2018 M. NCAA Previews: Final Schooling-Dressel Showdown in 100 Fly

2018 MEN’S NCAA SWIMMING & DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS

100 BUTTERFLY

Florida’s Caeleb Dressel has been pretty quiet in the 100 fly this season. In fact, he enters NCAAs with a season best time of 46.89 from his first meet of the season. Dressel clearly hasn’t shown all of his cards yet, but if his performances in his other events at SECs and his fly speed in the 200 IM are any indication, we could be in for something special.

This season marks the final NCAA showdown between Dressel and former Bolles club teammate Joseph Schooling of Texas. Schooling, the Olympic 100 fly champion, is the top seed heading into the meet with a 44.78 from midseason. Schooling, who said he felt he had lost himself after finally achieving his dreams in Rio, was the NCAA champ in both butterflies for his freshman and sophomore seasons. Last year, Dressel claimed the 100 fly title from him, and Schooling missed out on the 200 fly final altogether. Despite taking some breaks from training, he still went a lifetime best to break 44 as he finished runner-up to Dressel.

This year, Schooling is back to try to reclaim his place on top of the 100 fly podium, but Dressel should be extremely hard to beat. After all, Dressel is the fastest man ever in yards and narrowly missed Michael Phelps’ long course World Record when he won the 100 fly at Worlds last summer. Still, with the Texas guys likely doing fairly heavy training through Big 12s, we’ll have to wait and see what Schooling has in store. Neither one of these guys has really shown what they can do yet this season.

Matt Josa (photo: Tim Binning)

While Dressel and Schooling are the favorites for the top 2 spots, we could see several men dip into the 44-range. This race could also play a big role in the team battle as the Cal Bears try to snap Texas’ winning streak. Cal has a strong group in this event that includes Matt Josa, Justin Lynch, and Zheng Quah. Last season, Josa qualified for the final, but was disqualified in the championship heat. His lifetime best 44.89 from the 2015 Division 2 NCAA Championships makes him a strong contender for a spot in the top 5. He hasn’t broken 45 since then, but his performances this season bode well. His 45.27 from midseason is his 2nd fastest ever. Quah returns after placing 5th last season, while Lynch was the B final winner in 2017. Both have come very close to breaking 45 seconds with their best times.

NC State’s Ryan Held and Coleman Stewart are both seeded in the top 5 thanks to their ACCs performances. Stewart dropped over a second with a 45.11 at conference. He’ll be swimming a double on this day, but the 100 fly will come first for him individually. Held is one of just 3 men to have broken 45 so far this season. He’s the 3rd seed in 44.96 behind Schooling and Indiana’s Vini Lanza.

Florida’s Jan Switkowski has been looking great this season. At SECs, he notched a new best time, dropping 3 tenths for a 45.26. It wouldn’t be surprising to see him drop below 45 given he typically makes big drops from SECs to NCAAs in this event. In-state rival Kanoa Kaleoaloha of Florida State made a big drop from ACCs to the American Short Course Championships. Before this season, his best was a 48.20. Now, he’s the 8th seed for NCAAs in 45.28. USC’s Santo Condorelli is another one to look out for. Condorelli, the Canadian Record holder in the long course 100 fly, hadn’t swum a best time in this event since 2015 NCAAs. That all changed at 2018 Pac-12s when he dropped down to a 45.36.

TOP 8 PICKS:

Place Swimmer Season Best Lifetime Best
1 Caeleb Dressel (Florida) 46.89 43.58
2 Joseph Schooling (Texas) 44.78 43.75
3 Ryan Held (NC State) 44.96 44.79
4 Jan Switkowski (Florida) 45.26 45.26
5 Matt Josa (Cal) 45.27 44.89
6 Vini Lanza (Indiana) 44.79 44.79
7 Justin Lynch (Cal) 45.14 45.14
8 Zheng Quah (Cal) 45.6 45.06

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200 SIDESTROKE B CUT
3 years ago

*popcorn*

(not at this race, but at this thread)

samuel huntington
3 years ago

Schooling just went a 39 in practice

Lpman
Reply to  samuel huntington
3 years ago

I heard he did an 11.8 for his 50 fly with all of his longhorn teammates hanging on to his legs for extra drag

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Lpman
3 years ago

loved that one so much ….is there a repeat button available lol

Phelps swims 200 breast rio
Reply to  samuel huntington
3 years ago

This made me laugh 🙂

Swimmer
Reply to  samuel huntington
3 years ago

With a stomach virus.

Tomek
Reply to  Swimmer
3 years ago

With no googles

Bevo
3 years ago

Let’s get ready to rumble…..

Ragner
3 years ago

probably the wrong thread, but I think the NCAA at championships(and only championships) should hold the 100 IM. It would be held on the last day after the last relay, finals only with the top 8 individual point scorers invited. Not for points but for pride and the first to go a 45 or faster 100 IM. Once that grows in popularity in a few years, the 100 IM should be the only allowed 4th event and scored, because who wouldn’t have wanted to see Nolan or Murphy or Dressel or Dean Farris any great sprinter period see who has better turns and top speed. It would help teams like florida who would get 3rd or 4th if only dressel… Read more »

JJJ
Reply to  Ragner
3 years ago

Seems a little gimmicky.

Noflykick
Reply to  JJJ
3 years ago

Yea, if we are gonna do that, let’s see the 800 IM too.

Bigly
Reply to  Noflykick
3 years ago

Or just watch paint dry.

Bigly
Reply to  Ragner
3 years ago

My lord. Yeah, it would be a PPV event if Dean Farris is in a 100 IM. When I think of Nolan, Murphy, and Dressel in a 100 IM, the next guy who leaps to mind is Steve Holt. The only question is how badly would Steve Holt beat Dressel? smh

Steve Nolan
Reply to  Ragner
3 years ago

A common complaint is there aren’t enough events packed into the schedule.

Dean Farris fan
Reply to  Steve Nolan
3 years ago

Who cares about an IM bathtub race

Mike
Reply to  Ragner
3 years ago

What are people’s obsessions with Dean Farris? He’s a great 2 free guy but people predicting he’d beat Dressel in the 50 and now a good IM’er? I don’t get it or I’m missing something.

Admin
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

Mike – it’s become a meme of sorts on SwimSwam. When Dean Farris first started getting good, several Harvard faithful rolled in and expounded upon their really, really strong feelings about Dean Farris and how good he is. It just grew from there.

SWIMSWAMMER
3 years ago

Watching this meet will be the highlight of my week. Can’t wait!

Phelps swims 200 breast rio
3 years ago

I think Dressel will win 43 low new AR.

ArtVanDeLegh10
3 years ago

I wonder what the reaction of all the people that make fun of Schooling will be if he actually beats Dressel? Dressel beat him by .2 last year when Schooling and Eddie said he barely trained at all. I realize Dressel has made improvements since last year, but my guess is Schooling has too.

I have a feeling that Dressel may not have as much pure speed as he did last year since he’s done what appears to be more 200 IM training. If that’s true, he may not be any faster in his 50 or 100 Free/100 Fly. I hope I’m wrong, but I seem to be one of the few people that doesn’t believe going sub 40… Read more »

Buona
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
3 years ago

You have a point. Schooling did relatively well in his NCAA last year because he still spend time working out in gym though he didnt swim for around 5 months.

Swimmer
Reply to  Buona
3 years ago

I am not sure why people still believe he was out of the water for 5 months. He was swimming duals in October and November. It makes for a good excuse but it’s simply not the truth Then again JS has some pretty interesting comments.

Pvdh
Reply to  Swimmer
3 years ago

They gotta spin it for themselves somehow. “Didn’t swim for 5 month” ……Riiiiiight. So he hopped into the pool in February and swam 44.0 and 18.7 at Big 12s just like that? And who was swimming those dual meets? Joe’s identical twin?

Pvdh
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
3 years ago

Dressel was training IM last year too. And you need to watch the 100 fly again. And focus on Dressel and see how much time he lost on the turns.

E+Gamble
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
3 years ago

Dressel has trained IM all four years. He just never got the opportunity to race IM. He has said he has always trained everything going all the back to Bolles with Coach Jason. He chose Florida because Coach Troy promised him that he would also be able to develop his IM. He rotates his training in the IM, middle distance, and sprint groups. He has always trained all three at Florida. He said he would get bored if he just trained sprint free.

Daniel Carr
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
3 years ago

Dressel is a completely different swimmer to what he was at the beginning of last year, he has arrived properly on the world stage, introduced himself and now his confidence is sky high and he has that aura of invincibility about him I feel, just like Phelps in 2008, I think it will be an AR and Schooling will be at the least half a body length back, no worries about his speed anyway, but his start and turns will leave everyone behind

Yabo
Reply to  Daniel Carr
3 years ago

I’m getting more of a Phelps in 2002-06 feel but that’s just me

Pvdh
Reply to  Daniel Carr
3 years ago

I don’t think anyone needs to worry about his speed either lol. He opened his 200IM faster than Joe opened his 100 fly at their respective conference meets. And caeleb looked like he was doing a pace drill while doing that 21.0 split

Justin Thompson
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
3 years ago

A compelling argument to try and convince ones self that Joe has a chance.

Bigly
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
3 years ago

Eddie says a lot of things — supports his guys. Schooling didn’t train, Clark can’t sleep, Ian Crocker whatever. That’s fine. If Schooling basically rests the whole meet, and Dressel keeps his full schedule, then Schooling might beat him — kinda like the way he beat Phelps and LeClos at the end of the Olympics in Rio. I doubt Dressel does a full taper — more like a Trials taper — for NCAAs. His time drops at WCs last year weren’t from just miraculous improvements over the span of a few months, but because he didn’t fully rest for NCAAs or World Trials. It’s a calculated risk that really only Phelps, Lochte, Ledecky and maybe a few others have managed… Read more »

Right Dude Here
3 years ago

They never gonna see Shebat coming.

Steve Nolan
Reply to  Right Dude Here
3 years ago

Gonna come out behind the blocks like

comment image

JP input is too short
Reply to  Steve Nolan
3 years ago

OK, you win the internet today. This is better than Dean Farris jokes.

Bigly
Reply to  Steve Nolan
3 years ago

John “The Truth” Shebat.

About Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh is a former NCAA swimmer at the University of Arizona (2013-2015) and the University of Florida (2011-2013). While her college swimming career left a bit to be desired, her Snapchat chin selfies and hot takes on Twitter do not disappoint. She's also a high school graduate of The …

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