# Projecting the Cutline – 2021 NCAA Men’s Division I Championships

Karl Ortegon

March 09th, 2021

### 2021 NCAA MEN’S SWIMMING & DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS

• When: Wednesday, March 24 – Saturday, March 27, 2021
• Where: Greensboro Aquatic Center / Greensboro, NC (Eastern Time Zone)
• Defending champion: Cal (1x) – 2019 results
• Streaming:
• Championship Central
• Live Results

The 2021 NCAA Men’s Championships should, like the women’s meet, invite more swimmers than usual. This year, the cutline is projected to fall three swimmers into the 32 line, which is a bit more than in 2020, when they took two swimmers into the 30 line.

As always, our analysis is only an unofficial projection, and we’ll update this story if our checks and rechecks of the math change the projected selections. Big thanks to SwimSwam’s Andrew Mering for crunching all the numbers after the pre-selection sheets were released late last night.

### SELECTION CRITERIA

The NCAA selection criteria is relatively complex, based on getting exactly 270 men and 322 women into the national championship meet. You can read the finer points of that selection criteria here, but the upshot is that the top 35 to 40 women in each event should earn an invite in most years, while the top 28 to 33 men should be in line for invites.

### 2021 CUT LINE PROJECTIONS

#### ALTERNATES

Alternates are called up to the meet when there are scratches– given the number of Texas men invited to the meet, scratches from them whittling down the roster size alone should make space for a bunch of alternates.

This is the second year where the tiebreaker between alternates in the same line (e.g., row 32, row 33) uses the NCAA A cut, rather than the NCAA record. The mathematical formula is the A cut divided by the swimmer’s time, with the highest percentage (or closest relative time to the A cut) winning the tiebreak.

 Line Name School Event Time Tiebreaker 32 Ungur, Andrei Utah 100 Backstroke 46.37 0.969377 32 Storms, Eric Michigan 100 Backstroke 46.37 0.969377 33 Kusto, Rafal NC State 100 Breaststroke 52.4 0.986069 33 Roberts, Will Michigan 1650 Freestyle 14:59.87 0.97493 34 McFadden, Evan Ohio St 100 Breaststroke 52.41 0.985881 34 Ghaffari, Mohamed Florida St 500 Freestyle 4:16.59 0.98141 34 Wright, Jack Virginia 200 Freestyle 1:34.18 0.977384 34 Messenger, Jack UNC 100 Butterfly 46.28 0.973423 34 Schilling, Sam Virginia 200 IM 1:44.18 0.972739 34 Lulek, William Penn St 400 IM 3:45.71 0.97098 35 Couchon, Andrew Texas 100 Breaststroke 52.44 0.985317 35 Ribeiro, Vincent Texas A&M 200 Breaststroke 1:54.33 0.984956 35 Martos Bacarizo, Manu Northwestern 200 Backstroke 1:41.82 0.973875 35 Smith, T.C. Louisville 1650 Freestyle 15:01.33 0.97335 35 Edwards, Max Virginia 100 Butterfly 46.29 0.973212 35 Mihm, Rick Stanford 400 IM 3:45.76 0.970765 36 Frazier, Forrest California 100 Breaststroke 52.46 0.984941 36 Isings, Connor Ohio St 200 Breaststroke 1:54.36 0.984697 36 Scanlon, Scott Tennessee 50 Freestyle 19.48 0.973306 36 Oh, Micah U.S. Navy 200 Butterfly 1:43.54 0.97315 36 Calvillo, Mikey Indiana 1650 Freestyle 15:01.89 0.972746 36 Feehery, Colin SMU 400 IM 3:45.94 0.969992

#### BY SCHOOL

These are swimming invites only, not including relays or diving. Notably, Texas has eight swimmers more than the roster cap of 18, and that’s not even including diving. The Longhorns could end up scratching into the double digits in order to make room for divers and meet the roster cap. Last year, they had more than 18 men under the invite time, but didn’t enter them all, so they only needed to scratch a couple to make room for divers.

Cal is next with 15 invited swimmers, followed by NC State and Georgia, both tied with 13, and then Florida with 12. Louisville has 11 invited swimmers, while Michigan, Stanford and Virginia Tech have 10, each.

 School Swimmers Invited Texas 26 California 15 NC State 13 Georgia 13 Florida 12 Louisville 11 Michigan 10 Stanford 10 Virginia Tech 10 Virginia 9 Indiana 9 Alabama 9 Ohio St 8 Arizona 8 Florida St 7 Texas A&M 6 Tennessee 5 Missouri 5 Penn St 4 Notre Dame 4 Georgia Tech 4 Wisconsin 4 UNC 3 Northwestern 3 U.S. Navy 3 Auburn 3 Purdue 3 Southern Cali 2 LSU 2 Pittsburgh 2 Kentucky 2 SMU 1 Utah 1 Minnesota 1 Iowa 1 Cincinnati 1 UNLV (M) 1 Brigham Young 1 Duke 1 West Virginia 1 Air Force (M) 1

#### CALCULATED LIST OF INVITEES, BY INVITE PRIORITY

 Line Name School Event Time Tiebreaker 1 Whitley, Reece California 200 Breaststroke 1:48.53 1.037593 1 Finke, Bobby Florida 1650 Freestyle 14:12.18 1.029489 1 McHugh, Max Minnesota 100 Breaststroke 50.19 1.029488 1 Smith, Kieran Florida 200 Freestyle 1:29.48 1.028722 1 Casas, Shaine Texas A&M 200 Backstroke 1:36.54 1.027139 1 Julian, Trenton California 200 Butterfly 1:38.53 1.022633 1 Foster, Carson Texas 400 IM 3:35.27 1.01807 1 Ramadan, Youssef Virginia Tech 100 Butterfly 44.32 1.016471 1 Chaney, Adam Florida 50 Freestyle 18.76 1.010661 1 Krueger, Daniel Texas 100 Freestyle 41.33 1.009194 2 Magahey, Jake Georgia 500 Freestyle 4:06.71 1.020713 2 Albiero, Nicolas Louisville 200 Butterfly 1:39.08 1.016956 2 Kibler, Drew Texas 200 Freestyle 1:30.57 1.016341 2 Chan, Will Michigan 100 Breaststroke 50.95 1.014132 2 Lasco, Destin California 200 Backstroke 1:38.13 1.010496 2 Gonzalez, Hugo California 400 IM 3:37.31 1.008513 2 Hoffer, Ryan California 50 Freestyle 18.81 1.007974 2 Stokowski, Kacper NC State 100 Backstroke 44.82 1.0029 3 Pomajevich, Sam Texas 200 Butterfly 1:39.19 1.015828 3 Roy, Daniel Stanford 200 Breaststroke 1:51.07 1.013865 3 Somov, Evgenii Louisville 100 Breaststroke 51.03 1.012542 3 Seeliger, Bjorn California 50 Freestyle 18.84 1.006369 3 Hoagland, Jack Notre Dame 1650 Freestyle 14:31.83 1.006286 3 Murphy, Camden Georgia 100 Butterfly 44.77 1.006254 3 Carr, Daniel California 200 Backstroke 1:38.81 1.003542 3 Delakis, Paul Ohio St 200 Freestyle 1:31.90 1.001632 3 King, Matt Alabama 100 Freestyle 41.66 1.0012 3 Kovac, Danny Missouri 200 IM 1:41.35 0.999901 4 Burns, Brendan Indiana 200 Butterfly 1:39.22 1.015521 4 Backes, Zane Indiana 100 Breaststroke 51.04 1.012343 4 Brownstead, Matt Virginia 50 Freestyle 18.88 1.004237 4 Yeadon, Zach California 1650 Freestyle 14:33.69 1.004143 4 Armstrong, Hunter Ohio St 100 Backstroke 44.92 1.000668 4 Sancov, Alexei Southern Cali 200 Freestyle 1:32.20 0.998373 4 Schlicht, David Arizona 400 IM 3:39.59 0.998042 4 Curry, Brooks LSU 100 Freestyle 41.80 0.997847 4 Mefford, Bryce California 200 Backstroke 1:39.85 0.99309 5 Ivanov, Antani Virginia Tech 200 Butterfly 1:39.82 1.009417 5 Hillis, Dillon Florida 100 Breaststroke 51.22 1.008786 5 Downing, Dillon Georgia 50 Freestyle 18.90 1.003175 5 Frankel, Tomer Indiana 100 Butterfly 44.91 1.003117 5 Jiang, Alvin Texas 100 Butterfly 44.91 1.003117 5 Dant, Ross NC State 1650 Freestyle 14:35.73 1.001804 5 Acevedo, Javi Georgia 100 Backstroke 44.96 0.999778 5 Foster, Jake Texas 400 IM 3:40.35 0.9946 5 Whyte, Mitchell Louisville 200 Backstroke 1:39.98 0.991798 6 Mathews, Jason Ohio St 100 Breaststroke 51.30 1.007212 6 Pumputis, Caio Georgia Tech 200 Breaststroke 1:51.81 1.007155 6 Theall, Mark Texas A&M 500 Freestyle 4:10.67 1.004588 6 Ferraro, Christian Georgia Tech 200 Butterfly 1:40.64 1.001192 6 Brinegar, Michael Indiana 1650 Freestyle 14:38.26 0.998918 6 Manoff, Blake Virginia Tech 200 Freestyle 1:32.23 0.998048 6 Grum, Ian Georgia 400 IM 3:40.51 0.993878 7 Nichols, Noah Virginia 100 Breaststroke 51.36 1.006036 7 Urlando, Luca Georgia 100 Butterfly 44.97 1.001779 7 Corbeau, Caspar Texas 200 Breaststroke 1:52.52 1.0008 7 Miller, Luke NC State 200 Freestyle 1:32.28 0.997508 7 Johnston, David Texas 1650 Freestyle 14:41.46 0.995292 8 Houlie, Michael Tennessee 100 Breaststroke 51.38 1.005644 8 Fail, Brooks Arizona 500 Freestyle 4:11.29 1.002109 8 Pouch, Aj Virginia Tech 200 Breaststroke 1:52.60 1.000089 8 Vera, Blaise Pittsburgh 50 Freestyle 19.03 0.996322 8 Staka, Chris Texas 100 Backstroke 45.12 0.996232 8 Mitchell, Jake Michigan 1650 Freestyle 14:42.60 0.994006 8 Sameh, Haridi Louisville 100 Freestyle 42.03 0.992386 8 Daly, Michael Penn St 400 IM 3:41.09 0.991271 9 Epitropov, Lyubomir Tennessee 200 Breaststroke 1:52.69 0.99929 9 Unlu, Baturalp Georgia Tech 200 Freestyle 1:32.40 0.996212 9 Andreis, Sem Ohio St 50 Freestyle 19.05 0.995276 9 Reed, Greg Georgia 1650 Freestyle 14:43.69 0.99278 9 Wright, River Michigan 100 Freestyle 42.06 0.991679 9 Grieshop, Sean California 400 IM 3:41.30 0.99033 9 Marcum, Jake Alabama 200 Backstroke 1:40.48 0.986863 10 Olson, Tanner Texas A&M 100 Breaststroke 51.39 1.005449 10 Puente Bustamante, Andres Texas A&M 200 Breaststroke 1:52.74 0.998847 10 Freeman, Trey Florida 500 Freestyle 4:12.76 0.996281 10 Menke, Matthew Alabama 100 Backstroke 45.18 0.994909 10 Berlitz, Danny Michigan 400 IM 3:41.45 0.989659 10 Mefford, Colby California 200 Backstroke 1:40.50 0.986667 11 Van Der Laan, Cooper Pittsburgh 100 Breaststroke 51.52 1.002911 11 Mestre, Alfonso Florida 500 Freestyle 4:12.77 0.996242 11 Clark, Charlie Ohio St 1650 Freestyle 14:45.24 0.991042 11 Franzman, Jack Indiana 50 Freestyle 19.14 0.990596 11 Somerset, Sebastian California 200 Backstroke 1:40.62 0.98549 11 Liang, Alex Stanford 400 IM 3:42.44 0.985254 12 McDaniel, Hudson Ohio St 100 Breaststroke 51.59 1.001551 12 Dalmolin, Jack Georgia 200 Breaststroke 1:52.80 0.998316 12 Gadgaard, Mikkel Auburn 500 Freestyle 4:12.80 0.996123 12 Callan, Patrick Michigan 200 Freestyle 1:32.67 0.99331 12 Fantoni, Gabriel Indiana 100 Backstroke 45.26 0.993151 12 Zettle, Alex Texas 1650 Freestyle 14:45.56 0.990684 12 Rose, Dare California 200 Butterfly 1:42.13 0.986586 12 Brown, Zach NC State 200 Butterfly 1:42.13 0.986586 12 Grender, Justin Virginia 200 Backstroke 1:40.63 0.985392 12 Vines, Braden Texas 400 IM 3:42.57 0.984679 13 Bottelberghe, Josh Notre Dame 200 Breaststroke 1:52.87 0.997696 13 Miljenic, Nikola Southern Cali 100 Butterfly 45.33 0.993823 13 Barone, Kyle Georgia Tech 100 Backstroke 45.30 0.992274 13 Dannhauser, Joshua Wisconsin 1650 Freestyle 14:46.76 0.989343 13 Acin, Nikola Purdue 100 Freestyle 42.27 0.986752 13 Davis, Wyatt Michigan 200 Backstroke 1:40.68 0.984903 13 Abruzzo, Andrew Georgia 400 IM 3:42.78 0.983751 13 Hils, Zach Georgia 200 IM 1:43.18 0.982167 14 Myhre, Will Iowa 100 Breaststroke 51.70 0.99942 14 Mota, Kayky Tennessee 100 Butterfly 45.42 0.991854 14 Larson, Peter Texas 200 Freestyle 1:32.89 0.990957 14 Roberson, Will Penn St 50 Freestyle 19.17 0.989045 14 Knowles, Eric NC State 1650 Freestyle 14:48.06 0.987895 14 Eichberg, Dylan Virginia Tech 200 Butterfly 1:42.14 0.986489 14 Beach, Clark Florida 200 Backstroke 1:40.83 0.983437 14 Katz, Austin Texas 200 Backstroke 1:40.83 0.983437 14 Daigle, Jared Michigan 400 IM 3:43.24 0.981724 15 Abaliksta, Valdas UNC 100 Breaststroke 51.74 0.998647 15 Barnum, Keefer Virginia 200 Breaststroke 1:53.02 0.996372 15 Walker, Jack Virginia 500 Freestyle 4:13.45 0.993569 15 Hu, Ethan Stanford 100 Butterfly 45.47 0.990763 15 Sannem, Jake Texas 200 Freestyle 1:32.98 0.989998 15 Heasley, Ethan Texas 1650 Freestyle 14:48.10 0.98785 15 Harder, Ethan Texas 200 Butterfly 1:42.18 0.986103 15 Aman, Caleb Wisconsin 400 IM 3:43.33 0.981328 16 Houseman, Kevin Northwestern 100 Breaststroke 51.75 0.998454 16 Maas, Derek Alabama 200 Breaststroke 1:53.13 0.995404 16 Steele, Jacob Indiana 100 Backstroke 45.39 0.990306 16 Plage, James NC State 1650 Freestyle 14:48.12 0.987828 16 Forst, Preston Stanford 200 Freestyle 1:33.23 0.987343 16 Ercegovic, Marin Arizona 50 Freestyle 19.22 0.986472 16 Crane, Cole Texas 200 Butterfly 1:42.21 0.985814 16 Hanna, Blake Cincinnati 200 Backstroke 1:40.96 0.982171 16 Affeld, Jonny Stanford 200 IM 1:43.42 0.979888 17 Friese, Eric Florida 100 Butterfly 45.65 0.986857 17 Maurer, Luke Stanford 200 Freestyle 1:33.28 0.986814 17 Shoults, Grant Stanford 1650 Freestyle 14:49.12 0.986717 17 Wilby, Mason Kentucky 200 Butterfly 1:42.28 0.985139 17 Benson, Andrew Wisconsin 50 Freestyle 19.25 0.984935 17 Maric, Ogi Arizona 200 Backstroke 1:41.09 0.980908 17 Vargas, Kevin Florida 400 IM 3:43.45 0.980801 17 Myburgh, Keith Virginia Tech 400 IM 3:43.45 0.980801 17 Coll Marti, Carles Virginia Tech 200 IM 1:43.47 0.979414 18 Patton, Ben Missouri 100 Breaststroke 51.80 0.99749 18 Namir, Daniel Arizona 200 Freestyle 1:33.40 0.985546 18 Celic, Vuk UNLV (M) 1650 Freestyle 14:50.34 0.985365 18 Henderson, Noah NC State 50 Freestyle 19.27 0.983913 18 Tornqvist, Samuel Virginia Tech 200 Backstroke 1:41.11 0.980714 19 Pellini, Trent Purdue 100 Breaststroke 51.81 0.997298 19 Dominguez, Josue Brigham Young 100 Breaststroke 51.81 0.997298 19 Reid, Noah Arizona 100 Butterfly 45.67 0.986424 19 Sibirtsev, Ilia Louisville 1650 Freestyle 14:51.33 0.984271 19 Koustik, Andrew Texas 200 Butterfly 1:42.38 0.984177 19 Houck, Jake Penn St 50 Freestyle 19.29 0.982893 19 Borges, Gus Michigan 100 Freestyle 42.50 0.981412 19 Gezmis, Erge NC State 400 IM 3:43.47 0.980713 19 Park, Jason Texas 200 Backstroke 1:41.14 0.980423 19 Blinkman, Shane Stanford 200 IM 1:43.53 0.978847 19 Herbet, Mason Florida St 100 Backstroke 45.93 0.978663 20 Otto, Matt Virginia 200 Breaststroke 1:53.41 0.992946 20 Lowe, Dalton Louisville 100 Butterfly 45.76 0.984484 20 McGovern, Garrett U.S. Navy 1650 Freestyle 14:51.57 0.984006 20 Whelan, Matthew Duke 200 Butterfly 1:42.41 0.983888 20 Dahlgren, Jack Missouri 200 Freestyle 1:33.66 0.98281 20 Peel, Cam Michigan 50 Freestyle 19.30 0.982383 20 Tapp, Hunter NC State 100 Freestyle 42.51 0.981181 20 Mathias, Van Indiana 200 IM 1:43.61 0.978091 21 Bastian, Izaak Florida St 100 Breaststroke 51.84 0.996721 21 Carrozza, Coby Texas 500 Freestyle 4:14.31 0.990209 21 Larson, Johnthomas Texas 1650 Freestyle 14:52.28 0.983223 21 Gambardella, Corey Indiana 200 Butterfly 1:42.53 0.982737 21 Watkins, Thomas Ohio St 200 Backstroke 1:41.15 0.980326 21 Dubois, Jack Missouri 400 IM 3:43.98 0.97848 22 Hunter, Mason Michigan 100 Breaststroke 51.93 0.994993 22 Dixon, David West Virginia 200 Butterfly 1:42.55 0.982545 22 Bratanov, Koko Texas A&M 200 Freestyle 1:33.70 0.982391 22 Sweetser, True Stanford 1650 Freestyle 14:53.08 0.982342 22 Walsh, Keegan Georgia 200 Backstroke 1:41.16 0.980229 22 Storch, Casey Virginia 400 IM 3:44.24 0.977346 22 Mauldin, Caleb U.S. Navy 100 Backstroke 46.16 0.973787 23 Iida, Sam Arizona 100 Breaststroke 51.97 0.994227 23 Van Zandt, Zac Texas 100 Butterfly 45.83 0.982981 23 Bowers, Noah NC State 200 Butterfly 1:42.56 0.982449 23 Curley, Hayden Louisville 1650 Freestyle 14:53.17 0.982243 23 Stelmar, Eric Alabama 200 Backstroke 1:41.17 0.980132 23 Jekel, Wes Wisconsin 200 IM 1:43.78 0.976489 23 Moore, Mikey NC State 400 IM 3:44.44 0.976475 23 McDermott, Colin Ohio St 100 Backstroke 46.19 0.973154 24 Bell, Liam Alabama 100 Breaststroke 52.05 0.992699 24 Smith, Zach Notre Dame 200 Butterfly 1:42.57 0.982354 24 Sherman, Nick Purdue 200 Freestyle 1:33.81 0.981239 24 Camblong, Tomy-Lee Georgia 1650 Freestyle 14:54.35 0.980947 24 Disette, Sam Alabama 50 Freestyle 19.35 0.979845 24 Dunham, Bradley Georgia 200 Backstroke 1:41.22 0.979648 24 Jhong, Chris California 400 IM 3:44.46 0.976388 25 Yanchev, Yordan Florida St 500 Freestyle 4:15.02 0.987452 25 Gravley, Brennan Florida 1650 Freestyle 14:54.62 0.980651 25 McCusker, Max Florida St 100 Butterfly 45.97 0.979987 25 Castano, Gabe Penn St 50 Freestyle 19.36 0.979339 25 Varjasi, Peter Florida St 100 Freestyle 42.65 0.97796 25 Christianson, Tyler Notre Dame 400 IM 3:44.49 0.976257 25 Sofianidis, Nikos Louisville 100 Backstroke 46.22 0.972523 26 Bailey, Seth Tennessee 200 Freestyle 1:33.85 0.98082 26 Neri, Parker Texas 1650 Freestyle 14:54.80 0.980454 26 Davis, Will Florida 50 Freestyle 19.37 0.978833 26 Calloni, Johannes Stanford 200 Backstroke 1:41.34 0.978488 26 Rosely, Zane Kentucky 400 IM 3:44.84 0.974738 27 Dillard, Jarel Tennessee 100 Breaststroke 52.21 0.989657 27 Sanchez, Alex Texas A&M 200 Breaststroke 1:53.87 0.988935 27 Lamastra, Connor Northwestern 200 Butterfly 1:42.68 0.981301 27 Sungalia, Tomas UNC 200 Freestyle 1:33.87 0.980611 27 Wilson, Daniel Missouri 100 Butterfly 45.98 0.979774 27 Poelke, Boyd UNC 100 Butterfly 45.98 0.979774 27 Eberly, Nik Auburn 50 Freestyle 19.38 0.978328 27 Bowman, Luke Texas 100 Freestyle 42.72 0.976358 28 Izzo, Giovanni NC State 100 Freestyle 42.74 0.975901 28 Conway, Sean Virginia 400 IM 3:45.06 0.973785 29 Rhodenbaugh, Caleb SMU 200 Breaststroke 1:53.98 0.98798 29 Watson, Tyler Florida 500 Freestyle 4:15.93 0.983941 29 Sztolcman, Christian Auburn 200 Freestyle 1:33.89 0.980403 29 Deryk, Cooper Utah 100 Butterfly 46.00 0.979348 29 Johnson, Luke U.S. Navy 1650 Freestyle 14:56.39 0.978715 29 Perera, Nicholas Alabama 400 IM 3:45.18 0.973266 30 Mason, Mitch LSU 100 Breaststroke 52.32 0.987576 30 Mok, Kai Tik Northwestern 200 Breaststroke 1:54.06 0.987287 30 Sobolewski, Luke NC State 100 Butterfly 46.07 0.97786 30 Taner, Brooks Arizona 200 Butterfly 1:43.09 0.977398 30 Quirie, David Florida St 1650 Freestyle 14:57.82 0.977156 30 Hallock, Thomas Virginia Tech 50 Freestyle 19.41 0.976816 30 Cole, Will Virginia 200 Backstroke 1:41.65 0.975504 30 Berneburg, Jonathan Alabama 100 Freestyle 42.79 0.97476 31 Scheinfeld, Charlie Texas 100 Breaststroke 52.35 0.987011 31 Paulson, Colton Louisville 200 Freestyle 1:33.94 0.979881 31 Kopp, Tyler California 1650 Freestyle 14:58.05 0.976906 31 Deliyiannis, Mihalis Louisville 50 Freestyle 19.44 0.975309 31 Dal Maso, Filippo Virginia Tech 400 IM 3:45.45 0.9721 31 Gwin, Isaac Air Force (M) 100 Backstroke 46.36 0.969586 32 Tannenberger, Matthew Texas 1650 Freestyle 14:58.94 0.975938 32 Cummings, Tanner Louisville 50 Freestyle 19.45 0.974807 32 Vance, Nick Florida St 400 IM 3:45.50 0.971885

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Nonrevhoofan
6 months ago

Texas will have to leave 9 at home (8 to get to 18 plus at least 1 to bring 2 divers), so the first 9 alternates should be “IN.” That adds two more to UVA’s total – WAHOOWA! (bring on the downvotes!)

Last edited 6 months ago by Nonrevhoofan
MonroevilleTodd
Reply to  Nonrevhoofan
6 months ago

Alright Todd, time to hand me your phone…

PVSFree
6 months ago

Absolutely insane that Texas can get 26 swimmers invited. INSANE

PVSFree
Reply to  PVSFree
6 months ago

If they were allowed to bring all 26 nearly 10% of the swimmers at the meet would’ve been Texas. That’s bonkers

Oldmanswimmer
Reply to  PVSFree
6 months ago

I wonder at what point this might start to hurt their recruiting. All those kids making cuts but having to stay home, hard to take.

PVSFree
Reply to  Oldmanswimmer
6 months ago

We’ve been asking when it’s going to start hurting their recruiting for years, but they keep getting those blue chip recruits. I guess it’s just the team culture at a certain point

Splashanddasher
Reply to  PVSFree
6 months ago

HS kids keep getting better and better every year. All it takes is some adjustments from some guys to peak and bust out some great times and the next thing you know they’re jumping guys a year or two older than them. Realistically the sprinters probably have an easier gap to close then the better stroke and IM guys based off relays, but when you see how good some of these guys can get it probably doesn’t hurt recruiting in the long run.

NM Coach
Reply to  PVSFree
6 months ago

AND…TRANSFERS!

Huh
6 months ago

26….wow

Ghost
6 months ago

Is that most swimmers from one team?

Willswim
6 months ago

My heart is breaking for Nate Biondi 😢

swimmer
Reply to  Willswim
6 months ago

Why?

Rip
Reply to  swimmer
6 months ago

Because he’s still can’t beat his dad.

Willswim
Reply to  swimmer
6 months ago

Because his father was a hero of mine and he missed the cut.

BearlyBreathing
Reply to  Willswim
6 months ago

Me too. Been rooting for him for a while now. Maybe he’ll be on Cal’s 200FR?

DMSWIM
Reply to  Willswim
6 months ago

He might be taken for the 4×100 free relay. His lead off was faster on the B relay at PAC12s than the lead off on the A relay was.

West Coast Swammer
6 months ago

Will you be doing an analysis of these cut lines vs. last years, like you did with the women’s cut-lines? I’m interested to see if the men’s cut-lines “fell off” as much as the women, and also in which events the differences were the largest. My gut is telling me the women’s cut lines added more time, and I’m guessing especially in the longer events. We participate in a uniquely quantifiable sport. Can I say this year’s LA Lakers team is better than last year’s, just by looking at their stats? Nope – maybe the conference across the board is “underperforming”. But we can do it in swimming. Just curious ….

Swammer
6 months ago

Is that the most swimmers NC State has had qualify?

wethorn
6 months ago

I’ve scored this meet the past 15 years using my own methodology that is a bit more subjective because I score it based on the best time a swimmer had either this year or last year. I think this gives a much more realistic prediction than simply scoring the psych and I’ve been pretty accurate over the years. I also include diving, with the caveat that I’m projecting a bit there given that zones haven’t happened.

I currently have Texas 514, Cal 501, with Texas having more upside from there.

Either team can win, should be a good one.

Taa
Reply to  wethorn
6 months ago

swapping first and second place in a relay is a 12 point swing. Its close but I think TX relays and diving carry them.

JeahBrah
Reply to  wethorn
6 months ago

Just curious, how did your prediction perform in 2019?

h2olover
Reply to  wethorn
6 months ago

Wet,

It looks like you are including dive points, correct?

### About Karl Ortegon

Karl Ortegon

Karl Ortegon studied sociology at Wesleyan University in Middletown, CT, graduating in May of 2018. He began swimming on a club team in first grade and swam four years for Wesleyan.

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