Top 5 Biggest Time Drops From Seed At Day 2 Of U.S. Nationals


As we did yesterday, we’re bringing you the top 5 time drops from seeds on day 2 of U.S. Nationals.

This data comes courtesy of Barry Revzin, who has done excellent work crunching the numbers in a hurry after each night’s session. The time drops work off of seed times, and Barry has listed the top 5 drops (percentage-wise) from all swimmers and from the top 16 seeds, which shows which already-high-level swimmers found a way to jump to the next level this week.

Curtis Ogren had the biggest overall drop, soaring from the 44th seed into the B final of the 200 back. Meanwhile Kathleen Baker had the best drop among all women in the 200 back, winning in a world-leading 2:06.38. Baker was originally seeded with a short course yards time (which are not included in these rankings), but was reseeded with a time from early in 2016. Baker didn’t swim this event at Olympic Trials last summer, and had previously only gone 2:09.36 as a lifetime-best.

Top 5 Time Drops From Day 2


  1. 3.6% – Curtis Ogren (M 200 Back) 2:03.70 to 1:59.19
  2. 3.4% – Kathleen Baker (W 200 Back) 2:10.79 to 2:06.38
  3. 3.0% – Matthew Anderson (M 200 Breast) 2:18.54 to 2:14.33
  4. 2.9% – Charlie Swanson (M 200 Breast) 2:18.2 to 2:14.56
  5. 2.5% – Jonathan Tybur (M 200 Breast) 2:14.32 to 2:10.94

Among Top 16 Seeds:

  1. 3.4% – Kathleen Baker (W 200 Back) 2:10.79 to 2:06.38
  2. 2.5% – Jonathan Tybur (M 200 Breast) 2:14.32 to 2:10.94
  3. 2.1% – Bryce Mefford (M 200 Back) 2:01.21 to 1:58.63
  4. 2.0% – Kayla Brumbaum (W 200 Breast) 2:28.79 to 2:25.85
  5. 1.7% – Conner McHugh (M 200 Breast) 2:14.81 to 2:12.47


Other facts:

  • Average Time Change: +0.03%
  • Median Time Change: -0.06%
  • % Improved upon Seed Time: 52.5%

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4 years ago

I really hope Kathleen can get that 50 bk tomorrow to!!!

IMs for days
4 years ago

Anyone know where race videos are?

Reply to  IMs for days
4 years ago

Only B and C finals are being posted on USA Swimming’s YouTube channel. Haven’t seen A finals anywhere.

Reply to  Braden Keith
4 years ago

On the USA Swimming homepage ( there is the spot for the live video. To the right of that are completed races, including the A finals.

bobo gigi
Reply to  Braden Keith
4 years ago

That’s a disaster so far. I used to watch all sessions free and live. Now it’s the case only for the prelims. All finals used to be posted on youtube. Only B and C-Finals so far. Last year for olympic trials they also posted the shows with Ariana Kukors on youtube. Nothing so far. A DISASTER! 😥

Captain Awesome
Reply to  bobo gigi
4 years ago

If you use a VPN and set it to US you can watch the finals sessions for free.

Reply to  bobo gigi
4 years ago

Little not , i have watched every show with Ariana Kukors on the Usaswimming page on Facebook . its available there , its about 25 mins . yesterday , they invited Zack Apple at the table . U can still check ….

NornIron Swim
Reply to  bobo gigi
4 years ago

Opera, the Internet Brower, has a built in VPN that you can set to the USA. Needed a computer restart but I can watch everything from the UK.

jay ryan
4 years ago

That’s a really good 200 bk swim for Curtis. PB by about 4 sec I think. He came out of St Francis HS as a Breaststroker and IM’er. Maybe his 400 IM will final this week.

bobo gigi
4 years ago

Fortunately you don’t make the same work about the swimmers who are far from their seed times.
2 of my favorite US teens have a tough meet so far. Destin Lasco 2.08 in the 200 back. But I’m not surprised. He had not raced for a long time. Maybe he was injured. No idea. And Isabel Ivey is far from her best level too. 56.04 and 2.02.82! Weird. She was great in the yards season but she struggles in her long course season so far. Hopefully both big talents will rebound later in the summer.

Reply to  bobo gigi
4 years ago

Young Destin had a decent 100 free, I think…

4 years ago

Baker was absolutely stunning yesterday !!! She was my highlight yesterday with Kevin Cordes

About Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson swam for nearly twenty years. Then, Jared Anderson stopped swimming and started writing about swimming. He's not sick of swimming yet. Swimming might be sick of him, though. Jared was a YMCA and high school swimmer in northern Minnesota, and spent his college years swimming breaststroke and occasionally pretending …

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