Price Fishback, the unofficial keeper of all things team scoring for the NCAA Championships, has put out his final day predictions for the 2015 Men’s Championship.
Barring something stunning, and with the number of strange things have happened at this meet it’s hard to count anything out, Texas has the title all-but sealed up. Even with minimum points, only a wave of DQ’s seems like it could derail the Longhorns, and even then they probably have enough to go home with their first title in 5 years.
After swimming about 150 points above their swimming seeds on Thursday and Friday, Texas only moved up 13 points today. Cal had a big day today, moving up by 59. Other big risers today are Louisville (21) and Missouri and Stanford (18 each).
Cal, too, is in very good shape for 2nd, with the first real points battle coming for 3rd place. The Michigan men have just a 5-point edge on Florida going into the final session, but they did much better than the Gators in prelims (33 points better as compared to seed), which puts them in control for 3rd.
Florida’s bigger challenge will come from USC, who is projected to finish just 6 points back of Florida when all is said-and-done. Also note that for 7th-place Stanford, the scores don’t include the 10 meter platform results, meaning that they should be lined up for at least a top-6 finish.
| Rank | TEAM | FridayActual Score | Predicted Final Score without 10M Dive | Psych Score No Diving | Difference in Post Sat Prelim Score and Psych (No Dive) | Saturday Prelim Minus Psych (All Swimming comparison) |
| 1 | tx | 399 | 513 | 331 | 182 | 13 |
| 2 | cal | 275 | 395 | 260 | 135 | 59 |
| 3 | mi | 210 | 308 | 310 | -2 | 18 |
| 4 | fl | 205 | 273 | 320 | -47 | -15 |
| 5 | socal | 197 | 267 | 332 | -65 | -15 |
| 6 | ga | 148.5 | 210.5 | 262 | -51.5 | -22 |
| 7 | st | 156 | 206 | 147 | 59 | 6 |
| 8 | ncst | 104.5 | 203.5 | 291 | -87.5 | -7 |
| 9 | al | 127 | 178 | 210 | -32 | -15 |
| 10 | au | 131 | 174 | 229 | -55 | -29 |
| 11 | mo | 82 | 133 | 72 | 61 | 18 |
| 12 | az | 91.5 | 110.5 | 47 | 63.5 | 5 |
| 13 | in | 104 | 110 | 73 | 37 | -20 |
| 14 | tn | 78 | 109 | 126 | -17 | -10 |
| 15 | lou | 72 | 107 | 75 | 32 | 21 |
| 16 | ohst | 72 | 86 | 54 | 32 | 7 |
| 17 | nc | 49.5 | 53.5 | 45 | 8.5 | -9 |
| 18 | mifl | 49 | 49 | 0 | 49 | 0 |
| 19 | socar | 19 | 41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 | wi | 28 | 41 | 54 | -13 | -6 |
| 21 | pu | 29 | 34 | 6 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 | ut | 12.5 | 30.5 | 18 | 12.5 | 9 |
| 23 | byu | 15 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 7 |
| 24 | psu | 20 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 3 |
| 25 | nw | 2 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 0 |
| 26 | unlv | 12 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 10 |
| 27 | gt | 14 | 21 | 32 | -11 | -14 |
| 28 | fsu | 11 | 17 | 17 | 0 | -8 |
| 29 | wky | 13 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
| 30 | vt | 13 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1 |
| 31 | penn | 0 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 | va | 8 | 9 | 10 | -1 | -6 |
| 33 | nd | 7 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 34 | mn | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 35 | yale | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 36 | tam | 4.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 |
| 37 | smu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 38 | col | 0 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 |
| 39 | duke | 0 | 0 | 22 | -22 | 0 |
| 40 | io | 0 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0 |
| 41 | pr | 0 | 0 | 33 | -33 | -2 |
