2018 W. NCAA Picks: 100 Breaststroke Belongs to the Big Ten

2018 WOMEN’S NCAA SWIMMING & DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS

100 BREAST

The 100 breast LCM world record holder, Lilly King, probably won’t have much competition. Like Ledecky, it’s a race against the clock, and the IU junior has been 56.46 this season already, just .16 off of her NCAA, American, and U.S. Open records. Could a 55 be in the cards?

Lindsey Kozelsky (photo: Tim Binning)

The 100 breaststroke belongs to the Big Ten this year, with the top three seeds belonging to schools from the power midwest conference. 2nd seed Lindsey Kozelsky and 3rd seed Miranda Tucker represent Minnesota and Michigan, respectively, while Tucker is a transfer from IU (making her twice as Big Ten, right?). Kozelsky and Tucker are the only other swimmers to have broken 58 seconds this season besides King, with Kozelsky having been 57.91 and Tucker 57.93. They’re neck and neck, and little, if anything, separates them. Well, two hundredths separate them, technically. Let’s just say it’ll be close.

The fourth seed might be a name you’ve never seen before. Coming in with a 58.37 is Eastern Michigan junior Delaney Duncan, and it’s about time we pay her some attention. The Illinois native headed to Eastern Michigan with a high school best of 1:04, then transformed into a NCAA qualifier with a vastly-improved 59.46 at the 2016 MAC Championships. Duncan went on to place 14th at NCAAs as a freshman from a mid-major program, an impressive feat. She regressed a bit as a sophomore, posting a 59.89 at MACs in 2017 and then missing scoring at NCAAs with a 1:00.58 to tie for 29th. This year, though, she has found yet another gear, and her 58.37 ranks her 23rd all-time in this event.

Texas A&M has two swimmers in the top 10, with 5th seed Anna Belousova (58.40) and 7th seed Jorie Caneta (58.91). USC’s Riley Scott (58.64) and Arizona State’s Silja Kansakoski (58.96) are the remaining swimmers under 59 this season– both scored in the B final last year. Scott’s freshman teammate Maggie Aroesty is ranked highly, too, at 11th (59.35), tied with Florida State’s Natalie Pierce.

Kansakoski entered last season’s NCAA Championship meet, as a freshman, with a top-4 seed. In her freshman meet, she had a little trouble with her prelims swim, and while she was better in the evening, she couldn’t match her season best. She’s about half-a-second slower in-season this year than last, so an optimist’s view is that she’s got more left for NCAAs – if she can ‘get up’ for her morning swim.

Stanford’s Kim Williams sits 9th (59.07), just ahead of Texas’s Kennedy Lohman (59.25). Lohman transferred from Arizona, and is Texas’s highest qualifier in this event. Kentucky has two well-ranked swimmers in this event, with sophomore Madison Winstead at 13th (59.38) and freshman Bailey Bonnett at 16th (59.48).

TOP 8 PICKS:

PLACE SWIMMER TEAM SEED BEST TIME
1 Lilly King Indiana 56.46 56.30
2 Lindsey Kozelsky Minnesota 57.91 57.91
3 Miranda Tucker Michigan 57.93 57.93
4 Riley Scott USC 58.64 58.64
5 Silja Kansakoski Arizona State 58.93 58.44
6 Delaney Duncan Eastern Michigan 58.37 58.37
7 Anna Belousova Texas A&M 58.40 58.40
8 Jorie Caneta Texas A&M 58.91 58.85

Dark horse: Pitt’s Lina Rathsack. The German native and Pitt senior Rathsack was 13th last year with a 59.00– it’ll probably take a 58 to make the A final this year, so a big swim from her could secure a top 8 spot.

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Rachel

What about Natalie Pierce? She was 4th last year with a 58.25. I’d be shocked not to see her in the top 8.

ArtVanDeLegh10

I’m pretty sure Rachel Bootsma won NCAAs one year in the 100 Back, then consoled in it the very next year. Clark Smith won NCAAs in the 500 his sophomore year, then failed to make it back the next year. I’m sure there are other crazy examples like these two. It’s rare but it does happen.

Pierce has been 59.3 this year which is a great time, but a second off her best time. I guess we will see how rested she was when she went 59.3.

Ervin

Yes, and in Boostmas case she bounced back and ended up winning the 100 back 3 out of her 4 years

ArtVanDeLegh10

That’s true. My point was that weird things have happened with NCAA finalists before. I remember being very surprised Bootsma was 50 point her sophomore year to win it, 52 her junior year, then wins again her senior year by going 50 point low.

Rachel

She did split a 57 at her mid-season invite and has a history of underperforming at conference

caleb

Or, not tapering for conference. She’ll be in the final this week.

USC 4EVER

Watch for Maggie Aroesty — This girl became the youngest swimmer ever to break the 59 second barrier, at just 16 years of age. She thrives under pressure. She should be in the A Final, and if she here she will easily be in the 200 A Final, she is a better 200 swimmer. She has a fantastic back half, she just needs to get out fast and hold on. Would love to see her and Scott in the final!! GO USC!!!! GO MAGS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

i love fsu swimming

Natalie Pierce is the best breast stroker of all time don’t @ me

Big10 Boyz

I think the Florida sun has gotten to you.

i love fsu swimming

i said don’t @ me.

Big10 Boyz

Then don’t make stupid comments!

ERVINFORTHEWIN

lol

Baker-King-Worrell-Manuel

Rebecca Soni says hello.

About Karl Ortegon

Karl Ortegon

Karl Ortegon studied sociology at Wesleyan University in Middletown, CT, graduating in May of 2018. He began swimming on a club team in first grade and swam four years for Wesleyan.

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