2025 World Championships: Five Takeaways From The Women’s 4×100 Medley Relay

2025 World Championships

Could The U.S. Women Be The Most Dominant Relay Team Ever?

The U.S. have historically great legs on back and fly, and world-class legs on breast and free. Put that all together and you have a team 2.26 seconds faster than any other nation has ever been and 3.53 seconds quicker than anyone else in Singapore.

That was an even bigger gap than last summer in Paris, which at 3.48 seconds had been the largest winning margin at a world championships or Olympics in this event since 1994. The fact that they did that while replacing the premier breaststroker of the last decade, Lilly King, is beyond impressive.

This quartet are each at the top of their game – four 100m stroke medalists, two of them world record holders, and none of them older than 24. Every single one of them has set a new best time in their respective stroke 100 in the last 12-and-a-bit months, and, scarily for everyone else, there are still areas of improvement for them.

Their back half, despite being over a second faster than anyone else here, could feasibly see a drop of around half a second each from Gretchen Walsh and Torri Huske. Walsh was four-tenths slower than her flat start best of 54.60 here, and Huske’s 52.52 was off the 51.88 she split on the mixed medley last summer.

The U.S. were the last nation to win the medley relay at an Olympics in their home country – Australia were 2nd at Sydney 2000 and China 3rd at Beijing 2008 – and, even three years out, it looks like it would take the mother of all shocks to see them denied a repeat of that in LA in three years time.

Canada And Australia Have The Same Issue On Breaststroke

Over the last few years, both of these nations have put out several teams with elite legs on backstroke, butterfly and freestyle. Breaststroke, however, is a problem.

Where the U.S. has gone from Rebecca Soni into Jessica Hardy into Lilly King into Kate Douglass, Canada has only just had a swimmer swim stick on this leg for three consecutive years and Sophie Angus, while responsible for four of the five best splits the Canadians have had since 2010, is not at the level of any of the four U.S> swimmers mentioned. Australia have had even less consistency than their Commonwealth foes, having used a different swimmer at each of the last five summer world championships.

Australia have had only three splits under 1:06 in the last 15 years, far fewer than the five they have had over 1:07. Canada, for their part, have an average breaststroke split of 1:07.10 from finals across the last 15 years.

Neither one of those stats is indicative of an area of strength. Australia has still had the depth to finish second to the U.S. consistently, but Canada have missed the podium two summers in a row and no longer have either Maggie MacNeil on fly or a clear route back onto the podium.

A weak leg typically needs an equally strong leg to break even – Adam Peaty balanced out Great Britain’s backstroke leg for years – and Canada doesn’t quite have that.  Kylie Masse is the 3rd-fastest backstroker in history, but is in 58-mid rather than 57-high form at this point in her career, and not far enough ahead of the swimmers from China or NAB to ensure that Canada can stay ahead.

Australia can weather their leg, although are hugely indebted to Kaylee McKeown‘s brilliance on backstroke and their cadre of elite 100 freestylers. Canada are finding it a little more difficult to overcome, and are suffering the misfortune of their most consistent leg in decades, Sophie Angus, appearing just as they lose their generational fly swimmer.

The Dichotomy Of The McKeown-Smith Rivalry

These two statements may seem difficult to make sense of. Regan Smith has beaten Kaylee McKeown four years in a row on the leadoff leg of this relay. Kaylee McKeown has beaten Regan Smith in the individual 100 back the last four times both have contested the event.

Year Event Kaylee McKeown Regan Smith
2021 100 back 57.47 58.03
medley leadoff 58.01 58.05
2022 100 back 58.22
medley leadoff 58.77 58.40
2023 100 back 57.53 57.78
medley leadoff 57.91 57.68
2024 100 back 57.33 57.66
medley leadoff 57.72 57.28
2025 100 back 57.16 57.35
medley leadoff 57.69 57.57

It exposes an interesting facet of their battle for supremacy in the 100 back. Both swim well in-season, McKeown is possibly the best pure racer in the world right now, and Smith has historically stepped up on relays. Her fastest swim last summer in Paris, a 57.28 which broke McKeown’s newly-minted Olympic Record, came on this relay and she was faster in 2023 leading off than in the individual final as well.

Smith can beat, has beaten, and, at points, should beat McKeown. There is almost certainly a mental aspect to their individual races now, with McKeown running Smith down in both the 100 and 200 for three years in a row, but on the relay the American has the edge.

On paper the battle in the 100 should be more evenly split in terms of titles than it is. The individual battle was the closest this year that it has ever been – potentially on home soil next year Smith can flip the script.

Germany Return To Heady Heights

Germany had broken the 3:58 barrier on just two occasions in their history prior to this year’s World Championships, both of them at the 2009 World Championships. The super-suited mark of 3:55.79 they set in the final there has stood through 16 years, but with a well-rounded quartet of Lisa Seidel, Anna Elendt, Angelina Koehler and Nina Holt, they came within a quarter of a second to finish 6th.

They were 3:56.44 in the heats to qualify 3rd into the final, which now stands as their 3rd-fastest swim in history, and have  two world champions in Anna Elendt (2025) and Angelina Koehler (2024). This is a young and improving team, and if Lisa Seidel, who is still just 18, can drop time again next summer after going from 1:01.30 to 1:00.64 this year, they are primed for the best streak in their nation’s history.

Their fifth-fastest time ever came last summer, and had big improvements on the breaststroke and freestyle legs this year. Anna Elendt went from 1:05.92 to 1:04.90, with Nina Holt on the anchor dropping from 54.41 to a very solid 53.22. Angelina Koehler does have some more time to give, splitting slower than she went individually here for the second year in a row, but a 56-point split is not to be sniffed at in any case.

They could well be favorites for the European title next summer with the status of Russian athletes up in the air still. European Aquatics allowed junior Russian and Belarussian athletes to compete this summer, including at the European Youth Olympic festival, but with the stipulation that they would not be eligible to swim relays.

While no announcement regarding senior athletes has come out so far, it is likely the same restrictions would apply. With the improvement Germany have shown, they may well have gone in next summer as co-favorites anyway.

Satomi Suzuki Is Aging Like Fine Wine

Satomi Suzuki was on this relay for the first time back in 2010, splitting 1:06.54 for the bronze medal-winning Japanese team at the Pan Pacific Championships.

A decade and a half later, she is still part of this relay and looking a strong contender to reprise her Pan Pac’s role in Irvine in 12 months time. In the individual final, she cracked 1:06 for just the second time, both of which have come after her 33rd birthday.

Despite setting a new best of 1:05.78 in that final, she ended up placing 4th behind NAB’s Evgeniia Chikunova. She missed a medal by just 0.14 seconds – one which would have been her first since making the podium twice back at the London 2012 Olympics. Only two individual medalist in Singapore, Katie Ledecky and Ruta Meilutyte, won an international medal that long ago.

No other breaststroker in this final was older than 11 when she made her senior international debut, and all bar Sophie Angus were 8 years old or younger.

Suzuki outsplit half of them in 1:05.57, just off the 1:05.50 she swam in the morning. Those were her second- and fourth-fastest splits ever, with first and third coming last year, where she was 1:05.08 in the Olympic final as Japan finished 5th.

Suzuki had a decade-long hiatus from this relay, displaced by Kanako Watanabe and then Reona Aoki, but has looked indispensable since returning in 2023. She split 1:05.96 on the bronze medal-winning relay back in 2012, and has been faster five times – all within the last two years.

Breaststroke has allowed some of its stars to age gracefully – Felipe Lima and Joao Gomes won world medals well into their 30s – and Suzuki is one of the best examples.

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Swimfan
9 months ago

The biggest takeaway from the relay way Kate Douglass split! I would have never thought in a million years she would split 1:04.2! I was thinking 1:05-1:05.5 but she blew my expectations way outta of the water! I thought maybe next year she might go 104 on the relay but not this year I’m glad I was wrong

Kevin
Reply to  Swimfan
9 months ago

Makes sense now that we know the split. She’s always been a strong flying split dropper and the way she swims breaststroke is extra improved by the flying momentum. She’s probably got the best streamline and glide of the field so having extra speed on the front end helps her even more

Khacahturian
9 months ago

i think this USA quad is the greatest medley relay this world has ever seen

Pea brain
Reply to  Khacahturian
9 months ago

There’s truly no argument otherwise now that Gretchen has a 54.6

GOATKeown
Reply to  Khacahturian
9 months ago

That’s kind of a given after multiple WRs

Mike in Dallas
9 months ago

A very fine analysis indeed!

Thank you for all the insightful remarks and work which went into putting this excellent piece together!

K g
9 months ago

Ruta Meilutyte won the 100 breast in London, so there are at least 2 individual medalists from both London and Singapore. But they were 15-year-old girls in 2012; Suzuki is six years older than they are. She was so close to medaling at both the London Olympics and the Singapore World Championships as a non-teenager. I think that’s really cool.

It happens in other sports. Just as one example, I love cycling. There is a Dutch cyclist who has medaled in 3 olympics: Beijing, London, and Paris while competing more as a support rider in Rio and Tokyo. She was 21 in Beijing.

K g
Reply to  Sam Blacker
9 months ago

No worries, there are a lot of people to check when figuring that out. I just happened to know it because I have been thinking a lot about variation in age minimums by sport.

Jess078
9 months ago

I was most surprised by Kate 104.2 on her first breast replay leg ever. Hope it is not beginner luck and we could see a 103 split in a near future. WR for both 100 and 200 breast seems more doable after her 2025 championships performance then we will have 3 WR holders respectively in this replay, crazy!

Last edited 9 months ago by Jess078
Viking Steve
9 months ago

The only takeaway that matters….. USA Gold on lock for LA28 for this legendary quartet

Chucky
Reply to  Viking Steve
9 months ago

..deleted.

Last edited 9 months ago by Chucky
Joel
9 months ago

Could they be the most dominant relay team ever?
Well Australian women in the 4×100 free surely are as good if not better. 4 Olympics in a row plus many World champs. 4 second margins sometimes. 51.99 average in 2023.

MarkB
Reply to  Joel
9 months ago

Just to throw 2 out from the same Olympics – 1976. The U.S. men won Gold in every 100 of stroke and obviously won the MR. The DDR women did the same (with Ender winning both Fly and Free but the got the Silver in Fly). They beat the US by over 6.5 seconds. Juiced yes, but unbelievable.

The US men were clean, I suspect.

Thomas The Tank Engine
Reply to  Joel
9 months ago

Plus, how many World Records have AUS4x100 free have broken in the past 10 years?

Ervin
Reply to  Thomas The Tank Engine
9 months ago

If you go back as far as London, I’d venture to guess the American women have broken the medley relay record as many times as the aussies have broken the 4×100 free record. I think they’re both at 5 a piece

GOATKeown
Reply to  Ervin
9 months ago

Australian women 4×100 WR is 2.24 faster than the second fastest country ever (and at the time it was set, it was 3.06). US women’s medley is 2.26 seconds faster than the second fastest country. The freestyle relay is a much faster event, so by % the Australian relay is more dominant.

Fraser Thorpe
Reply to  GOATKeown
9 months ago

IMO This medley relay FEELS a bit more stacked because it’s made up of individual champions, two of which are WR holders in their event. Either way, both teams are titans.

Miss M
Reply to  Fraser Thorpe
9 months ago

Ture, but also the medley is what makes it possible to have multiple individual champions in a way the freestyle can’t. So many Aussie freestyles struggle to get opportunities to swim the event individually.

But this current US Crop is outstanding, and it’s hard to see how anyone goes past them without a DQ.

GOATKeown
Reply to  Fraser Thorpe
9 months ago

Douglass and Huske have never won the “event” they swim in for the medley though. If you’re just talking about winning any event, then the AUS record has 3 individual champions and an individual silver in Jack. Or the former record from Tokyo has 4 individual world/Olympic champions.

Just saying
9 months ago

Seems like Regan is more locked in than Kaylee for the relays. Such a crazy stat