2025 Men’s NCAA Championships Event-by-Event Preview | SWIMSWAM BREAKDOWN

We’re giving you an event-by-event preview of the 2025 Men’s NCAA Championships.

  • 0:00 Men’s NCAA Preview Introduction
  • 0:55 500 Free
  • 7:56 200 IM
  • 14:00 50 Free
  • 21:44 100 Fly
  • 27:00 400 IM
  • 34:28 200 Free
  • 39:40 100 Breast
  • 47:54 100 Back
  • 55:00 1,650 Free
  • 1:00:49 200 Back
  • 1:04:07 100 Free
  • 1:08:44 200 Breast
  • 1:13:40 200 Fly
  • 1:19:00 Over/Under – 3.5 Take Home Relay Titles
  • 1:23:14 Over/Under – 6.5 Individual NCAA records get broken
  • 1:27:25 Who is winning this meet???

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Bobthebuilderrocks
3 hours ago

Texas sweeps opening night relays if Liendo isn’t used in the 2 medley

Last edited 3 hours ago by Bobthebuilderrocks
Andrew
Reply to  Bobthebuilderrocks
3 hours ago

Cal will smoke them in the 8 frr just like last year. It wasn’t close and won’t be this year either despite a 1:28 Hobson lead off

PFA
Reply to  Andrew
2 hours ago

Disagree I think Texas is the slight favorite for the 800 free relay and both teams have the potential to break 6 minutes this year I think it’ll come down to .5-1 second between both teams.

Bobthebuilderrocks
Reply to  Andrew
1 hour ago

Texas wil have a 1:28, 2×1:29’s and a 1:30.

I guess I’m stuck on what Henveaux can do, there’s not much to go off of with him. Cal will have 3×129’s besides him

horninco
Reply to  Bobthebuilderrocks
2 hours ago

I don’t think Texas has a real shot at winning 2-Medley unless there’s a magic fly split from Kos.

I disagree with Andrew that Cal will smoke Texas in that relay. If both teams are on point I think it’s a toss up. Texas will likely get two swimmers under 1:30, Cal might get 3. Mauer is the wildcard for Texas assuming he swims it. His best flat is a 1:31.5, if he can roll a second faster than that and Carrozza or Taylor get into the 1:31’s (and Coby has been 1:30.5) then Texas is looking at sub 6:00.

1:28.8 (Hobson), 1:29.8 (Guiliano), 1:31.0 (Coby) and 1:31.5 (Rex) is right at 6:01.00

1:29.7 (Alexy), 1:29.7 (Jett), 1:30.00 (Lasco)… Read more »

barelyaswammer
Reply to  horninco
2 hours ago

I don’t care if it’s Texas or Cal or both, but someone better be sub-6:00. I’m tired of being teased with what could be, I want to see a 5:5x minute 8 FR.

Casey
Reply to  horninco
2 hours ago

On paper the 800 free relay is one of the potentially tightest races almost every NCAAs but it almost never turns out that way unfortunately

Casey
Reply to  Casey
2 hours ago

However, I do think Cal should run away with it. Gabe Jett should easily be 1:30 low if not 1:29 high, Alexy has been 1:29 flat start and Lasco is consistently a 1:29 split on this relay as well. Their “weakest” leg is Henveaux who is a 1:46.0 LC and if he drops like the rest of the Cal guys at NCAAs they should be right around the 6 minute mark vs. Texas who has 2 realistic sub 1:30s and 3 wild cards that could MAYBE be under 1:31.

Horninco
Reply to  Casey
1 hour ago

Agree

This year might be different

Bobthebuilderrocks
Reply to  horninco
1 hour ago

I’m counting on a magic fly split from Hubert. All I know is Modglin & Kos will not be 20.3 and 19.7 tomorrow

snailSpace
Reply to  Bobthebuilderrocks
1 hour ago

I hope I will be proven wrong, but I’m not that big on Hubi’s butterfly currently. Apart from that speedy 44.04 it has been a bit ho-hum this season.

Bobthebuilderrocks
Reply to  snailSpace
1 hour ago

I just feel we haven’t seen anything close to 100% Hubert, he’s had a handful of fast results/times that are indicative of his potential (1:40.5 IM in November, SC Worlds as a whole, 44.0 fly in January, and the 1:36.1 back at SEC’s) I don’t think Hubert will have to be much faster than 19.3/19.4 for the fly leg to have Texas win 2 medley. I believe Modglin will be faster than 20.3 tomorrow and I’m hoping Germonprez & Giuliano match their SEC splits. That puts them way closer to the times Tennessee and Florida put up at SEC’s.

Andrew
4 hours ago

Texas 3rd place after being the on paper favorites the whole year lmfaooo

Sandman
5 hours ago

🔥Hot take 🔥

Texas wins the 2Medley relay! 🤘

Andrew
Reply to  Sandman
3 hours ago

Delusions of grandeur

snailSpace
Reply to  Andrew
2 hours ago

You are (as you are well aware) very unreasonably Texas-negative, but I agree, they aren’t winning the 2 medley relay. There are 2 stronger teams, and another two that are roughly equal to Texas in potential.

PFA
6 hours ago

Predictions for events/winning times
200 medley relay: either Texas/Florida: 1:19.90
800 free relay: Texas: 5:58.70 (yes I know really fast)
500 free: Rex Maurer: 4:03.25
200 IM: Julian Smith 1:38.11
50 Free: Jordan Crooks 17.83
200 Free Relay: Arizona State: 1:12.33
400 IM: Rex Maurer: 3:31.68
100 Fly: Josh Liendo: 42.65
200 Free: Luke Hobson: 1:28.25
100 Back: Johnny Marshall: 43.25
100 Breast: Julian Smith: 49.29
400 Medley Relay: 2:54.78
1650 Free: David Johnston: 14:21.03
200 Back: Hubert Kos: 1:34.86
100 Free: Josh Liendo: 39.98
200 Breast: Matt Fallon: 1:47.85
200 Fly: Luca Urlando: 1:36.77
400 Free Relay: Tennessee: 2:41.63

Some of… Read more »

Grant Drukker
6 hours ago

Who’s got good diving analysis? IU has 131 points on the pyschs, but anything further than that?

MIKE IN DALLAS
7 hours ago

No, Sir, Cal cannot close a c. 200-point ‘chasm’ and will run into 2nd place.
Texas Longhorns for the win by over 100 points.

Sparkle
Reply to  MIKE IN DALLAS
7 hours ago

Cal will close the gap but IU’s divers will push them over the edge for the win. Texas falls to third as the team underperforms vs their seed (which ASU did on average over the last 3 years)

BoyerM
Reply to  Sparkle
3 hours ago

Not a Texas homer but I don’t see how it can be argued that Texas was tapered for SECs and therefore primed to add from their seed times. All their top guys were off their mid season results. Maybe Bob is adjusting from his ASU strategy. It’s also worth noting that ASU had a much different timeline for conference to NCAA with men’s PAC 12s being 2-3 weeks later on the calendar than SECs. He probably has a lot more flexibility for resting/ tapering for both now.

Grant Drukker
Reply to  MIKE IN DALLAS
5 hours ago

if you score out the pysch sheets on how CALs top guys will idealistically finish, I see them gaining about ~140 points vs pysch sheets. I also see Indiana outscoring by about 30-40.

So it’s not unrealistic that CAL can get second. Really comes down to diving and how much Miroslaw + Corbeau have been saving for NCAAs imo.

I only had Tomac scoring in the 200BK. Or guys like Humberto or Nans scoring, so if they have good meets they could get 2nd.

Last edited 5 hours ago by Grant Drukker

About Coleman Hodges

Coleman Hodges

Coleman started his journey in the water at age 1, and although he actually has no memory of that, something must have stuck. A Missouri native, he joined the Columbia Swim Club at age 9, where he is still remembered for his stylish dragon swim trunks. After giving up on …

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