2017 Worlds Previews: Kalisz, Seto on Fire in Men’s 400 IM

You can find links to all of our event-by-event previews and a compilation of our predicted medal-winners here.

2017 FINA World Championships

Daiya Seto (Photo: Tim Binning)

After landing on the podium in Rio, the Japanese 400 IM contingent of Olympic champ Kosuke Hagino and bronze medalist Daiya Seto will return for the 2017 FINA World Championships in Budapest. Since his Japanese Record-breaking performance in Rio, Hagino has put up a 2017 best of 4:10.45. With that time in-season, he’s probably in good shape to challenge for gold again, but Seto is actually looking like even more of a threat this year. Seto, who won gold in this event at 2015 Worlds, rocked a lifetime best 4:07.99 at the Sette Colli meet, so he’s better than ever heading into Budapest.

Team USA’s Chase Kalisz has been on fire this season, and has a serious shot at challenging for gold after he took silver at the Rio Olympics. Before his massive time drop in Rio, Kalisz hadn’t broken 4:10 last summer until Olympic Trials, where he put up a 4:09.54. He knocked nearly 3 seconds off that at the Olympics, where he swam his lifetime best 4:06.75. This season, Kaisz was under 4:10 by the time May rolled around, and came within 2 tenths of his lifetime best to win U.S. Nationals in a world-leading 4:06.99. Kalisz has been consistent with his drops from Trials to big international meets, so he has the potential to dip into the 4:05-range.

Also returning from the Rio final will be the USA’s Jay Litherland, Great Britain’s Max Litchfield, and Spain’s Joan Lluis Pons. At U.S. Nationals, Litherland was nearly 2 seconds faster than he went in last summer’s Olympic final, putting up a lifetime best 4:09.31 to break 4:10 for the first time. Litchfield shined at the 2017 British Championships as he took down the British Record in the 400 IM. In doing so, he took a second off his lifetime best to touch in 4:10.63. He’s now on track to become the first British man to swim under 4:10 in the event. Pons Ramon’s season best is a 4:16.57, but he’s been as fast as a 4:13.55 from prelims in Rio.

David Verraszto (Photo: Tim Binning)

Hungarian David Verraszto is looking especially dangerous with his personal best 4:07.47. Verraszto and teammate Gergely Gyurta, who boasts a lifetime best 4:12.81 from the 2017 Hungarian Championships, will have the home field advantage at this meet. Verraszto will have that extra little bit of motivation to get the home country on the podium, and he’s likely to end up on the medal stand if he’s near his season best from the Sette Colli meet, where he took down Olympic medalist Seto. He was the silver medalist in this event at 2015 Worlds before falling off the mark in Rio and missing the final, but he’s definitely on track to redeem himself in front of the home crowd.

Like Verraszto, China’s Wang Shun and Brazil’s Brandonn Almeida seek redemption after missing the Rio final. Shun has been almost 2 full seconds faster than he was in Rio this season, putting up a lifetime best 4:12.65 at the 2017 Chinese Nationals. Almeida, who formerly held the Junior World Record in this event, is currently ranked #11 with a 4:13.06, but he’s been as fast as 4:12.49 from last summer.

Aside from Shun and Almeida, there are a handful of men who should be competing for those last few spots in the final. Switzerland’s Jeremy Desplanches has been having a fantastic season, breaking the Swiss Record in this event with a 4:13.11 at the French Elite Championships. Germany’s Philip Heintz (4:16.91) has been rising through the ranks of the IM events, and teammate Jacob Heidtmann returns after making the final in this race at 2015 Worlds. Italy’s Federico Turrini posted a commanding victory with his 4:13.52 at Italian Nationals. After swimming his lifetime best 4:11.55 in 2013, he stalled in this event, but nearly had a breakthrough with his 4:11.95 in the leadup to Rio.

Aussie star Thomas Fraser-Holmes would likely be in the mix, but he opted out of Australian Trials and will now be absent from competition for a year due to a 12-month suspension handed to him by FINA. The suspension came after Fraser-Holmes missed 3 doping tests, as 3 missed tests over a 12-month period can lead to penalties.

TOP 8 PREDICTIONS:

Place Swimmer Country Season Best Predicted Time
1 Chase Kalisz USA 4:06.99 4:05.8
2 Kosuke Hagino JPN 4:10.45 4:06.5
3 David Verraszto HUN 4:07.47 4:07.0
4 Daiya Seto JPN 4:07.99 4:07.3
5 Jay Litherland USA 4:09.30 4:09.1
6 Max Litchfield GBR 4:10.63 4:10.2
7 Wang Shun CHN 4:12.65 4:11.5
8 Federico Turrini ITA 4:13.52 4:11.8

DARKHORSE: Great Britain’s Mark Szaranek, who competes for the Florida Gators in the NCAA, had a fantastic yards season, finishing 3rd to Seliskar and Kalisz in the 400 IM at the NCAA Championships and tying Licon for the win in the 200 IM. Szaranek went a lifetime best 4:15.51 in April, but he may still have some room for improvement.

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48 Comments on "2017 Worlds Previews: Kalisz, Seto on Fire in Men’s 400 IM"

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IMs for days

I think Kalisz can challenge Lochte’s textile best her, and I think most people expect him to have his first gold here, as do I. I expect Verraszto to reall step it up for the home crowd. Hagino is hard to read, he is the Olympic champ, but he hasn’t done anything special so far this year. Seto will be in the mix, he is the reigning double world champion, and he has been great so far this year, but it’s going to be difficult for him with those 3 in the mix.
My Prediction
1. Kalisz 4:05.5
2. Verraszto 4:06.6
3. Hagino 4:06.9 ( I have a feeling he is more focused on the 200 IM this year)

Verraszto had a phenomenal swim obviously fully tapered. He should go 4:07, 4:08 or even 4:09 here.

IMs for days

He was probably rested, but I highly doubt he was tapered for that Mare Norstrum swim. Do you really think him and his coach are that stupid? Exspecially when the world championship in your country is on the line?

Yes I do. Look at that swim. Drops ton of time. Cseh did it last year, now he wants to do it this year.

I mean Verraszto does this year not Cseh

I don’t think Kalisz breaks 4:06 here. More like 4:06.5

I know I’m pretty optimistic but I wanna see a 4:04

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About Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh is a former NCAA swimmer at the University of Arizona and the University of Florida. She got her M.S. in Criminology from Florida State and seems exceptionally confused about which team she should cheer for during the college football season. Lauren is currently working on her M.A. in …

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