2024 Olympic Games: Official SwimSwam Preview Index

2024 Paris Summer Olympic Games

  • Pool Swimming: July 27 – August 4, 2024
    • Open Water Swimming: August 8 – 9, 2024
  • La Défense Arena — Paris, France
  • LCM (50 meters)
  • Meet Central
  • Full Schedule

In one month, the lights in La Défense arena will flick on for swimming’s biggest stage–the Olympics. Pool swimming at the 2024 Games in Paris, France runs from July 27 through August 4, and SwimSwam will bring you coverage every step of the way.

Before the first heat dives in, we are previewing all 35 of the pool events that are set to take place at the meet, projecting our medalists and top 8 finishers for each and every race.

Follow along below with SwimSwam’s picks, previews, and projected pool swimming medal table for the upcoming Paris Games.

Note: To see our full top eight picks for each event, click on the linked article under the event header.

Women’s Events

Event Gold Silver Bronze
50 freestyle Sarah Sjostrom (SWE) Kasia Wasick (POL) Gretchen Walsh (USA)
100 freestyle Mollie O’Callaghan (AUS) Sarah Sjostrom (SWE) Siobhan Haughey (HKG)
200 freestyle Ariarne Titmus (AUS) Mollie O’Callaghan (AUS) Siobhan Haughey (HKG)
400 freestyle
800 freestyle Katie Ledecky (USA) Ariarne Titmus (AUS) Lani Pallister (AUS)
1500 freestyle
100 backstroke Regan Smith (USA) Kaylee McKeown (AUS) Katharine Berkoff (USA)
200 backstroke Kaylee McKeown (AUS) Regan Smith (USA) Phoebe Bacon (USA)
100 breaststroke
200 breaststroke Tatjana Smith (neé Schoenmaker) (RSA) Kate Douglass (USA) Tes Schouten (NED)
100 butterfly
200 butterfly Summer McIntosh (CAN) Regan Smith (USA) Elizabeth Dekkers (AUS)
200 IM Kaylee McKeown (AUS) Kate Douglass (USA) Summer McIntosh (CAN)
400 IM
4×100 freestyle relay
4×200 freestyle relay Australia China United States
4×100 medley relay United States Australia China

Men’s Events

Event Gold Silver Bronze
50 freestyle
100 freestyle
200 freestyle
400 freestyle Sam Short (AUS) Lukas Märtens (GER) Kim Woo-min (KOR)
800 freestyle Sam Short (AUS) Bobby Finke (USA) Daniel Wiffen (IRL)
1500 freestyle Bobby Finke (USA) Daniel Wiffen (IRL) Gregorio Paltrinieri (ITA)
100 backstroke Thomas Ceccon (ITA) Ryan Murphy (USA) Hunter Armstrong (USA)
200 backstroke Ryan Murphy (USA) Hubert Kos (HUN) Hugo Gonzalez (ESP)
100 breaststroke Qin Haiyang (CHN) Adam Peaty (GBR) Nic Fink (USA)
200 breaststroke
100 butterfly
200 butterfly
200 IM
400 IM Léon Marchand (FRA) Carson Foster (USA) Lewis Clareburt (NZL)
4×100 freestyle relay
4×200 freestyle relay
4×100 medley relay

Mixed Event

Event Gold Silver Bronze
4×100 medley relay

PROJECTED POOL SWIMMING MEDAL TABLE

Here’s how the medal table would shake out based on our medalist picks in each event:

Nation Gold Silver Bronze Total
Australia 7 4 2 13
USA 5 7 6 18
Canada 1 0 1 2
Italy 1 0 1 2
Sweden 1 1 0 2
China 1 1 1 3
Great Britain 0 1 0 1
Germany 0 1 0 1
Poland 0 1 0 1
South Korea 0 0 1 1
Hong Kong 0 0 2 2
Hungary 0 1 0 1
Spain 0 0 1 1
South Africa 1 0 0 1
Netherlands 0 0 1 1
France 1 0 0 1
New Zealand 0 0 1 1
Ireland 0 1 1 2

In This Story

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Greeny
16 hours ago

Australia have 7 gold according to Swimswam predictions

Stenn
3 days ago

too optimistic about the Australian golds

Stenn
Reply to  Stenn
2 days ago

It seems that the predictions are aimed at a total of 10 gold for Australia and about 11/12 for the United States, I bet the difference will be greater. Australia will not go beyond 6/7 golds.

Last edited 2 days ago by Stenn
Sameep07
Reply to  Stenn
1 day ago

USA will not go beyond 7/8 gold medals and this is coming from US supporter

Peter
7 days ago

Hi all,

Before every Olympics I am making my own medal table (for the whole Olympics, not just for swimming). It started 8 years ago because I was annoyed by the way Gracenote, NBC and others make up their predicted medal table. Of course it is very time consuming to make extended predictions for all 329 events. But also, as a casual swimming enthusiast that only watches Olympics, Worlds and Europeans (and Commonwealth Games), my own estimates are between guesstimates and accurate estimates.

So my question is: is there someone over here who is prepared to help me out with my swimming predictions :)?

gitech
Reply to  Peter
7 days ago

Yes

Peter
Reply to  gitech
7 days ago

That would be great! How can I contact you?

gitech
Reply to  Peter
5 days ago

Instagram: swimswimadm

Oceanian
Reply to  Peter
7 days ago

I would trust Gracenote rather than anyone on here lol

If someone agrees to assist, ask how they did in previous international ‘pick-ems’ on here 😉

canada clears
Reply to  Oceanian
6 days ago

idk gracenote picks summer to miss podium in the 4 free AND 2 im

Peter
Reply to  Oceanian
6 days ago

Gracenote picks one athlete to win gold (mainly based on results of past major competitions), and two others to win medals. While there can be events where a dozen athletes have a decent chance to win gold.

canada clears
16 days ago

Men
50fr McEvoy
100fr Alexy
200fr Popovici
400fr Short
800fr Finke
1500fr Finke
100bk Ceccon
200bk Murphy
100fl Liendo
200fl Kharun
100br Peaty
200br Stubbelty-Cook
200im Marchand
400im Marchand
4x100fr USA
4x200fr GBR
4x100med USA

Women
50fr Sjostrom
100fr Haughey
200fr Titmus
400fr McIntosh
800fr Ledecky
1500fr Ledecky
100bk Smith
200bk McKeown
100fl Mac Neil
200fl McIntosh
100br King
200br Douglass
200im McIntosh
400im McIntosh
4x100fr AUS
4x200fr AUS
4x100med USA

mixed medley CHN

Troyy
17 days ago

Men
50FR McEvoy
100FR Popovici
200FR Popovici
400FR Winnington
800FR Short
1500FR Finke
100BK Ceccon
200BK Kos
100FL Dressel
200FL Marchand
100BR Peaty
200BR Qin
200IM Wang
400IM Marchand
4x100FR USA
4x200FR GBR
4x100MD USA

Women
50FR Sjostrom
100FR O’Callaghan
200FR O’Callaghan
400FR Titmus
800FR Ledecky
1500FR Ledecky
100BK McKeown
200BK McKeown
100FL Walsh
200FL McIntosh
100BR Tang
200BR Smith (Schoenmaker)
200IM Douglass
400IM McIntosh
4x100FR AUS
4x200FR AUS
4x100MD USA

Mixed 4x100MD CHN

Linzy from Oceania
Reply to  Troyy
17 days ago

Agree with all except I’m voting for McKeown in the 2IM and Titmus in the 200free

Last edited 17 days ago by Linzy from Oceania
Oceanian
17 days ago

Time to have fun 🙂

50 Free – Sjostrom
100 Free – MOC
200 Free – MOC
400 Free – Titmus
800 Free – Ledecky
1500 Free – Ledecky
100 Back – McKeown
200 Back – McKeown
100 Breast – Tang
200 Breast – Schoenmaker
100 Fly – W2
200 Fly – Dekkers
200 IM – McKeown
400 IM – McIntosh
4×100 – AUS
4×200 – AUS
Medley relay – USA

Men
50 Free – McEvoy
100 Free – Chalmers
200 Free – Popovici
400 Free – Short
800 Free – Short
1500 Free – Wiffen
100… Read more »

Oceanian
17 days ago

It’s gonna be a bit like the NBC medal tally in here lol

Let’s post the Ledecky events as early as possible – to make sure US is at the top of the table from the start 😉

Sub13
18 days ago

Ok let’s make these predictions now and see how they end up. Including mostly safe bets with a few dark horses.

F

50 Free – Sjostrom
100 Free – MOC
200 Free – MOC
400 Free – Titmus
800 Free – Ledecky
1500 Free – Ledecky
100 Back – Smith
200 Back – McKeown
100 Breast – Tang
200 Breast – Schoenmaker
100 Fly – W2
200 Fly – Zhang
200 IM – McIntosh
400 IM – McIntosh
4×100 – AUS
4×200 – AUS
Medley relay – USA

Men

50 Free – McEvoy
100 Free – Popovici
200 Free – Popovici
… Read more »

DeRubempre
Reply to  Sub13
17 days ago

Popovici taking away 100 free is not gonna happen but he most likely clinches 200 free.

China gets a slightly upper hand, relative to the US, in men’s 400 medley relay .

Zhang’s becoming a gold medalist in 200 fly is of slim chance, the gold may go to Canada.

Sub13
Reply to  DeRubempre
17 days ago

I have faith in Popovici. But yea it does seem he and Pan are the favourites currently.

USA men have never lost the medley relay at the Olympics. On paper China is slightly in front but I’m going with history.

Zhang was probably my least confident pick. But she nailed the 200 in Tokyo and the rest of the women around that top spot have been a little up and down

DeRubempre
Reply to  Sub13
17 days ago

Like your candor and appreciate your preference in Popovici ( nothing different from mine in Pan)

History is meant to be written or re-written by winners, so “never” may be re-written to “ever”.

Buy your comments on Zhang and it’s a good point you made that Zhang would have ampler time before swimming 200 fly than her competitors.

Troyy
Reply to  Sub13
17 days ago

How’s McIntosh been up and down in the 200 fly?

Sub13
Reply to  Troyy
17 days ago

I thought she was slower at worlds than trials last year but I got confused: I was instead thinking about how her winning time wasn’t the fastest of the year.

She hasn’t really been up and down but also her times aren’t strong enough for me to consider her a solid favourite at this point

manoj Ghimire
Reply to  DeRubempre
1 day ago

IN back USA may be upper hand. in case Qin may be 0.7 faster in case of fly USA ma me more than 0ne second fast. in free china cannot go fast more than 0.3 sec over Alexy

swimmergirl
Reply to  Sub13
17 days ago

you’re an idiot if you think McIntosh isnt going to win the 200 Fly and CAN is only going to get two medals.

Sub13
Reply to  swimmergirl
17 days ago

I predicted Canada to get 2 golds, not 2 medals. McIntosh quite possibly could win the 200 fly but she has a slower PB than Smith and Zhang. Zhang will have 2 full days of rest before the 200 fly starts while McIntosh and Smith have busier schedules that are closer to the 200 fly.

swimmergirl
Reply to  Sub13
17 days ago
Sub13
Reply to  swimmergirl
17 days ago

I said Smith and Zhang have faster PBs. The link you sent is for season best, not PB.

This is the PB list: http://nuotomondiale.altervista.org/files/200_fly_w.pdf

The Kaz
Reply to  swimmergirl
16 days ago

Wow what a rude SOB you are. Go back to the rock you crawled out of!

Oceanian
Reply to  Sub13
16 days ago

which ones are your ‘dark horses’?

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Sophie Kaufman

Sophie grew up in Boston, Massachusetts, which means yes, she does root for the Bruins, but try not to hold that against her. At 9, she joined her local club team because her best friend convinced her it would be fun. Shoulder surgery ended her competitive swimming days long ago, …

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