SwimSwam Pulse: 37.7% Think We’ll See A 1:43 200 Free In 2022

SwimSwam Pulse is a recurring feature tracking and analyzing the results of our periodic A3 Performance Polls. You can cast your vote in our newest poll on the SwimSwam homepage, about halfway down the page on the right side, or you can find the poll embedded at the bottom of this post.

Our most recent poll asked SwimSwam readers if we’ll see a male swimmer break the 1:44 barrier in the 200 freestyle this year:

Question: It’s been a decade – will 2022 be the year we finally see another 1:43 in the men’s 200 free?

RESULTS

  • No – 62.3%
  • Yes – 37.7%

The golden era of the men’s mid-distance freestyle came in the 2000s.

When the calendar turned from 1999 to 2000, the world record in the men’s 200 freestyle stood at 1:46.00, set by Ian Thorpe at the 1999 Pan Pacific Championships.

Over the course of the next year, the record was lowered three times. Thorpe became the first to crack 1:46, but his friendly rival Pieter van den Hoogenband brought the record down to 1:45.35 in the Olympic semi-finals in Sydney before matching it to upset the home crowd favorite in the final.

Next year, again in Australia, Thorpe became the first swimmer sub-1:45 in 1:44.69, and then at the 2001 World Championships in Fukuoka, brought it all the way down to 1:44.06.

Since that swim, some 21 years ago, it has only been surpassed in a textile suit on two single occasions, the most recent one coming nearly 10 years ago.

That Thorpe world record stood for nearly six years before Michael Phelps became the first under 1:44 at the 2007 World Championships in Melbourne (Australia, again?), clocking 1:43.86.

We then saw records tumble with the super-suits in 2008 and 2009, with Phelps clocking 1:42.96 at the 2008 Games in Beijing before Germany’s Paul Biedermann put up his otherworldly 1:42.00 at the 2009 World Championships.

But since the polyurethane suits were banned in 2010, only Frenchman Yannick Agnel has surpassed Thorpe’s 1:44.06, setting a textile world record of 1:43.14 at the 2012 Olympics in London.

After Agnel slowly declined, the winning times in the men’s 200 free became somewhat stagnant. At the 2015 World Championships, no one broke 1:45. At the 2016 Olympics and 2017 Worlds, China’s Sun Yang was the only man to dip into the 1:44s.

The event seemed stuck, to an extent, but in recent years it’s started to turn a corner.

At the 2019 Worlds, we saw Australia’s Clyde Lewis (1:44.90) and Great Britain’s Duncan Scott (1:44.91) crack 1:45, though neither came in the individual final (which Sun won in 1:44.93). One month later, Lithuanian Danas Rapsys scorched a 1:44.38 swim on the FINA World Cup (Rapsys actually touched first in the Worlds final before being DQed for a false start).

Then at last summer’s Olympics, we saw the fastest textile swims on record since Agnel’s 2012 swim, as Tom Dean (1:44.22) and Scott (1:44.26) went 1-2 for Great Britain in Tokyo.

2021 also saw six other men crack 1:45, including rising stars in the form of Hwang Sunwoo and David Popovici. See below:

Men’s 200 Freestyle (LCM) – Sub-1:45 Swimmers, 2021

  1. Tom Dean (GBR), 1:44.22 – Tokyo Olympic Games
  2. Duncan Scott (GBR), 1:44.26 – Tokyo Olympic Games
  3. Hwang Sunwoo (KOR), 1:44.62 – Tokyo Olympic Games
  4. Katsuhiro Matsumoto (JPN), 1:44.65 – Japanese Nationals
  5. Fernando Scheffer (BRA), 1:44.66 – Tokyo Olympic Games
  6. David Popovici (ROU), 1:44.68 – Tokyo Olympic Games
  7. Kieran Smith (USA), 1:44.74 – Tokyo Olympic Games
  8. Martin Malyutin (RUS), 1:44.79 – European Championships

All of this led to the question: will we see any sub-1:44s in 2022?

Swimmers will have plenty of opportunities to do so, with the World Championships, Commonwealth Games and European Championships scheduled to take place over the next two months.

However, 62.3 percent don’t believe it’s time, likely due in part to the fact that it’s a post-Olympic year, and some of the leading candidates to go 1:43 (like Dean, Scott and Popovici), will have multiple target meets, and it could mean they’re not firing on all cylinders at any of them due to their proximity and difficulty of timing tapers (though as mentioned above, there will be more opportunities).

Well over a third, 37.7 percent, are more bullish that we’ll see it this year. Hwang and Popovici are two extreme talents, the likes of which we haven’t seen in this event in recent memory, and appear to be on track to join the exclusive sub-1:44 club.

Will it be this year? Only time will tell.

Below, vote in our new A3 Performance Pollwhich asks: Which matchup later this month are you more intrigued by?

Which "showdown" is more intriguing at the 2022 World Championships?

View Results

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ABOUT A3 PERFORMANCE

A3 Performance is an independently-owned, performance swimwear company built on a passion for swimming, athletes, and athletic performance. We encourage swimmers to swim better and faster at all ages and levels, from beginners to Olympians.  Driven by a genuine leader and devoted staff that are passionate about swimming and service, A3 Performance strives to inspire and enrich the sport of swimming with innovative and impactful products that motivate swimmers to be their very best – an A3 Performer.

The A3 Performance Poll is courtesy of A3 Performance, a SwimSwam partner.

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Calisurf
1 month ago

Hwang will at this Worlds. Unlike other athletes having multiple important meets this summer, he can put everything in this event since his primary focus(Asian games where he aimed for a military exemption) has now gone.

swimmer
Reply to  Calisurf
1 month ago

agreed. with his back half improvement showing in short course worlds i am allowing myself tentative hope

SBOmega
1 month ago

I still find it astounding that Thorpe’s 200, 400 and 800m times from 2001 would still remain very competitive and likely have won most major worlds/Olympics since then

Like how was the Tokyo Olympic champion more than 3s off his textile WR?

NathanDrake
Reply to  SBOmega
1 month ago

The greatest freestyle swimmer ever, simply known as the Thorpedo.

PFA
1 month ago

Then I’m apart of the minority then but I do think it’s possible this year. But all I really want to see this year is someone go under Thorpe’s PB and I’ll be satisfied.

Nate
1 month ago

We won’t see one. 1:44 low will win it this year but I think it’s wide open for who can get it.

LUKE GUY
1 month ago

myyyyyyyyy GS – DUNKS AND DEANOOOOOOO

Mr Piano
1 month ago

I can’t believe that Thorpe went 1:46 flat in a brief when he was 16.

Aussie Crawl
Reply to  Mr Piano
1 month ago

Ian swam a 3:45 in Perth in 1998.
In speedos…..
I always felt his 400 free in
Manchester in 2002 was a treat
To watch.
Will anyone beat this ever again….
Athens 2004 a medal in the 100, 200 and 400.
Will this be ever done again in our
Generation.

Khachaturian
Reply to  Mr Piano
1 month ago

and Popovici went 1:44 when he was 16

Mr Piano
Reply to  Khachaturian
1 month ago

Yea I’d consider Popovici to be a similar talent, but come on, be fair to Thorpe. A tech suit alone probably makes up the time difference.

PFA
Reply to  Mr Piano
1 month ago

I can’t believe that anyone has gone 3:41.8 in a brief at 17. I don’t think will ever see a teen do that again. I’d love to see how fast today’s athletes would be in briefs in a 400

Jason
Reply to  Mr Piano
1 month ago

Yep, that was at Pan Pacs in August of 1999. He also took 2 seconds off the 400m WR to go 3.41.8 in briefs. At 16. Never seen such a dominant race. The best today are a fair way off that, some 23 yrs later.

Notanyswimmer
1 month ago

I love how the fastest 200 free relay split ever was Biedermann’s opening leg in 2009 of 1:42:81. The only men to have gone under 1:44 with a rolling start are Sun Yang (1:43:16), Yannick Agnel (1:43:24, slower than his flat start PB 1:43:14), Duncan Scott (1:43:45), Townley Haas (1:43:78), and James Guy (1:43:80).

LUKE GUY
Reply to  Notanyswimmer
1 month ago

ahahahah yes deli

DearMA
1 month ago

Following Agnel in breaking the 44-second barrier is David Popovici.

Blake pierogi
Reply to  DearMA
1 month ago

But please don’t follow his other steps

About James Sutherland

James Sutherland

James swam five years at Laurentian University in Sudbury, Ontario, specializing in the 200 free, back and IM. He finished up his collegiate swimming career in 2018, graduating with a bachelor's degree in economics. In 2019 he completed his graduate degree in sports journalism. Prior to going to Laurentian, James swam …

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