NCAA Women’s Diving Preview: How Zone Scores Project To Impact The Team Race

2024 WOMEN’S NCAA SWIMMING AND DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS

The Women’s NCAA Championships kick off tonight from Athens, and the question that always comes up pre-meet will try to be determined in this article: How will diving impact the team race?

When we score out the psych sheets, we know things aren’t going to go exactly as projected for a myriad of factors, with things such as taper, nerves, event schedules and everything else playing into how swimmers perform on the big stage.

In diving, there’s a different set of variables at play, as the NCAA qualifiers competed at five different Zone meets last week, meaning there were five different sets of judges. Therefore, comparing scores across multiple meets is far from being an exact, definitive ranking, but it does give us some indication of who the favorites are heading into NCAAs.

Below, find the top 16 scores in each of the three women’s diving events across the five Zone meets (using finals results only), and how they would stack up against one another in an NCAA scoring format.

WOMEN’S 1-METER

Rank Diver Zone Score Points
1 Hailey Hernandez, Texas D 666.80 20
2 Aranza Vazquez Montano, UNC B 629.95 17
3 Bridget O’Neil, Texas D 628.35 16
4 Viviana Del Angel, Minnesota D 622.95 15
5 Shiyun Lai, Kansas D 616.75 14
6 Daphne Wils, Penn State A 611.30 13
7 Lauren Hallaselka, UCLA E 609.60 12
8 Anne Fowler, Indiana C 606.60 11
9 Montserrat Lavenant, LSU D 606.10 9
10 Lena Hentschel, Ohio State C 605.50 7
11 Elna Widerstrom, Minnesota D 605.05 6
12 Caroline Brady, Notre Dame C 602.85 5
13 Camyla Monroy, Florida B 600.00 4
14 Skyler Liu, Indiana C 598.05 3
15 Nike Agunbiade, USC E 588.60 2
16 Elizabeth Kaye, Virginia A 587.70 1

WOMEN’S 3-METER

Rank Diver Zone Score Points
1 Aranza Vazquez Montano, UNC B 715.20 20
2 Samantha Vear, FSU B 696.05 17
3 Anne Fowler, Indiana C 691.20 16
4 Camyla Monroy, Florida B 688.60 14.5
4 Viviana Del Angel, Minnesota D 688.60 14.5
6 Lauren Hallaselka, UCLA E 685.05 13
7 Bridget O’Neil, Texas D 677.30 12
8 Montserrat Lavenant, LSU D 670.40 11
9 Daryn Wright, Purdue C 668.65 9
10 Margo O’Meara, Duke B 668.40 7
11 Sophie McAfee, Purdue C 659.95 6
12 Helle Tuxen, LSU D 651.30 5
13 Aliyah Watson, Duke B 649.80 4
14 Caroline Brady, Notre Dame C 645.95 3
15 Skyler Liu, Indiana C 644.85 2
16 Elizabeth Kaye, Virginia A 642.45 1

WOMEN’S PLATFORM

Rank Diver Zone Score Points
1 Aliyah Watson, Duke B 643.30 20
2 Skyler Liu, Indiana C 638.70 17
3 Jordan Skilken, Texas D 628.70 16
4 Montserrat Lavenant, LSU D 627.20 15
5 Viviana Del Angel, Minnesota D 626.20 14
6 Camyla Monroy, Florida B 625.50 13
7 Else Praasterink, Louisville C 624.75 12
8 Maycey Vieta, Purdue C 617.60 11
9 Daryn Wright, Purdue C 615.80 9
10 Bayleigh Cranford, NC State B 613.95 7
11 Nike Agunbiade, USC E 610.15 6
12 Jaye Patrick, Purdue C 583.60 5
13 Janie Boyle, Ohio State C 583.40 4
14 Eden Cheng, UCLA E 579.30 3
15 Tanesha Lucoe, Tennessee B 575.65 2
16 Maria Osorio Mendoza, Pitt A 573.00 1

The names atop the rankings tell us there is some accuracy here. Texas’ Hailey Hernandez is an Olympian and was 4th on 1-meter last season, so her leading that event checks out. The same goes for Aranza Vazquez Montano, who swept the springboard events at NCAAs last season.

On platform, Duke’s Aliyah Watson leads the Zone scores but was only 36th in the event at the 2023 NCAAs. She did improve 37 points from last year’s Zone performance, but the likes of Montserrat LavenantViviana Del Angel and Skyler Liu would have to be favored over her at NCAAs given they were 2-3-4 in the event last season (Delaney Schenll, now graduated, won).

If the points were distributed based on Zone scores, Texas would lead the field with 64, followed by Minnesota, Indiana, LSU and Purdue.

SCORING THE ZONE RESULTS – TEAM STANDINGS

Rank Team 1m 3m Platform Total
1 Texas 36 12 16 64
2 Minnesota 21 14.5 14 49.5
3 Indiana 14 18 17 49
4 LSU 9 16 15 40
4 Purdue 0 15 25 40
6 UNC 17 20 0 37
7 Florida 4 14.5 13 31.5
8 Duke 0 11 20 31
9 UCLA 12 13 3 28
10 FSU 0 17 0 17
11 Kansas 14 0 0 14
12 Penn State 13 0 0 13
13 Louisville 0 0 12 12
14 Ohio State 7 0 4 11
15 Notre Dame 5 3 0 8
15 USC 2 0 6 8
17 NC State 0 0 7 7
18 Virginia 1 1 0 2
18 Tennessee 0 0 2 2
20 Pitt 0 0 1 1

If we add in the projected diving scores with the psych sheet scores from the swimming events, here are the key takeaways:

  • Virginia’s lead over Texas falls from 100 to 38 points for the national title
  • Texas extends its lead from three points to 36 points over Florida for 2nd
  • USC inches ahead of Stanford for 5th after they were tied based solely on swimming
  • Indiana jumps up from 11th to 7th thanks to their 49 diving points
  • UNC jumps up from 20th to 16th thanks to their 37 diving points
  • UCLA more than doubled their point total, but still only moved up one spot in the team race
  • LSU jumps up from 25th to 20th with 40 diving points
  • Purdue, Kansas, Penn State and Notre Dame had zero psych sheet swimming points, but move into the standings thanks to diving
  • Purdue is the only team in that group to crack the top 25, sitting in 23rd with 40 diving points

PROJECTED SCORES: PSYCH SHEETS + ZONE RESULTS

Rank Team Scored Psych Individual Points Relay Points Diving Points
1 Virginia 471.5 275.5 194 2
2 Texas 433.5 233.5 136 64
3 Florida 397.5 212.5 154 31.5
4 Tennessee 296 154 140 2
5 USC 221.5 87.5 126 8
6 Stanford 213.5 149.5 64 0
7 Indiana 208 79 80 49
8 Cal 201 101 100 0
9 NC State 182 89 86 7
10 Louisville 181 81 88 12
11 Ohio State 171.5 68.5 92 11
12 Georgia 140 102 38 0
13 Michigan 118 40 78 0
14 Wisconsin 84 56 28 0
15 Texas A&M 72.5 46.5 26 0
16 UNC 62.5 7.5 18 37
17 Arizona State 59 49 10 0
18 Minnesota 58.5 9 0 49.5
19 Duke 57 22 4 31
20 LSU 54 0 14 40
21 Auburn 53 13 40 0
22 UCLA 46 18 0 28
23 Purdue 40 0 0 40
24 Alabama 34 12 22 0
25 Penn 22 22 0 0
26 FSU 20 3 0 17
27 VA Tech 19 7 12 0
28 South Carolina 16 16 0 0
29 Kansas 14 0 0 14
30 Penn State 13 0 0 13
31 Pitt 12 11 0 1
32 Cincinnati 11 11 0 0
33 Princeton 9 9 0 0
34 Notre Dame 8 0 0 8
35 Northwestern 5 5 0 0
36 California Baptist 4.5 4.5 0 0
37 Arizona 4 4 0 0
38 Nevada, Reno 4 4 0 0
39 Washington State 3 3 0 0
40 Liberty 3 3 0 0
41 Nebraska 2 2 0 0
42 Akron 2 2 0 0
43 Arkansas 2 2 0 0
44 Miami (Ohio) 0.5 0.5 0 0

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Hereforthecrazyshow
2 months ago

Thank you for the comprehensive review of the meet!

Analyswim
2 months ago

Very tight! No DQ’s allowed for UVA!

historyteacher
Reply to  Analyswim
2 months ago

Would be nice if there were no DQs for anyone – this would avoid arguements/debates over – well if “this relay” wasn’t DQ-ed then “this team” would have won….

Andrew
2 months ago

Texas diving saving them as per usual

historyteacher
Reply to  Andrew
2 months ago

And that’s why the sport is called Swimming AND Diving – kind of like Track AND Field.

Wethorn
2 months ago

Thanks for taking my suggestion.

Hereforthecrazyshow
Reply to  James Sutherland
2 months ago

Why do you do the psych sheet review and analytics before you do the diving assessment? Seems like it is unnecessarily confusing.

Klorn8d
2 months ago

I really do think Texas has a chance if they are lights out and uva is only okay. I wouldn’t bet on them but I think it’s not a forgone conclusion like many think

historyteacher
Reply to  Klorn8d
2 months ago

UVa has a track record of doing very well at NCAAs whereas Texas, not so much. I do see a chance where Texas can score more points than projected in the relays… but I believe this is UVa’s meet (I am a UT grad and would love to see them win but….UVa has an outstanding program.)

About James Sutherland

James Sutherland

James swam five years at Laurentian University in Sudbury, Ontario, specializing in the 200 free, back and IM. He finished up his collegiate swimming career in 2018, graduating with a bachelor's degree in economics. In 2019 he completed his graduate degree in sports journalism. Prior to going to Laurentian, James swam …

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