2017 Worlds Preview: Clash Of The Titans In Men’s 800 Free

2017 FINA World Aquatics Championships

You can find links to all of our event-by-event previews and a compilation of our predicted medal-winners here.

Men’s 800m Freestyle

  • World Record: 7:32.12, Zhang Lin (CHN), 2009
  • World Championship Record: 7:32.12, Zhang Lin (CHN), 2009
  • Defending World Champion: Sun Yang (CHN), 7:39.96

The men’s 800 free has often been a very exciting race on the world stage.  The best 400 swimmers clash with the best milers, and it usually elicits a very intriguing race. However, there was never as much stock put into it as those other two races as a non-Olympic event. Now that it will be an Olympic event in 2020, the race this summer becomes all the more captivating, with swimmers putting a little more emphasis on it knowing they’re preparing for Tokyo.

There are multiple swimmers who could conceivably walk away with gold this summer. At the last World Championships in Kazan, Sun Yang, the winner of the 400, and Gregorio Paltrinieri, the winner of the 1500, had an thrilling showdown in this race, with Sun’s closing speed earning him the gold.

Last summer in Rio, Sun performed worse as the distance increased, which had never been the case before. Gold in the 200, silver in the 400 and 16th in the mile brought up questions about whether or not he was committed to train for the race in which he won Olympic gold just four years prior. He did reveal he was sick heading into that 1500, and appears to be back on track this year. Even if he isn’t in peak 1500 form, the 800 is still short enough that he’ll be in the race for gold. His best of 7:48.33 this year is solid, and is less than a second slower than he was heading into Kazan, where he ended up going 7:39. He’ll also be looking to keep China’s streak alive, as they’ve won the past four World titles in this event starting with Zhang Lin‘s otherworldly world record of 7:32.12 in 2009.

Paltrinieri and his Italian running mate Gabriele Detti will both be gunning to end China’s reign in the event and begin the shift to Italian dominance in the men’s 800. Paltrinieri’s fastest 800 ever was that race head-to-head with Sun, clocking 7:40.81. His potential problem in this race is that it could be too short for him, if you can believe that. He doesn’t have the finishing speed to out-sprint Sun, or even Detti, so the only way he wins this one is if he has a second and a half or more with 50 to go.

That could very well happen, but Detti’s performance this year indicates this may be his event. At the Italian Championships Detti beat Paltrinieri head-to-head by over 7 seconds, posting a new best and the world’s top time of 7:41.64. He’s also ranked 2nd in the world in the 400 to Sun, and 2nd in the 1500 to Paltrinieri. He may just have the perfect combination of speed and endurance to take out the two more established stars in this race.

400 free Olympic gold medalist Mack Horton also has the potential to jump up and challenge those three for the top spot. Despite suffering from a parasitic bug in Kazan, Horton still won bronze in the 800. He’s seen such great success in the 400, and has been as fast as 14:39 in the mile, so a big drop in the 800 wouldn’t be a shock. His times from Australian Nationals indicate he may not have tapered as much as in the past, either that or he’s a bit off pace this year. He’ll be in the heat of the battle.

Korean Park Tae Hwan had a massive performance at the Short Course World Championships in Windsor, winning gold in the 200, 400 and 1500 freestyle in impressive fashion. This raised questions as to whether or not he would make a run in the 1500 at Worlds, and if that was the case he’d likely also take a shot at the 800. However, upon the release of provisional entries on the FINA app, Park has opted not to enter the 800. However, he’s still entered in the mile, along with the 100, 200 and 400.

Who else figures to be in the final? The European trio of Henrik ChristiansenWojciech Wojdak and Mykhailo Romanchuk are all virtually the same age, either 21 or turning 21 this year, and are quickly on the rise. Christiansen and Wojdak were finalists in this event two years ago, and Romanchuk made it through to the final in the 1500. Like Park, Romanchuk has surprisingly opted out of the 800, choosing to solely focus on the 1500 which comes at the end of the competition. Christiansen and Wojdak, however, will be very dangerous in this event. They’re ranked 4th and 5th in the world this year, and though they may be a year or two away from medaling, will be forces to reckoned with in the distance events for years to come.

Americans Clark Smith and Zane Grothe had a back and forth duel at U.S. Trials, with Grothe winning the 400 and Smith the 800. They both clocked in at 7:50 in the 800, which was a best for both, but they’ll likely need to be faster to make it through to the final in Budapest. They’ve both arguably had the best seasons of their lives. Smith won a pair of NCAA titles, both in American & NCAA Record fashion, and Grothe has been posting fast times all year, including that breakout 3:44.4 in the 400. They’ll be in the thick of the battle for a spot in the top-8, but a finals berth for either is from a certainty.

China’s Qiu Ziao has shown steady improvement the last few years and now sits 9th in the world at 7:52.69. Prior to that swim he had never broken 8 minutes, and at just 18 more improvement will likely be on the way.

Australian Jack McLoughlin holds the 10th fastest time of the year, but with his added open water focus likely won’t have the speed to final. Jan Micka (CZE) and Gergely Gyurta (HUN) have always been better at the mile, while Austrian Felix Auboeck could slice off a large chunk from his 21st ranked 7:55.86 after his performance in the NCAA this season as a freshman.

SWIMMER COUNTRY SEASON BEST PREDICTED TIME
1 Gabriele Detti Italy 7:41.64 7:38.6
2 Sun Yang China 7:48.33 7:40.0
3 Gregorio Paltrinieri  Italy 7:47.27* 7:40.7
4 Mack Horton  Australia 7:52.90* 7:42.7
5 Henrik Christiansen  Norway 7:49.40 7:44.6
6 Wojciech Wojdak  Poland 7:50.18 7:46.0
7 Clark Smith United States 7:50.43  7:46.8
8  Zane Grothe United States 7:50.97  7:47.5

*done on the way in a 1500

Dark Horse: Akaram Mahmoud of Egypt just missed the final in this event two years ago in 9th, and has an NCAA runner-up and 3rd place finish (in the 3rd fastest swim of all-time) in the 1650 in the two seasons since. He’s only been 8:07.35 this long course season, but is capable of going sub-7:50.

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14 Comments on "2017 Worlds Preview: Clash Of The Titans In Men’s 800 Free"

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IMs for days
Detti was great in 2016, and so far in 2017 he has only impoved. I think the 800 will be his best event, as it falls right between the 400 and 1500. I think Paltrinieri is taking this year slower than last, where he peaked sometime between Euros amd the Olympics. I think he’s trying to avoid that this uear and peak soley for worlds. Patrinieri needs to get a huge lead in the middle of the race, as basically everyone else in the finals will have a better last 50 then him. I think ever since 2014 sun has been moving away from his distance base and more towards the 200 and 400. I don’t think he’ll get under… Read more »

I think this is Detti’s ideal distance, perfect stroke & balance between speed and endurance.

1. Detti
2. Yang
3. Christiansen

I’m not sure what to expect from Paltrinieri south of 1500m after his OW exploits. That adds a little expectation. I like sneak bronze for a youngster, too.

Christiansen 800 free bronze in Budapest

I agree. It’s time for a Worlds medal for Christiansen after placing 5th in this event 2 years ago, which was actually his first senior champs breakthrough. He has focused more on strength and conditioning after the Olympics, and I think we will see him with a slighter more powerful stroke than before.

1. Detti: 7:38,78
2. Sun: 7:39,99
3. Christiansen: 7:41,55
4. Horton: 7:42,01
5. Paltrinieri: 7:42,77
6. Wojdak: 7:43,91
7. Smith: 7:45,66
8. Grothe: 7:47,00

These usernames are getting better and better.

Christiansen 800 free bronze in Budapest

Gotta support your countrymen😉

Paltrinieri is shifting his goal from 800-1500 in the last Olympic cycle to 1500-10km in this Olympic cicle. In August he will race the 10km in the WUG.
He will be in top form for the 1500 in Budapest, but I’m not so sure he can win a medal in the 800. Too bad for Park NE I have him second/third in this race.

My prediction:
1. Detti 7:38 low
2. Horton 7.40 flat
3. Sun 7:43 low (he will fall badly after 600m mark)

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About James Sutherland

James Sutherland

James is currently a university swimmer for the Laurentian Voyageurs, where he is studying economics. Along with swimming, he also loves hockey. He's in his 11th season as a competitive swimmer.

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