Scoring Out The 2015 NCAA DI Psych Sheet – Women’s Edition

Early Tuesday morning, the NCAA released their pre-cut psych sheets for the 2015 Women’s NCAA Championships. At the NCAA Championships, only the top 16 swimmers in each event scores points. Points are doubled for relay events.

After scoring out the meet without diving, the California Golden Bears are the favorite to win the meet by 137 points over the Georgia Bulldogs. Based on the psych sheet, Cal is expected to score in every event except the 100 breaststroke. Their biggest event on paper is the 200 IM, with 54 points. They also have 6 other events where they are expected to score at least 40 points as a team.

Georgia will be competing for their third consecutive NCAA title and 7th NCAA title in program history. The Cal Bears are going for their fourth national championship in program history. The last time they won an NCAA title as a team was 2012.

This list will change around a little bit once diving scores can be added in. With three diving events at the NCAA Championships, a good diver or two can make a huge impact.

Below is a breakdown of the points awarded for each event at the NCAA Championships:

A Final Points For Individual Events

1. 20 (40 relays)
2. 17 (34 relays)
3. 16 (32 relays)
4. 15 (30 relays)
5. 14 (28 relays)
6. 13 (26 relays)
7. 12 (24 relays)
8. 11 (22 relays)

B Final Points For Individual Events

1. 9 (18 relays)
2. 7 (14 relays)
3. 6 (12 relays)
4. 5 (10 relays)
5. 4 (8 relays)
6. 3 (6 relays)
7. 2 (4 relays)
8. 1 (2 relays)

This list is based off of the NCAA’s Pre-cut psych sheet published on the morning of Tuesday, March 3rd. Click here to view that psych sheet. The 2015 Women’s NCAA Championships will take place in Greensboro, NC at the Greensboro Aquatic Center from March 19th to the 21st.

Rank Teams Points
1 California 505
2 Georgia 368
3 Stanford 309
4 Virginia 295
5 Texas A&M 220
6 Florida 193
7 USC 161
8 Louisville 160
9 Tennessee 130
10 Wisconsin 129
11 Indiana 123
12 Texas 100
13 Michigan 98
14 Minnesota 82
15 Auburn 67
16 NC State 63
17 Arizona 62
18 Kentucky 50
19 SDSU 46
20 Missouri 44.5
21 Alabama 39
22 UCLA 35.5
23 Notre Dame 34
24 Penn St 31
25 FSU 26
26 UNC 26
27 SMU 24
28 FGCU 18
29 Nevada 17
30 Denver 16
31 Virginia Tech 16
32 Rice 14
33 Purdue 12
34 Kansas 11
35 Oregon St 10
36 LSU 8
37 Arkansas 6.5
38 Ohio St 6.5
39 Iowa 5
40 Cincinnati 4

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DebC
7 years ago

Don’t forget the divers….they can add huge points to team totals….Cal always struggles to place any divers…..

calbearfan
7 years ago

Keep in mind that this does not include diving.

calswimfan
7 years ago

Just out of curiosity, how has scoring the seeds fared in the past?
I presume it holds very low predictive value, but it’s always fun. Have people changed their expectations after looking at this? The consensus favorite were the Bulldogs in the pre-season and after the mid-season. Now, I don’t know who the favorites are. But I think the NCAA meet is going to be much more interesting and closer than I have previously thought.

Admin
Reply to  calswimfan
7 years ago

calswimfan – at the very least, scoring psych sheets can help track. Georgia can still win, but they know that they need to improve 150 as compared to seed, relative to however Cal does.

As far as “predictive value,” it actually seems to be a pretty good indicator. Here’s an analysis we did on the basis of the 2013 results: http://swimswam.com/psych-sheet-scoring-really-matter-might-think/

calswimfan
Reply to  Braden Keith
7 years ago

Thanks Braden!

samuel huntington
7 years ago

it is crazy to think that UNC beats UVA in a duel, almost beats them at ACCs, and then is seeded to finish a whooping 22 places behind UVA at NCAAs

GoBearsSwimming
7 years ago

Absolutely GREAT photo of Rachel Bootsma above! Love it. good work.

liquid4TheBears
7 years ago

If I’m understanding this all correctly, then to be seeded “equal” to Cal for the swimming events, Georgia would have to place the equivalent of 1st and 2nd in all 3 diving events, plus an additional 3rd and 8th place in any of the 3 diving events, and Cal would have to get zero points in any of the diving events. All very unlikely except Cal getting zero. Based on my general impression of conference swims, this is surprising to me. But maybe that’s just because I wanted Cal to go in as underdogs rather than with a target on their back!!

swimfan
7 years ago

Why is UNC so low when they were undefeated in the dual season ACC and wer runner ups in ACC champs.

Reply to  swimfan
7 years ago

Because they only have 1 girl who is a legitimate scorer at the meet?

Being undefeated in dual meets has little bearing on the NCAA standings.

calswimfan
7 years ago

I think the Bears have higher depth in the 200 free. Go Bears!

About Tony Carroll

Tony Carroll

The writer formerly known as "Troy Gennaro", better known as Tony Carroll, has been working with SwimSwam since April of 2013. Tony grew up in northern Indiana and started swimming in 2003 when his dad forced him to join the local swim team. Reluctantly, he joined on the condition that …

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