Day 6 U.S. Roster Update: Lazor, Mefford Punch Tickets, And A Flurry of Doubles

2021 U.S. OLYMPIC SWIMMING TRIALS

Night 6 of the 2021 U.S. Olympic Trials was a big night for athletes adding second events, opening the floodgates for the individual 2nd-place finishers and growing the Olympic roster.

Based on our math, all 2nd-place finishers in the women’s events should be added to the Olympic roster. Meanwhile, the men are just 1 double short of all of their 2nd-place finishers being cleared for Tokyo. With two days of racing left and multi-event specialists including Caeleb Dressel, Katie Ledecky, Regan Smith, and Michael Andrew with more races forthcoming, it is likely 5th- and 6th-place finishers in the 100 and 200 freestyles are also likely to get the nod.

Lilly King, already qualified in the 100 breaststroke, finished 2nd in the 200 breast, earning her second individual event for Tokyo. Annie Lazor finished ahead of King, winning the longer discipline and adding her name to the Team USA roster. All of the top-4 finishers in the women’s 100 freestyle are new additions to the Tokyo Olympic team. Led by Abbey Weitzeil, Erika Brown, Olivia Smoliga, and Natalie Hinds will comprise the women’s 4×100 free relay in Tokyo. Catie DeLoof and Allison Schmitt placed 5th and 6th, respectively, to snag relay spots.

Ryan Murphy took the men’s 200 back and will be joined in Tokyo by Cal teammate Bryce Mefford, a first-time Olympian (pending roster finalization). Later, Michael Andrew and Chase Kalisz, both already qualified in one event each, placed 1st and 2nd, respectively, in the 200 IM, each earning their first double. Kalisz’s meet is over, while Andrew has one more chance to add another race with the upcoming 50 freestyle.

2021 U.S. OLYMPIC ROSTER AFTER DAY 4

Tonight’s new qualifiers are noted in bold.

Tentative qualifiers (who need a certain number of multi-event qualifiers to be officially added) are listed in italics.

Women:

  • Emma Weyant: 400 IM
  • Torri Huske: 100 fly
  • Katie Ledecky: 200 free, 400 free, 1500 free, 4×200 free relay
  • Regan Smith: 100 back, 200 fly
  • Lilly King: 100 breast, 200 breast
  • Allison Schmitt: 200 free, 4×200 free relay, 4×100 free relay
  • Katie McLaughlin: 4×200 free relay
  • Paige Madden: 400 free, 4×200 free relay
  • Alex Walsh: 200 IM
  • Hali Flickinger: 400 IM, 200 fly
  • Annie Lazor: 200 breast
  • Abbey Weitzeil: 100 free, 4×100 free relay
  • Erika Brown: 100 free, 4×100 free relay
  • Olivia Smoliga: 4×100 free relay
  • Natalie Hinds: 4×100 free relay
  • Claire Curzan: 100 fly
  • Rhyan White: 100 back
  • Lydia Jacoby: 100 breast
  • Kate Douglass: 200 IM
  • Erica Sullivan: 1500 free
  • Bella Sims: 4×200 free relay
  • Brooke Forde: 4×200 free relay
  • Catie DeLoof: 4×100 free relay

Men:

  • Chase Kalisz: 400 IM, 200 IM
  • Kieran Smith: 400 free, 200 free, 4×200 free relay
  • Michael Andrew: 100 breast, 200 IM
  • Townley Haas: 200 free, 4×200 free relay
  • Drew Kibler: 4×200 free relay
  • Andrew Seliskar: 4×200 free relay
  • Ryan Murphy: 100 back, 200 back
  • Zach Harting: 200 fly
  • Bobby Finke, 800 free
  • Nic Fink, 200 breast
  • Caeleb Dressel, 100 free, 4×100 free relay
  • Zach Apple: 4×200 free relay, 100 free, 4×100 free relay
  • Blake Pieroni: 4×100 free relay
  • Brooks Curry: 4×100 free relay
  • Jay Litherland: 400 IM
  • Jake Mitchell: 400 free
  • Andrew Wilson: 100 breast, 200 breast
  • Hunter Armstrong: 100 back
  • Gunnar Bentz: 200 fly
  • Michael Brinegar: 800 free
  • Bryce Mefford: 200 back
  • Bowe Becker, 4×100 free relay
  • Patrick Callan: 4×200 free relay
  • Ryan Held: 4×100 free relay

DOUBLES

Here’s an overly-simplified version of the U.S. Olympic selection process: the team can have a maximum of 26 men and 26 women. Swimmers are added to the roster in these priorities until the roster cap is hit:

  1. Top 4 in 100/200 frees, Winner of all other events
  2. 2nd-place finisher in all events (besides 100/200 free)
  3. 5th-place finisher in 100/200 free
  4. 6th-place finisher in 100/200 free

We track ‘doubles’ as a way of knowing when the next priority of swimmers can be officially added to the team. A ‘double’ is effectively a swimmer qualifying in more than one event. One swimmer qualifying in three events counts as two ‘doubles’ for our purposes.

The Magic Numbers:

  • 6 doubles on either the men’s or women’s side means all priority 2 athletes (2nd-place finishers) can be added for that gender
  • 8 doubles on either the men’s or women’s side means all priority 3 athletes (5th-place in 100/200 free) can be added for that gender
  • 10 doubles on either the men’s or women’s side means all priority 4 athletes (6th-place in 100/200 free) can be added for that gender

After Day 3:

  • Women – 6 doubles:
  • Men – 6 doubles:
    • Kieran Smith: 200/400 free
    • Michael Andrew: 100 breast, 200 IM
    • Ryan Murphy: 100/200 back
    • Chase Kalisz: 200/400 IM
    • Zach Apple: 100 free, 4×200 free relay
    • Andrew Wilson: 100/200 breast

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BadShoulder
1 month ago

If the men have 6 doubles, why are the 2nd-place finishers still listed as tentative qualifiers?

PK Doesn't Like His Long Name
Reply to  BadShoulder
1 month ago

Zach Apple’s double is priority 3, so it doesn’t help in getting priority 2 athletes into the meet.

Paul Thomas
Reply to  PK Doesn't Like His Long Name
1 month ago

You can literally count the 20 guys who are on the team (exclusive of Becker, Callan and Held) and add six more theoretical qualifiers in the last three events. That’s 26.

They’re just wrong. The second-place guys are all locked in.

P K
Reply to  Paul Thomas
1 month ago

They’re at 27 right now:
50/1500 Free & 100 Fly – 3 first place
Priority 1: Kalisz, Smith, Andrew, Haas, Kibler, Seliskar, Murphy, Harting, Finke, Fink, Dressel, Apple, Pieroni, Curry – 14, 17 total
Priority 2: Mitchell, Brinegar, Armstrong, Befford, Wilson, Bentz, Litherland – 7, 24 total
50/1500 Free & 100 Fly – 3 second place, 27

SwimFan NU
Reply to  BadShoulder
1 month ago

Bryce Medford isn’t on the list either

Miss M
1 month ago

Isn’t one of your relay only swimmers going to be left behind?

You can only take 12, and you’ve got 13:
1. Katie McLaughlin
2. Bella Sims
3. Brooke Forde
4. Olivia Smoliga
5. Natalie Hinds
6. Catie DeLoof
7. Drew Kibler
8. Andrew Seliskar
9. Blake Pieroni
10. Brooks Curry
11. Bowe Becker
12. Patrick Callan
13. Ryan Held

Who misses the seat on the plane? Are any of these likely to grab an individual place to avoid this issue?

PK Doesn't Like His Long Name
Reply to  Miss M
1 month ago

Yeesh, just double-checked this and this appears accurate via Fina rules. I imagine one of the 6th place guys gets left off the team.

P K
Reply to  PK Doesn't Like His Long Name
1 month ago

The three sixth place 100/200 Free men’s and women’s relay only swimmers would get ranked by world ranking to determine who gets left home assuming that the men’s or women’s team doesn’t run out of roster spots first. Schmitt got second in the 200 Free and thus is not in that group.

Last edited 1 month ago by P K
Jackman
Reply to  P K
1 month ago

On nuotomondiale current rankings:
Callan: 31st
Held: 35th (based on Final swim, 14th based on season best)
Forde: 33rd

I think best we can hope for is Held makes the individual 50 Free

P K
Reply to  Jackman
1 month ago

The rankings come from the USA Swimming World Time website (https://www.usaswimming.org/times/data-hub/world-rankings-powered-by-usa-swimming) from the period of 3/1/2019 to 6/7/2021 and as run on 6/12/2021 (sometimes results arrive late), using the swimmer’s finals swim and adjusting the rankings for everyone’s US Olympic Trials finishes.

Women selected in this order:
Women’s 200 Free 5th Place: Sims – 38th
Women’s 100 Free 5th Place: Deloof – 40th
Women’s 200 Free 6th Place: Forde – 40th (5th place is selected in Priority 3, whereas 6th place is in Priority 4, so there is no tie to break)

Men selected in this order:
Men’s 100 Free 5th Place: Becker – 28th
Men’s 200… Read more »

PK Doesn't Like His Long Name
Reply to  P K
1 month ago

I just checked another source, and these placings match the times listed on the FINA website as well.

Dan
Reply to  Miss M
1 month ago

I was too tired to catch that one, and yes a maximum of 12:

Each NOC may enter additional athletes for relays only (“Relay-Only Athletes”), provided that they have achieved at least the OST / “B” Time for the corresponding stroke and distance of the relay in which they are entered.

The following formula shall apply:
• One (1) Relay – two (2) additional athletes
• Two (2) Relays – four (4) additional athletes
• Three (3) Relays – six (6) additional athletes
• Four (4) Relays – eight (8) additional athletes
• Five (5) Relays – ten (10) additional athletes
Six (6) or seven (7) Relays –… Read more »

NOT the frontman of Metallica
Reply to  Dan
1 month ago

So if a relay only swimmer ends up not being of use, that swimmer needs to fall down a flight of stairs (medical injury) to not DQ the relay?

P K
Reply to  NOT the frontman of Metallica
1 month ago

If the swimmer is reasonably fast enough, they could be used as a medley relay preliminaries swimmer. There’s also a 4x100m mixed medley relay too.

Dan
Reply to  P K
1 month ago

What the FINA document does not specify (and I have never seen the entry system for these big meets) is whether you specify someone as a relay only swimmer in general or if you specify them as a relay only swimmer for the “4*100 free relay for men” etc. Hopefully, you only have to specify as relay only (generic selection).

P K
Reply to  Dan
1 month ago

You are correct:

“Each NOC may enter additional athletes for relays only (“Relay-Only Athletes”), provided that they have achieved at least the OST / “B” Time for the corresponding stroke and distance of the relay in which they are entered.”

“Should a Relay-Only Athlete not compete, this will lead to the disqualification of the last relay team for which he/she was eligible to compete. This is not applicable in case of a medical injury or emergency after confirmation from the FINA Sports Medicine Committee.” (under Relay Qualification: https://resources.fina.org/fina/document/2021/01/21/43ab180c-a924-44f3-8331-a40ca5c99f44/final_-_2020_07_15_-_tokyo_2020_-_revised_qualification_system_-_swimming_-_eng.pdf)

Relay only swimmers must be sent to FINA by June 27. If you then dig into the FINA bylaws (

Reply
pSL1988

Holy Moly

frug
Reply to  Miss M
1 month ago

Section 1.3.6 of this document sets out the criteria in the event this happens

In the event that more Relay-Only Swimmers stand to be Nominated to the Team than allowed under FINA rules, the Relay-Only Swimmers will be ranked within their priority according to the Modified World Ranking list. Relay-Only Swimmers with the best Modified World Ranking will be eligible for Nomination to the Team in order of priority. Relay-Only Swimmers will be added to the list of those to be Nominated to the Team in order of priority until the maximum number of Relay-Only Swimmers (under the FINA rule) is obtained or the Team is full, whichever comes first. [Note:… Read more »

PVSFree
Reply to  Miss M
1 month ago

Bella Sims could challenge for the second 800 spot. It’s unlikely with Sullivan up there but there’s a chance

Swimmer
Reply to  Miss M
1 month ago

If seems makes it in the 800 then everyone will go no?

Dan
Reply to  Swimmer
1 month ago

as long as the roster does not exceed 26 for either gender

Joe Swimmer
1 month ago

Doesn’t Allison Schmitt in the 200 free and 4 x 100 free relay constitute another double?

Dan
Reply to  Joe Swimmer
1 month ago

Double towards 6th, not towards Top 2 finishers

Last edited 1 month ago by Dan
P K
Reply to  Joe Swimmer
1 month ago

It does, but her double only removes a sixth place spot in Priority 4 (the last selection rung). So the women need three more doubles to get the remaining relay only swimmers in (plus at least one relay only swimmer between the men and women to disappear).

anon
1 month ago

even though she finished sixth tonight, wouldn’t Schmitt’s 100 free act as a 7th double (or maybe lower the required doubles to 9?) since one of the bottom priority swimmers is already on the team?

Backstrokebro
1 month ago

so for women to take all 6 in relays, they need 10 doubles and they have 7 (I’m counting allison schmidt’s spot on the 4×100). Ledecky in the 800 and Smith in the 200 back bring that up to 9. The most likely slots to fill that is if someone who is already qualified grabs one of the 50 spots (weitzel, Curzan, Smoliga) or the remaining 800 spot, which is pretty likely (Sullivan).

The men currently have 6. If we take dressel’s 100 fly and 50 as givens, then we have 8. So, then we need 2 spots off the following for all 6 on the relay distances to make it: the 1/2 1500 spots (finke, brinegar), and the second… Read more »

Rty
1 month ago

Mefford?

P K
1 month ago

(ninja’d by earlier comment) One thing to note: by my current count, there are 13 relay only swimmers between the men and women, so one of those remaining relay only swimmers (Smoliga, Hinds, Deloof, McLaughlin, Sims, Forde, Pieroni, Curry, Becker, Held, Kibler, Seliskar, and Callan) needs to make an individual event, or someone (out of Held, Forde, and Callan) will get left home whether there’s a roster spot left or not. In that situation though, it would seem that the men would be more likely to run out for roster spots first.

Last edited 1 month ago by P K
Smith-King-Huske-Manuel
1 month ago

Is Team USA obligated to utilize Allison Schmitt as one of the six swimmers in the women’s 4 x 100 meter freestyle relay?

Texas Tap Water
Reply to  Smith-King-Huske-Manuel
1 month ago

No.

She qualified in individual 200 free, she’s not “relay only”

Last edited 1 month ago by Texas Tap Water
Dan
Reply to  Smith-King-Huske-Manuel
1 month ago

No, since she has the 200 Free individually, she could theoretically skip all relays

Smith-King-Huske-Manuel
Reply to  Dan
1 month ago

Thanks! I was unclear on that issue.

Wahooswimfan
Reply to  Smith-King-Huske-Manuel
1 month ago

She is individually qualified 2nd in 200 free, so although (6th) and thus qualified for the relay, she is not relay only so not relevant to this issue. But Held and Smoliga in 50 are best chance for one of the relay only swimmers to make an individual event.
If that doesn’t happen, they use the modified World rankings procedure (substitute the swimmers time in finals into the rankings even though outside the time period).
Held’s 48.46 would rank 36th;
Callan’s 1:46.49 would rank 28th;
Fordes’ 1:57.61 would rank 45th
so it appears that Forde is the swimmer at risk.

Wahooswimfan
Reply to  Wahooswimfan
1 month ago

But if the men do not get enough doubles to get down to 26, then Held would be the one bumped, thus Forde is back in. Best and most likely solution is for Held to qualify in the 50.

Rembeo
Reply to  Wahooswimfan
1 month ago

Is this using the modified world rankings from USA Swimming site? I see Forde as 39th and Held as 45th? Integrating all times from the finals of the qualifying competition.

Wahooswimfan
Reply to  Rembeo
1 month ago

It was, but I did not integrate all times, just those of the swimmer in question – but don’t see how you have Held as 45th, just checked the times data base again and even adding in Becker and Curry still get Held as 37th. (Dressel, Apple Pieroni were already ahead of his).

Wahooswimfan
Reply to  Wahooswimfan
1 month ago

Database appears to be flawed, list some swimmers twice for some reason, so the comment about USA swimming checking carefully appears relevant. Removing repeat swimmers I also get Forde as 37 – tie with Held. So whoever does the checking will need to double check and verify carefully to avoid embarrassment. But I’m rooting for Held in the 50 to avoid the problem altogether.

P K
Reply to  Wahooswimfan
1 month ago

You have to use the world rankings search tool (https://www.usaswimming.org/times/data-hub/world-rankings-powered-by-usa-swimming). and set the time limits between 3/1/2019 and 6/7/2021 (that’s how I got Held at 48th), which omits duplicate performances (and then manually integrate the Trials results). That being said…the SWIMS time database that backs all of USA Swimming’s results is prone to have ratty, erroneous, and missing data, and while I don’t think there are likely to be enough errors to move Held up if he is still the 13th relay only swimmer, I would sure not want to be USA Swimming in this situation.

P K
Reply to  Wahooswimfan
1 month ago

Agree with other replies; Held appears to be the last priority men’s selection and the last priority relay only selection if there are 13 combined relay only swimmers (see above at https://swimswam.com/day-6-u-s-roster-update-lazor-mefford-punch-tickets-and-a-flurry-of-doubles/#comment-928874).

Rembeo
Reply to  P K
1 month ago

So if Held does not make the 50 and assuming Finke doubles, the men will have 25 (one spot left) on the roster and Held will not be picked up?

P K
Reply to  Rembeo
1 month ago

It doesn’t have to be Held who doubles; any one of the 13 relay only swimmers who qualifies in one of the three remaining individual events will reduce the count to 12.

About Reid Carlson

Reid Carlson

Reid Carlson originally hails from Clay Center, Kansas, where he began swimming at age six.  At age 14 he began swimming club year-round and later with his high school team, making state all four years.  He was fortunate enough to draw the attention of Kalamazoo College where he went on to …

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