2025 NCAA Women’s Championships: Day 2 Scoring Analysis

2025 NCAA Division I Women’s Swimming and Diving Championships

Virginia came into Day 2 tied with Stanford, each team having won one relay and finished second in another on Wednesday night. The Cavaliers outscored the Cardinal by 47 points on Thursday, adding 151 to their tally to finish alone in first place with 179 points.

Indiana and Stanford made the biggest gains on Thursday, improving 24 and 23 points, respectively, from their seedings. The Hoosiers did better than predicted in the 500 free and 200 free relay; Stanford beat expectations in the 500 free and 200 IM. UVA picked up points in the 500 free and 50 free.

Florida (-29), Texas (-25), Alabama (-15), and Tennessee (-12) were off by double digits, which had an impact on the team standings. The Longhorns were slated to finish Day 2 in second place behind Virginia, but Stanford’s overperformance and their misses (Texas was off by -15 in the 200 IM and by -10 in the relay) and the two teams swapped positions. That said, Texas scored 31 points in diving to Stanford’s zero; while the Stanford women are having the better meet in the swimming events and closing the gap on the Longhorns, if Texas’ diving continues that should give them enough to hang on for 2nd place – though it’s far from a lock at this point. Florida dropped -19 in the 500 free and -10 in the 200 IM, which moved them from a predicted 6th at then end of Day 2 to a 9th-place finish.

Seed vs Performance – Day 2 Only – Swimming Events

(Note: the diving event was not seeded in advance so we cannot compare performance vs seed.)

Team Difference vs Seed
Indiana 24
Stanford 23
Virginia 18
Ohio State 9
Arizona State 7.5
Wisconsin 7
NC State 5
Cal 2.5
Arizona 2
Pittsburgh 0
Kansas 0
LSU 0
South Carolina 0
USC 0
Duke -1
Louisville -1.5
Miami (FL) -1.5
Auburn -2
North Carolina -3
Michigan -4
Georgia -4
Tennessee -12
Alabama -15
Texas -25
Florida -29

500 Free Over/Under

Team Psych Prelims Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 21 29 29 8
Stanford 16 20 19 3
Texas 20 16 20 0
Indiana 14 32 28 14
Louisville 0 0 0 0
Tennessee 12 7 9 -3
Michigan 16 0 0 -16
Cal 0 1 3 3
Miami (FL) 0 0 0 0
North Carolina 0 0 0 0
NC State 0 0 0 0
Georgia 20 19 16 -4
Alabama 0 0 0 0
Wisconsin 0 0 0 0
Arizona 0 0 0 0
Ohio State 0 11 13 13
Pittsburgh 0 0 0 0
Kansas 0 0 0 0
Florida 31 13 11 -20
LSU 0 0 0 0
Arizona State 0 0 0 0
South Carolina 0 0 0 0
Duke 0 0 0 0
USC 5 7 7 2
Auburn 0 0 0 0

200 IM Over/Under

Team Psych Prelims Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 26 22 26 0
Stanford 35 55 53 18
Texas 39 31 24 -15
Indiana 0 0 0 0
Louisville 0 0 0 0
Tennessee 19 14 17 -2
Michigan 2 1 3 1
Cal 12 17 16 4
Miami (FL) 0 0 0 0
North Carolina 0 2 1 1
NC State 0 0 0 0
Georgia 0 0 0 0
Alabama 0 0 0 0
Wisconsin 13 13 15 2
Arizona 0 0 0 0
Ohio State 0 0 0 0
Pittsburgh 0 0 0 0
Kansas 0 0 0 0
Florida 9 0 0 -9
LSU 0 0 0 0
Arizona State 0 0 0 0
South Carolina 0 0 0 0
Duke 0 0 0 0
USC 0 0 0 0
Auburn 0 0 0 0

50 Free Over/Under

Team Psych Prelims Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 40 46 50 10
Stanford 0 0 0 0
Texas 0 0 0 0
Indiana 11 5 7 -4
Louisville 32 32 30.5 -1.5
Tennessee 16 16 15 -1
Michigan 4 13 13 9
Cal 13 6 2.5 -10.5
Miami (FL) 7 7 5.5 -1.5
North Carolina 0 0 0 0
NC State 0 2 1 1
Georgia 0 0 0 0
Alabama 12 13 11 -1
Wisconsin 3 0 0 -3
Arizona 0 0 0 0
Ohio State 0 0 0 0
Pittsburgh 14 14 14 0
Kansas 0 0 0 0
Florida 0 0 0 0
LSU 0 0 0 0
Arizona State 2 1 5.5 3.5
South Carolina 0 0 0 0
Duke 1 0 0 -1
USC 0 0 0 0
Auburn 0 0 0 0

200 Free Relay Over/Under

Team Psych Finals Difference vs Seed
Virginia 40 40 0
Stanford 30 32 2
Texas 32 22 -10
Indiana 14 28 14
Louisville 34 34 0
Tennessee 24 18 -6
Michigan 28 30 2
Cal 18 24 6
Miami (FL) 0 0 0
North Carolina 4 0 -4
NC State 22 26 4
Georgia 10 10 0
Alabama 26 12 -14
Wisconsin 0 8 8
Arizona 12 14 2
Ohio State 6 2 -4
Pittsburgh 0 0 0
Kansas 0 0 0
Florida 0 0 0
LSU 0 0 0
Arizona State 0 4 4
South Carolina 0 0 0
Duke 0 0 0
USC 2 0 -2
Auburn 8 6 -2

Day 2 Seed vs Score – Swimming Only (including relay)

Team Seeded Actual Difference vs Seed
Virginia 127 145 18
Stanford 81 104 23
Texas 91 66 -25
Indiana 39 63 24
Louisville 66 64.5 -1.5
Tennessee 71 59 -12
Michigan 50 46 -4
Cal 43 45.5 2.5
Miami (FL) 7 5.5 -1.5
North Carolina 4 1 -3
NC State 22 27 5
Georgia 30 26 -4
Alabama 38 23 -15
Wisconsin 16 23 7
Arizona 12 14 2
Ohio State 6 15 9
Pittsburgh 14 14 0
Kansas 0 0 0
Florida 40 11 -29
LSU 0 0 0
Arizona State 2 9.5 7.5
South Carolina 0 0 0
Duke 1 0 -1
USC 7 7 0
Auburn 8 6 -2

Team Standings After Day 2

  1. Virginia 225
  2. Stanford 178
  3. Texas 152
  4. Louisville 106.5
  5. Indiana 102
  6. Tennessee 93
  7. Michigan 92
  8. California 89.5
  9. Florida 71
  10. NC State 54
  11. Wisconsin 53
  12. Miami (Fl) 42.5
  13. Georgia 38
  14. Southern California 35
  15. UNC 34
  16. Alabama 33
  17. Arizona State 31.5
  18. Ohio State 23
  19. (TIE) LSU / Arizona 15
  20. Pittsburgh 14
  21. Kansas 12
  22. South Carolina 9
  23. Duke 7
  24. (TIE) Texas A&M / Auburn / Virginia Tech 6
  25. Purdue 5
  26. Minnesota 2

 

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Kono
2 hours ago

I thought the prophecy was for one team to sweep the relays, break all the records and win nearly everything else. Ooops.

swimapologist
Reply to  Kono
1 hour ago

How would other teams motivate themselves if Virginia weren’t so good? Would be tough, it seems.

Andrew
2 hours ago

Texas, Tennessee, Florida off. The usual suspects. Florida and Texas having a predictably disastrous meet

IU, Louisville, Stanford, early winners for now.

I’ve sang my praises for Arthur and wanted him to take the Texas position. Louisville is kind of in an NC state situation where the caliber of school / location / town / dated pool holds the success of a team back. Obv not the coach’s fault

Richard
3 hours ago

Go Hoooos !!!!!!!!

Old Bruin
3 hours ago

Tennessee hasn’t done THAT bad when you run the numbers….thanks to Florida and Texas

CavaDore
4 hours ago

“uVa Is OfF tHiS mEeT!!!”

*proceeds to over perform in every event and has broken 2 everything records

TX swammer
5 hours ago

I’ve never understood why more top tier recruits don’t choose Louisville. Albeiro is a top notch coach.

ACC guy
Reply to  TX swammer
4 hours ago

Awful pool + Mediocre school

But you’re right, Albiero is top notch coach and Louisville is an extremely underrated city. Wonder if Arthur ever kicks himself for not taking a higher profile job

Admin
Reply to  ACC guy
4 hours ago

I’ve wondered if he might now that his kids are wrapping up their time there.

Meeeee
Reply to  Braden Keith
4 hours ago

Could be but would be tough to leave something that you built like that. From no swim tradition to what they do now is amazing.

Admin
Reply to  Meeeee
4 hours ago

Totally agree. That’s why “Franchise mode” is the most popular mode on video games. Building can be fun.

The prospect and challenge of proving you can do it again, though, could be a draw as well…

ACC guy
Reply to  Braden Keith
4 hours ago

Could be wrong, but feels like the coaching carousel of upper echelon jobs that Arthur would be in line for feels stable for a while after a few years of chaos. I think there aren’t too many really old HCs and coaches might want to stay in place for awhile in this new roster cap era to see what the next iteration of college swimming really looks like.

If Arizona ever wants to revive their dumpster fire of a program and bring it back to the glory days/ Arthur is looking for a nice place to live and potentially retire, that could be a fit, but I think that Arthur and his family have really planted their roots in Louisville… Read more »

Admin
Reply to  ACC guy
4 hours ago

I think that’s a good observation, but I can identify a few higher-profile programs that I think might be less stable. I don’t want to name them because it’s been a full 12 hours since a coach has texted me to call me names and I’m enjoying my peace.

I think Ben Loorz has done enough in year 1 at Arizona for them to not be back on the market already. It wasn’t a total one year Cinderella rebuild performance, but there are a lot of positive signs coming out of Tucson. Lexi Duscherer is a fantastic example to hold up – 22.8 at Pac-12s last year to 22.0 at Big 12s this year. He’s got a bunch of other… Read more »

Anonymous
Reply to  Braden Keith
2 hours ago

If Louisville keeps swimming the way they’re swimming, there won’t be too many programs higher than them. Arthur and his staff have built a strong program, they may want to stick around at least until the end of this Olympic cycle. There’s a lot of instability in the NCAA, if the Louisville athletic department supports swimming, staying put may be the best option. You made some good points regarding Arthur and his prospects, curious what will happen moving forward.

PsuFan
5 hours ago

A lot of the East coast teams aren’t adjusting to the time zone change well. Racing at 1 and 9 when your body has been waking up at 5 and going to bed at 9 for the last 6 months, definitely having an effect on Florida

Last 15 Meters
Reply to  PsuFan
5 hours ago

Indiana and Louisville are swimming lights out though?

Joel Lin
Reply to  Last 15 Meters
4 hours ago

Ah yes, that cozy East Coast beach town of Bloomington, Indiana.

Go Birds
Reply to  Joel Lin
3 hours ago

Hawaii of the Midwest

iudistance
Reply to  Joel Lin
3 hours ago

Indiana is the same time zone as everyone on the east coast

Admin
Reply to  iudistance
3 hours ago

Same time zone, but much shorter flight than a Florida, by about 90 minutes.

Former swimmer
Reply to  PsuFan
4 hours ago

Gretchen is tired. My theory is Gretchen had a monster performance at short course worlds, and it was too fast of a change over to ncaa. Throw in ACC’s in the middle of all that and there you go. I mean she’s right on pace with her norm, but it’s not what everyone was expecting and that’s not fair to her. Tennessee, obviously went all in at sec’s. I will never understand why they do that. Same with Texas. Maybe their tapers will hit later in the week who knows.

Last edited 4 hours ago by Former swimmer
I miss the ISL (go dawgs)
Reply to  PsuFan
3 hours ago

Teams like Stanford and Cal have had to travel to the Eastern time zone for this meet every year since Covid and have been fine. This has never been an issue until now. The location is something they have known about for a really long time. I don’t like that this is suddenly being used as an excuse.

CavaDore
Reply to  I miss the ISL (go dawgs)
3 hours ago

Except Stanford and Cal did not swim as well the last few years…so there went your argument. Also, it’s not so much the time change but when you travel to the other coast. I’m not sure when Stanford and Cal flew to the East Coast the last few years for NCs but UVA flew out Monday, which I thought was very odd. Not sure why they wouldn’t just fly out a few days earlier to have more time to adjust.

TidalCessPool1979
6 hours ago

UVA swimming well, Stanford is swimming better. Obviously UVA has way more talent so they will win, but definitely a small crack in the UVA armor

Joel Lin
Reply to  TidalCessPool1979
4 hours ago

It will be sobering to look at the SwimSwam article coming in the next few weeks that shows a count of returning points. Losing both the Walsh sisters doesn’t leave UVa broke, but it is clearly the case losing the sure thing of the Walsh sisters getting monster 55-60 individual & mucho grande relay points attribution will make UVA vs. Stanford + Texas + Cal look like a closer to fair fight on paper in the next year(s). That’s not to say the Lady Hoos can’t keep it rolling, especially considering how loaded they are beyond the Walsh sisters. But it will get more intriguing, is all.

Walsh-Madden-Grimes-Weinstein
Reply to  TidalCessPool1979
2 hours ago

What small crack in the University of Virginia armor? A. Canny swimming in the heats of the W 500 FR (seeded 12th or tied for 12th) has been the only stumbling block.

The level of expectations has been set by the psych sheets.

About Anne Lepesant

Anne Lepesant

Anne Lepesant is the mother of four daughters, all of whom swam in college. With an undergraduate degree from Princeton (where she was an all-Ivy tennis player) and an MBA from INSEAD, she worked for many years in the financial industry, both in France and the U.S. Anne is currently …

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