2023 NCAA Division I Women’s Championships: Final Score Analysis

by Riley Overend 12

March 19th, 2023 College, News

2023 NCAA WOMEN’S SWIMMING AND DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS

Check out the full box score here.

Now that the 2023 NCAA Championships are officially wrapped up in Knoxville, Tennessee, check out which teams outperformed and underperformed expectations the most this week.

Virginia created the most points not accounted for on the psych sheet, followed by Indiana and Wisconsin. Relay DQs hurt NC State, LSU, and Alabama, the latter two of which came on the final night of racing.

The chart below shows daily scores from swimming only, and in the “+/-” column, how many points (more, or less) those scored varied from the projections. We have added all the diving points in a separate column, as the divers were not pre-seeded prior to the start of the meet.

OVER/UNDER PSYCH SHEET PROJECTIONS (SWIMMING ONLY)

Final Rank Day 1 Swim +/- Day 2 Swim +/- Day 3 Swim +/- Day 4 Swim +/- Diving Final Score Swim +/-
Virginia 6 6.5 -1 55 541.5 66.5
Texas 0 -1.5 -2.5 -15 49 414.5 -19
Stanford -2 -5 8 -12 333 -11
Louisville -14 -3.5 4.5 11.5 22 288 -1.5
NC State -4 -26 7 -29 263 -52
Ohio State -4 7 -11 -10 6 223 -18
Indiana 5 34 -22 30 35 219 47
Tennessee 4 -15.5 6 8 214 2.5
Florida -26 14 8 4 5 179 0
UNC -2 -7 0 14 47 152 5
Cal 16 0 -8 0 137 8
USC 2 -2 7 6 44 125 13
LSU -4 4 4 -39 31 112 -35
Alabama -4 2.5 -18 -3 111 -22.5
Wisconsin 12 16 0 2 100 30
Georgia 12 1 -11 -10 90.5 -8
Minnesota 2 40 53 2
Arizona 52 52
Kentucky 12 -12 -2 4 17 49 2
VT -2 12 5 8 46 23
Duke -3 2 4 1 42 4
Miami (FL) 1 2 30 36 3
Michigan -12 -7 4 -16 33 -31
Purdue 32 32
Texas A&M 1 -1 9 26 0
South Carolina 25 25
Arizona St. -5 1 19 -4
Northwestern 2 6 4 1 18 12
Arkansas 4 4 -1 -1 18 6
Auburn 0 0 5 -7 14 -2
Hawaii 6 -4.5 11.5 2.5
Florida St. 6 4 7 11 10
Miami (OH) 8 9 8
UCLA 4 -3 2 8
Penn -6 -6 7 -12
Akron -1 4 5 3
Nevada 1 5 5 1
FIU 1 -5 3 4 -4
Georgia Tech -13 -10 2 -23
Utah 2 2

 

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swimfan
1 year ago

wow Michigan really fell off. what a shame

Andrew
1 year ago

Michigan, Bama, and NCS flop (shocker lol), IU and Wisconsin overperformed the most.

We already knew UVA was going to overperform due to underseeding

IMO
1 year ago

As someone said commenting on another article, the very top teams and swimmers don’t necessarily have to rest to make the meet, so their gains are artificially inflated. Defending champ Alex Walsh for example, was not seeded to score in the 200 fly. That shows up as a huge gain here, but really it’s not. Also, a mild illness or slight bobble in the morning by a single swimmer can have a huge negative impact on this – think Huske last year in 100 free and Jacoby in 200 breast this year. This data is very much inherently flawed.

Mathrunswim
Reply to  IMO
1 year ago

Agree with the underseeding issue for Walsh in the 200 fly, but when swimmers like Huske or Jacoby don’t get it done in prelims, that’s on them and should be reflected as part of their teams’ performance.

Chester
1 year ago

Michigan and Bama swam awful. IU was stellar.

chickenlamp
1 year ago

Nice to see Tennesse breaking tradition! Really solid performance from them, and it bodes well for Crooks and the rest of the men’s team next week.

Also happily surprised to see Florida holding seed. I wasn’t expecting them to improve from seed this year because of how hard they went at SECs. But nice to see them hold seed even with a relay DQ. Their non-freestyle swimmers in particular overperformed, especially Nina Kucheran

Rswim
Reply to  chickenlamp
1 year ago

Nina is a blood traitor going from Florida State to Florida

Yup
1 year ago

Wuffies -52 below seed. Woof.

And Tejas swam slightly worse each day

Lab Counter
Reply to  Yup
1 year ago

The relay DQ didn’t help for sure!

Swimmyswim
Reply to  Lab Counter
1 year ago

What relay did they DQ? Meet mobile never showed a DQ

emma
Reply to  Swimmyswim
1 year ago

2 free relay

Johnny
Reply to  emma
11 months ago

What was the reason for the DQ?

About Riley Overend

Riley is an associate editor interested in the stories taking place outside of the pool just as much as the drama between the lane lines. A 2019 graduate of Boston College, he arrived at SwimSwam in April of 2022 after three years as a sports reporter and sports editor at newspapers …

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