As we move into the thick of conference championship week, there is a palpable funk in the air.
On the one hand, we will see fast swimming, dramatic turns, history being made, and records broken over the next 12 days. This will head into what will be one of the most spectacular Marches of college swimming we’ve ever seen. Gretchen Walsh is going to blow our minds, and the men’s meet is set up to be one of the best team battles we’ve ever had.
On the other hand, this will mark the beginning of one of the darkest marches in college swimming history, with hundreds or even thousands of athletes being cut from rosters to comply with the terms of the House vs. NCAA settlement, which has set swimming & diving roster caps at 30 men and 30 women.
The consequences will be far-reaching, and I don’t think most folks in the sport have begun to grapple with them yet. When the portal opens (on March 12 for D1 women, on March 19 for D1 men), the flood of talent will be unlike anything we’ve seen before.
I suspect that swimming hypeman Kyle Sockwell has it right when he proposes that there will be a multi-cycle approach to this: teams will make roster cuts, those swimmers will go into the portal, then those same teams will see who is available in the portal, and if they sign them, resulting in another (smaller) round of cuts and entries into the portal. Even schools that aren’t impacted by the roster limits (D2 and D3, for example), will have to make hard choices when there are opportunities to enhance their rosters.
Teams have already begun this cycle of roster cuts – though not many of those have received waivers to enter the portal yet, and with the ongoing D1 recruiting shutdown, other programs wouldn’t be able to contact them now anyway.
The SEC is going to be hit even harder, with the conference currently planning to reduce that roster cap further to 22, even though the House settlement isn’t going to make them.
Among the most-uniquely positioned of the programs in this scenario are the Texas Longhorns, who are the only SEC program this season that is likely to run into a “more NCAA qualifiers than we’re allowed to take” situation.
The proposed SEC cap of 22 athletes, with swimmers and divers each counting as one, matches the SEC’s conference championship roster limit (which is probably not a coincidence).
Who is In and Who is Out for Texas?
Reports out of Austin are that the Longhorns have had a multi-stage process for making cuts that has been transparent and, where possible, objective.
The athletes were ranked, and swimmers near the bottom of that ranking were shaved-and-tapered for spring meets, having certain targets that they needed to hit in order to continue in the process.
While we don’t know exactly who has, and has not, been cut from the Texas program, on the initial version of the SEC Championship psych sheets, Texas listed 26 athletes – and they will have until Monday evening to reduce their roster for SECs down to 22.
Texas In vs. Out at the SEC Championships
Class | Name (In) | Name (Out) | Class |
Freshman | Cooper Lucas | Max Hatcher | Freshman |
Freshman | Landon D’Ariano | Jeremy Kelly | Freshman |
Freshman | Garrett Gould | Tyler Quarterman | Freshman |
Freshman | Kyle Peck | Luke Stibrich | Freshman |
Freshman Diver | Luke Forester | George Flanders | Sophomore |
Freshman Diver | Jacob Jones | Pierce Brooke | Sophomore |
Freshman Diver | Jacob Welsh | Michael Cotter | Sophomore |
Sophomore | Rex Maurer | Ethan Doehler | Junior |
Sophomore | Will Modglin | Aleksej Filipovic | Junior |
Sophomore | Nate Germonprez | Andrew Zettle | Junior |
Sophomore | Will Scholtz | Kobe Ndebele | Junior |
Sophomore | Camden Taylor | Sasha Lyubavskiy | Junior |
Sophomore | Brayden Taivassalo | Nathan Quarterman | Senior |
Sophomore | Logan Walker | Manuel Borowski | Senior |
Junior | |||
Junior | Manning Haskal | ||
Junior | Hubert Kos | ||
Junior | Holden Smith | ||
Junior | |||
Junior | Ryan Branon | ||
Junior Diver | Nick Harris | ||
Senior | David Johnston | ||
Senior | Chris Guiliano | ||
Senior | Luke Hobson | ||
5th Year | Coby Carrozza | ||
5th Year | Ben Sampson |
When looking through the list, a few things jump out:
Graduations vs. Commitments
The Texas men have 5 swimmers graduating after this season (remember that 2025 seniors don’t get a 5th year – unless they’re redshirt seniors).
They have at least 6 men committed for next season (Aiden Hammer, Campbell McKean, Calvin Fry, Rafael Fente-Damers, Kacper Masiuk, and a diver). And remember that the five swimmers all committed to Bowman after the Longhorns basically erased the previous commitments to the program.
If you add that math up, that means that at least three underclassmen from the left column can’t return on the varsity roster next season.
Who’s on the right side?
Among the swimmers in the right column are Russian Sasha Lyubavskiy, who went 14:59 in the mile at the Eddie Reese Showdown in late January
Another is Michael Cotter, the #3 recruit in the high school class of 2022 who transferred in from NC State this season and swam 1:34.16 in the 200 free mid-season. There are in fact two 1:34s in that right column: also on the right side is South African Kobe Ndebale, who had a breakthrough year swimming best times of 19.59/42.87/1:34.40 in the 50/100/200 freestyles this season.
Swimmers like Ndebale, with five or six semesters of college under their belts, are left with a tough choice on whether to transfer or whether to stay out their time with their current teams and graduate. Transferring that late into an academic career almost always results in setbacks, though they could graduate and transfer as a graduate student thereafter.
At least one swimmer in the right column, Andrew Zettle, hasn’t raced this semester after swimming only two events (the 50 free and a 200 free relay) at the Texas Hall of Fame Invitational.
Highly-recruited freshman Kyle Peck, the #11 recruit in the class, came alive at the Eddie Reese Showdown and swam a new best time of 45.02 in the 100 back, which was .75 seconds better than he was mid-season (and .66 seconds better than he was in high school). Now he’s on the SEC Championship roster and has a time that is likely to earn him an NCAA invite.
To be perfectly clear: we don’t know for sure who is being cut and who isn’t. Some of our readers know for sure who is being cut and who isn’t. But these are the hard looks that coaches across the country – even those not directly impacted by this – are going to have to make as they look to improve their teams. For some coaches it will be a choice between a non-conference swimmer with good grades and a non-conference swimmer with bad grades. For others, hard choices will have to be made between swimmers who scored points at conference meets.
Other fallout will include the loss of diving programs, which seems inevitable when swimmers and divers are weighed on the same scale and the swim coaches have final decision making authority; and the inevitable public meltdowns that are going to happen in the comments and social media from swimmers and parents who aren’t happy with being cut.
The times will be trying, the conflict in a sport that is already seeing historic highs of strife will only rise further. We all have to remember that to some extent, this is out of all of our control. The key to getting through it together, as a community, is going to be transparency, honesty, and communication.
Recruiting trips must be pretty awkward now, basically recruiting kids to replace you
Loss of culture.
Is Texas not hosting the (misnamed) American Short Course Championships this year? They always had that as a last-chance meet / non-conference championship…
It’s not on their official schedule…
Meet had kind of lost its luster in the last few seasons.
Noticed sophopmore diver Tanner Braunton is no longer on the Texas roster. He was a NCAA scorer last year with a rapid improvement curve
Tanner left Texas after the first semester this school year. Returned to CO.
So the SEC will have expanded to 13 teams, but the total roster spots will be less than a few years ago (rough math from ~650 to ~525). Wild times. Hopefully those athletes who get cut find homes in the mid-majors, and we see some fast swimming from it. I think after the dust settles, this will be good for more programs to have more talent spread out- I think a LOT of the bigger schools were letting talent slip through the cracks, due to their roster sizes. But for the next year or two, yikes.
It is not a unique situation only for Texas or SEC teams though. Currently on the Cal roster, there are 43 swimmers and divers listed (44 with Curry, which is a ridiculously large roster tbh). 18 of them are seniors or grad students, but they have signed 11 swimmers for 2025, so there will be 36 next year, 6 over the proposed roster limit of 30.
One thing that has crossed my mind with these roster limits… there are some pretty notable Olympic Team contenders that have been absolutely dreadful short course swimmers in comparison to their long course event counterparts… what do y’all think happens to swimmers in this situation?
Who comes to mind? If you’re an Olympic hopeful, you’re probably at least passable short course. Maybe you’re thinking Aaron Shackell? He’s really good scy too … Just hasn’t given any college a full season to see what they can do with him.
Maybe some breaststrokers?
I agree, most OLY swimmers adapt quickly to SCY. Maybe the TN guy, but the numbers are small.
Federico Burdisso, Nico Garcia, probably a bunch of distance swimmers/open water folks too.
My point is programs will be quite a bit less gung ho about development when they can grab someone from the portal. There are a quite a few who have made it to T-16 and even T-8 at trials who have not been immediately good at short course and quite a few of them don’t score at NCAAs even if they are developed in those ways
Tough time for the Quarterman household!
No doubt…really not a great situation for a lot of these swimmers. Kids that train their whole lives, commit to their school and end up not being able to compete.
Legacy family.
Both had NCAA B times and were cut in January. No access to team practice to train for last chance meets and prep for transfer portal. Decades of Longhorn team culture destroyed in 5 months.
It makes you wonder if the culture is dead, will the alum still donate to the NIL fund? Will that matter?
Should have allowed all the swimmers to complete the year being on the team. Cutting them to “allow them to focus on their future” doesn’t help. They will still need to train through the end of the school year to be able to transfer to and make another team. Bowman could have simply told them they wouldn’t be back next season but help them go somewhere else. Now, where are they supposed to train in the meantime?
I’m curious, are you speaking from experience? I just find it hard to believe that they were swimming up until 2 weeks ago and now aren’t allowed to swim.
It is hard to believe but yes those who have been cut are no longer allowed to train with the team
Alright, that part doesn’t make sense to me. Can they swim at the UT pool just not with the team?
From experience it’s not hard to believe
That is, unfortunately, exactly what has happened. Some of the roster cut swimmers have begun to swim with txla, the club team that operates out of UT.
It is a fact, that is what happened ..
Yep, Dirty Rob did them dirty …
Bowman hasn’t made any friends by doing this. If he doesn’t win or if his swimmers have a poor performance he will have painted himself in a corner he may not be able to get himself out of.
He is coming off as a carpet bagger, he will come in and do well this year with almost all of Eddie’s recruits (except Kos), but he has killed the Texas culture – he will probably depart in less than 3 years and only do pro’s after that.
It is not like he has a long track record anywhere except with Phelps ..
¡Adios Bobbito!
Isn’t this out of Bowman’s hands? This is an SEC limit, he’s just the messenger
You give Bowman too much credit. The rules are not in effect yet; he could have told them they would not be on the team come the fall but still allowed them to train instead of cutting them off in January
If they’re not on the team, would it be possible for them to train with the college team?
Anybody that is cut isn’t permitted to train with the team. Bob won’t let them.
BB has been adding new swimmers all fall while cutting others “out of necessity.” He bloated the team way above the 22, knowing well that he would have to cut many of them. Yes, it’s the way the game is played now. But some of the guys in the right-hand column did more for the team than just swim. They have great personalities, are excellent recruiters, are the social glue for the team, or academic whizzes. Losing them will take a big toll on the culture there. As they say, happy swimmers are fast swimmers.
But when you have to take 22 guys to the conference meet and you only get 22 roster spots, what are you going to do?
The new game is finding the swimmers who can be fast AND bring those other things to the table.
True. That’s where it will get interesting. BB gets/makes fast swimmers, but I wonder if he can bring the other things to the table. But then again, it probably doesn’t matter, since money talks, and money is king in sports (and politics) right now. In the meantime, I’m rooting for the underdogs who bring the other things to the table.
Bob did win an NCAA Championship last season with Arizona State, and he has managed to rebuild Texas in a hurry.
So IDK, I think we’ve gotta give him the benefit of the doubt that he’s doing his job well until he…stops doing it well. We’ve for sure seen coaches have hot streaks and then the wheels fall off, but until the wheels fall off, it’s just..a hot streak.
Rebuild in a hurry by squad wiping the junior class, freshman class, and the entire incoming class and bring in hand picks without regard to the academic and cultural value individuals bring to the team. I recognize that he’s been put in a tough position, but rebuilding like this will likely have long term consequences for the program
Let’s keep in mind that the 22 limit is for SEC Championships, no debate. There are no ‘official’ roster caps yet – so why cut the 2024-2025 roster to 22 when you are not required to?
Let the legal process play out (and the season) and Dirty Rob does not come off as the bad guy. Life is tough, people get cut, but where is the compelling factor for these moves right now? Did CDC tell his minions to cut cost as they need more money for football, etc?
It’s a win – win for him. He can cut the bottom half of his roster and blame on House and the SEC. And, if for some reason, the limits do not take effect, he will have plenty of room to add more ready-made talent, like Guiliano.
Can NIL money and winning NCAA titles overcome those consequences?
This isn’t a mid-tier program that relies on its relationships to sustain recruiting. Winning solves a lot of problems.
You’re right, there are a lot of resources at their disposal. And with the momentum the program has it’s hard to see anything other than dominance.
My concern is that this model for sustaining success by importing talent is a big departure from how Texas earned its past 15 National Titles. The rebuild you mentioned feels less like a renovation and more like demolishing a historic mansion to build a high rise office building.
Again, this is the new world. We’re all going to have to adjust to it. The same way that the world where Mike Pepe built his legacy was not the same one where Eddie Reese built his legacy, is the same way that Eddie and Bob will build in different worlds.
No coach is timeless. The greatest coaches are a product of being the right person at the right time.
Take car of yourself, take care of others and the rest will take care of its self – Eddie Reese
Respect spans all epochs and worlds – lacking with the current coach.
You live up to your moniker …
I just know things…
CONTINUED success at a high level takes more than just talent in the pool. Bowman should study how Eddie or John Wooden accomplished this. The most successful teams always seem to be led by coaches who care more about the well-being of their swimmers outside the pool than inside the pool.
This is exactly what’s happening and these kids need to keep training to put themselves in the best spot possible to transfer. Where do they train? And let’s not pretend like there isn’t room for these athletes – there is a pro group at Texas so the coaches apparently feel they have time on their hands to devote to non students.
OMG … Bob and Erik quit voting down. So many insightful comments have 2 negative votes!
Very crappy thing to do with those kids. You can give them a place to train until the end of the year. Certainly until the portal opens. Not a very compassionate attitude.