Ryan Murphy World Championships Predictions: GMM presented by SwimOutlet.com

Gold Medal Minute presented by SwimOutlet.com

Three-time 2016 Olympic Champion Ryan Murphy says he’s training better than ever, including the lead up to the 2016 Olympic Games.  In season, he rarely drops into the 52 second range in the 100m back unless he’s within 4 weeks of taper-time.  That makes sense. Ryan is pushing a lot of muscle mass, requiring more rest to rip fast swims.  He swam a 52.99 100m back at the FINA Champions Series in Indy and 1:55.7 in the 200m back at the recent Cal-Stanford Long Course Duel.

LOOKING AHEAD TO 2019 FINA WORD CHAMPIONSHIPS

I predicted Ryan’s Worlds performance earlier this year at:

  • 100m back – 51.6-7
  • 200m back – 1:53.0

I’m adjusting my predictions to 51.78 in 100m back and 1:52.9 in the 200m back.  Both performances net him gold. I think Ryan edges Evgeny Rylov in the 2-back, winning by a fingernail.

What are your predictions? What do you think? 

Ryan 2016-2018 Performances

Ryan – 2016 Olympics:

  • 100m back – 51.85 (PB)
  • 200m back – 1:53.62

Ryan – 2017 World Champs:

  • 100m back – 52.59
  • 200m back -1:54.21

Ryan – 2018 Pan Pacs:

  • 100m back – 51.94
  • 200m back – 1:53.57 (PB)

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This is a Gold Medal Media production presented by SwimOutlet.com. Host Gold Medal Mel Stewart is a 3-time Olympic medalist and the co-founder of SwimSwam.com, a Swimming News website.

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Paolo
2 years ago

I think:
Worlds: 100m back 52.3, 200m back 1.53.8
Olympics: 100m back 51.8, 200m back 1.53.2

DRAMA KING
Reply to  Paolo
2 years ago

Dean will win 100 back at Olympics with 51.7…
You hear it for the first time.

MTK
Reply to  Paolo
2 years ago

Those Worlds times seem “slow”, considering that Murphy beat those times last year, and he says he’s been doing his best training ever this year.

Danjohnrob
2 years ago

Great video, Mel! I’m terrible at predicting times, but this vid really got me excited for WC! The U.S. Is so lucky to have a reliable,dedicated athlete like Ryan on our team who is still motivated to put in the effort to drop time at this point in his career! What a great role-model for the youth of our sport!

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Danjohnrob
2 years ago

+ Grevers on his side …..to show longevity + motivation as well .

bear drinks beer
2 years ago

He might win both, but 51.7 and 1:52.9 won’t happen.

ERVINFORTHEWIN
2 years ago

For this summer , i humbly predict 51.90 100 back – the only one with Xu to dip under 52 ( Post rubber suit ) – with Larkin and Kolesnikov just behind with 52 lows . 200 back : 1.52 high to 1.53 low , close to his best ever . Close battle on the 100 back , less on the 200 between the top contenders . Go Murphy !!!

bear drinks beer
Reply to  ERVINFORTHEWIN
2 years ago

I believe quite the opposite. He will face a more fierce battle in the 200 with Rylov. That Russian is tougher to beat than all 100bk guys.

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Gold Medal Mel Stewart
2 years ago

Thanks Mel – lets see what happens …its an exciting Summer

BSD
2 years ago

51.5 and 1:52.8

Coleman Hodges(@colemanhodges)
Admin
Reply to  BSD
2 years ago

im on this train

MTK
Reply to  BSD
2 years ago

I hope we see times like this, even if not this summer, then at the Olympics.

1:52.8 is such a ridiculously fast swim, and yet, I have to ask: is anyone going to get close to that 1:51.9 WR anytime soon?

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  MTK
2 years ago

one of the toughest WR on the books with 200 fly for women , 200 & 400 free for Men .

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Gold Medal Mel Stewart
2 years ago

Urlando is outrageously talented for the 200 fly …..he might get to the 1.51 barrier ….one day soon

Ol’ Gator
2 years ago

I like the 100 prediction but I think 200 will be “only” 1:53.2

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Gold Medal Mel Stewart
2 years ago

He could have felt his 200 needed most base improvement work indeed to get to 1.53 low – 1.52 high . Not easy to prepare both distances and be good at both .

MTK
Reply to  ERVINFORTHEWIN
2 years ago

Although, based on what I can tell, it seems like 100-200bk is the easiest 100-200 same stroke event combo to be elite at. Not that it is “easy”, but it seems like there’s less swimmers contesting 100-200free, 100-200br. 100-200fl has some combo swimmers as well, but also a lot of swimmers that lack the speed for the 100 or lack the endurance for the 200.

Ol’ Gator
2 years ago

It’s funny how all predictions are relatively close and then we predict dressels times and there’s a 1.5 second range for a 100 meter race 😂

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Ol’ Gator
2 years ago

I’m the over.

Lpman
2 years ago

Sometimes I feel like I look like Murphy, just not as tall, or fit, or athletic…actually, now that I think about it, I guess I look nothing like him

Braden Keith(@braden)
Admin
Reply to  Gold Medal Mel Stewart
2 years ago

Wear smaller shirts. Makes you look more swole.

Blackflag82
Reply to  Braden Keith
2 years ago

for me, smaller shirts just exaggerate how much of my chest size is not muscle anymore :/

JimSwim22
Reply to  Braden Keith
2 years ago

If Mel wears small shirts he might not get his Swole head through them at all. Then he better have Swole abs!

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Gold Medal Mel Stewart
2 years ago

so much fun to joke around ….😅

RUN-DMC
Reply to  Lpman
2 years ago

Sometimes I dream
that he is me…
Like Murph
If I could be like Murph

About Gold Medal Mel Stewart

Gold Medal Mel Stewart

MEL STEWART Jr., aka Gold Medal Mel, won three Olympic medals at the 1992 Olympic Games. Mel's best event was the 200 butterfly. He is a former World, American, and NCAA Record holder in the 200 butterfly. As a writer/producer and sports columnist, Mel has contributed to Yahoo Sports, Universal Sports, …

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