Ryan Held Analyzes 100 Free Field Heading into Olympic Trials (Video)

2020 PRO SWIM SERIES – DES MOINES

Reported by James Sutherland.

MEN’S 100 FREE FINAL

  1. Zach Apple, MVN, 48.59
  2. Tate Jackson, TXLA, 48.72
  3. Dean Farris, HARV, 48.97

Zach Apple successfully defended his top seed from the prelims, winning the men’s 100 free in a time of 48.59. Apple proved superior on the second 50 of the race, closing in 25.26 to edge out Tate Jackson. Apple, 22, leads the world rankings after going 47.69 in December at the US Open.

Jackson posted his fastest time ever at a non-taper meet in 48.72, taking second, while Dean Farris (48.97), Ryan Held (48.99) and Blake Pieroni (49.00) had virtually nothing between them as took third, fourth and fifth. Farris is the only one of the three who has been faster this season (48.45 at US Open).

In the B-final, Caeleb Dressel got out quick in 23.02, but Nathan Adrian stormed home with a back-half split of 25.24 to run down the reigning world champ and win the heat in 48.62, putting him eighth in the world. Dressel clocked 48.68, just off his 48.63 from February. The two would’ve been second and third with those swims had they’d been in the A-final.

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Joe
1 year ago

Can’t wait for this at Trials

Philip Johnson
1 year ago

This has to be one of the deepest events for the Americans, I don’t see any other country coming close in the relay.

Joe
Reply to  Philip Johnson
1 year ago

Will Australia make the Final?

Joel
Reply to  Joe
1 year ago

Aaah ….. Mike’s back with his incredibly deep analysis of Australian swimming

2Fat4Speed
Reply to  Philip Johnson
1 year ago

USA may have 12, but you only need 4!!

South Africa in 2004 proved that

Reid
Reply to  Philip Johnson
1 year ago

I don’t recall the exact times, but on aggregate the US was not that far off France going into 08; maybe even faster? I think it was three sub 48s for the US to one for France, and Lezak was only like .08 off Bernard. I don’t remember how Jones compared toeveaux and Bousquet, but he can’t have been that far off if he was at all. The big concern was when those guys dropped 47 and 46 in prelims in Beijing.

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Philip Johnson
1 year ago

no kidding – their could put 2 relays in the final if it was allowed ….the depth is Monstruous .

swimgeek
Reply to  ERVINFORTHEWIN
1 year ago

Just the final would be a lock. They might be able to put a B-team on the PODIUM.

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  swimgeek
1 year ago

exactly

Drewbrewsbeer
Reply to  ERVINFORTHEWIN
1 year ago

Maybe even three:
Pieroni, Dressel, Conger, Apple, Held, Adrian, Farris, Jackson, Haas, Seliskar, Rooney, Hoffer, Casas, Chadwick

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Drewbrewsbeer
1 year ago

even 3 , u are correct

Thomas
1 year ago

I could see Nathan’s PSS record dropping in the last two meets.

Lpman
1 year ago

I think this is finally the Olympics where we can have a serious conversation about the United States men breaking the 4 x 100 free WR

phillymark
Reply to  Lpman
1 year ago

seems crazy to think of 4 swimmers avg 47 flat, but they def have a chance

Khachaturian
Reply to  Lpman
1 year ago

47.1
46.8
47.00
46.6

Admin
Reply to  Khachaturian
1 year ago

It’s going to be such a dogfight to make the team, I’m not sure I’d project that they can find 4 guys who will hit their absolute best at the Olympics.

If Dressel is the leadoff, who’s the 46.6 anchor? Apple?

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Braden Keith
1 year ago

Apple or Farris …..

first to the 25
Reply to  ERVINFORTHEWIN
1 year ago

Can’t tell if it’s a joke or…. In all seriousness, Dean will probably be 5-8th, if he makes the finals at Nats. Adrian coming back into form, Jackson on his game… A few big names will be left home, per usual.

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  first to the 25
1 year ago

Dean is training at Texas ….so i would be more optimistic with his huge potential ( 47.00 on rolling start last summer )

Horninco
Reply to  Khachaturian
1 year ago

It’s so hard to get all 4 to peak like that at the same time. Dressel was .6 slower in the relay than individual at worlds. The math is there but reality doesn’t always add up

Mean Dean
Reply to  Lpman
1 year ago

We’re having an olympics

TINY HANDS
Reply to  Lpman
1 year ago

Men’s 2 back? Fat chance.

Michael Schwartz
Reply to  TINY HANDS
1 year ago

Men’s 200 free…even worse of a chance.

Drewbrewsbeer
Reply to  Michael Schwartz
1 year ago

Fishiest men’s record on the books other than Yang’s

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Lpman
1 year ago

agreed : If they could put Apple ( 46.8 last summer ) , Held ( 47 low ) , Dressel ( 46 high ) & Farris (47.00) , they could break it .

swimgeek
Reply to  ERVINFORTHEWIN
1 year ago

Held was 47-low *flat start* last summer. He’s definitely a potential 46 split. If we can get a 46.8 WR leadoff from Dressel, I think the rest will fall into place. It’s difficult — but absolutely possible to see every leg go :46. I know that’s insane, but just look at what these 4 did last summer.

SwimWood
Reply to  swimgeek
1 year ago

If Dressel Leads off, even in WR pace, they wont get it. A split of Low 46 requires a swimmer to be chasing, on the lane rope, with a sling shot from the wake of the bloke in front. If Dressel Leads, the USA Team wont get the WR. If Dressel Swims at 3 with the likes of Chalmers +1 (Aus) or Morosov/Kolesnikov (RUS) swimming 1,2 for their countries, there is a real chance it is achievable

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  swimgeek
1 year ago

agreed , they can do it if they choose to .

leisurely1:29
Reply to  Lpman
1 year ago

It helps that the 800 is an Olympic event now though…

Texas Tap Water
Reply to  leisurely1:29
1 year ago

To break men’s 800 free, the swimmer must swim two 3:46 back to back

leisurely1:29
Reply to  Lpman
1 year ago

Cullen Jones was pretty off (47.65) in the current WR, all we need is a new Lezak to pop off a 45!

Texas Tap Water
Reply to  Lpman
1 year ago

Mike in Dallas: All remaining non-textile WR’s will fall in Tokyo

Men’s 200 and 800 free: exist.

BluePhoenix
Reply to  Lpman
1 year ago

Well, I don’t think the Women’s 200 Butterfly WR will be broken anytime soon. In Gwangju, the top time in the finals was a 2:06 high and, while it might have been an anomaly and the top time from the prelims was a 2.05, it’s still 4 seconds off the record. To be honest, it could very well stand another 3 Olympiads.

Willswim
1 year ago

Who’s got predictions for top 6 at trials? Here’s what my gut says today, but I’m sure it will change 50 times before the meet. It’s gonna be exciting, there are legitimately like 15 guys who could make it without it being a big shock.
Dressel
Apple
Pieroni
Held
Hoffer
Farris

Jabroni Pepperoni
Reply to  Willswim
1 year ago

I don’t see Hoffer making it, I wouldn’t be surprised, but I would put money on Jackson, Rooney, or Adrian before him.

SAMUEL HUNTINGTON
Reply to  Willswim
1 year ago

are you serious about Hoffer?

Adrian will make it.

Aquajosh
Reply to  Willswim
1 year ago

I wouldn’t count out Kieran Smith.

PhillyMark
Reply to  Aquajosh
1 year ago

He’ll need a big time drop in his LCM 100…think his pb is close to 49 but he’s seriously trending the right direction.

Lane 8
Reply to  Aquajosh
1 year ago

He will totally make it in the 200 but his 100 is not at the same level

first to the 25
Reply to  Aquajosh
1 year ago

I’d like to see him go after the 2/4 frees, and the im events. 100 free is too loaded.

ArtVanDeLegh10
Reply to  Willswim
1 year ago

Based upon the last 1-2 years, I’d go with this group.

Tier 1. Dressel
Tier 2. Held, Rooney, Apple
Tier 3. Peironi/Adrian
Tier 4. Farris/Jackson
Possibilities. Krueger, Chadwick, Haas, Howard, Conger, Seliskar, Burras (went 48.5 last summer)

Reid
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
1 year ago

Burras is British right?

Admin
Reply to  Reid
1 year ago

Correct.

Khachaturian
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
1 year ago

Didn’t Adrian break 47 off a relay in 2019

first to the 25
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
1 year ago

The ARTVANDELEGH10 we know and love.

Konner Scott
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
1 year ago

Dark Horse: Brooks Curry

RUN-DMC
Reply to  ArtVanDeLegh10
1 year ago

My dream team:

Dressel (46.8)
Apple (46.8)
Farris (47.0)
Adrian (46.8)
Rooney
Howard

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  RUN-DMC
1 year ago

Love that Team , close to my Dream Team

Pvdh
Reply to  Willswim
1 year ago

Hoffer? Lmao nah. Adrian will get through.

Willswim
Reply to  Pvdh
1 year ago

With Dean taking a redshirt, Hoffer is currently my favorite NCAA swimmer so I’m bias! Let me have this!

Caleb
Reply to  Willswim
1 year ago

Dressel
Held
Apple
Pieroni
Rooney
Farris
Adrian (ouch)
Haas
Smith
Jackson
Howard
Chadwick
Krueger
Kibler
Seliskar
Conger

Reid
Reply to  Caleb
1 year ago

Brooks Curry is another up and comer with a good 200, so should transfer pretty well to LC

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Caleb
1 year ago

Farris will be there …..would be so cool to see him swim a relay leg

Drewbrewsbeer
Reply to  Caleb
1 year ago

Forgot about Howard

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  Willswim
1 year ago

Hoffer ? no way ….Haas goes faster on a flat start …. I would put Rooney or Adrian in the top 7

swimgeek
Reply to  Willswim
1 year ago

Hoffer is a wonderful swimmer who does NOT translate to LC. sorry.

Michael Schwartz
Reply to  Willswim
1 year ago

Hoffer really misses his walls in LCM. But he’s an example of somebody who could go on to have a successful pro career in the ISL post college (assuming it’s still around for a few more years).

mando
1 year ago

idk how any of y’all are leaving Adrian out of the top 4, I’m hard pressed to think of a time he hasn’t come through. Honestly, I still think he could be top 2. But mark my words, you are dead wrong to think he won’t be on that relay. The man has popped out more 48s than I can remember, and I believe more 47s than some of these youngters with hot hands

Swimmy
1 year ago

Could olympic staff take adrian if he doesn’t hit top 6 at trials

swimgeek
Reply to  Swimmy
1 year ago

Short answer is YES (assuming he’s on the team — like in the 50, for example). The coaches can do *whatever they want* with swimmers on the team. We learned that firsthand with Phelps/Lochte in recent Olympics — or Ledecky on the 400FR after being 7th at trials. Would they do it in the scenario you suggest? I seriously doubt it.

Dbswims
Reply to  swimgeek
1 year ago

I could be wrong but I thought there was a new rule that required swimmers to qualify at their trials to be on the relay? Phelps qualified for the relay in 2016 through a time trial.

iLikePsych
Reply to  Dbswims
1 year ago

It’s the opposite – as Bo Swims says below, if a swimmer qualifies for the meet ONLY via a relay, they have to swim that relay or it’s DQ’d

Phelps’s ‘time trial’ in 2016 was simply a 100 free time trial at training camp where he showed everyone that the GOAT remains

Bo Swims
Reply to  Swimmy
1 year ago

All relay only swimmers have to swim… if they get sat out the relay is DQ’d

swimgeek
1 year ago

This kind of USA sprinter depth is fun. In 2016, Dressel was 2nd at trials with a 48-low. Adrian was our only 47 going into Rio. In London, I believe Lochte was forced into 400 FR duty — anchoring and getting run down by Agnel. Lochte was in peak form, but 100 free was really NOT his wheelhouse. This year we’ll have 6 guys made for this relay

frug
Reply to  swimgeek
1 year ago

I wouldn’t really say that Lochte was forced into the 4×100 in London. Grevers posted a 47.54 in the prelims but the coaches made the odd decision to stick Lochte on finals team anyways despite the facts A) Grevers split was faster than anything Lochte ever did in a textile and B) Lochte only finished 7th at trials.

ERVINFORTHEWIN
Reply to  swimgeek
1 year ago

Lochte still managed to pull of a 47 low on that relay with a splendid turn & underwater ….that was not a slow swim at all . They lost it thanks to the slower times the others produced .

frug
Reply to  ERVINFORTHEWIN
1 year ago

Lochte was 47.74 on the relay, slower than Jones (47.60) and Phelps (47.15). It was faster than Adrian (47.89), but he had a flat start.

I agree it’s not fair to blame Lochte for the loss (47.74 was the best he ever did in a textile), but he was the slowest person on that relay* and slower than what Grevers did in the prelims.

*After adjusting for flying start vs. flat start

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