2018 U.S. Nationals Previews: Murphy, Pebley Reign In Men’s 200 Back

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2018 U.S. NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS

SIMPLIFIED SELECTION CRITERIA – MOST OLYMPIC EVENTS

  • Top 1-4 to 2018 Pan Pacific Championships
  • Top 1-2 (from Nationals + Pan Pacs) to 2019 World Championships
  • 1-2 more (students, not necessarily NCAA) to 2019 World University Games
  • 1-2 more to 2019 Pan American Games

For many years Aaron Peirsol and Ryan Lochte reigned atop the U.S. and the entire world in the men’s 200 back. Peirsol won Olympic gold in ’04, Lochte won in ’08, and after Peirsol retired, Tyler Clary joined Lochte in representing the U.S. internationally, winning an Olympic gold himself in 2012.

Ryan Murphy – 200 back Olympic Gold – 2016 Rio Olympics/photo credit Simone Castrovillari

Lochte began to stray away from the event in 2014, and Ryan Murphy took over as the second U.S. entrant at the 2015 World Championships alongside Clary. But Murphy’s training partner from Cal, Jacob Pebley, was chomping at the bit to join his fellow Golden Bear atop the country’s rankings heading into the Olympic year.

After winning the 2015 National title in San Antonio, Pebley noted that Clary had gone a few one-hundredths faster (1:56.26) at the World Championships than he had gone earlier in the summer at the World University Games (1:56.29), and that being faster than Clary was his goal. “I didn’t quite get that, so I guess it’s just back to work”.

Jacob Pebley 2017 World Championships Budapest, Hungary (photo: Mike Lewis)

Fast forward to the Olympic Trials in Omaha 11 months later, and Murphy and Pebley completed the Cal takeover in the event, finishing 1-2 and qualifying for the Games as Murphy cracked 1:54 and Pebley 1:55 for the first time.

Murphy would win the 2016 Olympic title a month later in Rio, and Pebley joined him on the podium last summer as they won silver and bronze at the World Championships.

The two of them are virtual locks to make the Pan Pac and Worlds teams in this event. However, the men behind them do have a lot to race for, with the top-3 and potentially 4 swimmers qualifying for Pan Pacs in Olympic events.

With Clary retired and Lochte not seriously pursuing this event for years, that #3 spot has been wide open since 2016. Last year Robert Owen and Sean Lehane were 3rd and 4th at World Trials, but both appear to be done swimming. But the man who did emerge as the 3rd fastest American of 2017 was Austin Katz, who was 5th at the Olympic Trials, 5th at World Trials, and then had a breakout of sorts in winning silver at the World University Games last August.

Austin Katz – 200 back NCAA title – Courtesy: Texas Athletics

He pushed his best time down to 1:56.70 there, and followed up with a huge freshman campaign with Texas, winning the NCAA 200 back title (the only freshman, men or women, to win an individual title in 2018).

He’s been 1:59.40 so far this long course season – his first time ever sub-2:00 at a non-championship meet – and has to be considered the front-runner for 3rd behind Murphy and Pebley.

Besides Murphy, Pebley and Katz, only one other swimmer who’s active this year was under 1:58 in 2017: Carson Foster.

Twelve months ago, at the age of 15, Foster walked into the U.S. World Championship Trials with a best time of 2:04.43. He earned a second swim by taking off four seconds and going 2:00.33, then won the U.S. junior title at the beginning of August with a pair of 1:59s, and then at the end of the month dropped all the way down to 1:57.87 to win silver at the World Juniors.

He was 1:59.05 last weekend in Columbus, his 2nd fastest swim ever, and looks to be in position to challenge Katz for the 3rd spot. Still only 16, the sky is the limit for him.

Sitting 3rd, 4th and 5th among Americans this year are Clark BeachJoey Reilman and Nick Alexander, all of whom have gone lifetime bests in-season in the 1:58-mid to high range.

Reilman, a rising senior at Tennessee, is the only one of the three who was an A-finalist last summer at Nationals. After going 1:59.9 in 2015, he’s consistently chipped away at his best time every summer, and based on his in-season swims in previous years, his 1:58.8 in early July signals a big drop could be coming later in the month.

Beach is in a similar position, putting up a best time of 1:59.28 at last summer’s U.S. Open, and then dropping down to a 1:58.58 at the beginning of June. Alexander also swam his fastest ever at the 2017 U.S. Open in 2:01.15, but then dropped a 1:58.97 in mid-June. How much more either guy can take off is up in the air, but both look like solid bets to make the A-final.

Bryce Mefford Cal Berkeley (photo: Mike Lewis)

The 8th swimmer who has been under 2:00 this season is Bryce Mefford, who is coming off an impressive freshman year at Cal.

Mefford got a best time in the event for the first time in two years last summer at World Trials, winning the B-final in 1:58.63, and followed that with a pair of A-final appearances at his first NCAAs. He’s now been 1:59.18 in-season, his second fastest swim ever, and is on the rise big time.

There’s also medley specialist Abrahm DeVine, who dropped three seconds last summer to take 6th at World Trials. His primary focus in Irvine will be the 200 and 400 IM, but with the pressure off here, could easily find himself in the A-final again.

Other names who will be in the mix for a spot in the championship final include Peter Larson, a 17-year-old who has put up the four fastest swims of his life in 2018 (getting down to 2:00.24), along with Zachary Poti and Ian Grum, both of whom swam lifetime bests this past weekend in 2:00.68 and 2:00.74 respectively.

As for Lochte, though he swam a very solid 2:00.34 in Santa Clara, chances are he’ll race the 200 free instead of the 200 back on day 2, with Murphy and Pebley having a stranglehold on the top-2 spots and the potential relay implications of the 200 free.

TOP-8 PICKS

Place Swimmer Lifetime-best Season-best
1 Ryan Murphy 1:53.62 1:55.46
2 Jacob Pebley 1:54.77 1:55.85
3 Austin Katz 1:56.70 1:59.40
4 Carson Foster 1:57.87 1:59.05
5 Joey Reilman 1:58.87 1:58.87
6 Bryce Mefford 1:58.63 1:59.18
7 Clark Beach 1:58.58 1:58.58
8 Abrahm DeVine 1:58.65 2:03.03

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Gator chomp

I think Katz will be closer to Pebley than people expect, I don’t think he’ll beat Pebley but I think he will be somewhat close (like 1:55 mid).

Gator

This and women’s distance are sure bets

Corenso

I think Beach will be impressive coming off Troy’s training and already swimming the third fastest American time during an in season meet .

About James Sutherland

James Sutherland

James is currently a university swimmer for the Laurentian Voyageurs in Sudbury, Ontario, Canada. He is studying economics. Along with swimming, he also loves hockey. He's in his 14th season as a competitive swimmer. Best Times - SCM (LCM) 50 FR - 24.56 (25.12) 100 FR - 53.58 (56.70) 200 FR - 1:56.07 (2:04.29) 1500 …

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