ASU Beats Entire Meet Psych Score On First Event (2025 Women’s NCAA Night 1 Scoring Analysis)

by Will Baxley 30

March 20th, 2025 ACC, Big 12, Big Ten, College, News, Pac-12, SEC

2025 NCAA Division I Women’s Swimming and Diving Championships

As the dust settles after an electric first night of the 2025 NCAA Women’s Championships, we can pick apart the scoring results and see which teams are hitting their stride the hardest.

Relay disqualifications can be big make or breaks for teams point-wise, especially on night one where only relay events are contested. Fortunately, no teams were disqualified on either of tonight’s events, the 200 medley relay or the 800 free relay. Still, several teams experienced some big gains and losses.

Compared to the psych sheet scores, the Louisville Cardinals and the Arizona State Sun Devils were the biggest winners of the night. Perhaps the most impressive storyline is that ASU beat its total projected points for the entire meet, five, after the very first event. The Sun Devils secured a top eight finish in the 200 medley relay and earned 22 points. They also improved upon their 800 free relay time and finished just outside of scoring.

On the other side of the coin, the Tennessee Vols experienced the biggest loss compared to the psych score.

It’s also worth noting that no teams from west coast states, where the meet is being held, lost points compared to their psych score.

Day 1 Overall

 

Team Psych Score Actual Score Day 1 vs Psych
Louisville 20 42 +22
Arizona St 0 22 +22
Wisconsin 10 30 +20
Stanford 62 74 +12
Florida 50 60 +10
Texas A&M 0 6 +6
Southern Cali 23 28 +5
Indiana 32 36 +4
Virginia Tech 2 6 +4
Georgia 10 12 +2
Michigan 46 46 0
California 44 44 0
Florida St 1 0 -1
LSU 6 4 -2
Duke 4 0 -4
Virginia 80 74 -6
UNC 8 2 -6
Auburn 10 0 -10
Texas 66 55 -11
Alabama 22 10 -12
NC State 40 27 -13
Ohio St 24 8 -16
Tennessee 60 34 -26

 

200 Medley Relay

 

Team Psych Score Finals Score Difference
Arizona St 0 22 +22
Louisville 12 32 +20
Wisconsin 6 12 +6
Texas A&M 0 6 +6
Florida 24 28 +4
Southern Cali 1 4 +3
Stanford 32 34 +2
Virginia 40 40 0
Michigan 18 18 0
Indiana 14 14 0
California 30 30 0
Florida St 1 0 -1
NC State 28 25 -3
Duke 4 0 -4
UNC 8 2 -6
Texas 34 25 -9
Auburn 10 0 -10
Alabama 22 10 -12
Tennessee 26 8 -18

 

800 Free Relay

 

Team Pysch Sheet Finals Results Difference
Wisconsin 4 18 +14
Stanford 30 40 +10
Florida 26 32 +6
Indiana 18 22 +4
Virginia Tech 2 6 +4
Louisville 8 10 +2
Southern Cali 22 24 +2
Georgia 10 12 +2
Michigan 28 28 0
California 14 14 0
Texas 32 30 -2
LSU 6 4 -2
Virginia 40 34 -6
Tennessee 34 26 -8
NC State 12 2 -10
Ohio St 24 8 -16

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sjostrom stan
8 hours ago

Florida only has 2 B finalists tonight…

Kevin
9 hours ago

So I like this, but I’ll be honest, it felt weird that UVA being -6 under was the same as UNC being -6 under since UVA could only do worse and UNC nearly completely failed to meet expectations. It also felt like Stanford performed the best given the relatively high expectations.

I wanted to just do a simple “performance index” that was the Actual score – psych score divided by possible points (80) – psych score.

The problem was that UVA gives a divide by zero since Max possible is 80 and they were scored out to 80 and 80-80 = 0 as we all know.

So I checked if a team was predicted to win everything and compared them… Read more »

Last edited 9 hours ago by Kevin
Jimbo
9 hours ago

I had been thinking, before Bob Bowman was chosen, that promoting Wyatt and bringing in Behm as Executive Speaker to Sprinters or some such title that only the Texas Athletic department could think of, for both men and women, would’ve been a good idea.

NC Swim Dad
11 hours ago

On Wisconsin! Bacon swimming fly!

Womp womp
11 hours ago

I knew that banking on Tennessee to flop in my pickems would pay off. Works (almost) every time

Gulf Coach
11 hours ago

It wasn’t “Just” Bob doing good things at ASU! Herbie is good…REALLY GOOD!

PAC 12 guy
12 hours ago

So Bob can’t coach a women’s team but Herbie can- noted

MigBike
12 hours ago

The BEHMSTER effect is in full force! ASU is doing great.

Last edited 12 hours ago by MigBike