Michael Phelps 2016 Olympic Events Prediction: Gold Medal Minute Video

  135 Gold Medal Mel Stewart | January 08th, 2014 | Gold Medal Minute, International, National, News, Video | Sponsored by: Swimoutlet.com


Michael Phelps, the greatest Olympian of all time, is back in the USADA drug testing pool and back at practice under longtime coach Bob Bowman. Both men maintain this is merely a means of staying fit, staying within striking distance of fighting shape. If Phelps feels race ready, he’ll test his speed–but don’t call it a comeback. Yet.

Michael Phelps, 22-time Olympic medalist (courtesy of Tim Binning)

Michael Phelps, 22-time Olympic medalist (courtesy of Tim Binning)

Whatever the outcome, any swimming news surrounding the 22-time Olympic medalist is positive. Phelps could decide competition is a no-go and attend the 2016 Rio Olympic Games as an ambassador. His presence alone will make an impact, promoting his lifelong goal of growing the sport of swimming. However, if Phelps finds his feel for the water, his future is anyone’s guess.

My prediction, outlined in the video above, is based on Phelps’ age in 2016, the Olympic (and U.S. Olympic Trials) schedule of events, and Phelps’ desire to try new events. If he dives back into competition over the next two year and a half years, I think my six guesses are realistic.

100 meter freestyle: 47.4

100 meter butterfly: 50.2

200 meter IM: 1:53.8

I see Phelps making the 4×200 freestyle relay with a strong 200 free at US Olympic Trials, but he doesn’t swim it individually in Rio. I think that would net him a spot on all three relays.  With three individual events, Phelps would race for Olympic hardware six times at the 2016 Olympic Games.

If Michael Phelps makes a comeback, what are your guesses?

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This is a Gold Medal Media production presented by SwimOutlet.com. Host Gold Medal Mel Stewart is a 3-time Olympic medalist and the co-founder of SwimSwam.com.


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135 Comments on "Michael Phelps 2016 Olympic Events Prediction: Gold Medal Minute Video"

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If traditional training for 200s becomes too grueling, how bout some USRPT!

It would be awesome if Michael were to compete in the 2016 Olympics. I’m 12 and all I want to do is be like him. He is such an insperation to me and I would really like to see him compete one last time.


I just noticed that the full event information for Summer Nationals is now up at USA Swimming. Maybe everyone else already expected this, but looks like the same schedule as last year. So, Phelps would be looking at:

Wednesday: 100 free (assuming no 200 fly)
Thursday: 200 free
Friday: 100 fly (assuming no 400 IM)
Saturday: off
Sunday: 200 IM

Seems reasonable. I’m thinking about California for vacation anyway, and if Phelps ends up swimming at Nationals, that’ll seal the deal for me.


About Gold Medal Mel Stewart

Gold Medal Mel Stewart

MEL STEWART Jr., aka Gold Medal Mel, won three Olympic medals at the 1992 Olympic Games. Mel's best event was the 200 butterfly. He is a former World, American, and NCAA Record holder in the 200 butterfly. As a writer/producer and sports columnist, Mel has contributed to Yahoo Sports, Universal Sports, …

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