2022 NCAA Division I Women: Day 4 Prelims Data Analysis

2022 NCAA Division I Women’s Swimming and Diving Championships

Virginia continued to outperform on Day 4, leading all teams in prelims with 22.5 extra points. Much of that came in the 200 breast, where they secured the number 1 seed with Kate Douglass and put two more swimmers (Ella Nelson and Anna Keating) in the A final and one (Alexis Wenger) in the B final.

Louisville had a good morning, adding 14.5 points to their projections. The Cardinals are battling Cal, Ohio State and Michigan for sixth place, and they just might come out on top, as Michigan and Ohio State both had down mornings.

Texas is hoping to catch Stanford to earn the runner-up team award. The Longhorns added 13 more points than projected in swimming. Much of the excess came in the 200 fly, where Emma Sticklen, Kelly Pash and Olivia Bray finished first, sixth, and seventh in prelims. Texas also landed all three of their divers in the A final. Neither of Stanford’s two divers will score.

Yale’s Iszac Henig had a lifetime best in the 100 free to make the A-final and add 11 unexpected points to Yale’s tally.

USC and Ohio State had tough morning. The Trojans were down -14 in the 100 free and -24 in the 200 breast, while the Buckeyes missed by -18 in the 100 free.

Prelims Over/Under Psych Sheet – by event

  200 Back   100 Free   200 Breast   200 Fly  
Team Prelims +/- Psych Prelims +/- Psych Prelims +/- Psych Prelims +/- Psych
Virginia 14.5 +1.5 20 0 56 +19 20 +2
Stanford 40 -2.5 2 -14 14 +14 24 -2
NC State 19 +5 20 +3 16 -7 3 -2
Tennessee 0 0 -3 0
Alabama 13 -6.5 34 +11.5 13 -1 0
Texas 3 +3 0 17 +1 45 +9
Ohio St 0 5 -18 0 0
Michigan 0 11 -4 0 15 -1
California 17 0 9 0 0 11 +2
USC 0 -14 -24 0
Kentucky 10 -5 0 27 +14 8 -9
Louisville 7 +1 14 +8.5 0 7 +5
Wisconsin 16 +2 0 0 0
Georgia 0 0 4 -8 17 +2
Northwestern 0 -5 0 0
UNC 1 -2 13 +12 0 0
Arizona St 0 0 0 5 +1
Penn 0 15 +8 0 0
Indiana 0 0 1 -5 0
Minnesota 0 0 0 -7
Virginia Tech 14.5 +3.5 0 0 0
Missouri 0 0 0 0
Duke 0 0 5 -2 0
Texas A&M 0 0 0 0
Florida 0 1 +1 0 0
Florida St 0 0 0 0
Auburn 0 0 0 0
Arkansas 0 0 0 0
Arizona 0 0 0 0
UCLA 0 0 0 0
Yale 0 11 +11 0 0
Harvard 0 0 0 0
San Diego St 0 0 0 0
FIU 0 0 2 +2 0

Total Over/Under Psych (Swimming only)

Team Day 4 Prelims +/-
Virginia 22.5
Louisville 14.5
Texas 13
Yale 11
UNC 10
Penn 8
Alabama 4
Virginia Tech 3.5
California 2
Wisconsin 2
FIU 2
Arizona St 1
Florida 1
Kentucky 0
Missouri 0
Texas A&M 0
Florida St 0
Auburn 0
Arkansas 0
Arizona 0
UCLA 0
Harvard 0
San Diego St 0
NC State -1
Duke -2
Tennessee -3
Stanford -4.5
Michigan -5
Northwestern -5
Indiana -5
Georgia -6
Minnesota -7
Ohio St -18
USC -38

 

 

0
Leave a Reply

Subscribe
Notify of

0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

About Anne Lepesant

Anne Lepesant

Anne Lepesant is the mother of four daughters, all of whom swam in college. With an undergraduate degree from Princeton (where she was an all-Ivy tennis player) and an MBA from INSEAD, she worked for many years in the financial industry, both in France and the U.S. Anne is currently …

Read More »