2015 Men’s NCAA Swimming & Diving Championships: Final Session Scoring Projections

Price Fishback, the unofficial keeper of all things team scoring for the NCAA Championships, has put out his final day predictions for the 2015 Men’s Championship.

Barring something stunning, and with the number of strange things have happened at this meet it’s hard to count anything out, Texas has the title all-but sealed up. Even with minimum points, only a wave of DQ’s seems like it could derail the Longhorns, and even then they probably have enough to go home with their first title in 5 years.

After swimming about 150 points above their swimming seeds on Thursday and Friday, Texas only moved up 13 points today.   Cal had a big day today, moving up by 59.  Other big risers today are Louisville (21) and Missouri and Stanford (18 each).

Cal, too, is in very good shape for 2nd, with the first real points battle coming for 3rd place. The Michigan men have just a 5-point edge on Florida going into the final session, but they did much better than the Gators in prelims (33 points better as compared to seed), which puts them in control for 3rd.

Florida’s bigger challenge will come from USC, who is projected to finish just 6 points back of Florida when all is said-and-done. Also note that for 7th-place Stanford, the scores don’t include the 10 meter platform results, meaning that they should be lined up for at least a top-6 finish.

Rank TEAM FridayActual Score Predicted Final Score without 10M Dive Psych Score No Diving Difference in Post Sat Prelim Score and Psych (No Dive) Saturday Prelim Minus Psych (All Swimming comparison)
1 tx 399 513 331 182 13
2 cal 275 395 260 135 59
3 mi 210 308 310 -2 18
4 fl 205 273 320 -47 -15
5 socal 197 267 332 -65 -15
6 ga 148.5 210.5 262 -51.5 -22
7 st 156 206 147 59 6
8 ncst 104.5 203.5 291 -87.5 -7
9 al 127 178 210 -32 -15
10 au 131 174 229 -55 -29
11 mo 82 133 72 61 18
12 az 91.5 110.5 47 63.5 5
13 in 104 110 73 37 -20
14 tn 78 109 126 -17 -10
15 lou 72 107 75 32 21
16 ohst 72 86 54 32 7
17 nc 49.5 53.5 45 8.5 -9
18 mifl 49 49 0 49 0
19 socar 19 41 30 11 -1
20 wi 28 41 54 -13 -6
21 pu 29 34 6 28 -1
22 ut 12.5 30.5 18 12.5 9
23 byu 15 29 20 9 7
24 psu 20 29 26 3 3
25 nw 2 22 26 -4 0
26 unlv 12 22 27 -5 10
27 gt 14 21 32 -11 -14
28 fsu 11 17 17 0 -8
29 wky 13 15 6 9 2
30 vt 13 14 8 6 1
31 penn 0 13 13 0 0
32 va 8 9 10 -1 -6
33 nd 7 8 1 7 1
34 mn 4 6 3 3 0
35 yale 0 6 6 0 0
36 tam 4.5 4.5 3 1.5 0
37 smu 2 2 0 2 0
38 col 0 0 9 -9 0
39 duke 0 0 22 -22 0
40 io 0 0 11 -11 0
41 pr 0 0 33 -33 -2

 

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About Braden Keith

Braden Keith

Braden Keith is the Editor-in-Chief and a co-founder/co-owner of SwimSwam.com. He first got his feet wet by building The Swimmers' Circle beginning in January 2010, and now comes to SwimSwam to use that experience and help build a new leader in the sport of swimming. Aside from his life on the InterWet, …

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