin
Reply to  Horninco
5 months ago

Yep, this comment checks out.

Horninco
Reply to  Braden Keith
5 months ago

I’m here for the downvotes. Hey, I gave Finke the mile, cut me some slack

Stank
Reply to  Horninco
5 months ago

I’m not sure Finke can hang on after going all in for SECs. My pick is David Johnston for the 1650, he’s been on a huge upswing this year and word on the street he’s grown 4 inches since Big 12s. Other than that it looks great!

JigglyPuff
Reply to  Horninco
5 months ago

Great picks, but I think Staka’s gonna give your 100 back pick a run for his money.

Horninco
Reply to  JigglyPuff
5 months ago

Win either way

Texas A&M Swim Fan
Reply to  JigglyPuff
5 months ago

You & Horninco must be living side by side. Casas will set a record in that event & the 200 back as well👍

Horninco
Reply to  Texas A&M Swim Fan
5 months ago

Are you huffing paint? Casas clearly tapered for the atm/kentucky dual last week, has a boot on both feet, a patch over his right eye, a cast on his left arm and has been at the Bearded Goat (look it up) every night this week. He won’t make it out of prelims. Sorry to burst your bubble

Waader
Reply to  Horninco
5 months ago

I think you switched around some digits on the 400 I’m. That should obviously be 3:31.24.
Other than I think you’ve been a bit hard on Texas. Have you taken into account that they swam through big 12s and they have to go through the eddie Reese taper. Pretty sure they will do better than your expectations.

Horninco
Reply to  Waader
5 months ago

Damn, have to recalibrate all of those

iLikePsych
Reply to  Horninco
5 months ago

200 Back Katx 1:36.15

You must hate texas. 1:34 or bust

Last edited 5 months ago by iLikePsych
Horninco
Reply to  iLikePsych
5 months ago

stuuuupid horns

swimfan210_
Reply to  iLikePsych
5 months ago

Katx

Taa
Reply to  Horninco
5 months ago

Texas gets covid and withdraws from the meet

Texas A&M Swim Fan
Reply to  Horninco
5 months ago

Uhhh… ya honestly believe Shaine Casas is NOT gonna win any of his individuals? I know you’re a t-sip fan but let me know what world you are currently living/ existing in? It appears that you’ve got all t-sip swimmers taking each of his individuals🙃. Not worth the effort of me giving you a “down vote”👎. I’m not gonna put any of those 3 picks down because they all 3 are really good but to honestly believe each will pick off each of Casas’s individuals is a bit “looney” even for an elitist t-sip and/or t-sip fan🙃🙃. I didn’t realize that people are using the comment section as their “dream journal” but I admit I was wrong!! As my son… Read more »

Last edited 5 months ago by Texas A&M Swim Fan
Horninco
Reply to  Texas A&M Swim Fan
5 months ago

Read my other comment, Casas won’t make it out of prelims. Texas finishes 1-2-3 in all events on Day 2 and the other teams withdraw. Olympic team? Please, Dressel is going to WD from trials when he sees Cole Crane and Luke Bowman on deck for the 100 Fly and 100 Free

Horninco
Reply to  Texas A&M Swim Fan
5 months ago

I would also like to point out that I gave Finke the win in the mile. That’s an SEC team and by SEC bylaws that every SEC team gets to claim that as a win. See? I did give atm a victory! SEC! SEC!

Last edited 5 months ago by Horninco
SoCal Swammer
Reply to  Horninco
5 months ago

Kinda sleeping on Texas aren’t you?

Jon Newsom
Reply to  Horninco
5 months ago

“How did I do?” Poorly.

Horninco
Reply to  Jon Newsom
5 months ago

Are you sure you know my intent?
I think I nailed it

Last edited 5 months ago by Horninco
PFA
5 months ago

There better be some walking boots on deck starting tomorrow I’m hoping to see some mind games from a couple guys in prelims.

Taa
Reply to  PFA
5 months ago

I wanna see someone wear the boot up to the blocks and rip it off after the first whistle.

Fletchmacfletch
5 months ago

The big question is will the fine folks at SwimSwam do a post-video comparing predictions to actual results?

James Beam
5 months ago

Maggie McNeil suits up and gives the men a lesson on underwaters for the 100 fly!

About Coleman Hodges

Coleman Hodges

Coleman started his journey in the water at age 1, and although he actually has no memory of that, something must have stuck. A Missouri native, he joined the Columbia Swim Club at age 9, where he is still remembered for his stylish dragon swim trunks. After giving up on …

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