With mid-season invites behind us, we can use SwimSwam’s Swimulator tool to predict scoring at Nationals (or any conference meet, for that matter!).
For this simulation, we’re plugging in swimmers’ top times through December 4th to predict scoring outcome at the Division II NCAA Championship in March.
When evaluating the simulation, you have to take into account that it is based off of top times this season. While some teams tapered and competed at mid-season invites, others swam through first semester with nothing but regular dual meets, or might still have an invite coming up before winter break.
The simulation predicts the following:
| Women | Men | ||
| Queens (NC) | 510 | Drury | 472 |
| Drury | 393 | Queens (NC) | 430 |
| Fresno Pacific | 249 | Indy | 278 |
| Oklahoma Baptist | 206 | Grand Valley | 261 |
| Indy | 201 | Oklahoma Baptist | 238 |
| Carson-Newman | 197 | NMU | 197 |
| UCSD | 187 | Cal Baptist | 189 |
| NMU | 184 | Florida Tech | 171 |
| West Florida | 132 | Carson-Newman | 153 |
| Wingate | 127 | McKendree | 151 |
| Simon Fraser | 121 | Colorado Mesa | 148 |
| CSU East Bay | 107 | Wingate | 138 |
| Nova S’eastern | 95 | Saint Leo | 102 |
| LIU Post | 80 | Truman St. | 102 |
| Truman St. | 78 | Simon Fraser | 77 |
| Grand Valley | 71 | Ouachita | 72 |
| TAMPA | 68 | UCSD | 69 |
| McKendree | 62 | Limestone | 55 |
| Saint Leo | 59 | Findlay | 39 |
| Colorado Mesa | 41 | Bridgeport | 32 |
| Gannon | 40 | Nova S’eastern | 31 |
| WSCU | 39 | Henderson St. | 30 |
| Mines | 33 | Fresno Pacific | 27 |
| Cal Baptist | 32 | Wayne State | 22 |
| Lewis | 28 | Lewis | 18 |
| MSU-Moorhead | 27 | Saginaw Valley | 14 |
| Delta State | 22 | Delta State | 13 |
| Azusa Pacific | 21 | Mars Hill | 11 |
| Bloomsburg | 16 | Clarion | 9 |
| Hillsdale | 15 | Lenoir-Rhyne | 8 |
| Florida Tech | 15 | Rollins | 5 |
| Bellarmine | 14 | Lindenwood | 3 |
| Saginaw Valley | 13 | ||
| Wayne State | 13 | ||
| Bridgeport | 13 | ||
| Lynn | 13 | ||
| West Chester | 13 | ||
| Findlay | 13 | ||
| IUP | 5 | ||
| Mars Hill | 5 | ||
| Edinboro | 3 | ||
| Fairmont | 2 | ||
| Augustana | 2 |
Might want to re-run these numbers after this past weekend’s invites…
Peep that 2nd year team Mckendree boiiiii
Why is Tampa men’s team so bad this year?
they don’t have their invite until 2 weekends from now.
Right, but I checked their times for last few duals and they are much less impressive then previous years, unless I am reading it all wrong.
For what it’s worth, there’s still a couple more D2 mid-season invites to go next weekend….