How Does Team USA’s Pan Pacs Roster Look Halfway Through World Juniors?

Sean Griffin contributed to this report

We are three days into the World Junior Championships, which is the last of five meets that decide team USA’s 2026 Pan Pacs roster.

The only confirmed shake up so far is Rylee Erisman earning her way onto the team with her blistering fast 52.79 in the 100 freestyle. This will make her a Priority #1 swimmer, locking in her spot.

As a reminder, the roster will be selected based on the top times from:

  • ‘A’ Finals at the USA Swimming 2025 National Championships
  • Finals at the 2025 World Aquatics Championships
  • Finals at the 2025 World University Games
  • Finals at the 2025 World Aquatics Junior Championships
  • ‘A’ Finals at the 2025 TYR Pro Summer Championships

There will not be a national selection meet next summer, so this is the last chance swimmers have to earn a spot, and some athletes will be watching from home while they lose their spot.

When swimmers qualify for the team, they can automatically swim any event at the championships, but only the top two swimmers per nation can advance to the final.

There are a few shifts to priority order, which could impact people’s invites, particularly on the women’s side where a few priority 4 swimmers were slated to receive invites.

SELECTION PRIORITIES

  • Priority #1
    • Available Swimmers who have:
      • The four fastest times in the 100-meter Freestyle and 200-meter Freestyle
      • The fastest time in each event other than the 100-meter and 200-meter Freestyles
  • Priority #2
    • Available Swimmers who have the second fastest time in each event other than the 100-meter and 200-meter Freestyles
  • Priority #3
    • Available Swimmers who have the fifth fastest times in the 100-meter Freestyle and 200-meter Freestyle
  • Priority #4
    • Available Swimmers who have the third fastest time in each event other than the 100-meter and 200-meter Freestyles
  • Priority #5
    • Available Swimmers who have the fourth fastest time in each event other than the 100-meter and 200-meter Freestyles

Events With Adjusted Priorities

Note:

  • This shows the top eight swimmers per event based on the criteria. It is not a list of the top eight times in the country this season.
  • All times posted are finals swims as that is what is outlined in the selections. If an athlete had a faster prelims/semifinals swim, it is not considered. Relay lead-offs are also not considered
  • These events are only the ones where someone entered the top four and earned a priority ranking. Other swimmers might be on the top 8 lists in other events.

Women’s 100 Freestyle:

  1. Torri Huske – 52.43
  2. Gretchen Walsh – 52.78
  3. Rylee Erisman — 52.79 *Priority 1
  4. Simone Manuel – 52.83
  5. Kate Douglass – 53.16
  6. Erin Gemmell – 53.51

Women’s 400 IM:

  1. Emma Weyant – 4:34.81
  2. Leah Hayes – 4:36.04
  3. Katie Grimes – 4:36.52
  4. Audrey Derivaux — 4:39.67 *Priority 5
  5. Teagan O’Dell – 4:39.96

Men’s 800 Freestyle:

  1. Bobby Finke – 7:43.13
  2. Rex Maurer – 7:49.53
  3. David Johnston – 7:49.85
  4. Aiden Hammer — 7:51.68 *Priority 5
  5. Ryan Erisman – 7:51.74

THE ROSTER BREAKDOWN, AS THINGS CURRENTLY STAND

WOMEN:

Priority #1 (13 swimmers):

Priority #2 (5 swimmers):

Priority #3 (1 swimmer):

Priority #4 (9 swimmers, 2 over 26 roster limit):

Only 8 of the 9 swimmers qualified in the priority 4 sector can qualify. Per USA Swimming, the tie for priority #4 is broken as follows:

If all Priority #3 swimmers are Selected to the Team and the maximum Team size of 26 swimmer per gender has not been reached, then the same procedure of using the highest Percentage of “A” Standard will be used to rank the swimmers from Priority #4, and Priority #4 swimmers will be Selected to the Team in order of highest Percentage of “A” Standard until the Team is full.
“Percentage ‘A’ Time Standard” means the difference between an Available Swimmer’s Time in an Event in compared to the “A” Time Standard for that Event. The resulting time difference will be converted to a percentage to demonstrate how much faster or slower the Available Swimmer’s Time in an Event is compared to the “A” Time Standard in that Event. This percentage will be calculated by subtracting the Available Swimmer’s Time in an Event from the “A” Time Standard in that Event, then dividing the difference by the “A” Time Standard in that Event. Calculations will be carried to the one-thousandth of a percent (i.e., x.xxx%). The AQUA Time Standards for the 2024 Olympic Games will be used.

Katie Christopherson was already out based on the AQUA percentages coming into the meet. Erisman’s swim tonight will push Brady Kendall out of the meet as well to make room for Erisman’s new Priority #1 spot.

MEN:

Priority #1 (17 swimmers):

Priority #2 (9 swimmers = MAX 26 roster limit, no priority 3, 4, & 5 swimmers):

The men’s rankings do not change at all because no priority 3, 4, or 5 swimmers have made the roster.

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Old Swim Coach
9 months ago

The depth of USA women’s team is insane right now. I’m still in awe of the star power that seems to be in every event.

Thomas The Tank Engine
Reply to  Old Swim Coach
9 months ago

It’s the US women’s strongest team in decades.

They have the current fastest or second fastest swimmers in almost all women’s events. The only events that they’re not current #1 or #2 are 50 breast, 200 free, and 400 IM.

Bad Man
Reply to  Old Swim Coach
9 months ago

The USA women have done exactly what needs to happen: develop their young stars from the last Olympic cycle into mature world class swimmers (Smith/Walsh/Huske/Douglass), keeping their older stars at the top of their game (Manuel/Ledecky), and developing good depth and complimentary swimmers around them.

The USA men have basically done the exact opposite.

Last edited 9 months ago by Bad Man
WaitforLA
9 months ago

Bella’s 6th fastest time of 1:57 for the 200 free and 3rd fastest time of 4:07 do not seem so safe. Erisman and Dobson are both coming in with 1:57 seed times for the 200 free.

It’s Bella’s 4:07 400 free that puts her as priority 4, and while Dobson has a seed time of 4:09 to Bella’s 4:07, that 4:09 is from one year ago. Dobson also appears to be well tapered for this meet with pb’s in both 200 and 800 so far. This selection process is wacky.

Thomas The Tank Engine
Reply to  WaitforLA
9 months ago

“This selection process is wacky.”

Yup. It’s so unnecessary convoluted.

Last edited 9 months ago by Thomas The Tank Engine
Freddie
Reply to  WaitforLA
9 months ago

200 free is not in play. They only take top 5 (5th priority 3). It’s 400 or bust for Bella.

WaitforLA
Reply to  WaitforLA
9 months ago

Darn. Congrats to Dobson, she is having a great meet, but I wish Bella had a spot too.

Walsh-Madden-Grimes-Weinstein
9 months ago

The following entry does not compute:

Priority 1
Kate Douglass – 100 FR (5th)

This Guy
9 months ago

Does anyone else like the roster selection done this way? I know it may not be great from a casual fan perspective but I love following the story lines

Admin
Reply to  This Guy
9 months ago

Yeah I think it’s kind of a fun angle and process to follow, so you’re on to something there.

I know there are lots of pure sports reasons that people hate this, but I think it’s okay to acknowledge the good parts of it too.

YGBSM
Reply to  This Guy
9 months ago

IMO the two advantages of this method (essentially best time from the big meets this summer):

1. Swimmers who make the team can build their training – and taper – for the meet itself, known far in advance they made it, rather than for a single “trials” selection meet. This potentially optimizes the run-up for the meet.

2. Teams / coaches have a clearer seasonal (and annual) competition schedule, including being very purposeful with travel and selection of intermediate preparatory meets.

The disadvantage of course, is with such a long lead time to the meet, many things can go haywire.

Adam H.
9 months ago

-Michael Andrew is 3rd in the 50 Breast, so he’s only on the team by way of the 50 Fly.
-David Johnston’s 2nd place in the 1500 Free isn’t included right now (he’d be the one to miss by tiebreakers, so fair enough)

If Hammer’s best time in the 800 leads to a huge PB in the 1500, he could challenge for 2nd in that event and a fast enough time (14:56.08 or faster) to take MA’s spot on tiebreakers.

Adam H.
Reply to  Adam H.
9 months ago

For another time to look out for: if Mena Boardman hits a 25.98 or faster (would be almost a .3 drop from semis to finals, so unlikely but possible?) she’d be the 3rd fastest 50 Fly entry with a time fast enough to make Skyler Smith the unlucky second one out on tiebreaks.

SwimGuru
Reply to  Adam H.
9 months ago

One little minor note on Hammer…He was already a Priority 4 swimmer in the Men’s 1500m freestyle from 15:05.13 at U.S. Nationals, Hammer’s Priority didn’t get adjusted for Pan Pacs (he is still Priority 3 1500m free as is best claim to team) but rather Ryan Erisman has no Priority claim for Pan Pacs after finishing 3rd in the 400m free at World Trials in June and two bronzes in 400m and 800m at FISU World University Games

Daaaave
Reply to  Adam H.
9 months ago

By that logic, you might not even rule out Mulgrew, though it would depend on finish order of course.

JimSwim22
9 months ago

Has anyone dropped their invite?
What happens if someone declines? I assume the person behind them in the tanking assumes their priority spot?

Robert
Reply to  JimSwim22
9 months ago

Looks like Janton was bumped entirely by Modglin and tie breakers.

NJ Cav
Reply to  JimSwim22
9 months ago

I think it depends when they decline. If they decline before the team is named, it would just go to the next person in the rankings subject to any priority tiebreakers. That is what is being assumed for Lilly King. After the team is named, if a swimmer withdraws completely from the team (not just from one event of multiples) replacement rules would apply, which have some other factors. That could happen from the naming of the team through when the rosters must be finalized next July.

Wirotomo
9 months ago

Why theres is two priority #2 in 50m breast (McKean and Andrew) and no priority #2 in 100 breast?

Slower Than You
Reply to  Wirotomo
9 months ago

Matheny has the number 2 spot, but he’s already qualified for the team with the 200 top time, so I’m guessing they just omitted #2 qualifiers that are redundant for a roster spot. It’s the same thing with the distance free, there’s no #2 for every event 400m and up because it’s all Claire Weinstein, but they only have her “listed” for the 200 free.

Longhorns
9 months ago

It’s Aaron Shackell, not Andrew for the 400 free.