Indiana had a huge day on Friday, improving 39 points relative to their seed. ASU projects to win their first NCAA title with a 125-point margin. Archive photo via Jack Spitser/Spitser Photography
Arizona State continued to outpace the field, scoring 142 points to finish 56.5 points ahead of Cal. ASU is projecting to win their first NCAA title with a 125-point margin tomorrow.
Day 3 proved to be a big one for the Indiana Hoosiers, who outscored Cal and Florida and were only 2 points behind Arizona State for the day. Indiana earned a whopping 39 points in diving, thanks to a 1-2 finish, and double digits in the 100 back, 100 fly, 100 breast, and 200 free. Moreover, they were 4th in the 400 medley relay, which turned out to be important because three teams, including Florida, were disqualified.
Florida, who had a lock on second place coming into tonight’s finals, finished Day 3 61 points below seed. The Gators’s second-best day by seed is tomorrow, so they could still finish in second place, but the race with Cal just got considerably tighter.
NC State, Cal, Louisville, and Towson were double digits in the green. Georgia, Stanford, Auburn, and Michigan joined Florida in the red. Georgia and Auburn also had their relays disqualified.
Team Projections After Day 3 (without Day 4 diving)
Team
Day 1 Actual
Day 2 Actual
Day 3 Actual
Day 4 Psych
Projected Score
Vs Psych
Arizona State
68
133
142
180
523
-15
Florida
70
91
112
126
399
-50
Cal
70
99
117.5
89
375.5
77.5
Indiana
52
55
140
78
325
60
NC State
50
48
108
87
293
18
Tennessee
28
58
61
72
219
-17.5
Texas
50
56
59
24
189
38.5
Stanford
46
38
60
34
178
-24
Virginia Tech
28
33
55
51
167
-9
Georgia
34
23
31
50
138
-35
Notre Dame
0
39
40
58
137
-10
Michigan
18
30
20.5
36
104.5
1.5
Auburn
30
37
5
29
101
-15.5
Ohio State
6
36
23
28
93
4
Louisville
24
6
39
12
81
19
Texas A&M
4
17
41
15
77
-1
Alabama
12
14
24
22
72
4.5
SMU
4
22
15
9
50
33
Virginia
0
12
29
4
45
-33.5
USC
0
0
9
28
37
3
Florida State
10
10
14
0
34
6
Minnesota
0
17
11
6
34
-8
Missouri
12
7
0
5
24
8
Miami (FL)
0
15
6
0
21
6
Arizona
2
13
4
0
19
-18
Penn
0
0
0
17
17
-11
Towson
0
0
17
0
17
14.5
Wisconsin
0
7
9
0
16
-35
Pittsburgh
0
0
15
0
15
0
LSU
0
6
5
2
13
2
BYU
0
3
4
4
11
-6
North Carolina
2
0
7
0
9
4
Penn State
0
0
8
0
8
-17
Georgia Tech
0
0
0
7
7
0
Brown
0
0
0
6
6
0
Kentucky
0
0
0
6
6
0
Utah
0
0
6
0
6
5
Purdue
0
5
0
0
5
-2
George Washington
0
0
3
0
3
3
10
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Right Dude Here
1 month ago
Potential typo or miscalculation or something on Texas in the overall relative to seed difference. 59-42.5=\=5.5. Seems to me it should be 16.5, unless it’s against the psych sheet instead of prelims performance.
Unknown Swammer
1 month ago
Man, if only IU would quit using some of their scholarships on great divers, they could score a couple more points on the swimming events and complain about diving being included in the point totals…
IU divers will absolutely score min 40 points on tower on Sat putting them in very close contention for a 3rd place finish.
chickenlamp
1 month ago
Shot in the dark as to tomorrows scoring, including the mile and relays:
ASU 145, final score 488
Cal 110, final score 396
Florida 128, final score 401
Cal is the hardest to predict via psych sheets, I scored based on where I think they will be. But 135 is possible if they have an excellent day. I don’t think anyone’s catching ASU unless they implode. But second place legit might come down to the final relay
I I forgot to add the relay point to ASU–so call it 185/528. I’m not confident that Sarkany or Kos will win their events, but I think Kulow moves up in the 100 free.
Yep, 138 based on prelims and relay seed. But their relay will move up, so they’ll probably score 150+ total today. Cal always manages to exceed expectations on that last morning.
Anne Lepesant is the mother of four daughters, all of whom swam in college. With an undergraduate degree from Princeton (where she was an all-Ivy tennis player) and an MBA from INSEAD, she worked for many years in the financial industry, both in France and the U.S. Anne is currently …
Potential typo or miscalculation or something on Texas in the overall relative to seed difference. 59-42.5=\=5.5. Seems to me it should be 16.5, unless it’s against the psych sheet instead of prelims performance.
Man, if only IU would quit using some of their scholarships on great divers, they could score a couple more points on the swimming events and complain about diving being included in the point totals…
Fair point – go IU Dive and Swim!
Let’s give artistic scores to the cheerleaders and add to the final team scores during the final four. After all, they perform on the same court…
IU divers will absolutely score min 40 points on tower on Sat putting them in very close contention for a 3rd place finish.
Shot in the dark as to tomorrows scoring, including the mile and relays:
ASU 145, final score 488
Cal 110, final score 396
Florida 128, final score 401
Cal is the hardest to predict via psych sheets, I scored based on where I think they will be. But 135 is possible if they have an excellent day. I don’t think anyone’s catching ASU unless they implode. But second place legit might come down to the final relay
I I forgot to add the relay point to ASU–so call it 185/528. I’m not confident that Sarkany or Kos will win their events, but I think Kulow moves up in the 100 free.
110 would be a major disappointment for Cal. I think they’ll be more like 125-135.
200 Back: 30+ (potential for 2 up/2 down)
100 Free: 30+ (2 up, 1 down)
200 Breast: 0-5 (probably 1 down)
200 Fly: 25-30 (2 up)
Relay: 32-40
I underestimated Liam Bell. Looks like they will be more like 140-150 after this morning.
Yep, 138 based on prelims and relay seed. But their relay will move up, so they’ll probably score 150+ total today. Cal always manages to exceed expectations on that last morning.