2024 Paris Summer Olympic Games
- Pool Swimming: July 27 – August 4, 2024
- Open Water Swimming: August 8 – 9, 2024
- La Défense Arena — Paris, France
- LCM (50 meters)
- Meet Central
- Full Schedule
In one month, the lights in La Défense arena will flick on for swimming’s biggest stage–the Olympics. Pool swimming at the 2024 Games in Paris, France runs from July 27 through August 4, and SwimSwam will bring you coverage every step of the way.
Before the first heat dives in, we are previewing all 35 of the pool events that are set to take place at the meet, projecting our medalists and top 8 finishers for each and every race.
Follow along below with SwimSwam’s picks, previews, and projected pool swimming medal table for the upcoming Paris Games.
Note: To see our full top eight picks for each event, click on the linked article under the event header.
Women’s Events
| Event | Gold | Silver | Bronze |
| 50 freestyle | Sarah Sjostrom (SWE) | Kasia Wasick (POL) | Gretchen Walsh (USA) |
| 100 freestyle | Mollie O’Callaghan (AUS) | Sarah Sjostrom (SWE) | Siobhan Haughey (HKG) |
| 200 freestyle | Ariarne Titmus (AUS) | Mollie O’Callaghan (AUS) | Siobhan Haughey (HKG) |
| 400 freestyle | |||
| 800 freestyle | Katie Ledecky (USA) | Ariarne Titmus (AUS) | Lani Pallister (AUS) |
| 1500 freestyle | |||
| 100 backstroke | Regan Smith (USA) | Kaylee McKeown (AUS) | Katharine Berkoff (USA) |
| 200 backstroke | Kaylee McKeown (AUS) | Regan Smith (USA) | Phoebe Bacon (USA) |
| 100 breaststroke | |||
| 200 breaststroke | |||
| 100 butterfly | |||
| 200 butterfly | Summer McIntosh (CAN) | Regan Smith (USA) | Elizabeth Dekkers (AUS) |
| 200 IM | Kaylee McKeown (AUS) | Kate Douglass (USA) | Summer McIntosh (CAN) |
| 400 IM | |||
| 4×100 freestyle relay | |||
| 4×200 freestyle relay | |||
| 4×100 medley relay | United States | Australia | China |
Men’s Events
| Event | Gold | Silver | Bronze |
| 50 freestyle | |||
| 100 freestyle | |||
| 200 freestyle | |||
| 400 freestyle | Sam Short (AUS) | Lukas Märtens (GER) | Kim Woo-min (KOR) |
| 800 freestyle | Sam Short (AUS) | Bobby Finke (USA) | Daniel Wiffen (IRL) |
| 1500 freestyle | |||
| 100 backstroke | Thomas Ceccon (ITA) | Ryan Murphy (USA) | Hunter Armstrong (USA) |
| 200 backstroke | Ryan Murphy (USA) | Hubert Kos (HUN) | Hugo Gonzalez (ESP) |
| 100 breaststroke | Qin Haiyang (CHN) | Adam Peaty (GBR) | Nic Fink (USA) |
| 200 breaststroke | |||
| 100 butterfly | |||
| 200 butterfly | |||
| 200 IM | |||
| 400 IM | |||
| 4×100 freestyle relay | |||
| 4×200 freestyle relay | |||
| 4×100 medley relay |
Mixed Event
| Event | Gold | Silver | Bronze |
| 4×100 medley relay |
PROJECTED POOL SWIMMING MEDAL TABLE
Here’s how the medal table would shake out based on our medalist picks in each event:
| Nation | Gold | Silver | Bronze | Total |
| Australia | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| USA | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| Canada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sweden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| China | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Great Britain | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Germany | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Poland | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| South Korea | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Hungary | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Spain | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
too optimistic about the Australian golds
It seems that the predictions are aimed at a total of 10 gold for Australia and about 11/12 for the United States, I bet the difference will be greater. Australia will not go beyond 6/7 golds.
Hi all,
Before every Olympics I am making my own medal table (for the whole Olympics, not just for swimming). It started 8 years ago because I was annoyed by the way Gracenote, NBC and others make up their predicted medal table. Of course it is very time consuming to make extended predictions for all 329 events. But also, as a casual swimming enthusiast that only watches Olympics, Worlds and Europeans (and Commonwealth Games), my own estimates are between guesstimates and accurate estimates.
So my question is: is there someone over here who is prepared to help me out with my swimming predictions :)?
Yes
That would be great! How can I contact you?
Instagram: swimswimadm
I would trust Gracenote rather than anyone on here lol
If someone agrees to assist, ask how they did in previous international ‘pick-ems’ on here 😉
idk gracenote picks summer to miss podium in the 4 free AND 2 im
Gracenote picks one athlete to win gold (mainly based on results of past major competitions), and two others to win medals. While there can be events where a dozen athletes have a decent chance to win gold.
Men
50fr McEvoy
100fr Alexy
200fr Popovici
400fr Short
800fr Finke
1500fr Finke
100bk Ceccon
200bk Murphy
100fl Liendo
200fl Kharun
100br Peaty
200br Stubbelty-Cook
200im Marchand
400im Marchand
4x100fr USA
4x200fr GBR
4x100med USA
Women
50fr Sjostrom
100fr Haughey
200fr Titmus
400fr McIntosh
800fr Ledecky
1500fr Ledecky
100bk Smith
200bk McKeown
100fl Mac Neil
200fl McIntosh
100br King
200br Douglass
200im McIntosh
400im McIntosh
4x100fr AUS
4x200fr AUS
4x100med USA
mixed medley CHN
Men
50FR McEvoy
100FR Popovici
200FR Popovici
400FR Winnington
800FR Short
1500FR Finke
100BK Ceccon
200BK Kos
100FL Dressel
200FL Marchand
100BR Peaty
200BR Qin
200IM Wang
400IM Marchand
4x100FR USA
4x200FR GBR
4x100MD USA
Women
50FR Sjostrom
100FR O’Callaghan
200FR O’Callaghan
400FR Titmus
800FR Ledecky
1500FR Ledecky
100BK McKeown
200BK McKeown
100FL Walsh
200FL McIntosh
100BR Tang
200BR Smith (Schoenmaker)
200IM Douglass
400IM McIntosh
4x100FR AUS
4x200FR AUS
4x100MD USA
Mixed 4x100MD CHN
Agree with all except I’m voting for McKeown in the 2IM and Titmus in the 200free
Time to have fun 🙂
50 Free – Sjostrom
100 Free – MOC
200 Free – MOC
400 Free – Titmus
800 Free – Ledecky
1500 Free – Ledecky
100 Back – McKeown
200 Back – McKeown
100 Breast – Tang
200 Breast – Schoenmaker
100 Fly – W2
200 Fly – Dekkers
200 IM – McKeown
400 IM – McIntosh
4×100 – AUS
4×200 – AUS
Medley relay – USA
Men
50 Free – McEvoy
100 Free – Chalmers
200 Free – Popovici
400 Free – Short
800 Free – Short
1500 Free – Wiffen
100… Read more »
It’s gonna be a bit like the NBC medal tally in here lol
Let’s post the Ledecky events as early as possible – to make sure US is at the top of the table from the start 😉
Ok let’s make these predictions now and see how they end up. Including mostly safe bets with a few dark horses.
F
50 Free – Sjostrom
100 Free – MOC
200 Free – MOC
400 Free – Titmus
800 Free – Ledecky
1500 Free – Ledecky
100 Back – Smith
200 Back – McKeown
100 Breast – Tang
200 Breast – Schoenmaker
100 Fly – W2
200 Fly – Zhang
200 IM – McIntosh
400 IM – McIntosh
4×100 – AUS
4×200 – AUS
Medley relay – USA
Men
50 Free – McEvoy
100 Free – Popovici
200 Free – Popovici
… Read more »
Popovici taking away 100 free is not gonna happen but he most likely clinches 200 free.
China gets a slightly upper hand, relative to the US, in men’s 400 medley relay .
Zhang’s becoming a gold medalist in 200 fly is of slim chance, the gold may go to Canada.
I have faith in Popovici. But yea it does seem he and Pan are the favourites currently.
USA men have never lost the medley relay at the Olympics. On paper China is slightly in front but I’m going with history.
Zhang was probably my least confident pick. But she nailed the 200 in Tokyo and the rest of the women around that top spot have been a little up and down
Like your candor and appreciate your preference in Popovici ( nothing different from mine in Pan)
History is meant to be written or re-written by winners, so “never” may be re-written to “ever”.
Buy your comments on Zhang and it’s a good point you made that Zhang would have ampler time before swimming 200 fly than her competitors.
How’s McIntosh been up and down in the 200 fly?
I thought she was slower at worlds than trials last year but I got confused: I was instead thinking about how her winning time wasn’t the fastest of the year.
She hasn’t really been up and down but also her times aren’t strong enough for me to consider her a solid favourite at this point
you’re an idiot if you think McIntosh isnt going to win the 200 Fly and CAN is only going to get two medals.
I predicted Canada to get 2 golds, not 2 medals. McIntosh quite possibly could win the 200 fly but she has a slower PB than Smith and Zhang. Zhang will have 2 full days of rest before the 200 fly starts while McIntosh and Smith have busier schedules that are closer to the 200 fly.
https://swimswam.com/ranking/2023-2024-lcm-women-200-fly/
I said Smith and Zhang have faster PBs. The link you sent is for season best, not PB.
This is the PB list: http://nuotomondiale.altervista.org/files/200_fly_w.pdf
Wow what a rude SOB you are. Go back to the rock you crawled out of!
which ones are your ‘dark horses’?
Men
50m Free – Dressel
100m Free – Alexy
200m Free – Popovici
400m Free – Martens
800m Free – Short
1500m Free – Finke
100m Back – Ceccon
200m Back – Ceccon
100m Breast – Qin
200m Breast – Marchand
100m Fly – Dressel
200m Fly – Milak
200m IM – Marchand
400m IM – Marchand
4×100m Free – USA
4x200m Free – GBR
4×100m Medley – China
Women
50m Free – Sjoestrom
100m Free – O Callaghan
200m Free – Titmus
400m Free – Titmus
800m Free – Titmus
1500m Free – Ledecky
100m Back –… Read more »