2025 NCAA Women’s Championships: Day 3 Scoring Analysis

2025 NCAA Division I Women’s Swimming and Diving Championships

While Virginia is running away with the championship, one of the most-watched team battles is between Stanford and Texas for second place. Stanford has been swimming quite well, outperforming the psych sheet by double digits each day. The Cardinal led the field on Friday with a 30-point improvement on their seedings, making for a cumulative 65-point gain over three days. Texas, meanwhile, has underperformed to the tune of -12 on Friday and a combined -35 for the first three days. What has kept the Longhorns in the race for silver are their divers, who have added 70 points -unanswered by Stanford- in the first two diving events.

Louisville, Southern Illinois, and Indiana all saw double-digit increases over the psych sheet on Friday. Alabama, Miami (FL), Florida, North Carolina, and Tennessee were down by double digits.

Indiana and Tennessee are in a close race for fourth place in the team standings, while Florida is battling Louisville for sixth.

Seed vs Performance – Day 3 Only – Swimming Events

(Note: the diving event was not seeded in advance so we cannot compare performance vs seed.)

Team Difference vs Seed
Stanford 30
Louisville 15
Southern Illinois 15
Indiana 14
BYU 9
Arizona State 8
Virginia Tech 6
USC 5
Princeton 4
Cincinnati 3
Wisconsin 2
Houston 2
Texas A&M 2
Akron 2
Florida State 2
Washington State 1
Arizona 0
Arkansas 0
Kansas 0
Liberty -1
Cal -2
Ohio State -2
Duke -2
Auburn -2
Michigan -3
Virginia -5
Pittsburgh -5
Georgia -7
NC State -9
Alabama -11
Miami (FL) -11
Texas -12
Florida -13
North Carolina -13
Tennessee -22

100 Fly Over/Under

Team Psych Prelims Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 20 20 20 0
Stanford 17 19 25 8
Florida 11 11 11 0
Tennessee 0 0 0 0
Texas 29 30 29 0
Indiana 13 14 15 2
NC State 15 13 16 1
Louisville 20 27 26 6
USC 0 0 0 0
Cal 3 4 4 1
Wisconsin 0 0 0 0
Michigan 0 0 0 0
Cincinnati 0 0 0 0
Southern Illinois 0 0 0 0
Ohio State 0 0 0 0
Houston 0 0 0 0
BYU 0 0 0 0
Duke 0 0 0 0
Virginia Tech 0 0 0 0
Arizona State 2 0 0 -2
Alabama 0 0 0 0
Pittsburgh 12 9 6 -6
Princeton 0 0 0 0
Texas A&M 0 0 0 0
Akron 0 3 2 2
Florida State 0 0 0 0
North Carolina 0 0 0 0
Miami (FL) 12 5 1 -11
Washington State 0 0 0 0
Arizona 0 0 0 0
Arkansas 0 0 0 0
Auburn 0 0 0 0
Kansas 0 0 0 0
Liberty 1 0 0 -1
Georgia 0 0 0 0

400 IM Over/Under

Team Psych Prelims Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 35 27 29 -6
Stanford 30 37 39 9
Florida 39 39 34 -5
Tennessee 18 13 15 -3
Texas 12 9 7 -5
Indiana 0 0 0 0
NC State 0 1 2 2
Louisville 0 0 0 0
USC 3 0 0 -3
Cal 0 0 0 0
Wisconsin 0 11 12 12
Michigan 0 0 0 0
Cincinnati 0 0 0 0
Southern Illinois 0 0 0 0
Ohio State 16 12 11 -5
Houston 0 0 0 0
BYU 0 0 0 0
Duke 0 0 0 0
Virginia Tech 0 0 0 0
Arizona State 0 0 0 0
Alabama 0 0 0 0
Pittsburgh 0 0 0 0
Princeton 2 6 6 4
Texas A&M 0 0 0 0
Akron 0 0 0 0
Florida State 0 0 0 0
North Carolina 0 0 0 0
Miami (FL) 0 0 0 0
Washington State 0 0 0 0
Arizona 0 0 0 0
Arkansas 0 0 0 0
Auburn 0 0 0 0
Kansas 0 0 0 0
Liberty 0 0 0 0
Georgia 0 0 0 0

200 Free Over/Under

Team Psych Prelims Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 24 18 23 -1
Stanford 11 22 19 8
Florida 1 6 3 2
Tennessee 26 11 11 -15
Texas 19 19 19 0
Indiana 20 17 20 0
NC State 0 0 0 0
Louisville 0 6 6 6
USC 16 19 22 6
Cal 11 15 15 4
Wisconsin 0 0 0 0
Michigan 17 20 16 -1
Cincinnati 0 0 0 0
Southern Illinois 0 0 0 0
Ohio State 0 0 0 0
Houston 0 0 0 0
BYU 0 0 0 0
Duke 0 0 0 0
Virginia Tech 0 0 0 0
Arizona State 0 0 0 0
Alabama 0 0 0 0
Pittsburgh 0 0 0 0
Princeton 0 0 0 0
Texas A&M 3 2 1 -2
Akron 0 0 0 0
Florida State 0 0 0 0
North Carolina 0 0 0 0
Miami (FL) 0 0 0 0
Washington State 0 0 0 0
Arizona 0 0 0 0
Arkansas 0 0 0 0
Auburn 0 0 0 0
Kansas 0 0 0 0
Liberty 0 0 0 0
Georgia 7 0 0 -7

100 Breast Over/Under

Team Psych Prelims Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 27 27 26 -1
Stanford 0 6 5 5
Florida 14 9 9 -5
Tennessee 33 33 33 0
Texas 18 12 14 -4
Indiana 0 0 0 0
NC State 0 0 0 0
Louisville 1 0 0 -1
USC 15 5 7 -8
Cal 0 0 0 0
Wisconsin 0 0 0 0
Michigan 2 3 4 2
Cincinnati 12 13 15 3
Southern Illinois 0 0 0 0
Ohio State 0 1 3 3
Houston 11 15 13 2
BYU 3 14 12 9
Duke 9 11 11 2
Virginia Tech 0 0 0 0
Arizona State 0 0 0 0
Alabama 4 0 0 -4
Pittsburgh 0 0 0 0
Princeton 0 0 0 0
Texas A&M 0 0 0 0
Akron 0 0 0 0
Florida State 0 0 0 0
North Carolina 6 4 2 -4
Miami (FL) 0 0 0 0
Washington State 0 2 1 1
Arizona 0 0 0 0
Arkansas 0 0 0 0
Auburn 0 0 0 0
Kansas 0 0 0 0
Liberty 0 0 0 0
Georgia 0 0 0 0

100 Back Over/Under

Team Psych Prelims Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 17 20 20 3
Stanford 0 0 0 0
Florida 20 17 17 -3
Tennessee 15 9 9 -6
Texas 1 0 0 -1
Indiana 13 21 23 10
NC State 30 22 24 -6
Louisville 0 0 0 0
USC 0 0 0 0
Cal 28 21 19 -9
Wisconsin 16 15 14 -2
Michigan 0 0 0 0
Cincinnati 0 0 0 0
Southern Illinois 0 16 15 15
Ohio State 0 0 0 0
Houston 0 0 0 0
BYU 0 0 0 0
Duke 0 0 0 0
Virginia Tech 5 11 11 6
Arizona State 0 0 0 0
Alabama 7 1 2 -5
Pittsburgh 0 2 1 1
Princeton 0 0 0 0
Texas A&M 0 0 0 0
Akron 0 0 0 0
Florida State 0 0 0 0
North Carolina 3 0 0 -3
Miami (FL) 0 0 0 0
Washington State 0 0 0 0
Arizona 0 0 0 0
Arkansas 0 0 0 0
Auburn 0 0 0 0
Kansas 0 0 0 0
Liberty 0 0 0 0
Georgia 0 0 0 0

400 Medley Relay Over/Under

Team Psych Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 40 40 0
Stanford 26 26 0
Florida 34 32 -2
Tennessee 32 34 2
Texas 30 28 -2
Indiana 28 30 2
NC State 24 18 -6
Louisville 18 22 4
USC 14 24 10
Cal 10 12 2
Wisconsin 22 14 -8
Michigan 12 8 -4
Cincinnati 0 0 0
Southern Illinois 0 0 0
Ohio State 0 0 0
Houston 0 0 0
BYU 0 0 0
Duke 4 0 -4
Virginia Tech 0 0 0
Arizona State 0 10 10
Alabama 8 6 -2
Pittsburgh 0 0 0
Princeton 0 0 0
Texas A&M 0 4 4
Akron 0 0 0
Florida State 0 2 2
North Carolina 6 0 -6
Miami (FL) 0 0 0
Washington State 0 0 0
Arizona 0 0 0
Arkansas 0 0 0
Auburn 2 0 -2
Kansas 0 0 0
Liberty 0 0 0
Georgia 0 0 0

Day 3 Seed vs Score – Swimming Only (including relay)

Team Seeded Actual Difference vs Seed
Virginia 163 158 -5
Stanford 84 114 30
Florida 119 106 -13
Tennessee 124 102 -22
Texas 109 97 -12
Indiana 74 88 14
NC State 69 60 -9
Louisville 39 54 15
USC 48 53 5
Cal 52 50 -2
Wisconsin 38 40 2
Michigan 31 28 -3
Cincinnati 12 15 3
Southern Illinois 0 15 15
Ohio State 16 14 -2
Houston 11 13 2
BYU 3 12 9
Duke 13 11 -2
Virginia Tech 5 11 6
Arizona State 2 10 8
Alabama 19 8 -11
Pittsburgh 12 7 -5
Princeton 2 6 4
Texas A&M 3 5 2
Akron 0 2 2
Florida State 0 2 2
North Carolina 15 2 -13
Miami (FL) 12 1 -11
Washington State 0 1 1
Arizona 0 0 0
Arkansas 0 0 0
Auburn 2 0 -2
Kansas 0 0 0
Liberty 1 0 -1
Georgia 7 0 -7

Scoring Day 3

Team Swimming Diving Total Day 3
Virginia 158 0 158
Stanford 114 0 114
Florida 106 0 106
Tennessee 102 0 102
Texas 97 39 136
Indiana 88 19 107
NC State 60 0 60
Louisville 54 0 54
USC 53 2 55
Cal 50 0 50
Wisconsin 40 0 40
Michigan 28 1 29
Cincinnati 15 0 15
Southern Illinois 15 0 15
Ohio State 14 0 14
Houston 13 0 13
BYU 12 0 12
Duke 11 0 11
Virginia Tech 11 0 11
Arizona State 10 0 10
Alabama 8 0 8
Pittsburgh 7 0 7
Princeton 6 0 6
Texas A&M 5 0 5
Akron 2 0 2
Florida State 2 0 2
North Carolina 2 14 16
Miami (FL) 1 32 33
Washington State 1 0 1
Arizona 0 5 5
Arkansas 0 4 4
Auburn 0 0 0
Kansas 0 13 13
Liberty 0 0 0
Georgia 0 0 0

Team Standings After Day 3

  1. Virginia 383
  2. Stanford 292
  3. Texas 288
  4. Indiana 209
  5. Tennessee 195
  6. Florida 177
  7. Louisville 160.5
  8. California 139.5
  9. Michigan 121
  10. NC State 114
  11. Wisconsin 93
  12. Southern California 90
  13. Miami (Fl) 75.5
  14. UNC 50
  15. Arizona State 41.5
  16. Alabama 41
  17. Georgia 38
  18. Ohio State 37
  19. (TIE) Kansas / Purdue 25
  20. Pittsburgh 21
  21. Arizona 20
  22. Duke 18
  23. Virginia Tech 17
  24. (TIE) South Carolina / SIU / LSU / Cincinnati 15
  25. Houston 13
  26. Brigham Young 12
  27. Texas A&M 11
  28. (TIE) Princeton / Auburn 6
  29. Arkansas 4
  30. (TIE) Minnesota / Florida State / Akron 2
  31. Washington State 1

 

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joe
22 hours ago

Does Jacoby still swim?

Bay City Tex
23 hours ago

Don’t know if enough would care to see it, but I’d bet the Texas and Stanford fans would love to see an event by event prediction of the score between the two teams as the day progresses through the conclusion. Diving is hard to predict,
but it could decide who finishes 2nd to Virginia. You have to go back a long time ago to see such dominance! Texas, way back in the day, had an unbelievable decade.

Ripped
Reply to  Bay City Tex
22 hours ago

You could do it and post it!

Elmer
Reply to  Bay City Tex
20 hours ago

Georgia used to be good.

15m steps ahead
1 day ago

Projected final scores without +/-
Virginia 383 + 163,5 = 546,5
Stanford 292 + 106 + 2 = 398 🔽 1
Texas 288 + 124,5 + 20 = 432,5 🔼 1
Indiana 209 + 64,5 + 19,5 = 293 🔽 1
Tennessee 195 + 117 = 312 🔼 1
Florida 177 + 44,5 = 221,5
Louisville 160.5 + 53,5 = 213,5
California 139.5 + 47,5 = 187 🔽 1
Michigan 121 + 83 = 204 🔼 1
NC state 114 + 63,5 = 177,5

Last edited 1 day ago by 15m steps ahead
Bay City Tex
Reply to  15m steps ahead
22 hours ago

Thanks for this! Hoping this comes to fruition!

Walsh-Madden-Grimes-Weinstein
1 day ago

If one delves deeper into the numbers, it’s even worse for the University of Virginia:

Canny, A. – minus 6
Grimes, K. – minus 5
Hayes, L. – minus 1
Weber, E. – minus 1

All four need to pick up the pace on Day 4.

Expatswimmer
Reply to  Walsh-Madden-Grimes-Weinstein
21 hours ago

These 4 will need to step up next year, but it’s not really a problem now.

Vaswammer
Reply to  Walsh-Madden-Grimes-Weinstein
21 hours ago

Moesch, A. — plus 5
Curzan, C. — plus 3
Walsh, G. — —— (can’t improve on a first place projection)
Walsh, A. — ——- (See: Walsh, G.)

About Anne Lepesant

Anne Lepesant

Anne Lepesant is the mother of four daughters, all of whom swam in college. With an undergraduate degree from Princeton (where she was an all-Ivy tennis player) and an MBA from INSEAD, she worked for many years in the financial industry, both in France and the U.S. Anne is currently …

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