SwimSwam Pulse is a recurring feature tracking and analyzing the results of our periodic A3 Performance Polls. You can cast your vote in our newest poll on the SwimSwam homepage, about halfway down the page on the right side, or you can find the poll embedded at the bottom of this post.
Our most recent poll asked SwimSwam readers how many world records will fall at the Tokyo Olympics this month:
Question: How many world records will fall at the Tokyo Olympics?
- 7 or fewer – 74.5%
- 8-9 – 15.8%
- 10-11 – 6.3%
- 12-15 – 2.4%
- 16 or more – 1.0%
Nearly 75% of voters are expecting a limited number of world records at the Tokyo 2020 Olympics.
Our poll focused specifically on world record swims, not events with a world record. So Adam Peaty breaking his own 100 breast world record in semifinals and the final would count as two world record swims. Still, voters were low on the probability of multiple world records, with 74.5% of voters predicting 7 or fewer world record swims.
We broke down how many world record events and world record swims have come in the past five Olympic Games. The 2008 super-suit bump is clear, but even outside of that year, 8+ world record swims have come at every Olympics since 2000:
|MEET||WORLD RECORD EVENTS||WORLD RECORD SWIMS|
There are a few reigning world record-holders who seem like very good bets to swim a personal-best (Adam Peaty, Caeleb Dressel, Kaylee McKeown, Lilly King, Kristof Milak, Anton Chupkov). But perhaps SwimSwam voters hesitance is driven by a few reigning world record-holders with some uncertainty as to whether they’ll return to their career peaks (Katie Ledecky, Katinka Hosszu, Sarah Sjostrom, Ryan Murphy).
It’s also worth noting that compared to previous Olympics, this year’s Games will feature three extra events (the women’s 1500 free, men’s 800 free, and mixed 4×100 medley relay) and three more chances at world records.
Below, vote in our new A3 Performance Poll, which asks voters for their thoughts on rumors of the University of Texas leaving the Big 12 Conference for the SEC:
The A3 Performance Poll is courtesy of A3 Performance, a SwimSwam partner